My bibliography
Save this item
Does uncertainty reduce growth? Using disasters as natural experiments
Citations
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
Cited by:
- Hashem Pesaran & Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi & Alessandro Rebucci, 2014.
"Uncertainty and Economic Activity: A Global Perspective,"
Cambridge Working Papers in Economics
1407, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi & M. Hashem Pesaran & Alessandro Rebucci, 2014. "Uncertainty and Economic Activity: A Global Perspective," CESifo Working Paper Series 4736, CESifo.
- Cesa-Bianchi, Ambrogio & Pesaran, M. Hashem & Rebucci, Alessandro, 2014. "Uncertainty and Economic Activity: A Global Perspective," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 6605, Inter-American Development Bank.
- Angus Moore, 2017.
"Measuring Economic Uncertainty and Its Effects,"
The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 93(303), pages 550-575, December.
- Angus Moore, 2016. "Measuring Economic Uncertainty and Its Effects," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2016-01, Reserve Bank of Australia.
- Nikolay Hristov & Markus Roth, 2019.
"Uncertainty Shocks and Financial Crisis Indicators,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
7839, CESifo.
- Hristov, Nikolay & Roth, Markus, 2019. "Uncertainty shocks and financial crisis indicators," Discussion Papers 36/2019, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Mecikovsky, Ariel Matias & Meier, Matthias, 2014.
"Do plants freeze upon uncertainty shocks?,"
VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy
100541, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Ariel Mecikovsky & Matthias Meier, 2019. "Do Plants Freeze Upon Uncertainty Shocks?," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2019_075, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
- Mecikovsky, Ariel & Meier, Matthias, 2014. "Do plants freeze upon uncertainty shocks?," EconStor Preprints 100662, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
- Peter A. G. van Bergeijk & Sara Lazzaroni, 2015. "Macroeconomics of Natural Disasters: Strengths and Weaknesses of Meta‐Analysis Versus Review of Literature," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 35(6), pages 1050-1072, June.
- Azzimonti, Marina, 2018.
"Partisan conflict and private investment,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 114-131.
- Marina Azzimonti, 2015. "Partisan Conflict and Private Investment," NBER Working Papers 21273, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Stijn Claessens & M Ayhan Kose, 2018. "Frontiers of macrofinancial linkages," BIS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 95, October –.
- Jeffrey Ng & Walid Saffar & Janus Jian Zhang, 2020. "Policy uncertainty and loan loss provisions in the banking industry," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 25(2), pages 726-777, June.
- Markus Leippold & Felix Matthys, 2022. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and the Yield Curve [Pricing the term structure with linear regressions]," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 26(4), pages 751-797.
- Binge, Laurie H. & Boshoff, Willem H., 2020. "Economic uncertainty in South Africa," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 113-131.
- Boungou, Whelsy & Mawusi, Charles, 2022.
"The impact of economic policy uncertainty on banks' non-interest income activities,"
International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 89-97.
- Whelsy Boungou & Charles Mawusi, 2022. "The impact of economic policy uncertainty on banks' non-interest income activities," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 169, pages 89-97.
- Whelsy Boungou & Charles Mawusi, 2022. "The impact of economic policy uncertainty on banks' non-interest income activities," Post-Print hal-03520683, HAL.
- Piergiorgio Alessandri & Andrea Gazzani & Alejandro Vicondoa, 2021.
"The real effects of financial uncertainty shocks: A daily identification approach,"
Working Papers
61, Red Nacional de Investigadores en Economía (RedNIE).
- Piergiorgio Alessandri & Andrea Gazzani & Alejandro Vicondoa, 2021. "The Real Effects of Financial Uncertainty Shocks: A Daily Identification Approach," Documentos de Trabajo 559, Instituto de Economia. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile..
- Matthew Ranson & Lisa Tarquinio & Audrey Lew, 2016. "Modeling the Impact of Climate Change on Extreme Weather Losses," NCEE Working Paper Series 201602, National Center for Environmental Economics, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, revised May 2016.
- Rodrigo Cerda & Álvaro Silva & José Tomás Valente, 2018. "Impact of economic uncertainty in a small open economy: the case of Chile," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(26), pages 2894-2908, June.
- Choi, Sangyup & Furceri, Davide, 2019.
"Uncertainty and cross-border banking flows,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 260-274.
- Sangyup Choi & Davide Furceri, 2018. "Uncertainty and Cross-Border Banking Flows," IMF Working Papers 2018/004, International Monetary Fund.
- Sangyup Choi & Davide Furceri, 2018. "Uncertainty and Cross-Border Banking Flows," Working papers 2018rwp-125, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute.
- Kyle Jurado & Sydney C. Ludvigson & Serena Ng, 2015.
"Measuring Uncertainty,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 105(3), pages 1177-1216, March.
- Kyle Jurado & Sydney C. Ludvigson & Serena Ng, 2013. "Measuring Uncertainty," NBER Working Papers 19456, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Michael Siemer & Adrien Verdelhan & Francois Gourio, 2015. "Uncertainty and International Capital Flows," 2015 Meeting Papers 880, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Netšunajev, Aleksei & Glass, Katharina, 2017.
