Herman O. Stekler
(deceased)Personal Details
First Name: | Herman |
Middle Name: | O. |
Last Name: | Stekler |
Suffix: | |
RePEc Short-ID: | pst377 |
This person is deceased (Date: 04 Sep 2018) |
Research output
Jump to: Working papers Articles ChaptersWorking papers
- Jacob T. Jones & Tara M. Sinclair & Herman O. Stekler, 2018.
"A Textual Analysis of the Bank of England Growth Forecasts,"
Working Papers
2018-005, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting, revised May 2019.
- Jones, Jacob T. & Sinclair, Tara M. & Stekler, Herman O., 2020. "A textual analysis of Bank of England growth forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 1478-1487.
- Paul Goodwin & Dilek Önkal & Herman O. Stekler, 2017.
"What if you are not Bayesian? The consequences for decisions involving risk,"
Working Papers
2017-003, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Goodwin, Paul & Önkal, Dilek & Stekler, Herman O., 2018. "What if you are not Bayesian? The consequences for decisions involving risk," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 266(1), pages 238-246.
- Gabriel Mathy & Herman O. Stekler, 2017.
"Was the Deflation of the Depression Anticipated? An Inference Using Real-time Data,"
Working Papers
2017-004, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Gabriel Mathy & Herman Stekler, 2018. "Was the deflation of the depression anticipated? An inference using real-time data," Journal of Economic Methodology, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(2), pages 117-125, April.
- Gabriel Mathy & Herman O. Stekler, 2016.
"Expectations and Forecasting during the Great Depression: Real-Time Evidence from the Business Press,"
Working Papers
2016-011, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Mathy, Gabriel & Stekler, Herman, 2017. "Expectations and forecasting during the Great Depression: Real-time evidence from the business press," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 1-15.
- Herman O. Stekler & Tianyu Ye, 2016.
"Evaluating a Leading Indicator: An Application: the Term Spread,"
Working Papers
2016-004, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Herman O. Stekler & Tianyu Ye, 2017. "Evaluating a leading indicator: an application—the term spread," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 183-194, August.
- Kevin Kovacs & Bryan Boulier & Herman O. Stekler, 2016. "Nowcasting German Turning Points Using CUSUM Analysis," Working Papers 2016-014, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Jin Ho Kim & Herman O. Stekler, 2016.
"Evaluating a Long-run Forecast: The World Bank Poverty Forecasts,"
Working Papers
2016-009, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Jin Ho Kim & Herman O Stekler, 2017. "Evaluating a long-run forecast: The World Bank poverty forecasts," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 37(2), pages 1151-1159.
- Herman O. Stekler & Yongchen Zhao, 2016.
"Predicting U.S. Business Cycle Turning Points Using Real-Time Diffusion Indexes Based on a Large Data Set,"
Working Papers
2016-006, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Yongchen Zhao, 2020. "Predicting U.S. Business Cycle Turning Points Using Real-Time Diffusion Indexes Based on a Large Data Set," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 16(2), pages 77-97, November.
- Herman Stekler & Yongchen Zhao, 2016. "Predicting U.S. Business Cycle Turning Points Using Real-Time Diffusion Indexes Based on a Large Data Set," Working Papers 2016-15, Towson University, Department of Economics, revised Sep 2016.
- Hans Christian Müller-Dröge & Tara M. Sinclair & H.O. Stekler, 2014.
"Evaluating Forecasts of a Vector of Variables: a German Forecasting Competition,"
CAMA Working Papers
2014-55, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Hans Christian Müller-Dröge & Tara M. Sinclair & Herman O. Stekler, 2014. "Evaluating Forecasts Of A Vector Of Variables: A German Forecasting Competition," Working Papers 2014-004, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Tara M. Sinclair & Hans Christian Müller-Dröge & Herman Stekler, 2014. "Evaluating Forecasts of a Vector of Variables: A German Forecasting Competition," Working Papers 2014-17, The George Washington University, Institute for International Economic Policy.
- Herman O. Stekler & Hilary Symington, 2014. "How Did The Fomc View The Great Recession As It Was Happening?: Evaluating The Minutes From Fomc Meetings, 2006-2010," Working Papers 2014-005, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Jeff Messina & Tara M. Sinclair & Herman O. Stekler, 2014.
"What Can We Learn From Revisions To The Greenbook Forecasts?,"
Working Papers
2014-003, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Messina, Jeffrey D. & Sinclair, Tara M. & Stekler, Herman, 2015. "What can we learn from revisions to the Greenbook forecasts?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 54-62.
