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Deep Belief Network Based Hybrid Model for Building Energy Consumption Prediction

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  • Chengdong Li

    (School of Information and Electrical Engineering, Shandong Jianzhu University, Jinan 250101, China)

  • Zixiang Ding

    (School of Information and Electrical Engineering, Shandong Jianzhu University, Jinan 250101, China)

  • Jianqiang Yi

    (Institute of Automation, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China)

  • Yisheng Lv

    (Institute of Automation, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China)

  • Guiqing Zhang

    (School of Information and Electrical Engineering, Shandong Jianzhu University, Jinan 250101, China)

Abstract

To enhance the prediction performance for building energy consumption, this paper presents a modified deep belief network (DBN) based hybrid model. The proposed hybrid model combines the outputs from the DBN model with the energy-consuming pattern to yield the final prediction results. The energy-consuming pattern in this study represents the periodicity property of building energy consumption and can be extracted from the observed historical energy consumption data. The residual data generated by removing the energy-consuming pattern from the original data are utilized to train the modified DBN model. The training of the modified DBN includes two steps, the first one of which adopts the contrastive divergence (CD) algorithm to optimize the hidden parameters in a pre-train way, while the second one determines the output weighting vector by the least squares method. The proposed hybrid model is applied to two kinds of building energy consumption data sets that have different energy-consuming patterns (daily-periodicity and weekly-periodicity). In order to examine the advantages of the proposed model, four popular artificial intelligence methods—the backward propagation neural network (BPNN), the generalized radial basis function neural network (GRBFNN), the extreme learning machine (ELM), and the support vector regressor (SVR) are chosen as the comparative approaches. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed DBN based hybrid model has the best performance compared with the comparative techniques. Another thing to be mentioned is that all the predictors constructed by utilizing the energy-consuming patterns perform better than those designed only by the original data. This verifies the usefulness of the incorporation of the energy-consuming patterns. The proposed approach can also be extended and applied to some other similar prediction problems that have periodicity patterns, e.g., the traffic flow forecasting and the electricity consumption prediction.

Suggested Citation

  • Chengdong Li & Zixiang Ding & Jianqiang Yi & Yisheng Lv & Guiqing Zhang, 2018. "Deep Belief Network Based Hybrid Model for Building Energy Consumption Prediction," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-26, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:11:y:2018:i:1:p:242-:d:127830
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Chengdong Li & Zixiang Ding & Dongbin Zhao & Jianqiang Yi & Guiqing Zhang, 2017. "Building Energy Consumption Prediction: An Extreme Deep Learning Approach," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-20, October.
    2. Uzlu, Ergun & Kankal, Murat & Akpınar, Adem & Dede, Tayfun, 2014. "Estimates of energy consumption in Turkey using neural networks with the teaching–learning-based optimization algorithm," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 295-303.
    3. Hsu, David, 2015. "Comparison of integrated clustering methods for accurate and stable prediction of building energy consumption data," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 160(C), pages 153-163.
    4. Naji, Sareh & Keivani, Afram & Shamshirband, Shahaboddin & Alengaram, U. Johnson & Jumaat, Mohd Zamin & Mansor, Zulkefli & Lee, Malrey, 2016. "Estimating building energy consumption using extreme learning machine method," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 506-516.
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