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Cyclicality and Sectoral Linkages: Aggregate Fluctuations from Independent Sectoral Shocks

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Julian di Giovanni & Andrei A. Levchenko & Isabelle Mejean, 2014. "Firms, Destinations, and Aggregate Fluctuations," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 82(4), pages 1303-1340, July.
  2. Julian di Giovanni & Andrei A. Levchenko, 2010. "Putting the Parts Together: Trade, Vertical Linkages, and Business Cycle Comovement," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 2(2), pages 95-124, April.
  3. Lux, Thomas & Marchesi, Michele, 2002. "Journal of economic behavior and organization: special issue on heterogeneous interacting agents in financial markets," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 49(2), pages 143-147, October.
  4. Andrew T. Foerster & Pierre-Daniel G. Sarte & Mark W. Watson, 2011. "Sectoral versus Aggregate Shocks: A Structural Factor Analysis of Industrial Production," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 119(1), pages 1-38.
  5. Christoph Görtz & John D. Tsoukalas, 2013. "Sector Specific News Shocks in Aggregate and Sectoral Fluctuations," CESifo Working Paper Series 4269, CESifo.
  6. repec:pra:mprapa:38985 is not listed on IDEAS
  7. Michael Weber & Ali Ozdagli, 2016. "Monetary Policy Through Production Networks: Evidence from the Stock Market," 2016 Meeting Papers 148, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  8. Molnárová, Zuzana & Reiter, Michael, 2022. "Technology, demand, and productivity: What an industry model tells us about business cycles," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
  9. Andrew Foerster & Andreas Hornstein & Pierre-Daniel G. Sarte & Mark W. Watson, 2019. "Aggregate Implications of Changing Sectoral Trends," Working Paper 19-11, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
  10. Wen-Qi Duan, 2012. "Modelling the Evolution of National Economies Based on Input–Output Networks," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 39(2), pages 145-155, February.
  11. David Rezza Baqaee & Emmanuel Farhi, 2019. "The Macroeconomic Impact of Microeconomic Shocks: Beyond Hulten's Theorem," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 87(4), pages 1155-1203, July.
  12. Thesmar , David & Landier , Augustin, 2014. "Instabilities in Large Economies: Aggregate Volatility Without Idiosyncratic Shocks," HEC Research Papers Series 1052, HEC Paris.
  13. repec:zbw:bofrdp:2015_025 is not listed on IDEAS
  14. Lorenzo Caliendo & Fernando Parro & Esteban Rossi-Hansberg & Pierre-Daniel Sarte, 2018. "The Impact of Regional and Sectoral Productivity Changes on the U.S. Economy," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 85(4), pages 2042-2096.
  15. Stella, Andrea, 2015. "Firm dynamics and the origins of aggregate fluctuations," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 71-88.
  16. Pesaran, M. Hashem & Yang, Cynthia Fan, 2020. "Econometric analysis of production networks with dominant units," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 219(2), pages 507-541.
  17. Dimas Mateus Fazio & Thiago Christiano Silva & Janis Skrastins, 2020. "Economic Resilience: spillovers, courts, and vertical integration," Working Papers Series 531, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
  18. Jesus Crespo Cuaresma & Tapas Mishra, 2011. "Human capital, age structure and growth fluctuations," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(28), pages 4311-4329.
  19. Moro, Alessio & Stucchi, Rodolfo, 2015. "Heterogeneous productivity shocks, elasticity of substitution and aggregate fluctuations," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 45-53.
  20. Jakob Grazzini & Domenico Massaro, 2021. "Dispersed information, social networks, and aggregate behavior," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 59(3), pages 1129-1148, July.
  21. Manoj Atolia & Ryan Chahrour, 2020. "Intersectoral Linkages, Diverse Information, and Aggregate Dynamics," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 36, pages 270-292, April.
  22. Charles I. Jones, 2011. "Intermediate Goods and Weak Links in the Theory of Economic Development," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 3(2), pages 1-28, April.