"Uncertainty and employment dynamics in the euro area and the US,"
Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 48-62.
- Netésunajev, Aleksei & Glass, Katharina, 2016. "Uncertainty and employment dynamics in the euro area and the US," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2016-002, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
- Katharina Glass & Ulrich Fritsche, 2015. "Real-time Macroeconomic Data and Uncertainty," Macroeconomics and Finance Series 201406, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics.
- Olli Palm'en, 2022. "Macroeconomic Effect of Uncertainty and Financial Shocks: a non-Gaussian VAR approach," Papers 2202.10834, arXiv.org.
- M. Ayhan Kose & Naotaka Sugawara & Marco E. Terrones, 2020.
"Global Recessions,"
Working Papers
162, Peruvian Economic Association.
- Kose, M. Ayhan & Sugawara, Naotaka & E. Terrones, Marco, 2020. "Global Recessions," CEPR Discussion Papers 14397, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Kose, M. Ayhan & Sugawara, Naotaka & Terrones, Marco E., 2020. "Global Recessions," MPRA Paper 98608, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- M. Ayhan Kose & Naotaka Sugawara & Marco E. Terrones, 2020. "Global recessions," CAMA Working Papers 2020-10, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Kose,Ayhan & Sugawara,Naotaka & Terrones,Marco E., 2020. "Global Recessions," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9172, The World Bank.
- M. Ayhan Kose & Naotaka Sugawara & Marco E. Terrones, 2020. "Global Recessions," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 2002, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
- repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2016-002 is not listed on IDEAS
- Nina Biljanovska & Francesco Grigoli & Martina Hengge, 2021.
"Fear thy neighbor: Spillovers from economic policy uncertainty,"
Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(2), pages 409-438, May.
- Nina Biljanovska & Mr. Francesco Grigoli & Martina Hengge, 2017. "Fear Thy Neighbor: Spillovers from Economic Policy Uncertainty," IMF Working Papers 2017/240, International Monetary Fund.
- Kronen Dominik & Belke Ansgar, 2017. "The Impact of Policy Uncertainty on Macro Variables – An SVAR-Based Empirical Analysis for EU Countries," Review of Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 68(2), pages 93-116, August.
- Tsiaplias, Sarantis, 2020. "Time-Varying Consumer Disagreement and Future Inflation," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
- Jose A Lopez & Kris James Mitchener, 2021.
"Uncertainty and Hyperinflation: European Inflation Dynamics after World War I [Modeling and forecasting realized volatility],"
The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 131(633), pages 450-475.
- Jose A. Lopez & Kris James Mitchener, 2018. "Uncertainty and Hyperinflation: European Inflation Dynamics after World War I," Working Paper Series 2018-6, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Jose A. Lopez & Kris James Mitchener, 2018. "Uncertainty and Hyperinflation: European Inflation Dynamics after World War I," CESifo Working Paper Series 7066, CESifo.
- Jose A. Lopez & Kris James Mitchener, 2018. "Uncertainty and Hyperinflation: European Inflation Dynamics after World War I," NBER Working Papers 24624, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Mitchener, Kris & Lopez, Jose A., 2018. "Uncertainty and Hyperinflation: European Inflation Dynamics after World War I," CEPR Discussion Papers 12951, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Mallick, Debdulal, 2015. "Elusive Relationship between Business-cycle Volatility and Long-run Growth," MPRA Paper 64502, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Kazutaka Kurasawa, 2016. "Policy Uncertainty and Foreign Exchange Rates: The DCC-GARCH Model of the US / Japanese Foreign Exchange Rate," International Journal of Economic Sciences, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences, vol. 5(4), pages 1-19, December.
- Abigail S. Hornstein & Minyuan Zhao, 2018.
"Reaching through the fog: Institutional environment and cross‐border giving of corporate foundations,"
Strategic Management Journal, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 39(10), pages 2666-2690, October.
- Abigail S. Hornstein & Minyuan Zhao, 2018. "Reaching through the fog: Institutional environment and cross-border giving of corporate foundations," Wesleyan Economics Working Papers 2018-003, Wesleyan University, Department of Economics.
- Kıvanç Karaman, K. & Yıldırım-Karaman, Seçil, 2019. "How does financial development alter the impact of uncertainty?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 33-42.
- Drobetz, Wolfgang & El Ghoul, Sadok & Guedhami, Omrane & Janzen, Malte, 2018. "Policy uncertainty, investment, and the cost of capital," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 28-45.
- Alem, Yonas & Colmer, Jonathan, 2015. "Consumption smoothing and the welfare cost of uncertainty," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 63816, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Whelsy Boungou & Charles Mawusi, 2021. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Banks' Interest Income: Empirical Evidence from an International Panel Dataset," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 41(3), pages 2003-2011.
- Nicholas Apergis, 2022. "Evaluating tail risks for the U.S. economic policy uncertainty," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 3971-3989, October.
