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Live Hog And Pork Imports: Past And Projected Consequences For The U.S. Pork Sector

Author

Listed:
  • Brandt, Jon A.
  • Young, Robert E., II
  • Alam, Shamsul
  • Womack, Abner W.

Abstract

The U.S. pork sector is modeled to simulate the effects of alternative import levels on prices, production, consumption, farm receipts, and consumer expenditures. Over the 1983-1985 period, producers annually received $600 million less due to increasing imports than if imports had remained at the 1979-1982 average. Farm prices and slaughter were lower by $2.21 per hundredweight and .1 million head annually, respectively. Four simulations reflecting alternative import paths over the period 1986-1992 were examined. With lower imports (relative to current levels), production and farm prices rise significantly in the long run; consumers purchase less and pay more.

Suggested Citation

  • Brandt, Jon A. & Young, Robert E., II & Alam, Shamsul & Womack, Abner W., 1987. "Live Hog And Pork Imports: Past And Projected Consequences For The U.S. Pork Sector," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 19(2), pages 1-12, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:sojoae:30217
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.30217
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Salathe, Larry E. & Price, J. Michael & Gadson, Kenneth E., 1983. "The Food and Agricultural Policy Simulator: The Poultry- and Egg-Sector Submodel," Journal of Agricultural Economics Research, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service, vol. 35(1), pages 1-12, January.
    2. Yujiro Hayami, 1979. "Trade Benefits to All: A Design of the Beef Import Liberalization in Japan," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 61(2), pages 342-347.
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    Cited by:

    1. Koening, Steven R. & Oehmke, James F., 1989. "Exchange Rate Adjustment And The U.S.-Canadian Hog And Pork Trade," 1989 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 2, Baton Rouge, Louisiana 270508, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    2. Shagam, Shayle D., 1990. "The World Pork Market-Government Intervention and Multilateral Policy Reform," Staff Reports 278313, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    3. Bailey, Kenneth & Womack, Abner & Westhoff, Patrick & Adams, Gary, 1991. "Economic Incentives and the Political Evolution of Major Proposals for the 1990 Farm Bill," FAPRI Staff Reports 244294, Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI).

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