IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reensy/v214y2021ics0951832021002490.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Multi-disruption resilience assessment of rail transit systems with optimized commuter flows

Author

Listed:
  • Tang, Junqing
  • Xu, Lei
  • Luo, Chunling
  • Ng, Tsan Sheng Adam

Abstract

This paper studies the resilient performance of urban rail transit systems by extending a linear programming optimization model, which can provide optimized commuter flows with contingency routing under multiple disruptions. The rail transit systems in Singapore and Chongqing (China) are selected as case studies, and the system resilience and the effectiveness of providing bus-bridging services are comparatively studied. Intuitively, failures of the interchange stations would inevitably lead to a significant loss of resilience due to deteriorated network connectivity. However, the Singapore case shows that attacking those interchange stations does not always result in an extensive resilience loss. Comparing with the Chongqing case, it is discernible that the position of interchange stations would affect the system resilience. The numerical simulations reveal that the positive effect of providing bus-bridging strategy, in terms of improving the system resilience, is heterogeneous in different systems, which varies from 14% to 30% on average. As demonstrated in the sensitivity on travel demands, this positive effect is robust, yet dynamic, indicating that there is no one-size-fits-all solution for designing transfer-based recovery strategies in disruption management of rail transit systems. The managerial implications for decision makers are also provided and discussed in terms of infrastructure planning.

Suggested Citation

  • Tang, Junqing & Xu, Lei & Luo, Chunling & Ng, Tsan Sheng Adam, 2021. "Multi-disruption resilience assessment of rail transit systems with optimized commuter flows," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:214:y:2021:i:c:s0951832021002490
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2021.107715
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832021002490
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ress.2021.107715?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Harshad Khadilkar, 2017. "Data-Enabled Stochastic Modeling for Evaluating Schedule Robustness of Railway Networks," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 51(4), pages 1161-1176, November.
    2. Jin, Jian Gang & Lu, Linjun & Sun, Lijun & Yin, Jingbo, 2015. "Optimal allocation of protective resources in urban rail transit networks against intentional attacks," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 73-87.
    3. Derrible, Sybil & Kennedy, Christopher, 2010. "The complexity and robustness of metro networks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 389(17), pages 3678-3691.
    4. Evelien van der Hurk & Leo Kroon & Gábor Maróti, 2018. "Passenger Advice and Rolling Stock Rescheduling Under Uncertainty for Disruption Management," Service Science, INFORMS, vol. 52(6), pages 1391-1411, December.
    5. Zhang, X. & Miller-Hooks, E. & Denny, K., 2015. "Assessing the role of network topology in transportation network resilience," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 35-45.
    6. López, Fernando A. & Páez, Antonio & Carrasco, Juan A. & Ruminot, Natalia A., 2017. "Vulnerability of nodes under controlled network topology and flow autocorrelation conditions," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 77-87.
    7. Adjetey-Bahun, Kpotissan & Birregah, Babiga & Châtelet, Eric & Planchet, Jean-Luc, 2016. "A model to quantify the resilience of mass railway transportation systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 153(C), pages 1-14.
    8. Tang, Junqing & Heinimann, Hans & Khoja, Layla, 2019. "Quantitative evaluation of consecutive resilience cycles in stock market performance: A systems-oriented approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 532(C).
    9. Gu, Yu & Fu, Xiao & Liu, Zhiyuan & Xu, Xiangdong & Chen, Anthony, 2020. "Performance of transportation network under perturbations: Reliability, vulnerability, and resilience," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    10. Nielsen, Lars Kjær & Kroon, Leo & Maróti, Gábor, 2012. "A rolling horizon approach for disruption management of railway rolling stock," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 220(2), pages 496-509.
    11. Jin, Jian Gang & Tang, Loon Ching & Sun, Lijun & Lee, Der-Horng, 2014. "Enhancing metro network resilience via localized integration with bus services," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 17-30.
    12. Vodopivec, Neža & Miller-Hooks, Elise, 2019. "Transit system resilience: Quantifying the impacts of disruptions on diverse populations," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    13. Hong, Liu & Ouyang, Min & Peeta, Srinivas & He, Xiaozheng & Yan, Yongze, 2015. "Vulnerability assessment and mitigation for the Chinese railway system under floods," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 137(C), pages 58-68.
