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The predictive power of public Twitter sentiment for forecasting cryptocurrency prices

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Cited by:

  1. Kamyr Gomes Souza & Flavio Barboza & Daniel Vitor Tartari Garruti, 2024. "A Discourse Analysis of Tweets and Its Implications for Cryptocurrency Prices and Trade Volumes," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 64(4), pages 2355-2383, October.
  2. Yousaf, Imran & Youssef, Manel & Goodell, John W., 2022. "Quantile connectedness between sentiment and financial markets: Evidence from the S&P 500 twitter sentiment index," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
  3. Polyzos, Efstathios & Wang, Fang, 2022. "Twitter and market efficiency in energy markets: Evidence using LDA clustered topic extraction," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
  4. Ante, Lennart, 2023. "How Elon Musk's Twitter activity moves cryptocurrency markets," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 186(PA).
  5. Bouri, Elie & Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan, 2022. "Forecasting returns of major cryptocurrencies: Evidence from regime-switching factor models," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
  6. George Vlahavas & Athena Vakali, 2024. "Dynamics between Bitcoin Market Trends and Social Media Activity," FinTech, MDPI, vol. 3(3), pages 1-30, July.
  7. Rasivisuth, Pornpanit & Fiaschetti, Maurizio & Medda, Francesca, 2024. "An investigation of sentiment analysis of information disclosure during Initial Coin Offering (ICO) on the token return," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PB).
  8. Zaremba, Adam & Bilgin, Mehmet Huseyin & Long, Huaigang & Mercik, Aleksander & Szczygielski, Jan J., 2021. "Up or down? Short-term reversal, momentum, and liquidity effects in cryptocurrency markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
  9. Yousaf, Imran & Abrar, Afsheen & Yousaf, Umair Bin & Goodell, John W., 2024. "Environmental attention and uncertainties of cryptocurrency market: Examining linkages with crypto-mining stocks," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
  10. Efstathios Polyzos & Ghulame Rubbaniy & Mieszko Mazur, 2024. "Efficient Market Hypothesis on the blockchain: A social‐media‐based index for cryptocurrency efficiency," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 59(3), pages 807-829, August.
  11. Gianna Figà-Talamanca & Marco Patacca, 2024. "An explorative analysis of sentiment impact on S&P 500 components returns, volatility and downside risk," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 342(3), pages 2095-2117, November.
  12. Cavallaro, Matteo & Mathieu, Alban, 2024. "Beyond the veil: Mapping cryptocurrencies' ecosystem," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
  13. Horky, Florian & Dubbick, Lili & Rhein, Franziska & Fidrmuc, Jarko, 2023. "Don't miss out on NFTs?! A sentiment-based analysis of the early NFT market," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 799-814.
  14. Demir, Ender & Simonyan, Serdar & García-Gómez, Conrado-Diego & Lau, Chi Keung Marco, 2021. "The asymmetric effect of bitcoin on altcoins: evidence from the nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) model," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 40(C).
  15. Qing Liu & Hosung Son, 2024. "Methods for aggregating investor sentiment from social media," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-22, December.
  16. Cole, Benjamin M. & Dyhrberg, Anne H. & Foley, Sean & Svec, Jiri, 2022. "Can Bitcoin be Trusted? Quantifying the economic value of blockchain transactions," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
  17. Hadhri, Sinda, 2023. "Do cryptocurrencies feel the music?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
  18. Jingfeng Chen & Wanlin Deng & Dangxing Chen & Luyao Zhang, 2024. "FinML-Chain: A Blockchain-Integrated Dataset for Enhanced Financial Machine Learning," Papers 2411.16277, arXiv.org.
  19. Aysan, Ahmet Faruk & Caporin, Massimiliano & Cepni, Oguzhan, 2024. "Not all words are equal: Sentiment and jumps in the cryptocurrency market," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
  20. Nakavachara, Voraprapa & Ratanabanchuen, Roongkiat & Saengchote, Kanis & Amonthumniyom, Thitiphong & Parinyavuttichai, Pongsathon & Vinaibodee, Polpatt, 2024. "Do people gamble or invest in the cryptocurrency market? Transactional-level evidence from Thailand," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C).