- Tara M. Sinclair & Jeff Messina & Herman Stekler, 2014. "What Can We Learn From Revisions to the Greenbook Forecasts?," Working Papers 2014-14, The George Washington University, Institute for International Economic Policy.
- Tara M. Sinclair & H.O. Stekler & Warren Carnow, 2012.
"Evaluating A Vector Of The Fed’S Forecasts,"
Working Papers
2012-002, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Sinclair, Tara M. & Stekler, H.O. & Carnow, Warren, 2015. "Evaluating a vector of the Fed’s forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 157-164.
- Tara Sinclair & Herman O. Stekler & Warren Carrow, 2012. "Evaluating a Vector of the Fed's Forecasts," Working Papers 2012-3, The George Washington University, Institute for International Economic Policy.
- Tara M. Sinclair & H.O. Stekler & Warren Carnow, 2012.
"A New Approach For Evaluating Economic Forecasts,"
Working Papers
2012-004, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Tara M. Sinclair & H. O. Stekler & Warren Carnow, 2012. "A new approach for evaluating economic forecasts," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 32(3), pages 2332-2342.
- Tara Sinclair & Herman O. Stekler & Warren Carnow, 2012. "A New Approach For Evaluating Economic Forecasts," Working Papers 2012-2, The George Washington University, Institute for International Economic Policy.
- Herman O. Stekler & Raj M. Talwar, 2011. "Economic Forecasting in the Great Recession," Working Papers 2011-005, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Tara M. Sinclair & H.O. Stekler, 2011. "Differences in Early GDP Component Estimates Between Recession and Expansion," Working Papers 2011-05, The George Washington University, Institute for International Economic Policy.
- Ms. Natalia T. Tamirisa & Mr. Prakash Loungani & Mr. Herman O. Stekler, 2011.
"Information Rigidity in Growth Forecasts: Some Cross-Country Evidence,"
IMF Working Papers
2011/125, International Monetary Fund.
- Loungani, Prakash & Stekler, Herman & Tamirisa, Natalia, 2013. "Information rigidity in growth forecasts: Some cross-country evidence," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 605-621.
- H.O. Stekler & Andrew Klein, 2011.
"Predicting the Outcomes of NCAA Basketball Championship Games,"
Working Papers
2011-003, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Stekler Herman O. & Klein Andrew, 2012. "Predicting the Outcomes of NCAA Basketball Championship Games," Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, De Gruyter, vol. 8(1), pages 1-10, March.
- Kathryn Lundquist & H.O. Stekler, 2011. "The Forecasting Performance of Business Economists During the Great Recession," Working Papers 2011-004, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Tara M. Sinclair & H.O. Stekler, 2011.
"Examining the Quality of Early GDP Component Estimates,"
Working Papers
2011-001, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting, revised Dec 2011.
- Sinclair, Tara M. & Stekler, H.O., 2013. "Examining the quality of early GDP component estimates," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 736-750.
- Ullrich Heilemann & Herman Stekler, 2010. "Perspectives on Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts," Working Papers 2010-002, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Ullrich Heilemann & Herman O. Stekler, 2010.
"Has the Accuracy of German Macroeconomic Forecasts Improved?,"
Working Papers
2010-001, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting, revised Feb 2012.
- Heilemann, Ullrich & Stekler, H. O., 2003. "Has the accuracy of German macroeconomic forecasts improved?," Technical Reports 2003,31, Technische Universität Dortmund, Sonderforschungsbereich 475: Komplexitätsreduktion in multivariaten Datenstrukturen.
- Tara M. Sinclair & Fred Joutz & Herman O. Stekler, 2009.
"Can the Fed Predict the State of the Economy?,"
Working Papers
2009-001, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting, revised Mar 2010.
- Sinclair, Tara M. & Joutz, Fred & Stekler, H.O., 2010. "Can the Fed predict the state of the economy?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 108(1), pages 28-32, July.
- Tara Sinclair & Frederick L. Joutz, 2009. "Can the Fed Predict the State of the Economy?," Working Papers 2008-06, The George Washington University, Institute for International Economic Policy.
- Tara Sinclair & H.O. Stekler & Elizabeth Reid & Edward N. Gamber, 2009. "Jointly Evaluating GDP and Inflation Forcasts in the Context of the Taylor Rule," Working Papers 2008-05, The George Washington University, Institute for International Economic Policy.
