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The motorcycle Kuznets curve

Author

Listed:
  • Shuhei Nishitateno
  • Paul J. Burke

Abstract

The evolution of motorcycle ownership is a crucial issue for road safety, as motorcyclists are highly vulnerable road users. Analyzing a panel of 153 countries for the period 1963-2010, we document a motorcycle Kuznets curve which sees motorcycle dependence increase and then decrease as economies develop. Upswings in motorcycle ownership are particularly pronounced in densely populated countries. We also present macro-level evidence on the additional road fatalities associated with motorcycles. Our results indicate that many low-income countries face the prospect of an increasing number of motorcycle-related deaths over coming years unless adequate safety initiatives are implemented.

Suggested Citation

  • Shuhei Nishitateno & Paul J. Burke, 2014. "The motorcycle Kuznets curve," Departmental Working Papers 2014-04, The Australian National University, Arndt-Corden Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:pas:papers:2014-04
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Yi-Xuan Gao & Hua Liao & Paul J. Burke & Yi-Ming Wei, 2015. "Road transport energy consumption in the G7 and BRICS: 1973-2010," International Journal of Global Energy Issues, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 38(4/5/6), pages 342-356.
    2. Rohan Best & Paul J. Burke, 2019. "Fuel prices and road accident outcomes in New Zealand," New Zealand Economic Papers, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(2), pages 109-124, May.
    3. Paul J. Burke & Shuhei Nishitateno, 2015. "Gasoline Prices And Road Fatalities: International Evidence," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 53(3), pages 1437-1450, July.
    4. Paul J. Burke & Ataklti Teame, 2018. "Fuel Prices and Road Deaths in Australia," Economic Papers, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 37(2), pages 146-161, June.
    5. Bastos Suzana Quinet Andrade & Gama Fabio & de Paula Assis Tiana & Milosz Matheus, 2020. "Is there a relationship between the use of motorcycles and the level of development of countries?," Bulletin of Geography. Socio-economic Series, Sciendo, vol. 50(50), pages 43-53, December.
    6. Stefan Bakker & Kathleen Dematera Contreras & Monica Kappiantari & Nguyen Anh Tuan & Marie Danielle Guillen & Gessarin Gunthawong & Mark Zuidgeest & Duncan Liefferink & Martin Van Maarseveen, 2017. "Low-Carbon Transport Policy in Four ASEAN Countries: Developments in Indonesia, the Philippines, Thailand and Vietnam," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(7), pages 1-17, July.
    7. Wadud, Zia, 2020. "The effects of e-ridehailing on motorcycle ownership in an emerging-country megacity," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 137(C), pages 301-312.
    8. Sławomir Dorocki & Dorota Wantuch-Matla, 2021. "Power Two-Wheelers as an Element of Sustainable Urban Mobility in Europe," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-25, June.
    9. Srikant Devaraj & Pankaj C Patel, 2016. "Gas Prices and Red light Violations in Chicago," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 36(3), pages 1844-1853.
    10. Chapala, Sai Bharath Kumar & Nair, Preetha & Sreekumar, M. & Bhavathrathan, B.K., 2024. "A dynamic traffic assignment framework for policy analysis in cities with significant share of two-wheelers," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 147(C), pages 125-139.
    11. Navarro-Moreno, José & de Oña, Juan & Calvo-Poyo, Francisco, 2023. "How do road infrastructure investments affect Powered Two-Wheelers crash risk?," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 60-73.
    12. Zhilun Jiao & Muhammad Shafiullah & Usman Khalid & Malin Song & Muhammad Shahbaz, 2024. "The economic growth–travel frequency nexus in China: Importance of the transport Kuznets curve," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 47(3), pages 898-929, March.
    13. Singfat Chu, 2018. "Singapore’s Vehicle Quota System and its impact on motorcycles," Transportation, Springer, vol. 45(5), pages 1419-1432, September.
    14. Guilherme Mendes Resende & Ricardo Carvalho de Andrade Lima, 2018. "Working Paper 01/2018 - Competition Effects of the Sharing Economy in Brazil: Has Uber's entry affected the cab-hailing app market from 2014 to 2016?," Documentos de Trabalho 2018011, Conselho Administrativo de Defesa Econômica (Cade), Departamento de Estudos Econômicos.
    15. Marquet, Oriol & Miralles-Guasch, Carme, 2016. "City of Motorcycles. On how objective and subjective factors are behind the rise of two-wheeled mobility in Barcelona," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 37-45.
    16. Law, Teik Hua & Hamid, Hussain & Goh, Chia Ning, 2015. "The motorcycle to passenger car ownership ratio and economic growth: A cross-country analysis," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 122-128.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    motorcycles; economic development; Kuznets curve; road safety; road fatalities;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R41 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Transportation Economics - - - Transportation: Demand, Supply, and Congestion; Travel Time; Safety and Accidents; Transportation Noise
    • O18 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis; Housing; Infrastructure
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy

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