  23. Veldkamp, Laura & Wolfers, Justin, 2007. "Aggregate shocks or aggregate information? Costly information and business cycle comovement," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(Supplemen), pages 37-55, September.
  24. Vasco Carvalho, 2007. "Aggregate fluctuations and the network structure of intersectoral trade," Economics Working Papers 1206, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Oct 2010.
  25. Vasco M. Carvalho & Nico Voigtländer, 2014. "Input Diffusion and the Evolution of Production Networks," NBER Working Papers 20025, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  26. Xavier Gabaix, 2004. "Power laws and the origins of aggregate fluctuations," Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings 484, Econometric Society.
  27. Jakob Grazzini & Domenico Massaro, 2018. "Great Volatility and Great Moderation," CESifo Working Paper Series 7272, CESifo.
  28. Leonid Karasik & Danny Leung & Ben Tomlin, 2016. "Firm-Specific Shocks and Aggregate Fluctuations," Staff Working Papers 16-51, Bank of Canada.
  29. Charles I. Jones, 2008. "Intermediate Goods, Weak Links, and Superstars: A Theory of Economic Development," NBER Working Papers 13834, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  30. Pasten, Ernesto & Schoenle, Raphael & Weber, Michael, 2017. "Price rigidities and the granular origins of aggregate fluctuations," Working Paper Series 2102, European Central Bank.
  31. Görtz, Christoph & Tsoukalas, John, 2011. "News and financial intermediation in aggregate and sectoral fluctuations," MPRA Paper 38986, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Mar 2012.
  32. Camacho, Maximo & Leiva-Leon, Danilo, 2019. "The Propagation Of Industrial Business Cycles," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 23(1), pages 144-177, January.
  33. Daron Acemoglu & Asuman Ozdaglar & Alireza Tahbaz-Salehi, 2010. "Cascades in Networks and Aggregate Volatility," NBER Working Papers 16516, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  34. Andrew T. Foerster & Eric LaRose & Pierre-Daniel G. Sarte, 2018. "Idiosyncratic Sectoral Growth, Balanced Growth, and Sectoral Linkages," Economic Quarterly, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, issue 2Q, pages 79-101.
  35. Ivan Petrella & Raffaele Rossi & Emiliano Santoro, 2019. "Monetary Policy with Sectoral Trade‐Offs," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 121(1), pages 55-88, January.
  36. Jie Cai & Nan Li, 2019. "Growth Through Inter-sectoral Knowledge Linkages," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 86(5), pages 1827-1866.
  37. Christian vom Lehn & Thomas Winberry, 2022. "The Investment Network, Sectoral Comovement, and the Changing U.S. Business Cycle," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 137(1), pages 387-433.
  38. Isaiah Hull & Conny Olovsson & Karl Walentin & Andreas Westermark, 2022. "Manufacturing Decline and House Price Volatility," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 45, pages 264-281, July.
  39. Erik Frohm & Vanessa Gunnella, 2021. "Spillovers in global production networks," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(3), pages 663-680, August.
  40. Hans Gersbach & Jean-Charles Rochet, 2012. "Aggregate Investment Externalities and Macroprudential Regulation," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 44, pages 73-109, December.
  41. Vasco Carvalho & Xavier Gabaix, 2013. "The Great Diversification and Its Undoing," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 103(5), pages 1697-1727, August.
  42. Giorgio Fagiolo & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini, 2008. "Are output growth-rate distributions fat-tailed? some evidence from OECD countries," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(5), pages 639-669.
  43. Saki Bigio & Jennifer La’O, 2020. "Distortions in Production Networks," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 135(4), pages 2187-2253.
  44. Nguyen, Linh Xuan Diep & Mateut, Simona & Chevapatrakul, Thanaset, 2020. "Business-linkage volatility spillovers between US industries," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
  45. Anthonisen, Niels, 2016. "Microeconomic shocks and macroeconomic fluctuations in a dynamic network economy," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 47(PB), pages 233-254.