  21. Ioannis Chalkiadakis & Gareth W. Peters & Matthew Ames, 2023. "Hybrid ARDL-MIDAS-Transformer time-series regressions for multi-topic crypto market sentiment driven by price and technology factors," Digital Finance, Springer, vol. 5(2), pages 295-365, June.
  22. Bouteska, Ahmed & Hajek, Petr & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul & Dong, Yizhe, 2023. "Effect of twitter investor engagement on cryptocurrencies during the COVID-19 pandemic," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
  23. Voraprapa Nakavachara & Roongkiat Ratanabanchuen & Kanis Saengchote & Thitiphong Amonthumniyom & Pongsathon Parinyavuttichai & Polpatt Vinaibodee, 2023. "Do People Gamble or Invest in the Cryptocurrency Market? Transactional-Level Evidence from Thailand," PIER Discussion Papers 206, Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research, revised Feb 2024.
  24. Liu, Yunqiang & Liu, Sha & Ye, Deping & Tang, Hong & Wang, Fang, 2022. "Dynamic impact of negative public sentiment on agricultural product prices during COVID-19," Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
  25. Polyzos, Efstathios, 2023. "Inflation and the war in Ukraine: Evidence using impulse response functions on economic indicators and Twitter sentiment," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
  26. Gianfranco Tusset, 2023. "How the Cryptocurrency Discourse is Changing: A Textual Analysis," HISTORY OF ECONOMIC THOUGHT AND POLICY, FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 2023(2), pages 31-52.
  27. Fathin Faizah Said & Raja Solan Somasuntharam & Mohd Ridzwan Yaakub & Tamat Sarmidi, 2023. "Impact of Google searches and social media on digital assets’ volatility," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-17, December.
  28. Wang, Fang & Gacesa, Marko, 2023. "Semi-strong efficient market of Bitcoin and Twitter: An analysis of semantic vector spaces of extracted keywords and light gradient boosting machine models," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
  29. Mercik, Aleksander & Słoński, Tomasz & Karaś, Marta, 2024. "Understanding crypto-asset exposure: An investigation of its impact on performance and stock sensitivity among listed companies," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
  30. Bouteska, Ahmed & Mefteh-Wali, Salma & Dang, Trung, 2022. "Predictive power of investor sentiment for Bitcoin returns: Evidence from COVID-19 pandemic," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).
  31. Liu, Jian & Julaiti, Jiansuer & Gou, Shangde, 2024. "Decomposing interconnectedness: A study of cryptocurrency spillover effects in global financial markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
  32. Quechen Yang, 2024. "Blending Ensemble for Classification with Genetic-algorithm generated Alpha factors and Sentiments (GAS)," Papers 2411.03035, arXiv.org.
  33. Federico D'Amario & Milos Ciganovic, 2022. "Forecasting Cryptocurrencies Log-Returns: a LASSO-VAR and Sentiment Approach," Papers 2210.00883, arXiv.org.
  34. Sun, Xiaotong & Stasinakis, Charalampos & Sermpinis, Georgios, 2024. "Decentralization illusion in Decentralized Finance: Evidence from tokenized voting in MakerDAO polls," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
  35. Ramit Sawhney & Shivam Agarwal & Vivek Mittal & Paolo Rosso & Vikram Nanda & Sudheer Chava, 2022. "Cryptocurrency Bubble Detection: A New Stock Market Dataset, Financial Task & Hyperbolic Models," Papers 2206.06320, arXiv.org.
  36. A. Hachicha & F. Hachicha, 2021. "Analysis of the bitcoin stock market indexes using comparative study of two models SV with MCMC algorithm," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 56(2), pages 647-673, February.
  37. Andrew Phiri, 2022. "Can wavelets produce a clearer picture of weak-form market efficiency in Bitcoin?," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 12(3), pages 373-386, September.