- Bryan L. Boulier & Herman O. Stekler & Jason Coburn & Timothy Rankins, 2009.
"Evaluating National Football League Draft Choices: The Passing Game,"
Working Papers
2009-003, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Boulier, Bryan L. & Stekler, H.O. & Coburn, Jason & Rankins, Timothy, 2010. "Evaluating National Football League draft choices: The passing game," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 26(3), pages 589-605, July.
- Herman O. Stekler & David Sendor & Richard Verlander, 2009.
"Issues in Sports Forecasting,"
Working Papers
2009-002, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Stekler, H.O. & Sendor, David & Verlander, Richard, 2010. "Issues in sports forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 26(3), pages 606-621, July.
- Tara M. Sinclair & Fred Joutz & Herman O. Stekler, 2008. "Are 'unbiased' forecasts really unbiased? Another look at the Fed forecasts," Working Papers 2008-010, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Herman O. Stekler, 2008. "What Do We Know About G-7 Macro Forecasts?," Working Papers 2008-009, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Tara M. Sinclair & Edward N. Gamber & H.O. Stekler & Elizabeth Reid, 2008.
"Jointly Evaluating the Federal Reserve’s Forecasts of GDP Growth and Inflation,"
Working Papers
2008-002, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting, revised Mar 2011.
- Sinclair, Tara M. & Gamber, Edward N. & Stekler, Herman & Reid, Elizabeth, 2012. "Jointly evaluating the Federal Reserve’s forecasts of GDP growth and inflation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(2), pages 309-314.
- Herman O. Stekler, 2008. "Evaluating Consensus Forecasts," Working Papers 2008-007, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- ChiUng Song & Bryan L. Boulier & Herman O. Stekler, 2008.
"Measuring Consensus in Binary Forecasts: NFL Game Predictions,"
Working Papers
2008-006, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Song, ChiUng & Boulier, Bryan L. & Stekler, Herman O., 2009. "Measuring consensus in binary forecasts: NFL game predictions," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 25(1), pages 182-191.
- H.O. Stekler & Kazuta Sakamoto, 2008.
"Evaluating Current Year Forecasts Made During the Year: A Japanese Example,"
Working Papers
2008-005, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- H. O. Stekler & Kazuta Sakamoto, 2010. "Evaluating current-year forecasts made during the year: a Japanese example," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(7), pages 673-676.
- Herman O. Stekler, 2007.
"Sports Forecasting,"
Working Papers
2007-001, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting, revised Jan 2007.
- Vaughan Williams, Leighton & Stekler, Herman O., 2010. "Sports forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 26(3), pages 445-447, July.
- Kajal Lahiri & Herman O. Stekler & Wenxiong Yao & Peg Young, 2003. "Monthly Output Index for the U.S. Transportation Sector," Discussion Papers 03-12, University at Albany, SUNY, Department of Economics.
- Herman O. Stekler, 1969. "Some problems in forecasting inventory investment," Staff Studies 52, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Herman O. Stekler, 1969. "Economic forecasts: evaluation procedures and results," Staff Studies 51, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
Articles
- Jones, Jacob T. & Sinclair, Tara M. & Stekler, Herman O., 2020.
"A textual analysis of Bank of England growth forecasts,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 1478-1487.
- Jacob T. Jones & Tara M. Sinclair & Herman O. Stekler, 2018. "A Textual Analysis of the Bank of England Growth Forecasts," Working Papers 2018-005, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting, revised May 2019.
- Goodwin, Paul & Önkal, Dilek & Stekler, Herman O., 2018.
"What if you are not Bayesian? The consequences for decisions involving risk,"
European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 266(1), pages 238-246.
- Paul Goodwin & Dilek Önkal & Herman O. Stekler, 2017. "What if you are not Bayesian? The consequences for decisions involving risk," Working Papers 2017-003, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Gabriel Mathy & Herman Stekler, 2018.
"Was the deflation of the depression anticipated? An inference using real-time data,"
Journal of Economic Methodology, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(2), pages 117-125, April.
- Gabriel Mathy & Herman O. Stekler, 2017. "Was the Deflation of the Depression Anticipated? An Inference Using Real-time Data," Working Papers 2017-004, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Kovacs Kevin & Boulier Bryan & Stekler Herman, 2017. "Nowcasting: Identifying German Cyclical Turning Points," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 237(4), pages 329-341, August.