- Ryan A. Decker & Pablo N. D'Erasmo & Hernan Moscoso Boedo, 2016.
"Market Exposure and Endogenous Firm Volatility over the Business Cycle,"
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 8(1), pages 148-198, January.
- Pablo D'Erasmo & Ryan A. Decker & Herman J. Moscoso Boedo, 2014. "Market exposure and endogenous firm volatility over the business cycle," Working Papers 14-12, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
- Dibiasi, Andreas & Abberger, Klaus & Siegenthaler, Michael & Sturm, Jan-Egbert, 2018. "The effects of policy uncertainty on investment: Evidence from the unexpected acceptance of a far-reaching referendum in Switzerland," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 38-67.
- Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi & M Hashem Pesaran & Alessandro Rebucci & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, 2020.
"Uncertainty and Economic Activity: A Multicountry Perspective,"
The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 33(8), pages 3393-3445.
- Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi & M. Hashem Pesaran & Alessandro Rebucci, 2018. "Uncertainty and Economic Activity: A Multi-Country Perspective," NBER Working Papers 24325, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Cesa-Bianchi, Ambrogio & Pesaran, M Hashem & Rebucci, Alessandro, 2018. "Uncertainty and economic activity: a multi-country perspective," Bank of England working papers 730, Bank of England.
- Rebucci, Alessandro & Cesa-Bianchi, Ambrogio & Pesaran, M. Hashem, 2018. "Uncertainty and Economic Activity: A Multi-Country Perspective," CEPR Discussion Papers 12713, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi & M. Hashem Pesaran & Alessandro Rebucci, 2018. "Uncertainty and Economic Activity: A Multi-Country Perspective," CESifo Working Paper Series 6910, CESifo.
- Helmut Herwartz & Alexander Lange, 2024. "How certain are we about the role of uncertainty in the economy?," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 62(1), pages 126-149, January.
- N. Bloom, 2016.
"Fluctuations in uncertainty,"
Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP Voprosy Ekonomiki, issue 4.
- Nicholas Bloom, 2014. "Fluctuations in Uncertainty," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 28(2), pages 153-176, Spring.
- Nicholas Bloom, 2013. "Fluctuations in Uncertainty," CEP Occasional Papers 038, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
- Nicholas Bloom, 2014. "Fluctuations In Uncertainty," Working Papers 14-17, Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau.
- Nicholas Bloom, 2014. "Fluctuations in Uncertainty," Discussion Papers 13-033, Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research.
- Nicholas Bloom, 2013. "Fluctuations in Uncertainty," NBER Working Papers 19714, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Bloom, Nicholas, 2013. "Fluctuations in uncertainty," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 57976, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Alon Kalay & Suresh Nallareddy & Gil Sadka, 2018. "Uncertainty and Sectoral Shifts: The Interaction Between Firm-Level and Aggregate-Level Shocks, and Macroeconomic Activity," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 64(1), pages 198-214, January.
- Luis Ballesteros & Aline Gatignon, 2019. "The relative value of firm and nonprofit experience: Tackling large‐scale social issues across institutional contexts," Strategic Management Journal, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(4), pages 631-657, April.
- SHIMIZU Hiroshi & WAKUTSU Naohiko, 2024. "SBIR, Startups, and Subsequent Technological Development: Laser diodes in the United States and Japan," Discussion papers 24012, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
- Sangyup Choi & Davide Furceri & Chansik Yoon, 2021.
"Policy uncertainty and foreign direct investment,"
Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(2), pages 195-227, May.
- Sangyup Choi & Davide Furceri & Chansik Yoon, 2020. "Policy Uncertainty and Foreign Direct Investment," GRU Working Paper Series GRU_2020_007, City University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics and Finance, Global Research Unit.
- Hae mi Choi, 2014. "When Good News Is Not So Good: Economy-wide Uncertainty and Stock Returns," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(9-10), pages 1101-1123, November.
- Eugene Msizi Buthelezi, 2023. "Dynamics of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Economic Growth in the Presence of Fiscal Consolidation in South Africa from 1994 to 2022," Economies, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-24, April.
- Wang, Yabin, 2018. "Fickle capital flows and retrenchment: Evidence from bilateral banking data," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 1-21.
- Buchholz, Manuel & von Schweinitz, Gregor & Tonzer, Lena, 2018. "Did the Swiss exchange rate shock shock the market?," IWH Discussion Papers 9/2018, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
- Eunbin Chung & Inbok Rhee, 2022. "Disasters and intergroup peace in sub-Saharan Africa," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 59(1), pages 58-72, January.
- Mahieu, Jeroen, 2020. "Creative Destruction? Local Business Conditions and the Earnings of Employees at Startups," MPRA Paper 98557, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Isoré, Marlène & Szczerbowicz, Urszula, 2017.
"Disaster risk and preference shifts in a New Keynesian model,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 97-125.
