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Economic uncertainty and bank stability: Conventional vs. Islamic banking

Author

Listed:
  • Mehmet Huseyin Bilgin
  • Gamze Ozturk Danisman
  • Ender Demir
  • Amine Tarazi

    (UNILIM - Université de Limoges, LAPE - Laboratoire d'Analyse et de Prospective Economique - GIO - Gouvernance des Institutions et des Organisations - UNILIM - Université de Limoges, IUF - Institut universitaire de France - M.E.N.E.S.R. - Ministère de l'Education nationale, de l’Enseignement supérieur et de la Recherche)

Abstract

In this paper, we explore whether economic uncertainty differently affects the default risk of Islamic and conventional banks. Using a sample of 568 banks from 20 countries between 2009 and 2018, we use the World Uncertainty Index (WUI) by Ahir et al. (2018) to conduct a study based on a comparable measure across countries. Our findings indicate that economic uncertainty increases the default risk of conventional banks but does not affect Islamic banks' default risk. To understand why, we explore the influence of religiosity, institutional factors, and bank-level heterogeneity. We observe that Islamic banks' default risk is not significantly affected by uncertainty in all types of countries, but such a difference with conventional banks mainly holds for banks with higher income diversification, larger size, and that are publicly traded. Moreover, our findings show that conventional banks suffer more from uncertainty in terms of stability in countries with higher religiosity and with a higher share of profit-loss sharing (PLS) contracts. Our results are robust to alternative estimation techniques to deal with endogeneity and to alternative variable measurements.

Suggested Citation

  • Mehmet Huseyin Bilgin & Gamze Ozturk Danisman & Ender Demir & Amine Tarazi, 2021. "Economic uncertainty and bank stability: Conventional vs. Islamic banking," Post-Print hal-04881067, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-04881067
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jfs.2021.100911
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    Cited by:

    1. Mamat, Hasrul Nizam & Kamarudin, Fakarudin & Ali, Mohsin & Hussain, Hafezali Iqbal, 2024. "Impact of Islamicity on the productivity of conventional and Islamic banks in selected southeast Asian countries," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    2. Alsharif, Mohammad, 2024. "How does oil price uncertainty affect the stability of conventional and Islamic banks in major oil-exporting countries? Evidence from the GCC region," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 69(PA).

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