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Determinants of corporate default: a BMA approach

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  • Carlos González-Aguado
  • Enrique Moral-Benito

Abstract

In this article, we aim to identify the main determinants of corporate default by considering Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) techniques. Our empirical findings suggest that the most robust determinants of firm default are firm-specific variables such as the ratio of working capital to total assets and the SD of the firm stock return. In contrast, aggregate variables do not seem to play a relevant role once firm-specific characteristics (observable and unobservable) and model uncertainty are taken into consideration.

Suggested Citation

  • Carlos González-Aguado & Enrique Moral-Benito, 2013. "Determinants of corporate default: a BMA approach," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(6), pages 511-514, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:6:p:511-514
    DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.718051
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    Cited by:

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    2. Joseph, Andreas & Osbat, Chiara, 2016. "How you export matters: the disassortative structure of international trade," Working Paper Series 1958, European Central Bank.
    3. Wang, Shengquan & Chen, Langnan, 2019. "Driving factors of equity bubbles," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 304-317.
    4. Bulusu, Narayan & Guérin, Pierre, 2019. "What drives interbank loans? Evidence from Canada," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 427-444.
    5. Tan Khee Giap & Sasidaran Gopalan & Nursyahida Ahmad, 2018. "Growth Slowdown Analysis for Indonesia’s Subnational Economies: An Empirical Investigation," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 21(03), pages 1-36, September.
    6. Karol Szafranek & Marek Kwas & Grzegorz Szafrański & Zuzanna Wośko, 2020. "Common Determinants of Credit Default Swap Premia in the North American Oil and Gas Industry. A Panel BMA Approach," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(23), pages 1-23, November.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • G33 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Bankruptcy; Liquidation
    • C1 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General

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