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Credit Risk Drivers: Evaluating the Contribution of Firm Level Information and of Macroeconomic Dynamics

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Cited by:

  1. Antunes, António & Bonfim, Diana & Monteiro, Nuno & Rodrigues, Paulo M.M., 2018. "Forecasting banking crises with dynamic panel probit models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(2), pages 249-275.
  2. Sunghwa Park & Hyunsok Kim & Janghan Kwon & Taeil Kim, 2021. "Empirics of Korean Shipping Companies’ Default Predictions," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(9), pages 1-17, September.
  3. Alexandridis, George & Kavussanos, Manolis G. & Kim, Chi Y. & Tsouknidis, Dimitris A. & Visvikis, Ilias D., 2018. "A survey of shipping finance research: Setting the future research agenda," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 164-212.
  4. Arjan Tushaj & Valentina Sinaj, 2020. "Does Banking Concentration Affect Non-Performing Loans in Albania?," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(Special 1), pages 1074-1083.
  5. Zhou, Fanyin & Fu, Lijun & Li, Zhiyong & Xu, Jiawei, 2022. "The recurrence of financial distress: A survival analysis," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 1100-1115.
  6. Yang Liu & BRUCE MORLEY, 2013. "Sovereign Credit Ratings, The Macroeconomy And Credit Default Swap Spreads," Brussels Economic Review, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles, vol. 56(3-4), pages 335-348.
  7. Belaid, Faiçal & Boussaada, Rim & Belguith, Houda, 2017. "Bank-firm relationship and credit risk: An analysis on Tunisian firms," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 532-543.
  8. Grigori Fainstein & Igor Novikov, 2011. "The Comparative Analysis of Credit Risk Determinants In the Banking Sector of the Baltic States," Review of Economics & Finance, Better Advances Press, Canada, vol. 1, pages 20-45, June.
  9. Gila-Gourgoura, E. & Nikolaidou, E., 2017. "Credit Risk Determinants in the Vulnerable Economies of Europe: Evidence from the Spanish Banking System," International Journal of Business and Economic Sciences Applied Research (IJBESAR), Democritus University of Thrace (DUTH), Kavala Campus, Greece, vol. 10(1), pages 60-71, March.
  10. Faridah Najuna Misman & M. Ishaq Bhatti, 2020. "The Determinants of Credit Risk: An Evidence from ASEAN and GCC Islamic Banks," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-22, May.
  11. João M. Sousa & Ricardo M. Sousa, 2019. "Asset Returns Under Model Uncertainty: Evidence from the Euro Area, the US and the UK," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 54(1), pages 139-176, June.
  12. Ángela González Arbeláez, 2010. "Determinantes del riesgo del crédito comercial en Colombia," Vniversitas Económica, Universidad Javeriana - Bogotá, vol. 0(0), pages 1-69, February.
  13. Ferrer, Alex & Casals, José & Sotoca, Sonia, 2015. "Sample dependency during unconditional credit capital estimation," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 15(C), pages 175-186.
  14. Francisco González & José E. Gutiérrez & José María Serena, 2024. "Shadow seniority? Lending relationships and borrowers’ selective default," Working Papers 2420, Banco de España.
  15. Bruche, Max & González-Aguado, Carlos, 2010. "Recovery rates, default probabilities, and the credit cycle," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(4), pages 754-764, April.
  16. Rosen, Dan & Saunders, David, 2010. "Risk factor contributions in portfolio credit risk models," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(2), pages 336-349, February.
  17. Francisco Augusto & Márcio Mateus, 2021. "Portuguese firms’ financial vulnerability and excess debt in the context of the COVID-19 shock," Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
  18. Nicola Branzoli & Antonella Caiumi, 2020. "How effective is an incremental ACE in addressing the debt bias? Evidence from corporate tax returns," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 27(6), pages 1485-1519, December.
  19. David Martinez-Miera & Rafael Repullo, 2019. "Monetary Policy, Macroprudential Policy, and Financial Stability," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 11(1), pages 809-832, August.
  20. Ferrer, Alex & Casals, José & Sotoca, Sonia, 2015. "Capital cyclicality, conditional coverage and long-term capital assessment," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 15(C), pages 246-256.
  21. Antonio Trujillo-Ponce & Reyes Samaniego-Medina & Clara Cardone-Riportella, 2014. "Examining what best explains corporate credit risk: accounting-based versus market-based models," Journal of Business Economics and Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(2), pages 253-276, April.