- Herman O. Stekler & Tianyu Ye, 2017.
"Evaluating a leading indicator: an application—the term spread,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 183-194, August.
- Herman O. Stekler & Tianyu Ye, 2016. "Evaluating a Leading Indicator: An Application: the Term Spread," Working Papers 2016-004, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Jin Ho Kim & Herman O Stekler, 2017.
"Evaluating a long-run forecast: The World Bank poverty forecasts,"
Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 37(2), pages 1151-1159.
- Jin Ho Kim & Herman O. Stekler, 2016. "Evaluating a Long-run Forecast: The World Bank Poverty Forecasts," Working Papers 2016-009, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Mathy, Gabriel & Stekler, Herman, 2017.
"Expectations and forecasting during the Great Depression: Real-time evidence from the business press,"
Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 1-15.
- Gabriel Mathy & Herman O. Stekler, 2016. "Expectations and Forecasting during the Great Depression: Real-Time Evidence from the Business Press," Working Papers 2016-011, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Stekler, Herman & Symington, Hilary, 2016. "Evaluating qualitative forecasts: The FOMC minutes, 2006–2010," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 559-570.
- Messina, Jeffrey D. & Sinclair, Tara M. & Stekler, Herman, 2015.
"What can we learn from revisions to the Greenbook forecasts?,"
Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 54-62.
- Jeff Messina & Tara M. Sinclair & Herman O. Stekler, 2014. "What Can We Learn From Revisions To The Greenbook Forecasts?," Working Papers 2014-003, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Tara M. Sinclair & Jeff Messina & Herman Stekler, 2014. "What Can We Learn From Revisions to the Greenbook Forecasts?," Working Papers 2014-14, The George Washington University, Institute for International Economic Policy.
- Sinclair, Tara M. & Stekler, H.O. & Carnow, Warren, 2015.
"Evaluating a vector of the Fed’s forecasts,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 157-164.
- Tara Sinclair & Herman O. Stekler & Warren Carrow, 2012. "Evaluating a Vector of the Fed's Forecasts," Working Papers 2012-3, The George Washington University, Institute for International Economic Policy.
- Tara M. Sinclair & H.O. Stekler & Warren Carnow, 2012. "Evaluating A Vector Of The Fed’S Forecasts," Working Papers 2012-002, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Hutson, Mark & Joutz, Fred & Stekler, Herman, 2014. "Interpreting and evaluating CESIfo's World Economic Survey directional forecasts," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 6-11.
- Loungani, Prakash & Stekler, Herman & Tamirisa, Natalia, 2013.
"Information rigidity in growth forecasts: Some cross-country evidence,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 605-621.
- Ms. Natalia T. Tamirisa & Mr. Prakash Loungani & Mr. Herman O. Stekler, 2011. "Information Rigidity in Growth Forecasts: Some Cross-Country Evidence," IMF Working Papers 2011/125, International Monetary Fund.
- H.O. Stekler & Huixia Zhang, 2013. "An evaluation of Chinese economic forecasts," Journal of Chinese Economic and Business Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(4), pages 251-259, November.
- Herman O Stekler & Raj M Talwar, 2013. "Forecasting the Downturn of the Great Recession," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 48(2), pages 113-120, April.
- Sinclair, Tara M. & Stekler, H.O., 2013.
"Examining the quality of early GDP component estimates,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 736-750.
- Tara M. Sinclair & H.O. Stekler, 2011. "Examining the Quality of Early GDP Component Estimates," Working Papers 2011-001, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting, revised Dec 2011.
- Ullrich Heilemann & Herman O. Stekler, 2013.
"Has The Accuracy of Macroeconomic Forecasts for Germany Improved?,"
German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 14(2), pages 235-253, May.
- Heilemann Ullrich & Stekler Herman O., 2013. "Has The Accuracy of Macroeconomic Forecasts for Germany Improved?," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, vol. 14(2), pages 235-253, May.
- Tara M. Sinclair & H. O. Stekler & Warren Carnow, 2012.
"A new approach for evaluating economic forecasts,"
Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 32(3), pages 2332-2342.
- Tara M. Sinclair & H.O. Stekler & Warren Carnow, 2012. "A New Approach For Evaluating Economic Forecasts," Working Papers 2012-004, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Tara Sinclair & Herman O. Stekler & Warren Carnow, 2012. "A New Approach For Evaluating Economic Forecasts," Working Papers 2012-2, The George Washington University, Institute for International Economic Policy.
