IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reensy/v219y2022ics0951832021006670.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Quantitative analysis for resilience-based urban rail systems: A hybrid knowledge-based and data-driven approach

Author

Listed:
  • Yin, Jiateng
  • Ren, Xianliang
  • Liu, Ronghui
  • Tang, Tao
  • Su, Shuai

Abstract

The rapid expansions of urban rail networks are faced with the growing number of disruptions caused by the complex rail signaling systems, incorrect driving behaviors, and extreme weather. Since urban rail systems are inherently complex and many of these disruptions are usually uncertain and inevitable, the rail managers have gradually paid more attention to the ability to withstand and quickly recover. Nevertheless, only a small number of recent developments have tried to address the ability of an urban rail system to recover from disruptions while considering the inherent structures. In this work, we propose a hybrid knowledge-based and data-driven approach for quantitative analysis of resilience. The aim is to model the causal relationships to quantify the importance of different perturbations to the overall resilience criteria. A set of key features related to the risk assessment and system resilience are summarized according to the historical data in Beijing Metro. Then, we develop a training procedure based on the structure of BN and historical data. Finally, we embed this hybrid approach into software that is applied to Beijing Metro. The results demonstrate the quantitative relationships between system resilience and different types of events.

Suggested Citation

  • Yin, Jiateng & Ren, Xianliang & Liu, Ronghui & Tang, Tao & Su, Shuai, 2022. "Quantitative analysis for resilience-based urban rail systems: A hybrid knowledge-based and data-driven approach," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 219(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:219:y:2022:i:c:s0951832021006670
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2021.108183
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832021006670
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ress.2021.108183?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ahmadian, Navid & Lim, Gino J. & Cho, Jaeyoung & Bora, Selim, 2020. "A quantitative approach for assessment and improvement of network resilience," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).
    2. Labaka, Leire & Hernantes, Josune & Sarriegi, Jose M., 2015. "Resilience framework for critical infrastructures: An empirical study in a nuclear plant," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 92-105.
    3. Kammouh, Omar & Gardoni, Paolo & Cimellaro, Gian Paolo, 2020. "Probabilistic framework to evaluate the resilience of engineering systems using Bayesian and dynamic Bayesian networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
    4. Adjetey-Bahun, Kpotissan & Birregah, Babiga & Châtelet, Eric & Planchet, Jean-Luc, 2016. "A model to quantify the resilience of mass railway transportation systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 153(C), pages 1-14.
    5. Liu, Xing & Fang, Yi-Ping & Zio, Enrico, 2021. "A Hierarchical Resilience Enhancement Framework for Interdependent Critical Infrastructures," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    6. Nan Zhang & Hong Huang, 2018. "Resilience Analysis of Countries under Disasters Based on Multisource Data," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 38(1), pages 31-42, January.
    7. Jin, Jian Gang & Tang, Loon Ching & Sun, Lijun & Lee, Der-Horng, 2014. "Enhancing metro network resilience via localized integration with bus services," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 17-30.
    8. Ferrario, E. & Poulos, A. & Castro, S. & de la Llera, J.C. & Lorca, A., 2022. "Predictive capacity of topological measures in evaluating seismic risk and resilience of electric power networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    9. Hosseini, Seyedmohsen & Barker, Kash & Ramirez-Marquez, Jose E., 2016. "A review of definitions and measures of system resilience," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 47-61.
    10. Wu, Yangyang & Hou, Guangyang & Chen, Suren, 2021. "Post-earthquake resilience assessment and long-term restoration prioritization of transportation network," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 211(C).
    11. Hosseini, Seyedmohsen & Barker, Kash, 2016. "A Bayesian network model for resilience-based supplier selection," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 68-87.
    12. Tang, Junqing & Xu, Lei & Luo, Chunling & Ng, Tsan Sheng Adam, 2021. "Multi-disruption resilience assessment of rail transit systems with optimized commuter flows," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).
