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Deep Learning Based on Multi-Decomposition for Short-Term Load Forecasting

Author

Listed:
  • Seon Hyeog Kim

    (Department of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Yonsei University, Seoul 03722, Korea)

  • Gyul Lee

    (Department of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Yonsei University, Seoul 03722, Korea)

  • Gu-Young Kwon

    (Department of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Yonsei University, Seoul 03722, Korea)

  • Do-In Kim

    (Department of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Yonsei University, Seoul 03722, Korea)

  • Yong-June Shin

    (Department of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Yonsei University, Seoul 03722, Korea)

Abstract

Load forecasting is a key issue for efficient real-time energy management in smart grids. To control the load using demand side management accurately, load forecasting should be predicted in the short term. With the advent of advanced measuring infrastructure, it is possible to measure energy consumption at sampling rates up to every 5 min and analyze the load profile of small-scale energy groups, such as individual buildings. This paper presents applications of deep learning using feature decomposition for improving the accuracy of load forecasting. The load profile is decomposed into a weekly load profile and then decomposed into intrinsic mode functions by variational mode decomposition to capture periodic features. Then, a long short-term memory network model is trained by three-dimensional input data with three-step regularization. Finally, the prediction results of all intrinsic mode functions are combined with advanced measuring infrastructure measured in the previous steps to determine an aggregated output for load forecasting. The results are validated by applications to real-world data from smart buildings, and the performance of the proposed approach is assessed by comparing the predicted results with those of conventional methods, nonlinear autoregressive networks with exogenous inputs, and long short-term memory network-based feature decomposition.

Suggested Citation

  • Seon Hyeog Kim & Gyul Lee & Gu-Young Kwon & Do-In Kim & Yong-June Shin, 2018. "Deep Learning Based on Multi-Decomposition for Short-Term Load Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-17, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:11:y:2018:i:12:p:3433-:d:188862
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    3. Ding, Zhikun & Chen, Weilin & Hu, Ting & Xu, Xiaoxiao, 2021. "Evolutionary double attention-based long short-term memory model for building energy prediction: Case study of a green building," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 288(C).
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    7. Ahajjam, Mohamed Aymane & Bonilla Licea, Daniel & Ghogho, Mounir & Kobbane, Abdellatif, 2022. "Experimental investigation of variational mode decomposition and deep learning for short-term multi-horizon residential electric load forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 326(C).
    8. Hu, Jingfan & Zheng, Wandong & Zhang, Sirui & Li, Hao & Liu, Zijian & Zhang, Guo & Yang, Xu, 2021. "Thermal load prediction and operation optimization of office building with a zone-level artificial neural network and rule-based control," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 300(C).
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    10. Peng Jiang & Jun Dong & Hui Huang, 2019. "Forecasting China’s Renewable Energy Terminal Power Consumption Based on Empirical Mode Decomposition and an Improved Extreme Learning Machine Optimized by a Bacterial Foraging Algorithm," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(7), pages 1-24, April.
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    12. Zaki Masood & Rahma Gantassi & Ardiansyah & Yonghoon Choi, 2022. "A Multi-Step Time-Series Clustering-Based Seq2Seq LSTM Learning for a Single Household Electricity Load Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-11, April.
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