  38. Syed Abul, Basher & Perry, Sadorsky, 2022. "Forecasting Bitcoin price direction with random forests: How important are interest rates, inflation, and market volatility?," MPRA Paper 113293, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  39. Lu Zhang & Lei Hua, 2025. "Major Issues in High-Frequency Financial Data Analysis: A Survey of Solutions," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-40, January.
  40. Cynthia Weiyi Cai & Rui Xue & Bi Zhou, 2023. "Cryptocurrency puzzles: a comprehensive review and re-introduction," Journal of Accounting Literature, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 46(1), pages 26-50, June.
  41. Ko, Hyungjin & Byun, Junyoung & Lee, Jaewook, 2023. "A privacy-preserving robo-advisory system with the Black-Litterman portfolio model: A new framework and insights into investor behavior," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
  42. Fayssal Jamhamed & Franck Martin & Fabien Rondeau & Josué Thélissaint & Stéphane Tufféry, 2024. "Regime-Specific Dynamics and Informational Efficiency in Cryptomarkets: Evidence from Gaussian Mixture Models," Economics Working Paper Archive (University of Rennes & University of Caen) 2024-13, Center for Research in Economics and Management (CREM), University of Rennes, University of Caen and CNRS.
  43. Fang Wang & Marko Gacesa, 2024. "Semi-strong Efficient Market of Bitcoin and Twitter: an Analysis of Semantic Vector Spaces of Extracted Keywords and Light Gradient Boosting Machine Models," Papers 2409.15988, arXiv.org.
  44. Oluwadamilare Omole & David Enke, 2024. "Deep learning for Bitcoin price direction prediction: models and trading strategies empirically compared," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-26, December.
  45. Jana, Rabin K., 2024. "Are metaverse coins more prone to geopolitical risk than traditional crypto assets?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PB), pages 436-447.
  46. Ben Osman, Myriam & Galariotis, Emilios & Guesmi, Khaled & Hamdi, Haykel & Naoui, Kamel, 2024. "Are markets sentiment driving the price bubbles in the virtual?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PB), pages 272-285.
  47. Toan Luu Duc Huynh, 2023. "When Elon Musk Changes his Tone, Does Bitcoin Adjust Its Tune?," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 62(2), pages 639-661, August.
  48. Rasoul Amirzadeh & Asef Nazari & Dhananjay Thiruvady & Mong Shan Ee, 2023. "Modelling Determinants of Cryptocurrency Prices: A Bayesian Network Approach," Papers 2303.16148, arXiv.org.
  49. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Anas, Muhammad & Bouri, Elie, 2022. "Price explosiveness in cryptocurrencies and Elon Musk's tweets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PB).
  50. Ajithakumari Vijayappan Nair Biju & Ann Susan Thomas, 2023. "Uncertainties and ambivalence in the crypto market: an urgent need for a regional crypto regulation," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 3(8), pages 1-21, August.
  51. David Ardia & Keven Bluteau, 2023. "The Role of Twitter in Cryptocurrency Pump-and-Dumps," Papers 2306.02148, arXiv.org.
  52. Tristan Lim, 2024. "Predictive crypto-asset automated market maker architecture for decentralized finance using deep reinforcement learning," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-29, December.
  53. Shalini Sharma & Angshul Majumdar & Emilie Chouzenoux & Victor Elvira, 2023. "Deep State-Space Model for Predicting Cryptocurrency Price," Papers 2311.14731, arXiv.org.
  54. Clark, Ephraim & Lahiani, Amine & Mefteh-Wali, Salma, 2023. "Cryptocurrency return predictability: What is the role of the environment?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
  55. Lee, Kangsan & Jeong, Daeyoung, 2023. "Too much is too bad: The effect of media coverage on the price volatility of cryptocurrencies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
  56. Li, Scott & Ma, Judy, 2024. "The impact of sentiment and engagement of Twitter posts on cryptocurrency price movement," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
  57. Zdravka Aljinović & Branka Marasović & Tea Šestanović, 2021. "Cryptocurrency Portfolio Selection—A Multicriteria Approach," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(14), pages 1-21, July.
