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Analysis of Energy Demand Scenarios in Ecuador: National Government Policy Perspectives and Global Trend to Reduce CO2 Emissions

Author

Listed:
  • Flavio Arroyo

    (Universidad de Valladolid, Spain.)

  • Luis Javier Miguel

    (Universidad de Valladolid, Spain.)

Abstract

The structure of Ecuador s energy matrix over the past 15 years has varied, but in general, the three dominant sources of energy in the country are: Oil, hydroelectricity and biomass. In recent years, hydro energy has had a great boost with the construction of important hydroelectric projects, which has allowed to achieve important generation of energy from renewable sources. A system dynamics model evaluates the scenarios of Ecuador s energy model. The analysis describes the relationship between dynamic factors, such as policies, energy dependence and demand. National governmental political scenarios and global trends mark the way forward in search of reduction of energy consumption, energy efficiency and CO2 emissions mitigation. The results forecast future scenarios and trends in the supply and demand of energy and CO2 emissions projected until 2030.

Suggested Citation

  • Flavio Arroyo & Luis Javier Miguel, 2019. "Analysis of Energy Demand Scenarios in Ecuador: National Government Policy Perspectives and Global Trend to Reduce CO2 Emissions," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 9(2), pages 364-374.
    • Handle: RePEc:eco:journ2:2019-02-42
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ashish Rana & Tsuneyuki Morita, 2000. "Scenarios for greenhouse gas emission mitigation: a review of modeling of strategies and policies in integrated assessment models," Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, Springer;Society for Environmental Economics and Policy Studies - SEEPS, vol. 3(2), pages 267-289, June.
    2. Li, Li & Chen, Changhong & Xie, Shichen & Huang, Cheng & Cheng, Zhen & Wang, Hongli & Wang, Yangjun & Huang, Haiying & Lu, Jun & Dhakal, Shobhakar, 2010. "Energy demand and carbon emissions under different development scenarios for Shanghai, China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(9), pages 4797-4807, September.
    3. Mondal, Md Alam Hossain & Bryan, Elizabeth & Ringler, Claudia & Mekonnen, Dawit & Rosegrant, Mark, 2018. "Ethiopian energy status and demand scenarios: Prospects to improve energy efficiency and mitigate GHG emissions," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 149(C), pages 161-172.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Tzen-Ying Ling & Wei-Kai Hung & Chun-Tsu Lin & Michael Lu, 2020. "Dealing with Green Gentrification and Vertical Green-Related Urban Well-Being: A Contextual-Based Design Framework," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(23), pages 1-24, November.
    2. Flavio R. Arroyo M. & Luis J. Miguel, 2019. "The Trends of the Energy Intensity and CO 2 Emissions Related to Final Energy Consumption in Ecuador: Scenarios of National and Worldwide Strategies," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-21, December.
    3. Flavio R. Arroyo M. & Luis J. Miguel, 2020. "Low-Carbon Energy Governance: Scenarios to Accelerate the Change in the Energy Matrix in Ecuador," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-13, September.
    4. Espinoza, Vicente Sebastian & Fontalvo, Javier & Martí-Herrero, Jaime & Miguel, Luis Javier & Mediavilla, Margarita, 2022. "Analysis of energy future pathways for Ecuador facing the prospects of oil availability using a system dynamics model. Is degrowth inevitable?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 259(C).
    5. Flavio R. Arroyo M. & Luis J. Miguel, 2020. "The Role of Renewable Energies for the Sustainable Energy Governance and Environmental Policies for the Mitigation of Climate Change in Ecuador," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(15), pages 1-18, July.
    6. Chiriboga, Gonzalo & Chamba, Rommel & Garcia, Andrés & Heredia-Fonseca, Roberto & Montero- Calderón, Carolina & Carvajal C, Ghem, 2023. "Useful energy is a meaningful approach to building the decarbonization: A case of study of the Ecuadorian transport sector," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 76-87.
    7. Yücenur, G. Nilay & Ipekçi, Ahmet, 2021. "SWARA/WASPAS methods for a marine current energy plant location selection problem," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 1287-1298.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    CO2 ; Emissions; energy demand; Energy Policies;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q48 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Government Policy
    • Q58 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Environmental Economics: Government Policy
    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General

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