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Estimating the impact of extreme events on crude oil price: An EMD-based event analysis method

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Cited by:

  1. Ting Zhao, 2018. "Research on the Impact of the Price Adjustment of Refined Oil on Air Quality: Taking Hebei Province as an Example," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 10(7), pages 1-72, July.
  2. Su, Chi-Wei & Wang, Kai-Hua & Chang, Hsu-Ling & Dumitrescu–Peculea, Adelina, 2017. "Do iron ore price bubbles occur?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 340-346.
  3. Antonio J. Garz n & Luis . Hierro, 2018. "Fracking, Wars and Stock Market Crashes: The Price of Oil During the Great Recession," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 8(2), pages 20-30.
  4. Wen, Jun & Zhao, Xin-Xin & Chang, Chun-Ping, 2021. "The impact of extreme events on energy price risk," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
  5. Chai, Jian & Lu, Quanying & Hu, Yi & Wang, Shouyang & Lai, Kin Keung & Liu, Hongtao, 2018. "Analysis and Bayes statistical probability inference of crude oil price change point," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 271-283.
  6. Yuan, Ying & Zhuang, Xin-tian & Liu, Zhi-ying & Huang, Wei-qiang, 2012. "Time-clustering behavior of sharp fluctuation sequences in Chinese stock markets," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 45(6), pages 838-845.
  7. Geng, Jiang-Bo & Ji, Qiang & Fan, Ying, 2016. "The behaviour mechanism analysis of regional natural gas prices: A multi-scale perspective," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 266-277.
  8. Cui, Jinxin & Maghyereh, Aktham, 2023. "Time-frequency dependence and connectedness among global oil markets: Fresh evidence from higher-order moment perspective," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
  9. Lei Jiang & Ling Bai, 2017. "Revisiting the Granger Causality Relationship between Energy Consumption and Economic Growth in China: A Multi-Timescale Decomposition Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(12), pages 1-17, December.
  10. Huang, Shupei & An, Haizhong & Wen, Shaobo & An, Feng, 2017. "Revisiting driving factors of oil price shocks across time scales," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 617-629.
  11. Yilmazkuday, Hakan, 2024. "Geopolitical risks and energy uncertainty: Implications for global and domestic energy prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
  12. Chang, Yang & Fang, Huajing & Zhang, Yong, 2017. "A new hybrid method for the prediction of the remaining useful life of a lithium-ion battery," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 206(C), pages 1564-1578.
  13. Wang, Fan & Tian, Lixin & Du, Ruijin & Dong, Gaogao, 2021. "Universal law in the crude oil market based on visibility graph algorithm and network structure," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
  14. Qi Zhang & Yi Hu & Jianbin Jiao & Shouyang Wang, 2024. "The impact of Russia–Ukraine war on crude oil prices: an EMC framework," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-12, December.
  15. Huang, Xuan & An, Haizhong & Gao, Xiangyun & Hao, Xiaoqing & Liu, Pengpeng, 2015. "Multiresolution transmission of the correlation modes between bivariate time series based on complex network theory," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 428(C), pages 493-506.
  16. Saeed, Asif & Chaudhry, Sajid M. & Arif, Ahmed & Ahmed, Rizwan, 2023. "Spillover of energy commodities and inflation in G7 plus Chinese economies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PA).
  17. Qiu, Lei & Wang, Xiaoyang & Wei, Jia, 2023. "Energy security and energy management: The role of extreme natural events," Innovation and Green Development, Elsevier, vol. 2(2).
  18. Jozef Baruník & Evžen KoÄ enda b,a & Lukáš Vácha, 2016. "Volatility Spillovers Across Petroleum Markets," The Energy Journal, , vol. 37(1), pages 136-158, January.
  19. Sun, Shaolong & Wang, Shouyang & Wei, Yunjie, 2019. "A new multiscale decomposition ensemble approach for forecasting exchange rates," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 49-58.
  20. Jihong Xiao & Xuehong Zhu & Chuangxia Huang & Xiaoguang Yang & Fenghua Wen & Meirui Zhong, 2019. "A New Approach for Stock Price Analysis and Prediction Based on SSA and SVM," International Journal of Information Technology & Decision Making (IJITDM), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 18(01), pages 287-310, January.