- Kathryn Lundquist & Herman O Stekler, 2012. "Interpreting the Performance of Business Economists During the Great Recession," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 47(2), pages 148-154, April.
- Sinclair, Tara M. & Gamber, Edward N. & Stekler, Herman & Reid, Elizabeth, 2012.
"Jointly evaluating the Federal Reserve’s forecasts of GDP growth and inflation,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(2), pages 309-314.
- Tara M. Sinclair & Edward N. Gamber & H.O. Stekler & Elizabeth Reid, 2008. "Jointly Evaluating the Federal Reserve’s Forecasts of GDP Growth and Inflation," Working Papers 2008-002, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting, revised Mar 2011.
- Stekler Herman O. & Klein Andrew, 2012.
"Predicting the Outcomes of NCAA Basketball Championship Games,"
Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, De Gruyter, vol. 8(1), pages 1-10, March.
- H.O. Stekler & Andrew Klein, 2011. "Predicting the Outcomes of NCAA Basketball Championship Games," Working Papers 2011-003, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Leighton Vaughan Williams & Blake Saville & Herman Stekler, 2011. "Do Polls Or Markets Forecast Better? Evidence From The 2010 Us Senate Elections," Journal of Prediction Markets, University of Buckingham Press, vol. 5(3), pages 64-74.
- Tara Sinclair & H. O. Stekler & L. Kitzinger, 2010. "Directional forecasts of GDP and inflation: a joint evaluation with an application to Federal Reserve predictions," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(18), pages 2289-2297.
- Vaughan Williams, Leighton & Stekler, Herman O., 2010.
"Sports forecasting,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 26(3), pages 445-447, July.
- Herman O. Stekler, 2007. "Sports Forecasting," Working Papers 2007-001, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting, revised Jan 2007.
- H. O. Stekler & Kazuta Sakamoto, 2010.
"Evaluating current-year forecasts made during the year: a Japanese example,"
Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(7), pages 673-676.
- H.O. Stekler & Kazuta Sakamoto, 2008. "Evaluating Current Year Forecasts Made During the Year: A Japanese Example," Working Papers 2008-005, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Sinclair, Tara M. & Joutz, Fred & Stekler, H.O., 2010.
"Can the Fed predict the state of the economy?,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 108(1), pages 28-32, July.
- Tara Sinclair & Frederick L. Joutz, 2009. "Can the Fed Predict the State of the Economy?," Working Papers 2008-06, The George Washington University, Institute for International Economic Policy.
- Tara M. Sinclair & Fred Joutz & Herman O. Stekler, 2009. "Can the Fed Predict the State of the Economy?," Working Papers 2009-001, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting, revised Mar 2010.
- Boulier, Bryan L. & Stekler, H.O. & Coburn, Jason & Rankins, Timothy, 2010.
"Evaluating National Football League draft choices: The passing game,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 26(3), pages 589-605, July.
- Bryan L. Boulier & Herman O. Stekler & Jason Coburn & Timothy Rankins, 2009. "Evaluating National Football League Draft Choices: The Passing Game," Working Papers 2009-003, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Stekler, H.O. & Sendor, David & Verlander, Richard, 2010.
"Issues in sports forecasting,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 26(3), pages 606-621, July.
- Herman O. Stekler & David Sendor & Richard Verlander, 2009. "Issues in Sports Forecasting," Working Papers 2009-002, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Sinclair, Tara M. & Stekler, H.O., 2009. "Forecast evaluation of AveAve forecasts in the global VAR context," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 25(4), pages 693-696, October.
- Song, ChiUng & Boulier, Bryan L. & Stekler, Herman O., 2009.
"Measuring consensus in binary forecasts: NFL game predictions,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 25(1), pages 182-191.
- ChiUng Song & Bryan L. Boulier & Herman O. Stekler, 2008. "Measuring Consensus in Binary Forecasts: NFL Game Predictions," Working Papers 2008-006, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Heilemann, Ullrich & Stekler, Herman, 2007. "Introduction to "The future of macroeconomic forecasting"," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 159-165.
- Song, ChiUng & Boulier, Bryan L. & Stekler, Herman O., 2007. "The comparative accuracy of judgmental and model forecasts of American football games," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 23(3), pages 405-413.
- Fred Joutz & Michael P. Clements & Herman O. Stekler, 2007. "An evaluation of the forecasts of the federal reserve: a pooled approach," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(1), pages 121-136.