    14. Junqing Tang & Hans R. Heinimann, 2019. "Quantitative evaluation of consecutive resilience cycles in stock market performance: A systems-oriented approach," Papers 1903.03201, arXiv.org.
    15. Jian Gang Jin & Kwong Meng Teo & Amedeo R. Odoni, 2016. "Optimizing Bus Bridging Services in Response to Disruptions of Urban Transit Rail Networks," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 50(3), pages 790-804, August.
    16. Gao, Yuan & Kroon, Leo & Schmidt, Marie & Yang, Lixing, 2016. "Rescheduling a metro line in an over-crowded situation after disruptions," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 425-449.
    17. Dimitrov, Stavri Dimitri & Ceder, Avishai (Avi), 2016. "A method of examining the structure and topological properties of public-transport networks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 451(C), pages 373-387.
    18. Valentina Cacchiani & Alberto Caprara & Laura Galli & Leo Kroon & Gábor Maróti & Paolo Toth, 2012. "Railway Rolling Stock Planning: Robustness Against Large Disruptions," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 46(2), pages 217-232, May.
    19. Lichun Chen & Elise Miller-Hooks, 2012. "Resilience: An Indicator of Recovery Capability in Intermodal Freight Transport," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 46(1), pages 109-123, February.
    20. Pender, Brendan & Currie, Graham & Delbosc, Alexa & Shiwakoti, Nirajan, 2014. "Improving bus bridging responses via satellite bus reserve locations," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 202-210.
    21. Sun, Daniel (Jian) & Guan, Shituo, 2016. "Measuring vulnerability of urban metro network from line operation perspective," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 348-359.
    22. Cadarso, Luis & Marín, Ángel & Maróti, Gábor, 2013. "Recovery of disruptions in rapid transit networks," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 15-33.
    23. Szymula, Christopher & Bešinović, Nikola, 2020. "Passenger-centered vulnerability assessment of railway networks," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 30-61.
    24. Liu, Wei & Song, Zhaoyang, 2020. "Review of studies on the resilience of urban critical infrastructure networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
    25. E. Codina & A. Marín & F. López, 2013. "A model for setting services on auxiliary bus lines under congestion," TOP: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 21(1), pages 48-83, April.
    26. Lu, Qing-Chang, 2018. "Modeling network resilience of rail transit under operational incidents," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 227-237.
    27. Chengpeng Wan & Zaili Yang & Di Zhang & Xinping Yan & Shiqi Fan, 2018. "Resilience in transportation systems: a systematic review and future directions," Transport Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(4), pages 479-498, July.
    28. Dekker, M.M. & van Lieshout, R.N. & Ball, R.C. & Bouman, P.C. & Dekker, S.C. & Dijkstra, H.A. & Goverde, R.M.P. & Huisman, D. & Panja, D. & Schaafsma, A.M. & van den Akker, M., 2018. "A Next Step in Disruption Management: Combining Operations Research and Complexity Science," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI2018-25, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
    29. Zeng, Amy Z. & Durach, Christian F. & Fang, Yan, 2012. "Collaboration decisions on disruption recovery service in urban public tram systems," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 48(3), pages 578-590.
    30. Ouyang, Min & Liu, Chuang & Xu, Min, 2019. "Value of resilience-based solutions on critical infrastructure protection: Comparing with robustness-based solutions," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 190(C), pages 1-1.
    31. Michael Batty, 2020. "The Coronavirus crisis: What will the post-pandemic city look like?," Environment and Planning B, , vol. 47(4), pages 547-552, June.
    32. Goldbeck, Nils & Angeloudis, Panagiotis & Ochieng, Washington Y., 2019. "Resilience assessment for interdependent urban infrastructure systems using dynamic network flow models," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 62-79.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Bešinović, Nikola & Ferrari Nassar, Raphael & Szymula, Christopher, 2022. "Resilience assessment of railway networks: Combining infrastructure restoration and transport management," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).