  21. Fernandes, Leonardo H.S. & de Araújo, Fernando H.A. & Silva, Igor E.M., 2020. "The (in)efficiency of NYMEX energy futures: A multifractal analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 556(C).
  22. Jason Angelopoulos, 2017. "Creating and assessing composite indicators: Dynamic applications for the port industry and seaborne trade," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 19(1), pages 126-159, March.
  23. Lucey, Brian & Yahya, Muhammad & Khoja, Layla & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Ahmed, Ali, 2024. "Interconnectedness and risk profile of hydrogen against major asset classes," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).
  24. Martina, Esteban & Rodriguez, Eduardo & Escarela-Perez, Rafael & Alvarez-Ramirez, Jose, 2011. "Multiscale entropy analysis of crude oil price dynamics," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(5), pages 936-947, September.
  25. Su, Chi-Wei & Li, Zheng-Zheng & Chang, Hsu-Ling & Lobonţ, Oana-Ramona, 2017. "When Will Occur the Crude Oil Bubbles?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 1-6.
  26. Long, Wen & Zhao, Manyi & Tang, Yeran, 2021. "Can the Chinese volatility index reflect investor sentiment?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
  27. Wang, Lu & Ma, Feng & Liu, Jing & Yang, Lin, 2020. "Forecasting stock price volatility: New evidence from the GARCH-MIDAS model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 684-694.
  28. Jason Angelopoulos, 2017. "Time–frequency analysis of the Baltic Dry Index," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 19(2), pages 211-233, June.
  29. Ji, Qiang & Guo, Jian-Feng, 2015. "Oil price volatility and oil-related events: An Internet concern study perspective," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 137(C), pages 256-264.
  30. Yu, Lean & Wang, Zishu & Tang, Ling, 2015. "A decomposition–ensemble model with data-characteristic-driven reconstruction for crude oil price forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 156(C), pages 251-267.
  31. Wei Yang & Ai Han & Yongmiao Hong & Shouyang Wang, 2016. "Analysis of crisis impact on crude oil prices: a new approach with interval time series modelling," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(12), pages 1917-1928, December.
  32. Casper Boongaling Agaton, 2022. "Will a Geopolitical Conflict Accelerate Energy Transition in Oil-Importing Countries? A Case Study of the Philippines from a Real Options Perspective," Resources, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-17, June.
  33. Zhou, Jie & Sun, Mei & Han, Dun & Gao, Cuixia, 2021. "Analysis of oil price fluctuation under the influence of crude oil stocks and US dollar index — Based on time series network model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 582(C).
  34. Liu, Li & Wan, Jieqiu, 2011. "A study of correlations between crude oil spot and futures markets: A rolling sample test," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 390(21), pages 3754-3766.
  35. Paolo Maranzano & Matteo Maria Pelagatti, 2022. "Spatio-temporal Event Studies for Air Quality Assessment under Cross-sectional Dependence," Papers 2210.17529, arXiv.org.
  36. Kong, Dongmin & Xiong, Mengxu & Xiang, Junyi, 2021. "Terrorist attacks and energy firms' crash risk in stock markets: Evidence from China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
  37. Wei, He & Guo, Yaoqi & Yu, Zhuling & Cheng, Hui, 2021. "The impact of events on metal futures based on the perspective of Google Trends," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
  38. Zhou, Zhongbao & Lin, Ling & Li, Shuxian, 2018. "International stock market contagion: A CEEMDAN wavelet analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 333-352.
  39. Xinchang Liu & Bolong Liu, 2023. "A Hybrid Time Series Model for Predicting the Displacement of High Slope in the Loess Plateau Region," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-26, March.
  40. Myeong Jun Kim & Stanley I. M. Ko & Sung Y. Park, 2021. "On time and frequency-varying Okun’s coefficient: a new approach based on ensemble empirical mode decomposition," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(3), pages 1151-1188, September.
  41. Gong, Xu & Lin, Boqiang, 2019. "Modeling stock market volatility using new HAR-type models," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 516(C), pages 194-211.