- Stekler, H.O., 2007. "Significance tests harm progress in forecasting: Comment," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 329-330.
- Stekler, H.O., 2007. "The future of macroeconomic forecasting: Understanding the forecasting process," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 237-248.
- Stekler, H.O., 2006. "Ray C. Fair, Estimating How the Economy Works, Harvard University Press, Cambridge MA, USA (2004) ISBN 0674-01546-0 295 pp., $65," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(2), pages 409-410.
- Bryan Boulier & H. O. Stekler & Sarah Amundson, 2006. "Testing the efficiency of the National Football League betting market," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(3), pages 279-284.
- Koning, Alex J. & Franses, Philip Hans & Hibon, Michele & Stekler, H.O., 2005. "The M3 competition: Statistical tests of the results," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 21(3), pages 397-409.
- Robert Goldfarb & H. O. Stekler & Joel David, 2005. "Methodological issues in forecasting: Insights from the egregious business forecast errors of late 1930," Journal of Economic Methodology, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(4), pages 517-542.
- Stekler, H. O. & Petrei, G., 2003. "Diagnostics for evaluating the value and rationality of economic forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 19(4), pages 735-742.
- Boulier, Bryan L. & Stekler, H. O., 2003. "Predicting the outcomes of National Football League games," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 19(2), pages 257-270.
- Stekler, H. O., 2003. "Improving our ability to predict the unusual event," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 19(2), pages 161-163.
- Fildes, Robert & Stekler, Herman, 2002. "The state of macroeconomic forecasting," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 24(4), pages 435-468, December.
- Robert S. Goldfarb & H. O. Stekler, 2002. "Wheat from Chaff: Meta-Analysis as Quantitative Literature Review: Comment," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 16(3), pages 225-226, Summer.
- Fildes, Robert & Stekler, Herman, 2002. "Reply to the comments on 'The state of macroeconomic forecasting'," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 24(4), pages 503-505, December.
- Robert S. Goldfarb & H. O. Stekler, 2001. "Combining the Results of rationality Studies: What Did We know and When Did We know It?," Indian Economic Review, Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics, vol. 36(1), pages 269-300, January.
- Stekler, H. O., 2001. "Irrational Exuberance: Robert Shiller, Princeton University Press, Princeton, 2000. Hardcover, 296 pages, ISBN 0-691-05062-7, $27.95," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 17(2), pages 295-297.
- Bryan L. Boulier & H. O. Stekler & Jeremy Dutra, 2001. "Measuring the Onset of the Great Depression: Then and Now," Indian Economic Review, Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics, vol. 36(1), pages 137-151, January.
- Boulier, Bryan L. & Stekler, H. O., 2000. "The term spread as a monthly cyclical indicator: an evaluation," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 66(1), pages 79-83, January.
- Robert S. Goldfarb & H. O. Stekler, 2000. "Why Do Empirical Results Change? Forecasts as Tests of Rational Expectations," History of Political Economy, Duke University Press, vol. 32(5), pages 95-116, Supplemen.
- Joutz, Fred & Stekler, H. O., 2000. "An evaluation of the predictions of the Federal Reserve," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 16(1), pages 17-38.
- Stekler, Herman O., 2000. "Book review," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 16(1), pages 137-138.
- Boulier, Bryan L. & Stekler, H. O., 1999. "Are sports seedings good predictors?: an evaluation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 15(1), pages 83-91, February.
- Joutz, Frederick L. & Stekler, H. O., 1999. "An Evaluation of Federal Reserve Forecasting: Comment," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 179-187, January.
- Fintzen, David & Stekler, H. O., 1999. "Why did forecasters fail to predict the 1990 recession?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 15(3), pages 309-323, July.
- Frederick Joutz & H. O. Stekler, 1998. "Data revisions and forecasting," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(8), pages 1011-1016.
- M. H. Schnader & H. O. Stekler, 1998. "Sources of turning point forecast errors," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(8), pages 519-521.
- Stekler, H. O., 1997. "Diagnosing unemployment : Edmond Malinvaud, (Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 1994), pp. 156, $34.95, ISBN 0-521-44533-7," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 13(2), pages 299-299, June.
- Robert S. Goldfarb & H. O. Stekler, 1996. "Information Problems for Policy Analysis and Forecasting," Eastern Economic Journal, Eastern Economic Association, vol. 22(1), pages 47-56, Winter.