  22. Martin Macháček & Aleš Melecký & Monika Šulganová, 2018. "Macroeconomic Drivers of Non-Performing Loans: A Meta-Regression Analysis," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2018(3), pages 351-374.
  23. Maria H. Kim & Graham Partington, 2015. "Dynamic forecasts of financial distress of Australian firms," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 40(1), pages 135-160, February.
  24. Muhammad Waqas & Nudrat Fatima & Aryan Khan & Muhammad Arif, 2017. "Determinants of Non-performing Loans: A Comparative Study of Pakistan, India, and Bangladesh," International Journal of Finance & Banking Studies, Center for the Strategic Studies in Business and Finance, vol. 6(1), pages 51-68, January.
  25. Thomas Baldauf & Patrick Jochem, 2024. "Project finance or corporate finance for renewable energy? an agent-based insight," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 19(4), pages 759-805, October.
  26. Guillaume Belly & Lukas Boeckelmann & Carlos Mateo Caicedo Graciano & Alberto Di Iorio & Klodiana Istrefi & Vasileios Siakoulis & Arthur Stalla‐Bourdillon, 2023. "Forecasting sovereign risk in the Euro area via machine learning," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(3), pages 657-684, April.
  27. Nijskens, Rob & Mokas, Dimitris, 2019. "Credit Risk in Commercial Real Estate Bank Loans : The Role of Idiosyncratic versus Macro-Economic Factors," Other publications TiSEM ea4f2f0e-dc50-4987-91d3-6, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
  28. Chien-Min Kang & Ming-Chieh Wang & Lin Lin, 2022. "Financial Distress Prediction of Cooperative Financial Institutions—Evidence for Taiwan Credit Unions," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-25, April.
  29. Chen, Tsung-Kang & Liao, Hsien-Hsing & Kuo, Hui-Ju, 2013. "Internal liquidity risk, financial bullwhip effects, and corporate bond yield spreads: Supply chain perspectives," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(7), pages 2434-2456.
  30. Patrycja Chodnicka-Jaworska, 2018. "Banks credit ratings – is the size of the credit rating agency important?," Faculty of Management Working Paper Series 32018, University of Warsaw, Faculty of Management.
  31. Castro, Vítor, 2013. "Macroeconomic determinants of the credit risk in the banking system: The case of the GIPSI," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 672-683.
  32. Cole, Rebel A. & Wu, Qiongbing, 2009. "Is hazard or probit more accurate in predicting financial distress? Evidence from U.S. bank failures," MPRA Paper 24688, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 01 Aug 2010.
  33. George Chalamandaris & Nikos E. Vlachogiannakis, 2018. "Are financial ratios relevant for trading credit risk? Evidence from the CDS market," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 266(1), pages 395-440, July.
  34. Natalia Nehrebecka & Michał Brzozowski, 2016. "Wpływ niepewności makroekonomicznej na oszczędności przedsiębiorstw," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 5, pages 51-69.
  35. Stefan Kerbl & Michael Sigmund, 2011. "What Drives Aggregate Credit Risk?," Financial Stability Report, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 22, pages 72-87.
  36. CLICHICI, Dorina & COLESNICOVA, Tatiana, 2014. "The Impact Of Macroeconomic Factors On Non-Performing Loans In The Republic Of Moldova," Journal of Financial and Monetary Economics, Centre of Financial and Monetary Research "Victor Slavescu", vol. 1(1), pages 73-78.
  37. Jean-Charles Bricongne & Mathilde Dufouleur, 2024. "Impact of Insolvency Regimes on NPLs: Two Birds in the Bush is Worth One in the Hand," Working papers 953, Banque de France.
  38. Tochukwu Timothy Okoli, 2020. "Is the Relationship between Financial Technology and Credit Risk Monotonic? Evidence from the BRICS Economies," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 10(9), pages 999-1011, September.
  39. Foos, Daniel & Norden, Lars & Weber, Martin, 2010. "Loan growth and riskiness of banks," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(12), pages 2929-2940, December.
  40. Tang, Dragon Yongjun & Yan, Hong, 2010. "Market conditions, default risk and credit spreads," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(4), pages 743-753, April.
