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Hybrid Short Term Wind Speed Forecasting Using Variational Mode Decomposition and a Weighted Regularized Extreme Learning Machine

Author

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  • Nantian Huang

    (School of Electrical Engineering, Northeast Electric Power University, Jilin 132012, China)

  • Chong Yuan

    (School of Electrical Engineering, Northeast Electric Power University, Jilin 132012, China)

  • Guowei Cai

    (School of Electrical Engineering, Northeast Electric Power University, Jilin 132012, China)

  • Enkai Xing

    (School of Electrical Engineering, Northeast Electric Power University, Jilin 132012, China)

Abstract

Accurate wind speed forecasting is a fundamental element of wind power prediction. Thus, a new hybrid wind speed forecasting model, using variational mode decomposition (VMD), the partial autocorrelation function (PACF), and weighted regularized extreme learning machine (WRELM), is proposed to improve the accuracy of wind speed forecasting. First, the historic wind speed time series is decomposed into several intrinsic mode functions (IMFs). Second, the partial correlation of each IMF sequence is analyzed using PACF to select the optimal subfeature set for particular predictors of each IMF. Then, the predictors of each IMF are constructed in order to enhance its strength using WRELM. Finally, wind speed is obtained by adding up all the predictors. The experiment, using real wind speed data, verified the effectiveness and advancement of the new approach.

Suggested Citation

  • Nantian Huang & Chong Yuan & Guowei Cai & Enkai Xing, 2016. "Hybrid Short Term Wind Speed Forecasting Using Variational Mode Decomposition and a Weighted Regularized Extreme Learning Machine," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(12), pages 1-19, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:9:y:2016:i:12:p:989-:d:83679
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Seon Hyeog Kim & Gyul Lee & Gu-Young Kwon & Do-In Kim & Yong-June Shin, 2018. "Deep Learning Based on Multi-Decomposition for Short-Term Load Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-17, December.
    2. Mengyue Hu & Zhijian Hu & Jingpeng Yue & Menglin Zhang & Meiyu Hu, 2017. "A Novel Multi-Objective Optimal Approach for Wind Power Interval Prediction," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-15, March.
    3. Lilin Cheng & Haixiang Zang & Tao Ding & Rong Sun & Miaomiao Wang & Zhinong Wei & Guoqiang Sun, 2018. "Ensemble Recurrent Neural Network Based Probabilistic Wind Speed Forecasting Approach," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-23, July.
    4. Jinxin Liu & Guan Wang & Tong Zhao & Li Zhang, 2017. "Fault Diagnosis of On-Load Tap-Changer Based on Variational Mode Decomposition and Relevance Vector Machine," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(7), pages 1-14, July.
    5. Jianzhong Zhou & Na Sun & Benjun Jia & Tian Peng, 2018. "A Novel Decomposition-Optimization Model for Short-Term Wind Speed Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-27, July.
    6. Han, Li & Jing, Huitian & Zhang, Rongchang & Gao, Zhiyu, 2019. "Wind power forecast based on improved Long Short Term Memory network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).

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