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Can Google data improve the forecasting performance of tourist arrivals? Mixed-data sampling approach

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Cited by:

  1. Havranek, Tomas & Zeynalov, Ayaz, 2018. "Forecasting Tourist Arrivals with Google Trends and Mixed Frequency Data," EconStor Preprints 187420, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
  2. Carl Bonham & Peter Fuleky & James Jones & Ashley Hirashima, 2015. "Nowcasting Tourism Industry Performance Using High Frequency Covariates," Working Papers 2015-3, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa.
  3. Gaojun Zhang & Jinfeng Wu & Bing Pan & Junyi Li & Minjie Ma & Muzi Zhang & Jian Wang, 2017. "Improving daily occupancy forecasting accuracy for hotels based on EEMD-ARIMA model," Tourism Economics, , vol. 23(7), pages 1496-1514, November.
  4. Li, Xin & Pan, Bing & Law, Rob & Huang, Xiankai, 2017. "Forecasting tourism demand with composite search index," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 57-66.
  5. Costanza Catalano & Andrea Carboni & Claudio Doria, 2023. "How can Big Data improve the quality of tourism statistics? The Bank of Italy's experience in compiling the "travel" item in the Balance of Payments," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 761, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
  6. Fieger, Peter & Rice, John, 2016. "Modelling Chinese Inbound Tourism Arrivals into Christchurch," MPRA Paper 75468, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  7. Colin Cannonier & Monica Galloway Burke, 2019. "The economic growth impact of tourism in Small Island Developing States—evidence from the Caribbean," Tourism Economics, , vol. 25(1), pages 85-108, February.
  8. Edmond H. C. Wu & Jihao Hu & Rui Chen, 2022. "Monitoring and forecasting COVID-19 impacts on hotel occupancy rates with daily visitor arrivals and search queries," Current Issues in Tourism, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(3), pages 490-507, February.
  9. Tomas Havranek & Ayaz Zeynalov, 2021. "Forecasting tourist arrivals: Google Trends meets mixed-frequency data," Tourism Economics, , vol. 27(1), pages 129-148, February.
  10. Fengzhi Sun & Zihan Li & Mingzhi Xu & Mingcan Han, 2024. "New Changes in Chinese Urban Tourism Pattern under the Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic: Based on Internet Attention," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(14), pages 1-22, July.
  11. Fabo, B., 2017. "Towards an understanding of job matching using web data," Other publications TiSEM b8b877f2-ae6a-495f-b6cc-9, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
  12. Xi Wu & Adam Blake, 2023. "Does the combination of models with different explanatory variables improve tourism demand forecasting performance?," Tourism Economics, , vol. 29(8), pages 2032-2056, December.
  13. Ulrich Gunter & M. Graziano Ceddia & David Leonard & Bernhard Tröster, 2018. "Contribution of international ecotourism to comprehensive economic development and convergence in the Central American and Caribbean region," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(33), pages 3614-3629, July.
  14. Schaer, Oliver & Kourentzes, Nikolaos & Fildes, Robert, 2019. "Demand forecasting with user-generated online information," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 197-212.
  15. Valadkhani, Abbas & Smyth, Russell, 2017. "How do daily changes in oil prices affect US monthly industrial output?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 83-90.
  16. Mamingi Nlandu, 2017. "Beauty and Ugliness of Aggregation over Time: A Survey," Review of Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 68(3), pages 205-227, December.
  17. Bi, Jian-Wu & Liu, Yang & Li, Hui, 2020. "Daily tourism volume forecasting for tourist attractions," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
  18. Salvatore Carta & Andrea Medda & Alessio Pili & Diego Reforgiato Recupero & Roberto Saia, 2018. "Forecasting E-Commerce Products Prices by Combining an Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) Model and Google Trends Data," Future Internet, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-19, December.
  19. Ling Tang & Chengyuan Zhang & Tingfei Li & Ling Li, 2021. "A novel BEMD-based method for forecasting tourist volume with search engine data," Tourism Economics, , vol. 27(5), pages 1015-1038, August.
  20. Marta Crispino & Vincenzo Mariani, 2023. "A tool to nowcast tourist overnight stays with payment data and complementary indicators," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 746, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
  21. Javier Sebastian, 2016. "Blockchain in financial services: Regulatory landscape and future challenges," Working Papers 16/21, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department.
  22. Palma Lampreia Dos Santos, Maria José, 2018. "Nowcasting and forecasting aquaponics by Google Trends in European countries," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 178-185.
  23. Chengyuan Zhang & Fuxin Jiang & Shouyang Wang & Shaolong Sun, 2020. "A New Decomposition Ensemble Approach for Tourism Demand Forecasting: Evidence from Major Source Countries," Papers 2002.09201, arXiv.org.
  24. Petropoulos, Fotios & Apiletti, Daniele & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios & Babai, Mohamed Zied & Barrow, Devon K. & Ben Taieb, Souhaib & Bergmeir, Christoph & Bessa, Ricardo J. & Bijak, Jakub & Boylan, Joh, 2022. "Forecasting: theory and practice," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 705-871.
