IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reensy/v241y2024ics0951832023005525.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Combining natural language processing and bayesian networks for the probabilistic estimation of the severity of process safety events in hydrocarbon production assets

Author

Listed:
  • Valcamonico, Dario
  • Baraldi, Piero
  • Zio, Enrico
  • Decarli, Luca
  • Crivellari, Anna
  • Rosa, Laura La

Abstract

This work investigates the possibility of using the information contained in reports describing Process Safety Events (PSEs) occurred in hydrocarbon production assets to support Quantitative Risk Assessment (QRA). Specifically, a novel methodology combining Natural Language Processing (NLP) and Bayesian Networks (BNs) is proposed to estimate the probabilities of having PSEs of various classes of severity and identifying the factors that have mostly influenced their variation along the monitored period. A repository of reports of PSEs of hydrocarbons plants is considered to show the potentialities of the developed methodology. An application to a repository of reports of PSEs of hydrocarbons plants is considered to show the potentialities of the developed methodology. The results obtained in the application show that the proposed methodology allows identifying the critical factors for the severity of the consequences of PSEs. These results show that the framework can be used to inform and guide decisions about possible improvements of the system safety by mitigative and preventive barriers.

Suggested Citation

  • Valcamonico, Dario & Baraldi, Piero & Zio, Enrico & Decarli, Luca & Crivellari, Anna & Rosa, Laura La, 2024. "Combining natural language processing and bayesian networks for the probabilistic estimation of the severity of process safety events in hydrocarbon production assets," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:241:y:2024:i:c:s0951832023005525
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2023.109638
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832023005525
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ress.2023.109638?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Liu, Jintao & Schmid, Felix & Li, Keping & Zheng, Wei, 2021. "A knowledge graph-based approach for exploring railway operational accidents," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 207(C).
    2. Dimaio, F. & Scapinello, O. & Zio, E. & Ciarapica, C. & Cincotta, S. & Crivellari, A. & Decarli, L. & Larosa, L., 2021. "Accounting for Safety Barriers Degradation in the Risk Assessment of Oil and Gas Systems by Multistate Bayesian Networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    3. Song, Bing & Zhang, Zhipeng & Qin, Yong & Liu, Xiang & Hu, Hao, 2022. "Quantitative analysis of freight train derailment severity with structured and unstructured data," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).
    4. Yang, Zhe & Baraldi, Piero & Zio, Enrico, 2020. "A novel method for maintenance record clustering and its application to a case study of maintenance optimization," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Dindar, Serdar & Kaewunruen, Sakdirat & An, Min, 2022. "A hierarchical Bayesian-based model for hazard analysis of climate effect on failures of railway turnout components," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 218(PA).
    2. He, Rui & Zhu, Jingyu & Chen, Guoming & Tian, Zhigang, 2022. "A real-time probabilistic risk assessment method for the petrochemical industry based on data monitoring," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
    3. Chaoxun Cai & Shiyu Tian & Yuefeng Shi & Yongjun Chen & Xiaojian Li, 2024. "Influencing Factors Analysis in Railway Engineering Technological Innovation under Complex and Difficult Areas: A System Dynamics Approach," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-20, June.
    4. Zheng, Xiaohu & Yao, Wen & Xu, Yingchun & Wang, Ning, 2024. "Algorithms for Bayesian network modeling and reliability inference of complex multistate systems with common cause failure," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    5. Yang, Ningning & Wang, Zhijian & Cai, Wenan & Li, Yanfeng, 2023. "Data Regeneration Based on Multiple Degradation Processes for Remaining Useful Life Estimation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    6. Yin, Yuanbo & Yang, Hao & Duan, Pengfei & Li, Luling & Zio, Enrico & Liu, Cuiwei & Li, Yuxing, 2022. "Improved quantitative risk assessment of a natural gas pipeline considering high-consequence areas," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
    7. Braga, Joaquim A.P. & Andrade, António R., 2021. "Multivariate statistical aggregation and dimensionality reduction techniques to improve monitoring and maintenance in railways: The wheelset component," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    8. Singh, Prashant & Pasha, Junayed & Moses, Ren & Sobanjo, John & Ozguven, Eren E. & Dulebenets, Maxim A., 2022. "Development of exact and heuristic optimization methods for safety improvement projects at level crossings under conflicting objectives," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 220(C).
    9. Pinciroli, Luca & Baraldi, Piero & Zio, Enrico, 2023. "Maintenance optimization in industry 4.0," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    10. Sezer, Sukru Ilke & Camliyurt, Gokhan & Aydin, Muhmmet & Akyuz, Emre & Gardoni, Paolo, 2023. "A bow-tie extended D-S evidence-HEART modelling for risk analysis of cargo tank cracks on oil/chemical tanker," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    11. Liu, Jintao & Chen, Keyi & Duan, Huayu & Li, Chenling, 2024. "A knowledge graph-based hazard prediction approach for preventing railway operational accidents," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 247(C).
    12. Alsulieman, Abdullah & Ge, Xihe & Zeng, Zhiguo & Butenko, Sergiy & Khan, Faisal & El-Halwagi, Mahmoud, 2024. "Dynamic risk analysis of evolving scenarios in oil and gas separator," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
    13. Yan, Dongyang & Li, Keping & Zhu, Qiaozhen & Liu, Yanyan, 2023. "A railway accident prevention method based on reinforcement learning – Active preventive strategy by multi-modal data," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    14. Mei Liu & Boning Li & Hongjun Cui & Pin-Chao Liao & Yuecheng Huang, 2022. "Research Paradigm of Network Approaches in Construction Safety and Occupational Health," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(19), pages 1-22, September.
    15. Ballester-Ripoll, Rafael & Leonelli, Manuele, 2022. "Computing Sobol indices in probabilistic graphical models," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
    16. Deng, Wanyi & Ma, Xiaoxue & Qiao, Weiliang, 2024. "A novel methodology to quantify the impact of safety barriers on maritime operational risk based on a probabilistic network," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
    17. Gu, Shuang & Li, Keping & Feng, Tao & Yan, Dongyang & Liu, Yanyan, 2022. "The prediction of potential risk path in railway traffic events," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    18. Li, Haoqian & Wang, Yong & Zeng, Jing & Li, Fansong & Yang, Zhenhuan & Mei, Guiming & Ye, Yunguang, 2024. "Virtual point tracking method for online detection of relative wheel-rail displacement of railway vehicles," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 246(C).
    19. Rose, Rodrigo L. & Puranik, Tejas G. & Mavris, Dimitri N. & Rao, Arjun H., 2022. "Application of structural topic modeling to aviation safety data," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).
    20. Junlin Hu & Weixiang Zhou & Pengjun Zheng & Guiyun Liu, 2024. "A Novel Approach for the Analysis of Ship Pollution Accidents Using Knowledge Graph," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(13), pages 1-26, June.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:241:y:2024:i:c:s0951832023005525. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/reliability-engineering-and-system-safety .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.