- Isoré, Marlène & Szczerbowicz, Urszula, 2015. "Disaster risk and preference shifts in a New Keynesian model," MPRA Paper 65643, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- M. Isoré & U. Szczerbowicz, 2016. "Disaster Risk and Preference Shifts in a New Keynesian Model," Working papers 614, Banque de France.
- Marlène Isoré & Urszula Szczerbowicz, 2015. "Disaster Risk and Preference Shifts in a New Keynesian Model," Working Papers 2015-16, CEPII research center.
- Bandi, Federico M. & Bretscher, Lorenzo & Tamoni, Andrea, 2023. "Return predictability with endogenous growth," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(3).
- Bhanu Pratap & Nalin Priyaranjan, 2023. "Macroeconomic effects of uncertainty: a Google trends-based analysis for India," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(4), pages 1599-1625, October.
- Barth, James R. & Hu, Qinyou & Sickles, Robin & Sun, Yanfei & Yu, Xiaoyu, 2024. "Direct and indirect impacts of natural disasters on banks: A spatial framework," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
- Al-Thaqeb, Saud Asaad & Algharabali, Barrak Ghanim, 2019. "Economic policy uncertainty: A literature review," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 20(C).
- Michele Piffer & Maximilian Podstawski, 2018.
"Identifying Uncertainty Shocks Using the Price of Gold,"
Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 128(616), pages 3266-3284, December.
- Michele Piffer & Maximilian Podstawski, 2016. "Identifying Uncertainty Shocks Using the Price of Gold," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1549, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Michele Piffer & Maximilian Podstawski, 2017. "Identifying Uncertainty Shocks Using the Price of Gold," CESifo Working Paper Series 6327, CESifo.
- Bourdeau-Brien, Michael & Kryzanowski, Lawrence, 2017. "The impact of natural disasters on the stock returns and volatilities of local firms," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 259-270.
- Yonas Alem & Jonathan Colmer, 2015. "Consumption smoothing and the welfare cost of uncertainty," GRI Working Papers 118b, Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment.
- Jongrim Ha & Seohyun Lee & Inhwan So, 2022. "The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks: Evidence from Geopolitical Swings on the Korean Peninsula," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 84(1), pages 21-56, February.
- Massimo Ferrari Minesso & Frederik Kurcz & Maria Sole Pagliari, 2022.
"Do words hurt more than actions? The impact of trade tensions on financial markets,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(6), pages 1138-1159, September.
- Ferrari Minesso, Massimo & Pagliari, Maria Sole & Kurcz, Frederik, 2020. "Do words hurt more than actions? The impact of trade tensions on financial markets," Working Paper Series 2490, European Central Bank.
- Massimo Ferrari & Frederik Kurcz & Maria Sole Pagliari, 2021. "Do Words Hurt More Than Actions? The Impact of Trade Tensions on Financial Markets," Working papers 802, Banque de France.
- Michael Ryan, 2020. "A Narrative Approach to Creating Instruments with Unstructured and Voluminous Text: An Application to Policy Uncertainty," Working Papers in Economics 20/10, University of Waikato.
- Guceri, Irem & Albinowski, Maciej, 2021.
"Investment responses to tax policy under uncertainty,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(3), pages 1147-1170.
- Guceri, Irem & Albinowski, Maciej, 2019. "Investment Responses to Tax Policy under Uncertainty," MF Working Papers 34, Ministry of Finance in Poland.
- Irem Guceri & Maciej Albinowski, 2019. "Investment Responses to Tax Policy Under Uncertainty," CESifo Working Paper Series 7929, CESifo.
- Karadima, Maria & Louri, Helen, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty and non-performing loans: The moderating role of bank concentration," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
- He, Yinghua & Nielsson, Ulf & Wang, Yonglei, 2017.
"Hurting without hitting: The economic cost of political tension,"
Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 106-124.
- He, Yinghua & Nielsson, Ulf & Wang, Yonglei, 2014. "Hurting without Hitting: The Economic Cost of Political Tension," TSE Working Papers 14-484, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE), revised Jul 2015.
- Felbermayr, Gabriel & Gröschl, Jasmin, 2014.
"Naturally negative: The growth effects of natural disasters,"
Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 92-106.
- Gabriel Felbermayr & Jasmin Katrin Gröschl & Gabriel J. Felbermayr, 2013. "Naturally Negative: The Growth Effects of Natural Disasters," CESifo Working Paper Series 4439, CESifo.
- Servén, Luis & Abate, Girum Dagnachew, 2020.
"Adding space to the international business cycle,"
Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
- Abate,Girum Dagnachew & Serven,Luis, 2019. "Adding Space to the International Business Cycle," Policy Research Working Paper Series 8786, The World Bank.
- Gete, Pedro & Melkadze, Givi, 2018. "Aggregate volatility and international dynamics. The role of credit supply," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 143-158.
- Samaniego, Roberto & Sun, Juliana, 2016. "Gray's Anatomy: Understanding Uncertainty," MPRA Paper 72787, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Li, Xiang & Su, Dan, 2020. "How does economic policy uncertainty affect corporate debt maturity?," IWH Discussion Papers 6/2020, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
- Sangyup Choi & Davide Furceri & João Tovar Jalles, 2017.