    13. Gama Dessavre, Dante & Ramirez-Marquez, Jose E. & Barker, Kash, 2016. "Multidimensional approach to complex system resilience analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 149(C), pages 34-43.
    14. Zhang, Yanping & Cai, Baoping & Liu, Yiliu & Jiang, Qiangqiang & Li, Wenchao & Feng, Qiang & Liu, Yonghong & Liu, Guijie, 2021. "Resilience assessment approach of mechanical structure combining finite element models and dynamic Bayesian networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    15. Himoto, Keisuke & Suzuki, Keichi, 2021. "Computational framework for assessing the fire resilience of buildings using the multi-layer zone model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    16. Henry, Devanandham & Emmanuel Ramirez-Marquez, Jose, 2012. "Generic metrics and quantitative approaches for system resilience as a function of time," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 114-122.
    17. Aven, Terje & Zio, Enrico, 2021. "Globalization and global risk: How risk analysis needs to be enhanced to be effective in confronting current threats," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
    18. Khaled, Abdullah A. & Jin, Mingzhou & Clarke, David B. & Hoque, Mohammad A., 2015. "Train design and routing optimization for evaluating criticality of freight railroad infrastructures," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 71-84.
    19. Yin, Jiateng & D’Ariano, Andrea & Wang, Yihui & Yang, Lixing & Tang, Tao, 2021. "Timetable coordination in a rail transit network with time-dependent passenger demand," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 295(1), pages 183-202.
    20. Faturechi, Reza & Miller-Hooks, Elise, 2014. "Travel time resilience of roadway networks under disaster," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 47-64.
    21. Sun, Li & D'Ayala, Dina & Fayjaloun, Rosemary & Gehl, Pierre, 2021. "Agent-based model on resilience-oriented rapid responses of road networks under seismic hazard," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    22. Iannacone, Leandro & Sharma, Neetesh & Tabandeh, Armin & Gardoni, Paolo, 2022. "Modeling Time-varying Reliability and Resilience of Deteriorating Infrastructure," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    23. Hossain, Niamat Ullah Ibne & Nur, Farjana & Hosseini, Seyedmohsen & Jaradat, Raed & Marufuzzaman, Mohammad & Puryear, Stephen M., 2019. "A Bayesian network based approach for modeling and assessing resilience: A case study of a full service deep water port," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 189(C), pages 378-396.
    24. Zinetullina, Altyngul & Yang, Ming & Khakzad, Nima & Golman, Boris & Li, Xinhong, 2021. "Quantitative resilience assessment of chemical process systems using functional resonance analysis method and Dynamic Bayesian network," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Liang, Xinrui & Fan, Shiqi & Lucy, John & Yang, Zaili, 2022. "Risk analysis of cargo theft from freight supply chains using a data-driven Bayesian network," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
    2. Bešinović, Nikola & Ferrari Nassar, Raphael & Szymula, Christopher, 2022. "Resilience assessment of railway networks: Combining infrastructure restoration and transport management," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).
    3. Wen, Tao & Gao, Qiuya & Chen, Yu-wang & Cheong, Kang Hao, 2022. "Exploring the vulnerability of transportation networks by entropy: A case study of Asia–Europe maritime transportation network," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
    4. Hao, Yucheng & Jia, Limin & Zio, Enrico & Wang, Yanhui & Small, Michael & Li, Man, 2023. "Improving resilience of high-speed train by optimizing repair strategies," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    5. Yangyang Meng & Xiaofei Zhao & Jianzhong Liu & Qingjie Qi, 2023. "Dynamic Influence Analysis of the Important Station Evolution on the Resilience of Complex Metro Network," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-15, June.
    6. Lu, Qing-Long & Sun, Wenzhe & Dai, Jiannan & Schmöcker, Jan-Dirk & Antoniou, Constantinos, 2024. "Traffic resilience quantification based on macroscopic fundamental diagrams and analysis using topological attributes," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 247(C).