  41. Carla Soares & Diana Bonfim, 2013. "Is there a risk-taking channel of monetary policy in Portugal?," Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
  42. Hadad, Muliaman D. & Agusman, Agusman & Monroe, Gary S. & Gasbarro, Dominic & Zumwalt, James Kenton, 2011. "Market discipline, financial crisis and regulatory changes: Evidence from Indonesian banks," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(6), pages 1552-1562, June.
  43. Marco Lo Duca & Diego Moccero & Fabio Parlapiano, 2024. "The impact of macroeconomic and monetary policy shocks on the default risk of the euro-area corporate sector," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1460, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
  44. Mitroussi, K. & Abouarghoub, W. & Haider, J.J. & Pettit, S.J. & Tigka, N., 2016. "Performance drivers of shipping loans: An empirical investigation," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 171(P3), pages 438-452.
  45. Mehmet Selman Colak & Yavuz Kilic & Huseyin Ozturk & Mehmet Emre Samci, 2024. "An Application to Model Uncertainty in Modelling Non-Performing Loans," CBT Research Notes in Economics 2404, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  46. Carlos González-Aguado & Enrique Moral-Benito, 2013. "Determinants of corporate default: a BMA approach," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(6), pages 511-514, April.
  47. Li, Zhiyong & Crook, Jonathan & Andreeva, Galina & Tang, Ying, 2021. "Predicting the risk of financial distress using corporate governance measures," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
  48. Kovacs Ildiko & Karsai Zoltan-Krisztian & Suveg Orsolya & Joita Nicoleta, 2011. "The Relationship Between Macroeconomic Variables And Romanian Corporate Default Rates Between 2002-2008," Annals of Faculty of Economics, University of Oradea, Faculty of Economics, vol. 1(1), pages 206-213, July.
  49. Filipe, Sara Ferreira & Grammatikos, Theoharry & Michala, Dimitra, 2016. "Forecasting distress in European SME portfolios," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 112-135.
  50. Bruneau, C. & de Bandt, O. & El Amri, W., 2012. "Macroeconomic fluctuations and corporate financial fragility," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 8(4), pages 219-235.
  51. Jaqueline Terra Moura Marins & Myrian Beatriz Eiras das Neves, 2013. "Inadimplência de Crédito e Ciclo Econômico: um exame da relação no mercado brasileiro de crédito corporativo," Working Papers Series 304, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
  52. Yaseen Ghulam & Kamini Dhruva & Sana Naseem & Sophie Hill, 2018. "The Interaction of Borrower and Loan Characteristics in Predicting Risks of Subprime Automobile Loans," Risks, MDPI, vol. 6(3), pages 1-21, September.
  53. Abuzayed, Bana & Ben Ammar, Mouldi & Molyneux, Philip & Al-Fayoumi, Nedal, 2024. "Corruption, lending and bank performance," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 802-830.
  54. Luciana Barbosa & Paulo Soares de Pinho, 2017. "Operational cycle and tax liabilities as determinants of corporate credit risk," Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
  55. Ellen Tobback & David Martens & Tony Van Gestel & Bart Baesens, 2014. "Forecasting Loss Given Default models: impact of account characteristics and the macroeconomic state," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 65(3), pages 376-392, March.
  56. Grigori Fainstein & Igor Novikov, 2011. "The role of macroeconomic determinants in credit risk measurement in transition country: Estonian example," International Journal of Transitions and Innovation Systems, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 1(2), pages 117-137.
  57. Tsung-Kang Chen & Hsien-Hsing Liao & Hsiao-Chun Huang, 2014. "Macroeconomic risks of supply chain counterparties and corporate bond yield spreads," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 43(3), pages 463-481, October.
  58. Hung, Chih-Hsing & Chen, Ming-Chi & Lin, Wen-Yuan, 2014. "The relationship with REITs and bank loans: Capital structure perspectives," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 11(2), pages 140-152.
  59. Ferrer, Alex & Casals, José & Sotoca, Sonia, 2016. "Efficient estimation of unconditional capital by Monte Carlo simulation," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 16(C), pages 75-84.
  60. Forte, Santiago & Peña, Juan Ignacio, 2009. "Credit spreads: An empirical analysis on the informational content of stocks, bonds, and CDS," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(11), pages 2013-2025, November.
  61. Javier Gutiérrez Rueda, 2010. "Un análisis de riesgo de crédito de las empresas del sector real y sus determinantes," Vniversitas Económica 8291, Universidad Javeriana - Bogotá.