    • Fotios Petropoulos & Daniele Apiletti & Vassilios Assimakopoulos & Mohamed Zied Babai & Devon K. Barrow & Souhaib Ben Taieb & Christoph Bergmeir & Ricardo J. Bessa & Jakub Bijak & John E. Boylan & Jet, 2020. "Forecasting: theory and practice," Papers 2012.03854, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
  25. Zheng, Weimin & Huang, Liyao & Lin, Zhibin, 2021. "Multi-attraction, hourly tourism demand forecasting," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
  26. Law, Rob & Li, Gang & Fong, Davis Ka Chio & Han, Xin, 2019. "Tourism demand forecasting: A deep learning approach," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 410-423.
  27. Katerina Volchek & Anyu Liu & Haiyan Song & Dimitrios Buhalis, 2019. "Forecasting tourist arrivals at attractions: Search engine empowered methodologies," Tourism Economics, , vol. 25(3), pages 425-447, May.
  28. Zhang, Li & Liang, Chao & Huynh, Luu Duc Toan & Wang, Lu & Damette, Olivier, 2024. "Measuring the impact of climate risk on renewable energy stock volatility: A case study of G20 economies," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 223(C), pages 168-184.
  29. Hatice Öncel Çekim & Ahmet Koyuncu, 2022. "The Impact of Google Trends on the Tourist Arrivals: A Case of Antalya Tourism," Alphanumeric Journal, Bahadir Fatih Yildirim, vol. 10(1), pages 1-14, June.
  30. A Fronzetti Colladon & B Guardabascio & R Innarella, 2021. "Using social network and semantic analysis to analyze online travel forums and forecast tourism demand," Papers 2105.07727, arXiv.org.
  31. Adriana Csikosova & Katarina Culkova & Erik Weiss & Maria Janoskova, 2021. "Evaluation of Market with Accommodation Facilities Considering Risk Influence—Case Study Slovakia," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-17, May.
  32. Jiao, Xiaoying & Chen, Jason Li & Li, Gang, 2021. "Forecasting tourism demand: Developing a general nesting spatiotemporal model," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
  33. Feifei Huang & Mingxia Lin & Shoukat Iqbal Khattak, 2024. "Form Uncertainty to Sustainable Decision-Making: A Novel MIDAS–AM–DeepAR-Based Prediction Model for E-Commerce Industry Development," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(14), pages 1-24, July.
  34. Correa, Alexander, 2021. "Prediciendo la llegada de turistas a Colombia a partir de los criterios de Google Trends," Revista Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, CIE, issue No. 95, pages 105-134, July.
  35. Emmanuel Sirimal Silva & Hossein Hassani & Dag Øivind Madsen & Liz Gee, 2019. "Googling Fashion: Forecasting Fashion Consumer Behaviour Using Google Trends," Social Sciences, MDPI, vol. 8(4), pages 1-23, April.
  36. Fatemeh Binesh & Amanda Belarmino & Carola Raab, 2021. "A meta-analysis of hotel revenue management," Journal of Revenue and Pricing Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 20(5), pages 546-558, October.
  37. Maximo Camacho & Matías José Pacce, 2018. "Forecasting travellers in Spain with Google’s search volume indices," Tourism Economics, , vol. 24(4), pages 434-448, June.
  38. Blazquez, Desamparados & Domenech, Josep, 2018. "Big Data sources and methods for social and economic analyses," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 99-113.
  39. Silva, Emmanuel Sirimal & Hassani, Hossein, 2022. "‘Modelling’ UK tourism demand using fashion retail sales," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
  40. Serhan Cevik, 2022. "Where should we go? Internet searches and tourist arrivals," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 4048-4057, October.
  41. Geri Skenderi & Christian Joppi & Matteo Denitto & Marco Cristani, 2024. "Well googled is half done: Multimodal forecasting of new fashion product sales with image‐based google trends," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(6), pages 1982-1997, September.
  42. Zhang, Chuan & Tian, Yu-Xin & Fan, Zhi-Ping, 2022. "Forecasting sales using online review and search engine data: A method based on PCA–DSFOA–BPNN," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 1005-1024.
  43. Zeynalov, Ayaz, 2017. "Forecasting Tourist Arrivals in Prague: Google Econometrics," MPRA Paper 83268, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  44. Diaz-Balteiro, L. & Alfranca, O. & Voces, R. & Soliño, M., 2023. "Using google search patterns to explain the demand for wild edible mushrooms," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
  45. Muzi Zhang & Junyi Li & Bing Pan & Gaojun Zhang, 2018. "Weekly Hotel Occupancy Forecasting of a Tourism Destination," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-17, November.
  46. Han Liu & Yongjing Wang & Haiyan Song & Ying Liu, 2023. "Measuring tourism demand nowcasting performance using a monotonicity test," Tourism Economics, , vol. 29(5), pages 1302-1327, August.
  47. Rivera, Roberto, 2016. "A dynamic linear model to forecast hotel registrations in Puerto Rico using Google Trends data," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 12-20.