  46. Manoj Atolia & Ryan Chahrour, 2020. "Intersectoral Linkages, Diverse Information, and Aggregate Dynamics," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 36, pages 270-292, April.
  47. Ellen McGrattan, 2020. "Intangible Capital and Measured Productivity," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 37, pages 147-166, August.
  48. Simon Freyaldenhoven, 2017. "A Generalized Factor Model with Local Factors," 2017 Papers pfr361, Job Market Papers.
  49. Swanson Eric T, 2006. "The Relative Price and Relative Productivity Channels for Aggregate Fluctuations," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 6(1), pages 1-39, October.
  50. Gordon H. Hanson & Raymond J. Mataloni & Matthew J. Slaughter, 2005. "Vertical Production Networks in Multinational Firms," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 87(4), pages 664-678, November.
  51. Mandel, Antoine & Landini, Simone & Gallegati, Mauro & Gintis, Herbert, 2015. "Price dynamics, financial fragility and aggregate volatility," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 257-277.
  52. Nao Sudo, 2012. "Sectoral Comovement, Monetary Policy Shocks, and Input–Output Structure," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 44(6), pages 1225-1244, September.
  53. Jackie M. L. Chan & Han (Steffan) Qi, 2025. "Mergers, Firm Size, and Volatility in a Granular Economy," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 55, January.
  54. Holly, Sean & Hashem Pesaran, M. & Yamagata, Takashi, 2011. "The spatial and temporal diffusion of house prices in the UK," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(1), pages 2-23, January.
  55. Khan, Aubhik, 2019. "Comment on Long and Plosser meet Bewley and Lucas," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 93-95.
  56. Saki Bigio, 2013. "Financial Frictions in Production Networks," 2013 Meeting Papers 121, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  57. Michele Boldrin & Carlos Garriga & Adrian Peralta-Alva & Juan M. Sanchez, 2020. "Reconstructing the Great Recession," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 102(3), pages 271-311, July.
  58. Petre Caraiani, 2023. "Monetary Policy Shocks and Input–Output Characteristics of Production Networks," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-13, March.
  59. Stefano Costa & Federico Sallusti & Claudio Vicarelli, 2022. "Trade networks and shock transmission capacity: a new taxonomy of Italian industries," Economia e Politica Industriale: Journal of Industrial and Business Economics, Springer;Associazione Amici di Economia e Politica Industriale, vol. 49(1), pages 133-153, March.
  60. Beck, Krzysztof, 2021. "Why business cycles diverge? Structural evidence from the European Union," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
  61. Kenan Huremovic & Fernando Vega-Redondo, 2016. "Production Networks," AMSE Working Papers 1633, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France.
  62. Petrella, Ivan & Santoro, Emiliano, 2011. "Input–output interactions and optimal monetary policy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 35(11), pages 1817-1830.
  63. Mishra, Tapas & Jumah, Adusei & Parhi, Mamata, 2008. "Age-structured Human Capital and Spatial Total Factor Productivity Dynamics," Economics Series 226, Institute for Advanced Studies.
  64. Elena Andreou & Patrick Gagliardini & Eric Ghysels & Mirco Rubin, 2016. "Is Industrial Production Still the Dominant Factor for the US Economy?," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 16-11, Swiss Finance Institute.
  65. Phelan, Christopher & Trejos, Alberto, 2000. "The aggregate effects of sectoral reallocations," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 45(2), pages 249-268, April.
  66. Harald Fadinger & Christian Ghiglino & Mariya Teteryatnikova, 2015. "Productivity, Networks and Input-Output Structure," 2015 Meeting Papers 624, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  67. Dongyeol Lee, 2019. "Transmission of Domestic and External Shocks through Input-Output Network: Evidence from Korean Industries," IMF Working Papers 2019/117, International Monetary Fund.
  68. Xavier Gabaix, 2011. "The Granular Origins of Aggregate Fluctuations," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 79(3), pages 733-772, May.
  69. Ignez M. Tristao, 2007. "Occupational Employment Risk and its Consequences for Unemployment Duration and Wages: Working Paper 2007-01," Working Papers 18287, Congressional Budget Office.
