IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/finlet/v65y2024ics1544612324006287.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The impact of sentiment and engagement of Twitter posts on cryptocurrency price movement

Author

Listed:
  • Li, Scott
  • Ma, Judy

Abstract

This paper examines the impact of sentiment and engagement from Twitter posts on the daily price movement of five top cryptocurrencies (Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dogecoin, Cardano, Ripple) from 2021 to 2022. Using the difference between positive and negative key word counts as a proxy for sentiment, we find that Twitter post sentiment has mixed effects on the short-term price movement of the five cryptocurrencies. We developed a novel composite impact index to measure the engagement level of original Twitter posts and find that it has negative impact on price movement of all five cryptocurrencies.

Suggested Citation

  • Li, Scott & Ma, Judy, 2024. "The impact of sentiment and engagement of Twitter posts on cryptocurrency price movement," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:65:y:2024:i:c:s1544612324006287
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2024.105598
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1544612324006287
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.frl.2024.105598?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bouteska, Ahmed & Hajek, Petr & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul & Dong, Yizhe, 2023. "Effect of twitter investor engagement on cryptocurrencies during the COVID-19 pandemic," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    2. Kraaijeveld, Olivier & De Smedt, Johannes, 2020. "The predictive power of public Twitter sentiment for forecasting cryptocurrency prices," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    3. Nguyen, Khanh Quoc & Nguyen, Thanh Huong & Do, Bao Linh, 2023. "Narrative attention and related cryptocurrency returns," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    4. Saggu, Aman, 2022. "The Intraday Bitcoin Response to Tether Minting and Burning Events: Asymmetry, Investor Sentiment, and “Whale Alerts” on Twitter," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    5. Ante, Lennart, 2023. "How Elon Musk's Twitter activity moves cryptocurrency markets," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 186(PA).
    6. Bonaparte, Yosef & Bernile, Gennaro, 2023. "A new “Wall Street Darling?” effects of regulation sentiment in cryptocurrency markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Takeshi Inuduka & Akihito Yokose & Shunsuke Managi, 2024. "Influencing cryptocurrency: analyzing celebrity sentiments on X (formerly Twitter) and their impact on bitcoin prices," Digital Finance, Springer, vol. 6(3), pages 379-426, September.
    2. Efstathios Polyzos & Ghulame Rubbaniy & Mieszko Mazur, 2024. "Efficient Market Hypothesis on the blockchain: A social‐media‐based index for cryptocurrency efficiency," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 59(3), pages 807-829, August.
    3. Nobanee, Haitham & Ellili, Nejla Ould Daoud, 2023. "What do we know about meme stocks? A bibliometric and systematic review, current streams, developments, and directions for future research," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 589-602.
    4. Man-Fai Leung & Lewis Chan & Wai-Chak Hung & Siu-Fung Tsoi & Chun-Hin Lam & Yiu-Hang Cheng, 2023. "An Intelligent System for Trading Signal of Cryptocurrency Based on Market Tweets Sentiments," FinTech, MDPI, vol. 2(1), pages 1-17, March.
    5. Meyer, Eva Andrea & Welpe, Isabell M. & Sandner, Philipp, 2024. "Testing the credibility of crypto influencers: An event study on Bitcoin," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    6. Yu‐Lun Chen & J. Jimmy Yang, 2024. "Time‐varying price discovery in regular and microbitcoin futures," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(1), pages 103-121, January.
    7. Bennett, Donyetta & Mekelburg, Erik & Strauss, Jack & Williams, T.H., 2024. "Unlocking the black box of sentiment and cryptocurrency: What, which, why, when and how?," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    8. Liu, Jian & Julaiti, Jiansuer & Gou, Shangde, 2024. "Decomposing interconnectedness: A study of cryptocurrency spillover effects in global financial markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    9. Zribi, Wissal & Boufateh, Talel & Guesmi, Khaled, 2023. "Climate uncertainty effects on bitcoin ecological footprint through cryptocurrency environmental attention," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PD).
    10. Ramirez, Philip & Reade, J. James & Singleton, Carl, 2023. "Betting on a buzz: Mispricing and inefficiency in online sportsbooks," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1413-1423.
    11. Jacques Vella Critien & Albert Gatt & Joshua Ellul, 2022. "Bitcoin price change and trend prediction through twitter sentiment and data volume," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-20, December.
    12. Tristan Lim, 2022. "Predictive Crypto-Asset Automated Market Making Architecture for Decentralized Finance using Deep Reinforcement Learning," Papers 2211.01346, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2023.
    13. Huynh, Nhan & Phan, Hoa, 2023. "Emotions in the crypto market: Do photos really speak?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PB).
    14. Kamyr Gomes Souza & Flavio Barboza & Daniel Vitor Tartari Garruti, 2024. "A Discourse Analysis of Tweets and Its Implications for Cryptocurrency Prices and Trade Volumes," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 64(4), pages 2355-2383, October.
    15. Bouri, Elie & Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan, 2022. "Forecasting returns of major cryptocurrencies: Evidence from regime-switching factor models," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    16. Quechen Yang, 2024. "Blending Ensemble for Classification with Genetic-algorithm generated Alpha factors and Sentiments (GAS)," Papers 2411.03035, arXiv.org.
    17. Andrew Phiri, 2022. "Can wavelets produce a clearer picture of weak-form market efficiency in Bitcoin?," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 12(3), pages 373-386, September.
    18. Tristan Lim, 2024. "Predictive crypto-asset automated market maker architecture for decentralized finance using deep reinforcement learning," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-29, December.
    19. Yihang Fu & Mingyu Zhou & Luyao Zhang, 2024. "DAM: A Universal Dual Attention Mechanism for Multimodal Timeseries Cryptocurrency Trend Forecasting," Papers 2405.00522, arXiv.org.
    20. Jean Barthélémy & Paul Gardin & Benoit Nguyen, 2023. "Stablecoins and the Financing of the Real Economy," Working papers 908, Banque de France.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Twitter; Social media engagement; Sentiment; Cryptocurrency;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:65:y:2024:i:c:s1544612324006287. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/frl .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.