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Analysis of energy future pathways for Ecuador facing the prospects of oil availability using a system dynamics model. Is degrowth inevitable?

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  • Espinoza, Vicente Sebastian
  • Fontalvo, Javier
  • Martí-Herrero, Jaime
  • Miguel, Luis Javier
  • Mediavilla, Margarita

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to develop a system dynamics model to assess the energy future up to 2050 for Ecuador considering its condition of oil producing country. Three scenarios have been developed with different assumptions regarding national and global oil availability under a Business-As-Usual narrative.

Suggested Citation

  • Espinoza, Vicente Sebastian & Fontalvo, Javier & Martí-Herrero, Jaime & Miguel, Luis Javier & Mediavilla, Margarita, 2022. "Analysis of energy future pathways for Ecuador facing the prospects of oil availability using a system dynamics model. Is degrowth inevitable?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 259(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:259:y:2022:i:c:s036054422201862x
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2022.124963
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