"Fiscal Stabilization and Growth: Evidence from Industry-level Data for Advanced and Developing Economies,"
IMF Working Papers
2017/198, International Monetary Fund.
- Sangyup Choi & Davide Furceri & Joao Tovar Jalles, 2017. "Fiscal Stabilization and Growth: Evidence from Industry-level Data for Advanced and Developing Economies," Working papers 2017rwp-110, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute.
- Meinen, Philipp & Roehe, Oke, 2017.
"On measuring uncertainty and its impact on investment: Cross-country evidence from the euro area,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 161-179.
- Meinen, Philipp & Röhe, Oke, 2016. "On measuring uncertainty and its impact on investment: Cross-country evidence from the euro area," Discussion Papers 48/2016, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Chris Redl, 2018.
"Macroeconomic Uncertainty in South Africa,"
South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 86(3), pages 361-380, September.
- Chris Redl, 2015. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty in South Africa," Working Papers 509, Economic Research Southern Africa.
- Ilhan Kilic & Faruk Balli, 2024. "Measuring economic country-specific uncertainty in Türkiye," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 67(4), pages 1649-1689, October.
- Tian, Can, 2015. "Riskiness, endogenous productivity dispersion and business cycles," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 227-249.
- Yonas Alem & Jonathan Colmer, 2015. "Consumption Smoothing and the Welfare Cost of Uncertainty," CEP Discussion Papers dp1369, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
- Stijn Claessens & M. Ayhan Kose, 2017.
"Asset prices and macroeconomic outcomes: A survey,"
CAMA Working Papers
2017-76, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Kose, M. Ayhan & Claessens, Stijn, 2017. "Asset Prices and Macroeconomic Outcomes: A Survey," CEPR Discussion Papers 12460, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Stijn Claessens & M. Ayhan Kose, 2017. "Asset Prices and Macroeconomic Outcomes: A Survey," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1718, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
- Claessens,Stijn & Kose,Ayhan, 2017. "Asset prices and macroeconomic outcomes : a survey," Policy Research Working Paper Series 8259, The World Bank.
- Stijn Claessens & M Ayhan Kose, 2017. "Asset prices and macroeconomic outcomes: a survey," BIS Working Papers 676, Bank for International Settlements.
- Qiuyun Wang & Lu Liu, 2022. "Pandemic or panic? A firm-level study on the psychological and industrial impacts of COVID-19 on the Chinese stock market," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-38, December.
- Ozili, Peterson Kitakogelu, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty in banking: a literature review," MPRA Paper 108017, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Lee, Seohyun, 2017. "Three essays on uncertainty: real and financial effects of uncertainty shocks," MPRA Paper 83617, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Kim, Wongi, 2019. "Government spending policy uncertainty and economic activity: US time series evidence," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 1-1.
- Ales Bulir & Martin Cihak & David-Jan Jansen, 2018. "Does the Clarity of Monetary Policy Reports Reduce Volatility in Financial Markets?," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 68(1), pages 2-17, February.
- Inoue, Hitoshi & Kani, Masayo & Nakashima, Kiyotaka, 2019. "The Dynamic Effect of Uncertainty on Corporate Investment through Internal and External Financing," MPRA Paper 98533, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Boyan Jovanovic & Sai Ma, 2022.
"Uncertainty and Growth Disasters,"
Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 44, pages 33-64, April.
- Boyan Jovanovic & Sai Ma, 2020. "Uncertainty and Growth Disasters," International Finance Discussion Papers 1279, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Boyan Jovanovic & Sai Ma, 2020. "Uncertainty and Growth Disasters," NBER Working Papers 28024, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Klaus Abberger & Andreas Dibiasi & Michael Siegenthaler & Jan-Egbert Sturm, 2016. "The Effect of Policy Uncertainty on Investment Plans: Evidence from the Unexpected Acceptance of a Far-Reaching Referendum in Switzerland," CESifo Working Paper Series 5887, CESifo.
- David Berger & Joseph Vavra, 2017. "Shocks vs. Responsiveness: What Drives Time-Varying Dispersion?," NBER Working Papers 23143, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Wang, Chih-Wei & Lee, Chien-Chiang & Chen, Ming-Chien, 2022. "The effects of economic policy uncertainty and country governance on banks' liquidity creation: International evidence," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
- Fuchs-Schündeln, N. & Hassan, T.A., 2016.
"Natural Experiments in Macroeconomics,"
Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & Harald Uhlig (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 923-1012,
Elsevier.