    7. Gao, Dawei & Zhu, Yongsheng & Yan, Ke & Soares, C. Guedes, 2024. "Deep learning–based framework for regional risk assessment in a multi–ship encounter situation based on the transformer network," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    8. Yangyang Meng & Qingjie Qi & Jianzhong Liu & Wei Zhou, 2022. "Dynamic Evolution Analysis of Complex Topology and Node Importance in Shenzhen Metro Network from 2004 to 2021," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(12), pages 1-19, June.
    9. Chen, Tianyi & Wong, Yiik Diew & Shi, Xiupeng & Wang, Xueqin, 2022. "Optimized structure learning of Bayesian Network for investigating causation of vehicles’ on-road crashes," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).
    10. Knoester, Max J. & Bešinović, Nikola & Afghari, Amir Pooyan & Goverde, Rob M.P. & van Egmond, Jochen, 2024. "A data-driven approach for quantifying the resilience of railway networks," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 179(C).
    11. Wang, Xuekai & D’Ariano, Andrea & Su, Shuai & Tang, Tao, 2023. "Cooperative train control during the power supply shortage in metro system: A multi-agent reinforcement learning approach," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 170(C), pages 244-278.
    12. Hu, Jie & Wen, Weiping & Zhai, Changhai & Pei, Shunshun, 2024. "Post-earthquake functionality assessment for urban subway systems: Incorporating the combined effects of seismic performance of structural and non-structural systems and functional interdependencies," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    13. Liu, Enze & Barker, Kash & Chen, Hong, 2022. "A multi-modal evacuation-based response strategy for mitigating disruption in an intercity railway system," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 223(C).
    14. Sun, Hao & Yang, Ming & Wang, Haiqing, 2022. "A virtual experiment for measuring system resilience: A case of chemical process systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
    15. Wu, Zheng & Zhang, Yue & Dong, Ze, 2023. "Prediction of NOx emission concentration from coal-fired power plant based on joint knowledge and data driven," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 271(C).
    16. Maddah, Negin & Heydari, Babak, 2024. "Building back better: Modeling decentralized recovery in sociotechnical systems using strategic network dynamics," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 246(C).
    17. Wang, Nanxi & Yuen, Kum Fai, 2022. "Resilience assessment of waterway transportation systems: Combining system performance and recovery cost," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
    18. Zheng, Shuai & Liu, Yugang & Lin, Yexin & Wang, Qiang & Yang, Hongtai & Chen, Bin, 2022. "Bridging strategy for the disruption of metro considering the reliability of transportation system: Metro and conventional bus network," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
    19. Dong, Shangjia & Gao, Xinyu & Mostafavi, Ali & Gao, Jianxi & Gangwal, Utkarsh, 2023. "Characterizing resilience of flood-disrupted dynamic transportation network through the lens of link reliability and stability," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
    20. Liu, Aijun & Li, Zengxian & Shang, Wen-Long & Ochieng, Washington, 2023. "Performance evaluation model of transportation infrastructure: Perspective of COVID-19," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    21. Zhou, Zhengshu & Matsubara, Yutaka & Takada, Hiroaki, 2023. "Resilience analysis and design for mobility-as-a-service based on enterprise architecture modeling," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    22. Ramadhani, Adhitya & Khan, Faisal & Colbourne, Bruce & Ahmed, Salim & Taleb-Berrouane, Mohammed, 2022. "Resilience assessment of offshore structures subjected to ice load considering complex dependencies," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    23. Ma, Zhiao & Yang, Xin & Wu, Jianjun & Chen, Anthony & Wei, Yun & Gao, Ziyou, 2022. "Measuring the resilience of an urban rail transit network: A multi-dimensional evaluation model," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 38-50.
    24. Qingjie Qi & Yangyang Meng & Xiaofei Zhao & Jianzhong Liu, 2022. "Resilience Assessment of an Urban Metro Complex Network: A Case Study of the Zhengzhou Metro," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(18), pages 1-19, September.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Adel Mottahedi & Farhang Sereshki & Mohammad Ataei & Ali Nouri Qarahasanlou & Abbas Barabadi, 2021. "The Resilience of Critical Infrastructure Systems: A Systematic Literature Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-32, March.