    2. Trucco, Paolo & Petrenj, Boris, 2023. "Characterisation of resilience metrics in full-scale applications to interdependent infrastructure systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    3. Chen, Dingjun & Fang, Xufeng & Li, Yao & Ni, Shaoquan & Zhang, Qingpeng & Sang, Chin Kwai, 2022. "Three-level multimodal transportation network for cross-regional emergency resources dispatch under demand and route reliability," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    4. Zhang, Li & Chen, Tingting & Liu, Zhongshan & Yu, Bin & Wang, Yunpeng, 2024. "Analysis of multi-modal public transportation system performance under metro disruptions: A dynamic resilience assessment framework," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
    5. Xinyao Yin & Junhua Chen & Yuexuan Li, 2024. "Simulation-Based Resilience Evaluation for Urban Rail Transit Transfer Stations," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(9), pages 1-22, April.
    6. Ilalokhoin, Ohis & Pant, Raghav & Hall, Jim W., 2023. "A model and methodology for resilience assessment of interdependent rail networks – Case study of Great Britain's rail network," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    7. Yin, Jiateng & Ren, Xianliang & Liu, Ronghui & Tang, Tao & Su, Shuai, 2022. "Quantitative analysis for resilience-based urban rail systems: A hybrid knowledge-based and data-driven approach," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 219(C).
    8. Hongyan Dui & Xinyue Wang & Haohao Zhou, 2023. "Redundancy-Based Resilience Optimization of Multi-Component Systems," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(14), pages 1-16, July.
    9. Junyong Jang & Yongbin Cho & Juntae Park, 2024. "Bus Route Sketching: A Multimetric Analysis from the User’s and Operator’s Perspectives," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(16), pages 1-19, August.
    10. Hu, Jie & Wen, Weiping & Zhai, Changhai & Pei, Shunshun, 2024. "Post-earthquake functionality assessment for urban subway systems: Incorporating the combined effects of seismic performance of structural and non-structural systems and functional interdependencies," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    11. Liu, Enze & Barker, Kash & Chen, Hong, 2022. "A multi-modal evacuation-based response strategy for mitigating disruption in an intercity railway system," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 223(C).
    12. Liping Ge & Stefan Voß & Lin Xie, 2022. "Robustness and disturbances in public transport," Public Transport, Springer, vol. 14(1), pages 191-261, March.
    13. Kuttler, Emma & Ghorbani-Renani, Nafiseh & Barker, Kash & González, Andrés D. & Johansson, Jonas, 2024. "Protection-interdiction-restoration for resilient multi-commodity networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).
    14. Junhong Hu & Mingshu Yang & Yunzhu Zhen, 2024. "A Review of Resilience Assessment and Recovery Strategies of Urban Rail Transit Networks," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(15), pages 1-16, July.
    15. Zheng, Shuai & Liu, Yugang & Lin, Yexin & Wang, Qiang & Yang, Hongtai & Chen, Bin, 2022. "Bridging strategy for the disruption of metro considering the reliability of transportation system: Metro and conventional bus network," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
    16. Wang, Ying & Zhao, Ou & Zhang, Limao, 2024. "Modeling urban rail transit system resilience under natural disasters: A two-layer network framework based on link flow," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    17. Qingjie Qi & Yangyang Meng & Xiaofei Zhao & Jianzhong Liu, 2022. "Resilience Assessment of an Urban Metro Complex Network: A Case Study of the Zhengzhou Metro," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(18), pages 1-19, September.
    18. Wang, Ziqi & Pei, Yulong & Zhang, Jianhua & Dong, Chuntong & Liu, Jing & Zhou, Dongyue, 2024. "Vulnerability analysis of public transit systems from the perspective of the traffic situation," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 634(C).
    19. Wang, Xinglong & Peng, Jinhan & Tang, Junqing & Lu, Qiuchen & Li, Xiaowei, 2022. "Investigating the impact of adding new airline routes on air transportation resilience in China," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 79-95.
    20. Dui, Hongyan & Lu, Yaohui & Wu, Shaomin, 2024. "Competing risks-based resilience approach for multi-state systems under multiple shocks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Hong, Liu & Ye, Bowen & Yan, Han & Zhang, Hui & Ouyang, Min & (Sean) He, Xiaozheng, 2019. "Spatiotemporal vulnerability analysis of railway systems with heterogeneous train flows," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 725-744.
