Marked point process hotspot maps for homicide and gun crime prediction in Chicago
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DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2014.01.004
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- Mohler, G. O. & Short, M. B. & Brantingham, P. J. & Schoenberg, F. P. & Tita, G. E., 2011. "Self-Exciting Point Process Modeling of Crime," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 106(493), pages 100-108.
- Gorr, Wilpen L., 2009. "Forecast accuracy measures for exception reporting using receiver operating characteristic curves," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 25(1), pages 48-61.
- Veen, Alejandro & Schoenberg, Frederic P., 2008. "Estimation of SpaceTime Branching Process Models in Seismology Using an EMType Algorithm," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 103, pages 614-624, June.
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- Baichuan Yuan & Frederic P. Schoenberg & Andrea L. Bertozzi, 2021. "Fast estimation of multivariate spatiotemporal Hawkes processes and network reconstruction," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 73(6), pages 1127-1152, December.
- Rummens, Anneleen & Hardyns, Wim, 2021. "The effect of spatiotemporal resolution on predictive policing model performance," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 125-133.
- Mota, Caroline Maria de Miranda & Figueiredo, Ciro José Jardim de & Pereira, Débora Viana e Sousa, 2021. "Identifying areas vulnerable to homicide using multiple criteria analysis and spatial analysis," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
- Tomlinson, Matthew F. & Greenwood, David & Mucha-Kruczyński, Marcin, 2024. "2T-POT Hawkes model for left- and right-tail conditional quantile forecasts of financial log returns: Out-of-sample comparison of conditional EVT models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 324-347.
- Alex Reinhart & Joel Greenhouse, 2018. "Self‐exciting point processes with spatial covariates: modelling the dynamics of crime," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 67(5), pages 1305-1329, November.
- Seppo Virtanen & Mark Girolami, 2021. "Spatio‐temporal mixed membership models for criminal activity," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 184(4), pages 1220-1244, October.
- Racek, Daniel & Thurner, Paul & Kauermann, Goeran, 2024. "Integrating Spatio-temporal Diffusion into Statistical Forecasting Models of Armed Conflict via Non-parametric Smoothing," OSF Preprints q59dr, Center for Open Science.
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- Alsenafi, Abdulaziz & Barbaro, Alethea B.T., 2018. "A convection–diffusion model for gang territoriality," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 510(C), pages 765-786.
- Noriyoshi Sukegawa & Shohei Suzuki & Yoshiko Ikebe & Yoshito Hirata, 2024. "On Computing Medians of Marked Point Process Data Under Edit Distance," Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Springer, vol. 200(1), pages 178-193, January.
- Kieran Kalair & Colm Connaughton & Pierfrancesco Alaimo Di Loro, 2021. "A non‐parametric Hawkes process model of primary and secondary accidents on a UK smart motorway," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 70(1), pages 80-97, January.
- de Blasio, Guido & D'Ignazio, Alessio & Letta, Marco, 2022. "Gotham city. Predicting ‘corrupted’ municipalities with machine learning," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).
- Mohler, George & Carter, Jeremy & Raje, Rajeev, 2018. "Improving social harm indices with a modulated Hawkes process," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 431-439.
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Keywords
Marked point process; Expectation-maximization; Crime hotspot; Leading indicators;All these keywords.
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