  48. Haodong Sun & Yang Yang & Yanyan Chen & Xiaoming Liu & Jiachen Wang, 2023. "Tourism demand forecasting of multi-attractions with spatiotemporal grid: a convolutional block attention module model," Information Technology & Tourism, Springer, vol. 25(2), pages 205-233, June.
  49. Silva, Emmanuel Sirimal & Ghodsi, Zara & Ghodsi, Mansi & Heravi, Saeed & Hassani, Hossein, 2017. "Cross country relations in European tourist arrivals," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 151-168.
  50. Silva, Emmanuel Sirimal & Hassani, Hossein & Heravi, Saeed & Huang, Xu, 2019. "Forecasting tourism demand with denoised neural networks," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 134-154.
  51. Li, Hengyun & Hu, Mingming & Li, Gang, 2020. "Forecasting tourism demand with multisource big data," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
  52. Hulya Bakirtas & Vildan Gulpinar Demirci, 2022. "Can Google Trends data provide information on consumer’s perception regarding hotel brands?," Information Technology & Tourism, Springer, vol. 24(1), pages 57-83, March.
  53. Yang, Yang & Fan, Yawen & Jiang, Lan & Liu, Xiaohui, 2022. "Search query and tourism forecasting during the pandemic: When and where can digital footprints be helpful as predictors?," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
  54. F. Antolini & L. Grassini, 2019. "Foreign arrivals nowcasting in Italy with Google Trends data," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 53(5), pages 2385-2401, September.
  55. Guy P. Nason & Ben Powell & Duncan Elliott & Paul A. Smith, 2017. "Should we sample a time series more frequently?: decision support via multirate spectrum estimation," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 180(2), pages 353-407, February.
  56. Juan D Montoro-Pons & Manuel Cuadrado-García, 2021. "Analyzing online search patterns of music festival tourists," Tourism Economics, , vol. 27(6), pages 1276-1300, September.
  57. Hirashima, Ashley & Jones, James & Bonham, Carl S. & Fuleky, Peter, 2017. "Forecasting in a Mixed Up World: Nowcasting Hawaii Tourism," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 191-202.
  58. Long Wen & Chang Liu & Haiyan Song, 2019. "Forecasting tourism demand using search query data: A hybrid modelling approach," Tourism Economics, , vol. 25(3), pages 309-329, May.
  59. Gunter, Ulrich & Önder, Irem, 2016. "Forecasting city arrivals with Google Analytics," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 199-212.
  60. Monge, Manuel & Claudio-Quiroga, Gloria & Poza, Carlos, 2024. "Chinese economic behavior in times of covid-19. A new leading economic indicator based on Google trends," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 177(C).
  61. Chumnumpan, Pattarin & Shi, Xiaohui, 2019. "Understanding new products’ market performance using Google Trends," Australasian marketing journal, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 91-103.
  62. Eden Xiaoying Jiao & Jason Li Chen, 2019. "Tourism forecasting: A review of methodological developments over the last decade," Tourism Economics, , vol. 25(3), pages 469-492, May.
  63. Doris Chenguang Wu & Shiteng Zhong & Richard T R Qiu & Ji Wu, 2022. "Are customer reviews just reviews? Hotel forecasting using sentiment analysis," Tourism Economics, , vol. 28(3), pages 795-816, May.
  64. Ademmer, Martin & Beckmann, Joscha & Bode, Eckhardt & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Funke, Manuel & Hauber, Philipp & Heidland, Tobias & Hinz, Julian & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Söder, Mareike & Stame, 2021. "Big Data in der makroökonomischen Analyse," Kieler Beiträge zur Wirtschaftspolitik 32, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  65. Gulsah Senturk, 2022. "Can Google Search Data Improve the Unemployment Rate Forecasting Model? An Empirical Analysis for Turkey," Journal of Economic Policy Researches, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 9(2), pages 229-244, July.
  66. Wolfram Höpken & Tobias Eberle & Matthias Fuchs & Maria Lexhagen, 2019. "Google Trends data for analysing tourists’ online search behaviour and improving demand forecasting: the case of Åre, Sweden," Information Technology & Tourism, Springer, vol. 21(1), pages 45-62, March.
  67. Liwen Ling & Dabin Zhang & Shanying Chen & Amin W. Mugera, 2020. "Can online search data improve the forecast accuracy of pork price in China?," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(4), pages 671-686, July.
  68. Thao Nguyen-Da & Yi-Min Li & Chi-Lu Peng & Ming-Yuan Cho & Phuong Nguyen-Thanh, 2023. "Tourism Demand Prediction after COVID-19 with Deep Learning Hybrid CNN–LSTM—Case Study of Vietnam and Provinces," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-22, April.
  69. Benedikt Maas, 2020. "Short‐term forecasting of the US unemployment rate," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(3), pages 394-411, April.
  70. Song, Haiyan & Qiu, Richard T.R. & Park, Jinah, 2019. "A review of research on tourism demand forecasting," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 338-362.
  71. Ulrich Gunter & Irem Önder & Stefan Gindl, 2019. "Exploring the predictive ability of LIKES of posts on the Facebook pages of four major city DMOs in Austria," Tourism Economics, , vol. 25(3), pages 375-401, May.
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