Report NEP-FOR-2010-04-17

This is the archive for NEP-FOR, a report on new working papers in the area of Forecasting. Rob J Hyndman issued this report. It is usually issued weekly.

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The following items were announced in this report:

• Item repec:dgr:eureir:1765018604 is not listed on IDEAS anymore

• Michael McAleer & Marcelo Cunha Medeiros, 2010. "Forecasting Realized Volatility with Linear and Nonlinear Models," Textos para discussão 568, Department of Economics PUC-Rio (Brazil).
• Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2010. "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-736, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
• Athanasopoulos, George & Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho & Issler, João Victor & Vahid, Farshid, 2010. "Model selection, estimation and forecasting in VAR models with short-run and long-run restrictions," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 704, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
• Anindya Banerjee & Victor Bystrov & Paul Mizen, 2010. "The Response of Retail Interest Rates to Factor Forecasts of Money Market Rates in Major European Economies," Working Papers 025, COMISEF.
• Jürgen Bierbaumer, 2010. "Composite Leading Indicator for the Austrian Economy. Methodology and "Real-time" Performance," WIFO Working Papers 369, WIFO.
• Sylvain Leduc & Keith Sill, 2010. "Expectations and economic fluctuations: an analysis using survey data," Working Paper Series 2010-09, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
• Michael Ryan & Kam Leong Szeto, 2009. "An Introduction to the New Zealand Treasury Model," Treasury Working Paper Series 09/02, New Zealand Treasury.
• Ullrich Heilemann & Herman Stekler, 2010. "Perspectives on Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts," Working Papers 2010-002, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
• Ricardo M. Sousa, 2010. "Time-Varying Expected Returns: Evidence from the U.S. and the U.K," NIPE Working Papers 10/2010, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
• Yu-chin Chen & Kenneth Rogoff & Barbara Rossi, 2009. "Predicting Agri-Commodity Prices: an Asset Pricing Approach," Working Papers UWEC-2010-02, University of Washington, Department of Economics.
• Schaumburg, Julia, 2010. "Predicting extreme VaR: Nonparametric quantile regression with refinements from extreme value theory," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2010-009, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
• A. Schnytzer & M. Lamers & V. Makropoulou & -, 2009. "The Impact of Insider Trading on Forecasting in a Bookmakers' Horse Betting Market," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 09/627, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
• Heij, C. & Franses, Ph.H.B.F., 2010. "Correcting for Survey Effects in Pre-election Polls," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2010-20, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
• Costas Milas & Ruthira Naraidoo, 2009. "Financial Market Conditions, Real Time, Nonlinearity and European Central Bank Monetary Policy: In-Sample and Out-of-Sample Assessment," Working Papers 200923, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.