- Kolb, R. A. & Stekler, H. O., 1996. "Is there a consensus among financial forecasters?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 12(4), pages 455-464, December.
- Stekler, H. O., 1995. "Kiplinger's looking ahead: 70 years of forecasts from the Kiplinger Washington letter : 1993, (Kiplinger Books, Washington, DC) $29.95, ISBN 0-938721-31-3," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 11(3), pages 492-493, September.
- Stekler, H. O. & Beckstead, R. W., 1995. "Modeling fully employed economies," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 12(2), pages 205-210, April.
- Stekler, H. O., 1994. "Dating turning points in the business cycle: Michael D. Boldin, Journal of business, 67, 97-131," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 10(3), pages 475-475, November.
- Fildes, Robert & Stekler, Herman, 1994. "Introduction," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 10(4), pages 609-609, December.
- Stekler, H. O., 1994. "Business cycles, indicators, and forecasting : James H. Stock and Mark W. Watson, (eds.), 1994, National Bureau of Economic Research, studies in business cycles, vol. 28, (University of Chicago pres," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 10(2), pages 385-386, September.
- Stekler, H. O., 1993. "Forecasting elections : Michael S. Lewis-Beck and Tom W. Rice, 1992, (CQ Press, Washington, DC), 163 pp., paperback $18.95, ISBN 0-8718 7-600-0," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 9(2), pages 274-275, August.
- Kolb, R. A. & Stekler, H. O., 1993. "Are economic forecasts significantly better than naive predictions? An appropriate test," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 9(1), pages 117-120, April.
- Stekler, H. O., 1992. "Comparative performance of U.S. econometric models : Lawrence R. Klein, (ed.), (Oxford University Press, New York, 1991) pp. 325, $45.00," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 7(4), pages 539-540, March.
- Schnader, M. H. & Stekler, H. O., 1991. "Do consensus forecasts exist?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 7(2), pages 165-170, August.
- Stekler, H. O., 1991. "Market and survey forecasts of the three-month treasury bill rate : R.W. Hafer, Scott E. Hein and S. Scott MacDonald, Journal of Business (1991) forthcoming," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 7(2), pages 252-253, August.
- Stekler, H. O., 1991. "Macroeconomic forecast evaluation techniques," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 7(3), pages 375-384, November.
- Schnader, M H & Stekler, H O, 1990. "Evaluating Predictions of Change," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 63(1), pages 99-107, January.
- Stekler, H. O., 1990. "Forecasting industrial bottlenecks : An analysis of alternative approaches," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 7(3), pages 263-274, July.
- Stekler, H. O., 1990. "Forecasting methods for management : Spyros Makridakis and Steven C. Wheelwright, Fifth Edition (Wiley, New York, 1989), pp. 470, $52.95 (hard), $27.15, [UK pound]15.95 (soft)," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 6(4), pages 563-564, December.
- Kolb, R. A. & Stekler, H. O., 1990. "The lead and accuracy of macroeconomic forecasts," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 12(1), pages 111-123.
- Stekler, H. O., 1989. "Econometrics and structural change : Lyle D. Broemeling and Hiroki Tsurumi, (Marcel Dekker, New York, 1987) pp. 266, $59.75," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 5(2), pages 289-290.
- Stekler, Herman O., 1988. "Who forecasts better? : Herman O. Stekler, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 5 (1987) 155-158," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 4(4), pages 631-631.
- Lee, Douglas & Stekler, H. O., 1987. "Modeling high levels of defense expenditures: A Vietnam," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 9(3), pages 437-453.
- Stekler, H O, 1987. "Who Forecasts Better? [Economic Forecasts and Their Assessment]," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 5(1), pages 155-158, January.
- Thomas, R. William & Stekler, H. O., 1983. "A regional forecasting model for construction activity," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 13(4), pages 557-577, November.
- Stekler, H. O. & Thomas, R. William, 1981. "Employment impact of public construction," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 7(3), pages 295-299.
- Stekler, H. O. & Thomas, R. William, 1980. "Forecasts of a regional construction model : An evaluation," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 6(4), pages 387-392.
- Thomas, R. William & Stekler, H. O., 1979. "Forecasts of construction activity for states," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 4(2), pages 195-199.
- Stekler, L. E. & Stekler, H. O., 1979. "Data revisions in the U.S. international transactions statistics," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 4(1), pages 45-49.