  42. Zhu, Bangzhu & Yuan, Lili & Ye, Shunxin, 2019. "Examining the multi-timescales of European carbon market with grey relational analysis and empirical mode decomposition," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 517(C), pages 392-399.
  43. Polanco Martínez, Josué M. & Abadie, Luis M. & Fernández-Macho, J., 2018. "A multi-resolution and multivariate analysis of the dynamic relationships between crude oil and petroleum-product prices," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 228(C), pages 1550-1560.
  44. Ju, Keyi & Su, Bin & Zhou, Dequn & Wu, Junmin & Liu, Lifan, 2016. "Macroeconomic performance of oil price shocks: Outlier evidence from nineteen major oil-related countries/regions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 325-332.
  45. Guo, Kun & Luan, Liyuan & Cai, Xiaoli & Zhang, Dayong & Ji, Qiang, 2024. "Energy trade stability of China: Policy options with increasing climate risks," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).
  46. Li, Ye & Chen, Yiyan & Lean, Hooi Hooi, 2024. "Geopolitical risk and crude oil price predictability: Novel decomposition ensemble approach based ternary interval number series," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
  47. Yang, Tianle & Dong, Qingyuan & Du, Min & Du, Qunyang, 2023. "Geopolitical risks, oil price shocks and inflation: Evidence from a TVP–SV–VAR approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PB).
  48. Ju, Keyi & Su, Bin & Zhou, Dequn & Zhang, Yuqiang, 2016. "An incentive-oriented early warning system for predicting the co-movements between oil price shocks and macroeconomy," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 452-463.
  49. Yang, Boyu & Sun, Yuying & Wang, Shouyang, 2020. "A novel two-stage approach for cryptocurrency analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
  50. Lin, Tiantian & Liu, Dehong & Zhang, Lili & Lung, Peter, 2019. "The information content of realized volatility of sector indices in China’s stock market," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 625-640.
  51. Yu, Hongchu & Fang, Zhixiang & Lu, Feng & Murray, Alan T. & Zhang, Hengcai & Peng, Peng & Mei, Qiang & Chen, Jinhai, 2019. "Impact of oil price fluctuations on tanker maritime network structure and traffic flow changes," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 237(C), pages 390-403.
  52. Chen, Hao & Liao, Hua & Tang, Bao-Jun & Wei, Yi-Ming, 2016. "Impacts of OPEC's political risk on the international crude oil prices: An empirical analysis based on the SVAR models," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 42-49.
  53. Xu Gong & Yujing Jin & Chuanwang Sun, 2022. "Time‐varying pure contagion effect between energy and nonenergy commodity markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(10), pages 1960-1986, October.
  54. James Ming Chen & Mobeen Ur Rehman, 2021. "A Pattern New in Every Moment: The Temporal Clustering of Markets for Crude Oil, Refined Fuels, and Other Commodities," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-58, September.
  55. Guo, Yue & Yang, Yu & Wang, Chang, 2021. "Global energy networks: Geographies of mergers and acquisitions of worldwide oil companies," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
  56. Shao, Liuguo & Zhang, Hua, 2020. "The impact of oil price on the clean energy metal prices: A multi-scale perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
  57. Tang, Ling & Zhang, Chengyuan & Li, Ling & Wang, Shouyang, 2020. "A multi-scale method for forecasting oil price with multi-factor search engine data," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 257(C).
  58. Lin, Ling & Kuang, Yuanpei & Jiang, Yong & Su, Xianfang, 2019. "Assessing risk contagion among the Brent crude oil market, London gold market and stock markets: Evidence based on a new wavelet decomposition approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
  59. Wang, Lu & Ma, Feng & Niu, Tianjiao & Liang, Chao, 2021. "The importance of extreme shock: Examining the effect of investor sentiment on the crude oil futures market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
  60. Lu Wang & Feng Ma & Guoshan Liu & Qiaoqi Lang, 2023. "Do extreme shocks help forecast oil price volatility? The augmented GARCH‐MIDAS approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 2056-2073, April.
