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Transmission of Domestic and External Shocks through Input-Output Network: Evidence from Korean Industries

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  • Dongyeol Lee

Abstract

In the last two decades, manufacturing industries in Korea have become more concentrated, and interconnectedness across industries and to foreign countries has risen via vertical relationships and trade linkages. This paper investigates the transmission of economic shocks in such a highly concentrated and interconnected structure, focusing on the role of vertical and trade linkages and using the industry-level international input-output data. The results suggest that, first, the role of vertical and trade linkages in propagating growth shocks from both domestic sources and external sources is important. Second, the growth impact of a few key sources of economic shocks is relatively large. These findings highlight that economic shocks in a few key industries and/or major trading partners that are transmitted through vertical and trade linkages can lead to large swings in the overall economy. This paper contributes to the understanding of the potential interactions between the industrial structure and economic growth and stability.

Suggested Citation

  • Dongyeol Lee, 2019. "Transmission of Domestic and External Shocks through Input-Output Network: Evidence from Korean Industries," IMF Working Papers 2019/117, International Monetary Fund.
  • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2019/117
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Simola, Heli, 2019. "Evaluating international impacts of China-specific shocks in an input-output framework," BOFIT Discussion Papers 17/2019, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    3. Ibrahim Alnafrah & Sulaiman Mouselli, 2024. "Testing the External Shock Narrative of the Conflict on Transition Towards Knowledge Economy in Syria," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(1), pages 958-991, March.
    4. Eduardo Rodrigues Sanguinet & Francisco de Borja García-García, 2023. "Rural-Urban Linkages: Regional Financial Business Services’ Integration into Chilean Agri-Food Value Chains," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-22, July.
    5. Rudi Purwono & Unggul Heriqbaldi & Miguel Angel Esquivias & M. Khoerul Mubin, 2022. "The American–China Trade War and Spillover Effects on Value-Added Exports from Indonesia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-22, March.
    6. Dongyeol Lee, 2019. "Trade Linkages and International Business Cycle Comovement: Evidence from Korean Industry Data," IMF Working Papers 2019/116, International Monetary Fund.
    7. Mirza Aqeel Baig & Shahida Wizarat & Javed Iqbal, 2020. "How Pakistani Industries Respond to Local and World Business Cycles," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 10(12), pages 1480-1495, December.
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    9. Ignatia Martha Hendrati & Unggul Heriqbaldi & Miguel Angel Esquivias & Bekti Setyorani & Ari Dwi Jayanti, 2023. "Propagation of Economic Shocks from the United States, China, the European Union, and Japan to Selected Asian Economies: Does the Global Value Chain Matters?," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(1), pages 91-102, January.
    10. Eduardo Rodrigues Sanguinet & Augusto Mussi Alvim & Miguel Atienza & Adelar Fochezatto, 2021. "The subnational supply chain and the COVID‐19 pandemic: Short‐term impacts on the Brazilian regional economy," Regional Science Policy & Practice, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 13(S1), pages 158-186, November.
    11. Simola, Heli, 2019. "Evaluating international impacts of China-specific shocks in an input-output framework," BOFIT Discussion Papers 17/2019, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition.

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