  58. He, Xue-Zhong & Treich, Nicolas, 2017. "Prediction market prices under risk aversion and heterogeneous beliefs," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 105-114.
  59. Man-Fai Leung & Lewis Chan & Wai-Chak Hung & Siu-Fung Tsoi & Chun-Hin Lam & Yiu-Hang Cheng, 2023. "An Intelligent System for Trading Signal of Cryptocurrency Based on Market Tweets Sentiments," FinTech, MDPI, vol. 2(1), pages 1-17, March.
  60. Chen, Rongxin & Lepori, Gabriele M. & Tai, Chung-Ching & Sung, Ming-Chien, 2022. "Explaining cryptocurrency returns: A prospect theory perspective," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
  61. Zribi, Wissal & Boufateh, Talel & Guesmi, Khaled, 2023. "Climate uncertainty effects on bitcoin ecological footprint through cryptocurrency environmental attention," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PD).
  62. Perez Riaza, Baptiste & Gnabo, Jean-Yves, 2023. "Decentralized Autonomous Organizations (DAOs): Catalysts for enhanced market efficiency," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PB).
  63. Koch, Sophia & Dimpfl, Thomas, 2023. "Attention and retail investor herding in cryptocurrency markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
  64. Yihang Fu & Mingyu Zhou & Luyao Zhang, 2024. "DAM: A Universal Dual Attention Mechanism for Multimodal Timeseries Cryptocurrency Trend Forecasting," Papers 2405.00522, arXiv.org.
  65. Zhang, Guangyue & Sannella, Alexander & Brennan, Gerard & Talha Afzal, Muhammad, 2024. "Fair value estimates for illiquid cryptocurrency," International Journal of Accounting Information Systems, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
  66. Corbet, Shaen & Goodell, John W. & Günay, Samet, 2022. "What drives DeFi prices? Investigating the effects of investor attention," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
  67. N. L. Balasudarsun & Bikramaditya Ghosh & Sathish Mahendran, 2022. "Impact of Negative Tweets on Diverse Assets during Stressful Events: An Investigation through Time-Varying Connectedness," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-12, June.
  68. José Parra-Moyano & Daniel Partida & Moritz Gessl & Somnath Mazumdar, 2024. "Analyzing swings in Bitcoin returns: a comparative study of the LPPL and sentiment-informed random forest models," Digital Finance, Springer, vol. 6(3), pages 427-439, September.
  69. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Mbarki, Imen & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2021. "Predictive role of online investor sentiment for cryptocurrency market: Evidence from happiness and fears," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 496-514.
  70. Andreas Hackethal & Tobin Hanspal & Dominique M Lammer & Kevin Rink, 2022. "The Characteristics and Portfolio Behavior of Bitcoin Investors: Evidence from Indirect Cryptocurrency Investments [The investor in structured retail products: advice driven or gambling oriented]," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 26(4), pages 855-898.
  71. Qing Liu & Hosung Son, 2024. "Data selection and collection for constructing investor sentiment from social media," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-13, December.
  72. Hoang, Lai T. & Baur, Dirk G., 2023. "Cryptocurrencies are not immune to coronavirus: Evidence from investor fear," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 1444-1463.
  73. Jiqian Wang & Feng Ma & Elie Bouri & Yangli Guo, 2023. "Which factors drive Bitcoin volatility: Macroeconomic, technical, or both?," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(4), pages 970-988, July.
  74. Xia, Yufei & Sang, Chong & He, Lingyun & Wang, Ziyao, 2023. "The role of uncertainty index in forecasting volatility of Bitcoin: Fresh evidence from GARCH-MIDAS approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
  75. Ramirez, Philip & Reade, J. James & Singleton, Carl, 2023. "Betting on a buzz: Mispricing and inefficiency in online sportsbooks," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1413-1423.
  76. Kyriazis, Nikolaos & Papadamou, Stephanos & Tzeremes, Panayiotis & Corbet, Shaen, 2023. "The differential influence of social media sentiment on cryptocurrency returns and volatility during COVID-19," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 307-317.