- S. S. L. Chang & H. O. Stekler, 1976. "Optimal Stabilization Policies for Deterministic and Stochastic Linear Systems: Comments," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 43(1), pages 185-190.
- Stekler, H. O., 1976. "Economic forecasting and contracyclical stabilization policy," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 5(3-4), pages 225-236.
- Stekler, H O, 1976. "The Savings Rate as a Tool of Economic Analysis," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 49(2), pages 189-193, April.
- Stekler, H O, 1975. "Why do Forecasters Underestimate?," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 13(3), pages 445-449, September.
- Stekler, H O, 1974. "An Analysis of Turning Point Forecasts: A Polite Reply," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 64(4), pages 728-729, September.
- Stekler, H O, 1972. "An Analysis of Turning Point Forecasts," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 62(4), pages 724-729, September.
- Enzler, Jared J & Stekler, H O, 1971. "An Analysis of the 1968-69 Economic Forecasts," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 44(3), pages 271-281, July.
- Stekler, H O, 1969. "Evaluation of Econometric Inventory Forecasts," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 51(1), pages 77-83, February.
- H. O. Stekler, 1968. "Forecasting the GNP Price Deflator," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 41, pages 431-431.
- H. O. Stekler, 1968. "An Evaluation of Quarterly Judgmental Economic Forecasts," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 41, pages 329-329.
- H. O. Stekler, 1967. "The Federal Budget as a Short-Term Forecasting Tool," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 40, pages 280-280.
- H. O. Stekler, 1961. "A Simulation of the Forecasting Performance of the Diffusion Index," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 35, pages 196-196.
- Herman Stekler, 1960. "Dealer-Manufacturer Relationship in the Automobile Industry: Comment," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 74(2), pages 330-333.
- S. S. Alexander & H. O. Stekler, 1959.
"Forecasting Industrial Production--Leading Series versus Autoregression,"
Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 67(4), pages 402-402.
RePEc:bla:econom:v:43:y:1976:i:171:p:275-86 is not listed on IDEAS
RePEc:taf:apfiec:v:11:y:2001:i:4:p:403-409 is not listed on IDEAS
Chapters
- S. S. L. Chang & H. O. Stekler, 1977. "Fuzziness in Economic Systems, Its Modeling and Control," NBER Chapters, in: Annals of Economic and Social Measurement, Volume 6, number 2, pages 165-174, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
More information
Research fields, statistics, top rankings, if available.Statistics
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Rankings
This author is among the top 5% authors according to these criteria:- Number of Works
- Number of Distinct Works
- Number of Distinct Works, Weighted by Simple Impact Factor
- Number of Distinct Works, Weighted by Number of Authors
- Number of Distinct Works, Weighted by Number of Authors and Simple Impact Factors
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Co-authorship network on CollEc
NEP Fields
NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 24 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.- NEP-FOR: Forecasting (18) 2009-06-03 2009-06-03 2009-06-03 2009-07-11 2010-03-20 2010-03-20 2010-04-17 2011-09-16 2011-09-16 2011-10-09 2012-03-28 2014-08-09 2014-10-03 2015-05-09 2016-03-06 2016-09-25 2016-10-16 2018-12-03. Author is listed
- NEP-MAC: Macroeconomics (15) 2009-06-03 2010-03-20 2010-04-17 2011-09-16 2014-08-09 2014-10-03 2015-05-09 2015-05-09 2015-06-05 2016-03-06 2016-09-25 2016-10-16 2016-12-04 2017-12-11 2018-12-03. Author is listed
- NEP-CBA: Central Banking (6) 2009-06-03 2009-07-11 2010-03-20 2011-09-16 2011-10-09 2018-12-03. Author is listed
- NEP-MON: Monetary Economics (6) 2009-06-03 2009-07-11 2014-10-03 2015-05-09 2015-06-05 2018-12-03. Author is listed
- NEP-ECM: Econometrics (3) 2009-06-03 2009-06-03 2009-06-03
- NEP-HIS: Business, Economic and Financial History (2) 2011-09-16 2016-12-04
- NEP-CTA: Contract Theory and Applications (1) 2017-10-22
- NEP-ETS: Econometric Time Series (1) 2012-03-28
- NEP-HPE: History and Philosophy of Economics (1) 2017-12-11
- NEP-SPO: Sports and Economics (1) 2010-03-20
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