  70. Addessi William & Busato Francesco, 2010. "Relative-Preference Shifts and the Business Cycle," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 10(1), pages 1-29, December.
  71. Luis Pedauga & Francisco Sáez & Blanca L. Delgado-Márquez, 2022. "Macroeconomic lockdown and SMEs: the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic in Spain," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 58(2), pages 665-688, February.
  72. Lorenzo Burlon, 2015. "Ownership networks and aggregate volatility," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1004, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
  73. Jonathan A. Schwabish, 2005. "Estimating Employment Spillover Effects In New York City with an Application to The Stock Transfer Tax," Public Finance Review, , vol. 33(6), pages 663-689, November.
  74. Joya, Omar & Rougier, Eric, 2019. "Do (all) sectoral shocks lead to aggregate volatility? Empirics from a production network perspective," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 77-107.
  75. Song, Hengxu & Yang, Zhongchao & Zhou, Yue, 2023. "Upstream subsidy or downstream subsidy? A quantitative analysis of credit subsidy in China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
  76. Yaniv Yedid-Levi, 2016. "Why does employment in all major sectors move together over the business cycle?," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 22, pages 131-156, October.
  77. Jakob Grazzini & Domenico Massaro, 2016. "Dispersed Information and the Origins of Aggregate Fluctuations," CESifo Working Paper Series 5957, CESifo.
  78. Molnarova, Zuzana & Molnárová, Zuzana & Reiter, Michael, 2016. "Business Cycles and the Propagation of Shocks in the Input-Output Network," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145804, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
  79. Roson, Roberto & Sartori, Martina, 2014. "Why can sectoral shocks lead to sizable macroeconomic fluctuations? Assessing alternative theories by means of stochastic simulation with a general equilibrium model," Conference papers 332434, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
  80. Fidrmuc, Jarko & Scharler, Johann, 2014. "What Determines Borrowing Costs at the Firm-Level: Firm-Specific and Aggregate Information," VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy 100322, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
  81. Hsuan-Li Su, 2024. "Financial Frictions, Capital Misallocation, and Input-Output Linkages," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 16(2), pages 62-94, April.
  82. Kumar, Ashish & Chakrabarti, Anindya S. & Chakraborti, Anirban & Nandi, Tushar, 2021. "Distress propagation on production networks: Coarse-graining and modularity of linkages," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 568(C).
  83. Daron Acemoglu & Ufuk Akcigit & William Kerr, 2016. "Networks and the Macroeconomy: An Empirical Exploration," NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press, vol. 30(1), pages 273-335.
  84. Pedro P Romero & Ricardo López & Carlos Jiménez, 2018. "Sectoral networks and macroeconomic tail risks in an emerging economy," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(1), pages 1-17, January.
  85. Emmanuel Dhyne & Ayumu Ken Kikkawa & Glenn Magerman, 2022. "Imperfect Competition in Firm-to-Firm Trade," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 20(5), pages 1933-1970.
  86. Silva, Alvaro & Caraiani, Petre & Miranda-Pinto, Jorge & Olaya-Agudelo, Juan, 2024. "Commodity prices and production networks in small open economies," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
  87. Verikios, George, 2017. "The Importance of Periodicity in Modelling Infectious Disease Outbreaks," Conference papers 332907, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
  88. Susanne M. Schennach, 2018. "Long Memory via Networking," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 86(6), pages 2221-2248, November.
  89. Gustavo González, 2022. "Commodity price shocks, factor utilization, and productivity dynamics," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 939, Central Bank of Chile.
  90. Dong, Feng & Wen, Yi, 2019. "Long and Plosser meet Bewley and Lucas," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 70-92.
  91. Can Tian, 2014. "Forecast Shocks in Production Networks," 2014 Meeting Papers 87, Society for Economic Dynamics.
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  93. Lorenzo Burlon, 2012. "How Do Aggregate Fluctuations Depend on the Network Structure of the Economy?," Working Papers in Economics 278, Universitat de Barcelona. Espai de Recerca en Economia.