  61. Melike Bildirici & Nilgun Guler Bayazit & Yasemen Ucan, 2020. "Analyzing Crude Oil Prices under the Impact of COVID-19 by Using LSTARGARCHLSTM," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-18, June.
  62. Zheng, Li & Sun, Yuying & Wang, Shouyang, 2024. "A novel interval-based hybrid framework for crude oil price forecasting and trading," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
  63. Mo, Bin & Chen, Cuiqiong & Nie, He & Jiang, Yonghong, 2019. "Visiting effects of crude oil price on economic growth in BRICS countries: Fresh evidence from wavelet-based quantile-on-quantile tests," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 234-251.
  64. Fen Li & Zhehao Huang & Junhao Zhong & Khaldoon Albitar, 2020. "Do Tense Geopolitical Factors Drive Crude Oil Prices?," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-20, August.
  65. Xie, Gang & Qian, Yatong & Wang, Shouyang, 2020. "A decomposition-ensemble approach for tourism forecasting," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
  66. Ju, Keyi & Zhou, Dequn & Zhou, P. & Wu, Junmin, 2014. "Macroeconomic effects of oil price shocks in China: An empirical study based on Hilbert–Huang transform and event study," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 1053-1066.
  67. Jian Li & Zhenjing Xu & Huijuan Xu & Ling Tang & Lean Yu, 2017. "Forecasting Oil Price Trends with Sentiment of Online News Articles," Asia-Pacific Journal of Operational Research (APJOR), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 34(02), pages 1-22, April.
  68. Rabeh Khalfaoui & Sakiru Adebola Solarin & Adel Al-Qadasi & Sami Ben Jabeur, 2022. "Dynamic causality interplay from COVID-19 pandemic to oil price, stock market, and economic policy uncertainty: evidence from oil-importing and oil-exporting countries," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 313(1), pages 105-143, June.
  69. Zhang, Dingxuan & Sun, Yuying & Duan, Hongbo & Hong, Yongmiao & Wang, Shouyang, 2023. "Speculation or currency? Multi-scale analysis of cryptocurrencies—The case of Bitcoin," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
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  71. Ioannis Dokas & Georgios Oikonomou & Minas Panagiotidis & Eleftherios Spyromitros, 2023. "Macroeconomic and Uncertainty Shocks’ Effects on Energy Prices: A Comprehensive Literature Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-35, February.
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  74. Helong Li & Guanglong Xu & Qin Huang & Rubin Ruan & Weiguo Zhang, 2024. "COVID-19 Impact on Stock Markets: A Multiscale Event Analysis Perspective," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 63(3), pages 1191-1212, March.
  75. Kai Wu & E Bai & Hejie Zhu & Zhijiang Lu & Hongxin Zhu, 2023. "Can Green Credit Policy Promote the High-Quality Development of China’s Heavily-Polluting Enterprises?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-27, May.
  76. Qi Zhang & Yi Hu & Jianbin Jiao & Shouyang Wang, 2022. "Exploring the Trend of Commodity Prices: A Review and Bibliometric Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-22, August.
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  79. Zhang, Zhikai & Wang, Yudong & Li, Bin, 2023. "Asymmetric spillover of geopolitical risk and oil price volatility: A global perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
  80. Zhang, Zhikai & He, Mengxi & Zhang, Yaojie & Wang, Yudong, 2022. "Geopolitical risk trends and crude oil price predictability," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 258(C).
  81. Liang, Chao & Wang, Lu & Duong, Duy, 2024. "More attention and better volatility forecast accuracy: How does war attention affect stock volatility predictability?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 218(C), pages 1-19.
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  84. Geng, Jiang-Bo & Ji, Qiang & Fan, Ying, 2017. "The relationship between regional natural gas markets and crude oil markets from a multi-scale nonlinear Granger causality perspective," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 98-110.
  85. Li, Xuerong & Shang, Wei & Wang, Shouyang, 2019. "Text-based crude oil price forecasting: A deep learning approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1548-1560.
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  88. He, Huizi & Sun, Mei & Gao, Cuixia & Li, Xiuming, 2021. "Detecting lag linkage effect between economic policy uncertainty and crude oil price: A multi-scale perspective," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 580(C).
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