- Fuchs-Schündeln, Nicola & Hassan, Tarek, 2015. "Natural Experiments in Macroeconomics," CEPR Discussion Papers 10628, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Nicola Fuchs-Schuendeln & Tarek Alexander Hassan, 2015. "Natural Experiments in Macroeconomics," NBER Working Papers 21228, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gül, Selçuk & Hacıhasanoğlu, Yavuz Selim & Yılmaz, Muhammed Hasan, 2020. "Global uncertainties and portfolio flow dynamics of the BRICS countries," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
- Duan, Yuejiao & Fan, Xiaoyun & Wang, Yu, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and bank systemic risk: A cross-country analysis," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
- Tunc, Ahmet & Kocoglu, Mustafa & Aslan, Alper, 2022. "Time-varying characteristics of the simultaneous interactions between economic uncertainty, international oil prices and GDP: A novel approach for Germany," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
- Cepni, Oguzhan & Dul, Wiehan & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2021.
"The dynamics of U.S. REITs returns to uncertainty shocks: A proxy SVAR approach,"
Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
- Oguzhan Cepni & Wiehan Dul & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2020. "The Dynamics of U.S. REITs Returns to Uncertainty Shocks: A Proxy SVAR Approach," Working Papers 202001, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Bachmann, Rüdiger & Elstner, Steffen & Hristov, Atanas, 2017.
"Surprise, surprise – Measuring firm-level investment innovations,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 107-148.
- Ruediger Bachmann & Steffen Elstner & Atanas Hristov, 2014. "Surprise, Surprise - Measuring Firm-Level Investment Innovations," 2014 Meeting Papers 515, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Bachmann, Rüdiger & Hristov, Atanas, 2014. "Surprise, Surprise - Measuring Firm-level Investment Innovations," CEPR Discussion Papers 9894, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Mehmet Balcilar & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir, 2020.
"A re-examination of growth and growth uncertainty relationship in a stochastic volatility in the mean model with time-varying parameters,"
Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 47(3), pages 611-641, August.
- Mehmet Balcilar & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir, 2017. "A re-examination of growth and growth uncertainty relationship in a stochastic volatility in mean model with time-varying parameters," Working Papers 15-32, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
- Tien Nguyen & Dung Phuong Hoang & Thang Ngoc Doan, 2022. "On the uncertainty-global bank linkage nexus: The moderation of crises, financial regulations, and institutional quality," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 46(4), pages 623-645, October.
- Mallick Debdulal, 2019. "The growth-volatility relationship redux: what does volatility decomposition tell?," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 19(2), pages 1-20, June.
- Jetter, Michael, 2014. "Terrorism and the Media," IZA Discussion Papers 8497, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Koirala, Niraj P. & Koirala, Dhiroj Prasad & Nyiwul, Linus & Hu, Zhining, 2024. "Economic uncertainty, households’ credit situations, and higher education," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
- Per-Olov Johansson & Bengt Kriström, 2015. "On the Social Cost of Water-Related Disasters," Water Economics and Policy (WEP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 1(03), pages 1-26.
- Choi, Sangyup & Furceri, Davide & Huang, Yi & Loungani, Prakash, 2018.
"Aggregate uncertainty and sectoral productivity growth: The role of credit constraints,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 314-330.
- Sangyup Choi & Davide Furceri & Mr. Yifei Huang & Mr. Prakash Loungani, 2016. "Aggregate Uncertainty and Sectoral Productivity Growth: The Role of Credit Constraints," IMF Working Papers 2016/174, International Monetary Fund.
- Sangyup Choi & Davide Furceri & Yi Huang & Prakash Loungani, 2017. "Aggregate Uncertainty and Sectoral Productivity Growth: The Role of Credit Constraints," Working papers 2017rwp-109, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute.
- Sangyup Choi & Davide Furceri & Yi Huang & Prakash Loungani, 2017. "Aggregate Uncertainty and Sectoral Productivity Growth: The Role of Credit Constraints," IHEID Working Papers 09-2017, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
- Shabir, Mohsin & Jiang, Ping & Shahab, Yasir & Wang, Peng, 2023. "Geopolitical, economic uncertainty and bank risk: Do CEO power and board strength matter?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
- Imad Jabbouri & Rachid Jabbouri, 2021. "Ownership identity and firm performance: Pre‐ and post‐crisis evidence from an African emerging market," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(4), pages 5963-5976, October.
- Mathy, Gabriel & Ziebarth, Nicolas L., 2017.
"How Much Does Political Uncertainty Matter? The Case of Louisiana under Huey Long,"
The Journal of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, vol. 77(1), pages 90-126, March.
- Gabriel P. Mathy & Nicholas L. Ziebarth, 2014. "How Much Does Political Uncertainty Matter? The Case of Louisiana Under Huey Long," Working Papers 2014-06, American University, Department of Economics.
- Dung Viet Tran, 2020. "Economic policy uncertainty and bank dividend policy," International Review of Economics, Springer;Happiness Economics and Interpersonal Relations (HEIRS), vol. 67(3), pages 339-361, September.
- Duong, Huu Nhan & Nguyen, Justin Hung & Nguyen, My & Rhee, S. Ghon, 2020. "Navigating through economic policy uncertainty: The role of corporate cash holdings," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
- Segal, Gill, 2019. "A tale of two volatilities: Sectoral uncertainty, growth, and asset prices," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(1), pages 110-140.