  94. Hector Tzavellas, 2023. "A Multilayer View Of Systemic Importance And Aggregate Fluctuations," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 64(3), pages 1023-1046, August.
  95. Glenn Magerman & Karolien De Bruyne & Emmanuel Dhyne & Jan Van Hove, 2016. "Heterogeneous firms and the micro origins of aggregate fluctuations," Working Paper Research 312, National Bank of Belgium.
  96. Gunnella, Vanessa & Al-Haschimi, Alexander & Benkovskis, Konstantins & Chiacchio, Francesco & de Soyres, François & Di Lupidio, Benedetta & Fidora, Michael & Franco-Bedoya, Sebastian & Frohm, Erik & G, 2019. "The impact of global value chains on the euro area economy," Occasional Paper Series 221, European Central Bank.
  97. Billio, Monica & Caporin, Massimiliano & Panzica, Roberto & Pelizzon, Loriana, 2023. "The impact of network connectivity on factor exposures, asset pricing, and portfolio diversification," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 196-223.
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  102. Ko, Jun-Hyung & Kwon, Hyeog Ug, 2015. "Do technology shocks lower hours worked? – Evidence from Japanese industry level data," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 138-157.
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  106. Li, Nan & Martin, Vance L., 2019. "Real sectoral spillovers: A dynamic factor analysis of the great recession," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 77-95.
  107. Freyaldenhoven, Simon, 2022. "Factor models with local factors — Determining the number of relevant factors," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 229(1), pages 80-102.
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  110. Alvaro Silva & Petre Caraiani & Jorge Miranda-Pinto & Juan Olaya-Agudelo, 2023. "Commodity Price Shocks and Production Networks in Small Open Economies," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 977, Central Bank of Chile.
  111. Joshua Linn, 2009. "Why Do Energy Prices Matter? The Role Of Interindustry Linkages In U.S. Manufacturing," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 47(3), pages 549-567, July.
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  123. Daron Acemoglu & Asuman Ozdaglar & Alireza Tahbaz-Salehi, 2017. "Microeconomic Origins of Macroeconomic Tail Risks," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 107(1), pages 54-108, January.
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  135. Tian, Can, 2021. "Input-output linkages in Pigouvian industrial fluctuations," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 1078-1095.
  136. Kristina Barauskaite & Anh Dinh Minh Nguyen, 2021. "Direct and network effects of idiosyncratic TFP shocks," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(6), pages 2765-2793, June.
  137. Pasten, Ernesto & Schoenle, Raphael & Weber, Michael, 2017. "Price rigidities and the granular origins of aggregate fluctuations," Working Paper Series 2102, European Central Bank.
  138. Fatica, Serena, 2018. "Business capital accumulation and the user cost: Is there a heterogeneity bias?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 15-34.
  139. Leonidov, Andrey & Serebryannikova, Ekaterina, 2019. "Dynamical topology of highly aggregated input–output networks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 518(C), pages 234-252.
  140. Pierre‐Daniel Sarte, 2014. "When Is Sticky Information More Information?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 46(7), pages 1345-1379, October.
  141. Fratantoni, Michael & Schuh, Scott, 2003. "Monetary Policy, Housing, and Heterogeneous Regional Markets," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 35(4), pages 557-589, August.
  142. Jae Won Lee & Seunghyeon Lee, 2025. "Monetary Non-Neutrality in a Multisector Economy: The Role of Risk-Sharing," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 55, January.
  143. Yuzuka Kashiwagi & Yasuyuki Todo & Petr Matous, 2021. "Propagation of economic shocks through global supply chains—Evidence from Hurricane Sandy," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(5), pages 1186-1220, November.
  144. Sean Holly & Ivan Petrella, 2008. "Factor demand linkages and the business cycle: interpreting aggregate fluctuations as sectoral fluctuations," CDMA Conference Paper Series 0809, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis.
  145. repec:zbw:bofrdp:urn:nbn:fi:bof-201512101464 is not listed on IDEAS
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