  62. Emilia Bonaccorsi di Patti & Alessio D’Ignazio & Marco Gallo & Giacinto Micucci, 2015. "The Role of Leverage in Firm Solvency: Evidence From Bank Loans," Italian Economic Journal: A Continuation of Rivista Italiana degli Economisti and Giornale degli Economisti, Springer;Società Italiana degli Economisti (Italian Economic Association), vol. 1(2), pages 253-286, July.
  63. Daniel Law & Mr. Shaun K. Roache, 2015. "Assessing Default Risks for Chinese Firms: A Lost Cause?," IMF Working Papers 2015/140, International Monetary Fund.
  64. Jane Haider & Zhirong Ou & Stephen Pettit, 2019. "Predicting corporate failure for listed shipping companies," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 21(3), pages 415-438, September.
  65. Andresa Lopes & Vítor Oliveira & Ângelo Ramos & Fátima Silva, 2021. "Has the Crisis Introduced a New Paradigm in Banks' Credit Allocation? The Non‐financial Corporations' Perspective," Financial Markets, Institutions & Instruments, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 30(2), pages 31-62, May.
  66. Fatima Zohra Marouf & Zeyneb Guellil, 2017. "The Macroeconomic Determinants of Credit Risk: The Algerian Banking System," MIC 2017: Managing the Global Economy; Proceedings of the Joint International Conference, Monastier di Treviso, Italy, 24–27 May 2017,, University of Primorska Press.
  67. Barry, Christopher B. & Mann, Steven C. & Mihov, Vassil & Rodríguez, Mauricio, 2009. "Interest rate changes and the timing of debt issues," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 600-608, April.
  68. Papanikolaou, Nikolaos I., 2018. "To be bailed out or to be left to fail? A dynamic competing risks hazard analysis," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 61-85.
  69. Jang, Bong-Gyu & Rhee, Yuna & Yoon, Ji Hee, 2016. "Business cycle and credit risk modeling with jump risks," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(PA), pages 15-36.
  70. Abu, Benjamin Musah & Domanban, Paul Bata & Haruna, Issahaku, 2017. "Microcredit Loan Repayment Default among Small Scale Enterprises: A Double Hurdle Approach," MPRA Paper 101576, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 12 Mar 2017.
  71. Petros Golitsis & Athanasios P. Fassas & Anna Lyutakova, 2019. "Credit Risk Determinants: Evidence from the Bulgarian Banking System," Bulletin of Applied Economics, Risk Market Journals, vol. 6(1), pages 41-64.
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  73. Qiongbing Wu & Rebel A. Cole, 2024. "Macroeconomic conditions and bank failure," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(5), pages 1212-1234, August.
  74. Malovaná, Simona & Kolcunová, Dominika & Brož, Václav, 2019. "Does monetary policy influence banks’ risk weights under the internal ratings-based approach?," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 43(2), pages 1-1.
  75. Péter Bauer & Marianna Endrész, 2016. "Modelling Bankruptcy Using Hungarian Firm-Level Data," MNB Occasional Papers 2016/122, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary).
  76. Simona Malovana & Dominika Kolcunova & Vaclav Broz, 2018. "The effect of accommodative monetary policy on the risk weights applied by domestic banks," Occasional Publications - Chapters in Edited Volumes, in: CNB Financial Stability Report 2017/2018, chapter 0, pages 136-147, Czech National Bank.
  77. Matias Costa Navajas & Aaron Thegeya, 2013. "Financial Soundness Indicators and Banking Crises," IMF Working Papers 2013/263, International Monetary Fund.
  78. Martina Pilloni & József Kádár & Tareq Abu Hamed, 2022. "The Impact of COVID-19 on Energy Start-Up Companies: The Use of Global Financial Crisis (GFC) as a Lesson for Future Recovery," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(10), pages 1-15, May.
  79. Gulati, Rachita & Goswami, Anju & Kumar, Sunil, 2019. "What drives credit risk in the Indian banking industry? An empirical investigation," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 43(1), pages 42-62.
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  81. Sudarso Kaderi Wiryono & Kharisya Ayu Effendi, 2018. "Islamic Bank Credit Risk: Macroeconomic and Bank Specific Factors," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(3), pages 53-62.
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  122. Simon Firestone & Marcelo Rezende, 2013. "Are Banks' Internal Risk Parameters Consistent? Evidence from Syndicated Loans," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2013-84, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
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