- Ting Liu, 2019. "Research on the Influence of Economic Policy Uncertainty on Stock Market Heterogeneity Based on Investor Perspective," Journal of Accounting, Business and Finance Research, Scientific Publishing Institute, vol. 7(2), pages 51-58.
- Gregory, Richard P., 2021. "Climate disasters, carbon dioxide, and financial fundamentals," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 45-58.
- Bilgin, Mehmet Huseyin & Danisman, Gamze Ozturk & Demir, Ender & Tarazi, Amine, 2021.
"Economic uncertainty and bank stability: Conventional vs. Islamic banking,"
Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
- Mehmet Huseyin Bilgin & Gamze Ozturk Danisman & Ender Demir & Amine Tarazi, 2020. "Economic uncertainty and bank stability: Conventional vs. Islamic banking," Working Papers hal-02964579, HAL.
- Saud Asaad Al‐Thaqeb & Barrak Ghanim Algharabali & Khaled Tareq Alabdulghafour, 2022. "The pandemic and economic policy uncertainty," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(3), pages 2784-2794, July.
- Flavia Corneli, 2021. "Financial Integration Without Financial Development," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 49(2), pages 201-220, June.
- Houari, Oussama, 2022. "Uncertainty shocks and business cycles in the US: New insights from the last three decades," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
- Binding, Garret & Dibiasi, Andreas, 2017.
"Exchange rate uncertainty and firm investment plans evidence from Swiss survey data,"
Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 1-27.
- Garret Binding & Andreas Dibiasi, 2016. "Exchange Rate Uncertainty and Firm Investment Plans: Evidence from Swiss Survey Data," KOF Working papers 16-400, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
- Emanuele Bacchiocchi & Andrea Bastianin & Graziano Moramarco, 2024.
"Macroeconomic Spillovers of Weather Shocks across U.S. States,"
Working Papers
2024.09, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
- Bacchiocchi, Emanuele & Bastianin, Andrea & Moramarco, Graziano, 2024. "Macroeconomic Spillovers of Weather Shocks across U.S. States," FEEM Working Papers 343506, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
- Emanuele Bacchiocchi & Andrea Bastianin & Graziano Moramarco, 2024. "Macroeconomic Spillovers of Weather Shocks across U.S. States," Papers 2403.10907, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2024.
- Alessandri, Piergiorgio & Gazzani, Andrea & Vicondoa, Alejandro, 2023.
"Are the effects of uncertainty shocks big or small?,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
- Piergiorgio Alessandri & Andrea Gazzani & Alejandro Vicondoa, 2023. "Are the Effects of Uncertainty Shocks Big or Small?," Documentos de Trabajo 569, Instituto de Economia. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile..
- Piergiorgio Alessandri & Andrea Gazzani & Alejandro Vicondoa, 2023. "Are the Effects of Uncertainty Shocks Big or Small?," Working Papers 244, Red Nacional de Investigadores en Economía (RedNIE).
- Wadhwa, Kavita & Syamala, Sudhakara Reddy, 2023. "Are business groups different from other family firms? Evidence from corporate investments during political uncertainty," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
- Sydney C. Ludvigson & Sai Ma & Serena Ng, 2021.
"Uncertainty and Business Cycles: Exogenous Impulse or Endogenous Response?,"
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 13(4), pages 369-410, October.
- Sydney C. Ludvigson & Sai Ma & Serena Ng, 2015. "Uncertainty and Business Cycles: Exogenous Impulse or Endogenous Response?," NBER Working Papers 21803, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Bin Wang & Chenyang Meng & Hongwei Yu, 2023. "The Impact of Economic Policy Uncertainty on Regional Total-Factor Energy Productivity in China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(4), pages 1-20, February.
- Claeys, Peter & Vašíček, Bořek, 2019.
"Transmission of uncertainty shocks: Learning from heterogeneous responses on a panel of EU countries,"
International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 62-83.
- Peter Claeys & Borek Vasicek, 2017. "Transmission of Uncertainty Shocks: Learning from Heterogeneous Responses on a Panel of EU Countries," Working Papers 2017/13, Czech National Bank.
- Xiaosong Wang & Huan Wu & Le Li & Lu Liu, 2022. "Uncertainty, GVC participation and the export of Chinese firms," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(3), pages 634-661, July.
- Samaniego, Roberto M. & Sun, Juliana Y., 2019. "Uncertainty, depreciation and industry growth," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
- Sangyup Choi & Davide Furceri & Chansik Yoon, 2019. "Policy Uncertainty and FDI Flows: The Role of Institutional Quality and Financial Development," Working papers 2019rwp-144, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute.
- Mr. Aleš Bulíř & Mr. Martin Cihak & Mr. David-Jan Jansen, 2014. "Does the Clarity of Inflation Reports Affect Volatility in Financial Markets?," IMF Working Papers 2014/175, International Monetary Fund.