    2. Geng, Sunyue & Liu, Sifeng & Fang, Zhigeng, 2022. "A demand-based framework for resilience assessment of multistate networks under disruptions," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    3. Wei, Yian & Cheng, Yao & Liao, Haitao, 2024. "Optimal resilience-based restoration of a system subject to recurrent dependent hazards," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 247(C).
    4. Trucco, Paolo & Petrenj, Boris, 2023. "Characterisation of resilience metrics in full-scale applications to interdependent infrastructure systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    5. Milan Janić, 2018. "Modelling the resilience of rail passenger transport networks affected by large-scale disruptive events: the case of HSR (high speed rail)," Transportation, Springer, vol. 45(4), pages 1101-1137, July.
    6. Pan, Xing & Dang, Yuheng & Wang, Huixiong & Hong, Dongpao & Li, Yuehong & Deng, Hongxu, 2022. "Resilience model and recovery strategy of transportation network based on travel OD-grid analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 223(C).
    7. Zhang, Li & Chen, Tingting & Liu, Zhongshan & Yu, Bin & Wang, Yunpeng, 2024. "Analysis of multi-modal public transportation system performance under metro disruptions: A dynamic resilience assessment framework," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
    8. Mottahedi, Adel & Sereshki, Farhang & Ataei, Mohammad & Qarahasanlou, Ali Nouri & Barabadi, Abbas, 2021. "Resilience estimation of critical infrastructure systems: Application of expert judgment," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    9. Hosseini, Seyedmohsen & Barker, Kash & Ramirez-Marquez, Jose E., 2016. "A review of definitions and measures of system resilience," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 47-61.
    10. Hossain, Niamat Ullah Ibne & Jaradat, Raed & Hosseini, Seyedmohsen & Marufuzzaman, Mohammad & Buchanan, Randy K., 2019. "A framework for modeling and assessing system resilience using a Bayesian network: A case study of an interdependent electrical infrastructure system," International Journal of Critical Infrastructure Protection, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 62-83.
    11. Wang, Nanxi & Yuen, Kum Fai, 2022. "Resilience assessment of waterway transportation systems: Combining system performance and recovery cost," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
    12. Wang, Zhaojing & Jia, Limin & Ma, Xiaoping & Sun, Xuehui & Tang, Qianxue & Qian, Sina, 2022. "Accessibility-oriented performance evaluation of high-speed railways using a three-layer network model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    13. Hu, Jinqiu & Khan, Faisal & Zhang, Laibin, 2021. "Dynamic resilience assessment of the Marine LNG offloading system," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
    14. Liu, Enze & Barker, Kash & Chen, Hong, 2022. "A multi-modal evacuation-based response strategy for mitigating disruption in an intercity railway system," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 223(C).
    15. Sun, Hao & Wang, Haiqing & Yang, Ming & Reniers, Genserik, 2022. "A STAMP-based approach to quantitative resilience assessment of chemical process systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    16. Hao, Yucheng & Jia, Limin & Zio, Enrico & Wang, Yanhui & Small, Michael & Li, Man, 2023. "Improving resilience of high-speed train by optimizing repair strategies," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    17. Yang, Bofan & Zhang, Lin & Zhang, Bo & Xiang, Yang & An, Lei & Wang, Wenfeng, 2022. "Complex equipment system resilience: Composition, measurement and element analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
    18. Wang, Hongping & Fang, Yi-Ping & Zio, Enrico, 2022. "Resilience-oriented optimal post-disruption reconfiguration for coupled traffic-power systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    19. Sun, Qin & Li, Hongxu & Wang, Yuzhi & Zhang, Yingchao, 2022. "Multi-swarm-based cooperative reconfiguration model for resilient unmanned weapon system-of-systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    20. Poulin, Craig & Kane, Michael B., 2021. "Infrastructure resilience curves: Performance measures and summary metrics," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:219:y:2022:i:c:s0951832021006670. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/reliability-engineering-and-system-safety .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.