    2. Zhang, Li & Chen, Tingting & Liu, Zhongshan & Yu, Bin & Wang, Yunpeng, 2024. "Analysis of multi-modal public transportation system performance under metro disruptions: A dynamic resilience assessment framework," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
    3. Malandri, Caterina & Mantecchini, Luca & Postorino, Maria Nadia, 2023. "A comprehensive approach to assess transportation system resilience towards disruptive events. Case study on airside airport systems," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 109-122.
    4. Pan, Shouzheng & Yan, Hai & He, Jia & He, Zhengbing, 2021. "Vulnerability and resilience of transportation systems: A recent literature review," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 581(C).
    5. Li, Tao & Rong, Lili, 2020. "A comprehensive method for the robustness assessment of high-speed rail network with operation data: A case in China," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 666-681.
    6. Liping Ge & Stefan Voß & Lin Xie, 2022. "Robustness and disturbances in public transport," Public Transport, Springer, vol. 14(1), pages 191-261, March.
    7. Mo, Baichuan & Koutsopoulos, Haris N. & Zhao, Jinhua, 2022. "Inferring passenger responses to urban rail disruptions using smart card data: A probabilistic framework," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    8. Jiangang Shi & Shiping Wen & Xianbo Zhao & Guangdong Wu, 2019. "Sustainable Development of Urban Rail Transit Networks: A Vulnerability Perspective," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-24, March.
    9. Chen, Yao & An, Kun, 2021. "Integrated optimization of bus bridging routes and timetables for rail disruptions," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 295(2), pages 484-498.
    10. Zheng, Shuai & Liu, Yugang & Lin, Yexin & Wang, Qiang & Yang, Hongtai & Chen, Bin, 2022. "Bridging strategy for the disruption of metro considering the reliability of transportation system: Metro and conventional bus network," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
    11. Dong, Shangjia & Gao, Xinyu & Mostafavi, Ali & Gao, Jianxi & Gangwal, Utkarsh, 2023. "Characterizing resilience of flood-disrupted dynamic transportation network through the lens of link reliability and stability," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
    12. Adel Mottahedi & Farhang Sereshki & Mohammad Ataei & Ali Nouri Qarahasanlou & Abbas Barabadi, 2021. "The Resilience of Critical Infrastructure Systems: A Systematic Literature Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-32, March.
    13. Liang, Jinpeng & Wu, Jianjun & Qu, Yunchao & Yin, Haodong & Qu, Xiaobo & Gao, Ziyou, 2019. "Robust bus bridging service design under rail transit system disruptions," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 97-116.
    14. Wang, Zhaojing & Jia, Limin & Ma, Xiaoping & Sun, Xuehui & Tang, Qianxue & Qian, Sina, 2022. "Accessibility-oriented performance evaluation of high-speed railways using a three-layer network model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    15. Xu, Zizhen & Chopra, Shauhrat S., 2022. "Network-based Assessment of Metro Infrastructure with a Spatial–temporal Resilience Cycle Framework," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 223(C).
    16. Zhiru Wang & Wubin Ma & Albert Chan, 2020. "Exploring the Relationships between the Topological Characteristics of Subway Networks and Service Disruption Impact," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-18, May.
    17. Chan, Ho-Yin & Chen, Anthony & Li, Guoyuan & Xu, Xiangdong & Lam, William, 2021. "Evaluating the value of new metro lines using route diversity measures: The case of Hong Kong's Mass Transit Railway system," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    18. Poulin, Craig & Kane, Michael B., 2021. "Infrastructure resilience curves: Performance measures and summary metrics," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    19. Li, Tao & Rong, Lili, 2021. "Impacts of service feature on vulnerability analysis of high-speed rail network," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 238-253.
    20. Zhang, Jianhua & Wang, Ziqi & Wang, Shuliang & Shao, Wenchao & Zhao, Xun & Liu, Weizhi, 2021. "Vulnerability assessments of weighted urban rail transit networks with integrated coupled map lattices," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:214:y:2021:i:c:s0951832021002490. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/reliability-engineering-and-system-safety .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.