- repec:cep:stieop:59 is not listed on IDEAS
- Flavia Corneli, 2017. "Medium and long term implications of financial integration without financial development," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1120, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- López-Pérez, Víctor, 2016. "Does uncertainty affect non-response to the European Central Bank's survey of professional forecasters?," Economics Discussion Papers 2016-29, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Ijaz Younis & Himani Gupta & Waheed Ullah Shah & Arshian Sharif & Xuan Tang, 2024. "The Effects of Economic Uncertainty and Trade Policy Uncertainty on Industry-Specific Stock Markets Equity," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 64(5), pages 2909-2933, November.
- Li, Xiang, 2022. "How does economic policy uncertainty affect corporate debt maturity?," IWH Discussion Papers 5/2022, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
- Juan M. Londono & Sai Ma & Beth Anne Wilson, 2021. "The Global Transmission of Real Economic Uncertainty," International Finance Discussion Papers 1317, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Chen, Yong & Fang, Jing & Liu, Dingming, 2023. "The effects of Trump’s trade war on U.S. financial markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
- Ozili, Peterson K, 2022. "Does economic policy uncertainty reduce financial inclusion?," MPRA Paper 111052, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Renato Faccini & Edoardo Palombo, 2019. "News Uncertainty in Brexit U.K," Discussion Papers 1921, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
- Yıldırım-Karaman, Secil, 2017. "Uncertainty shocks, central bank characteristics and business cycles," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 41(3), pages 379-388.
- Yabin Wang, 2017. "How Do Emerging Markets Respond to Macroeconomic Shocks? - Dynamic Panel Evidence on the Effects of Disasters," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 28(4), pages 731-760, September.
- Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach & Tran, Vuong Thao & Iyke, Bernard Njindan, 2022. "Geopolitical risk and bank stability," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
- Furceri Davide & Jalles João Tovar, 2019. "Fiscal counter-cyclicality and productive investment: evidence from advanced economies," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 19(1), pages 1-15, January.
- López-Pérez, Víctor, 2016. "Does uncertainty affect non-response to the European Central Bank's survey of professional forecasters?," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 10, pages 1-47.
- Yonas Alem & Jonathan Colmer, 2015.
"Consumption Smoothing and the Welfare Cost of Uncertainty,"
STICERD - Economic Organisation and Public Policy Discussion Papers Series
059, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE.
- Alem, Yonas & Colmer, Jonathan, 2018. "Consumption smoothing and the welfare cost of uncertainty," Ruhr Economic Papers 780, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
- Emanuel Kopp, 2018. "Determinants of U.S. Business Investment," IMF Working Papers 2018/139, International Monetary Fund.
- De Simone, Lisa & Piotroski, Joseph D. & Tomy, Rimmy E., 2017. "Repatriation Taxes and Foreign Cash Holdings: The Impact of Anticipated Tax Policy," Research Papers 3507, Stanford University, Graduate School of Business.
- Fang-Nan Liao & Xiao-Li Ji & Zhi-Ping Wang, 2019. "Firms’ Sustainability: Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Affect Internal Control?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-26, February.
- Liu, Xiaojun & Ma, Yong & Xu, Zhongyue, 2024. "Economic policy uncertainty, risk perception and stock price crash risk: Evidence from China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 865-876.
- Willem Vanlaer & Samantha Bielen & Wim Marneffe, 2020. "Consumer Confidence and Household Saving Behaviors: A Cross-Country Empirical Analysis," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 147(2), pages 677-721, January.
- Klaus Abberger & Andreas Dibiasi & Michael Siegenthaler & Jan-Egbert Sturm, 2016. "The Effect of Policy Uncertainty on Investment Plans," KOF Working papers 16-406, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
- Nadia Benali and Kais Saidi, 2017. "A Robust Analysis of the Relationship between Natural Disasters, Electricity and Economic Growth in 41 Countries," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 42(3), pages 89-109, September.
- Mallick, Debdulal, 2017. "The Growth-Volatility Relationship: What Does Volatility Decomposition Tell?," MPRA Paper 79397, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Seohyun Lee & Inhwan So & Jongrim Ha, 2018. "Identifying Uncertainty Shocks due to Geopolitical Swings in Korea," Working Papers 2018-26, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.
- Shanaev, Savva & Ghimire, Binam, 2019. "Is all politics local? Regional political risk in Russia and the panel of stock returns," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 70-82.
- Chang, Chong-Chuo & Chen, Hsien-Yi & Mon, Khin Thiri, 2024. "Impact of economic policy uncertainty on the firm's working capital requirements," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
- Zhang, Chengsi & Sun, Yuchen & Tang, Di, 2019. "Whose confidence matters in Chinese monetary policy?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 188-202.
- Tran, Dung Viet & Houston, Reza, 2021. "The effects of policy uncertainty on bank loan loss provisions," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
- Schläger, Dan, 2024. "Unmasking the significance of uncertainty: a case study of the German interwar economy (1919-1935)," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 125837, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Oussama Houari, 2022. "Uncertainty shocks and business cycles in the US: New insights from the last three decades," Post-Print hal-03723972, HAL.