  77. Constandina Koki & Stefanos Leonardos & Georgios Piliouras, 2020. "Do Cryptocurrency Prices Camouflage Latent Economic Effects? A Bayesian Hidden Markov Approach," Future Internet, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-19, March.
  78. Jacques Vella Critien & Albert Gatt & Joshua Ellul, 2022. "Bitcoin price change and trend prediction through twitter sentiment and data volume," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-20, December.
  79. He, Mengxi & Shen, Lihua & Zhang, Yaojie & Zhang, Yi, 2023. "Predicting cryptocurrency returns for real-world investments: A daily updated and accessible predictor," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PA).
  80. Almeida, José & Gonçalves, Tiago Cruz, 2023. "A systematic literature review of investor behavior in the cryptocurrency markets," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C).
  81. Tristan Lim, 2022. "Predictive Crypto-Asset Automated Market Making Architecture for Decentralized Finance using Deep Reinforcement Learning," Papers 2211.01346, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2023.
  82. Meyer, Eva Andrea & Welpe, Isabell M. & Sandner, Philipp, 2024. "Testing the credibility of crypto influencers: An event study on Bitcoin," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
  83. Ahmad Harith Ashrofie Hanafi & Mohd Shahid Azim Mohd Saufi & Muhammad Zarunnaim Haji Wahab & Suheil Che Sobry & Mohd Hilal Muhammad, 2024. "Bridging the Gap: A Bibliometric Review of Cryptocurrency and Conventional Market Interactions in Academic Research," International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science (IJRISS), vol. 8(9), pages 1114-1131, September.
  84. Gerritsen, Dirk F. & Lugtigheid, Rick A.C. & Walther, Thomas, 2022. "Can Bitcoin Investors Profit from Predictions by Crypto Experts?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PA).
  85. Ivanovski, Kris & Hailemariam, Abebe, 2023. "Forecasting the stock-cryptocurrency relationship: Evidence from a dynamic GAS model," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 97-111.
  86. A. V. Biju & Aparna Merin Mathew & P. P. Nithi Krishna & M. P. Akhil, 2022. "Is the future of bitcoin safe? A triangulation approach in the reality of BTC market through a sentiments analysis," Digital Finance, Springer, vol. 4(4), pages 275-290, December.
  87. Umar, Zaghum & Gubareva, Mariya & Yousaf, Imran & Ali, Shoaib, 2021. "A tale of company fundamentals vs sentiment driven pricing: The case of GameStop," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
  88. Takeshi Inuduka & Akihito Yokose & Shunsuke Managi, 2024. "Influencing cryptocurrency: analyzing celebrity sentiments on X (formerly Twitter) and their impact on bitcoin prices," Digital Finance, Springer, vol. 6(3), pages 379-426, September.
  89. Ştefan Cristian Gherghina & Liliana Nicoleta Simionescu, 2023. "Exploring the asymmetric effect of COVID-19 pandemic news on the cryptocurrency market: evidence from nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag approach and frequency domain causality," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-58, December.
  90. Kao, Yu-Sheng & Day, Min-Yuh & Chou, Ke-Hsin, 2024. "A comparison of bitcoin futures return and return volatility based on news sentiment contemporaneously or lead-lag," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
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  93. Zhu, Huiming & Xing, Zhanming & Ren, Yinghua & Chen, Yiwen & Hau, Liya, 2023. "Frequency domain causality and quantile connectedness between investor sentiment and cryptocurrency returns," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 1035-1051.
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  96. Huynh, Nhan & Phan, Hoa, 2023. "Emotions in the crypto market: Do photos really speak?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PB).
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  99. Suardi, Sandy & Rasel, Atiqur Rahman & Liu, Bin, 2022. "On the predictive power of tweet sentiments and attention on bitcoin," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 289-301.
  100. Ardia, David & Bluteau, Keven, 2024. "Twitter and cryptocurrency pump-and-dumps," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PB).
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