IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bpj/bjafio/v17y2019i1p17n4.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Future of Demand for Food Away from Home and Prepared Food: Cohort and Age Effects in Japan

Author

Listed:
  • Fujioka Soichiro

    (Cognizant Japan, 3-4, Niban-cho, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo, Japan)

  • Fukushige Mototsugu

    (Osaka University, Graduate School of Economics, 1-7, Machikaneyama-cho, Toyonaka, Japan)

Abstract

The demand for two composite goods, food away from home (FAFH) and prepared food (PF), are trending upward in Japan as Japanese society ages. This paper estimates the demand function of FAFH and PF. We adopt the almost ideal demand system and predict the effect on future demand from age and cohort changes. We find that the age effect decreases both while the cohort effect increases the share of FAFH but decreases that of PF. Over time, the demand for FAFH gradually decreases but remains stable. The demand for PF has been decreasing as of 2010 and more quickly than for FAFH. The reason is that both the age effect and the dynamic population trend decrease the demand for both goods, while the cohort effect slows the decrease in demand for FAFH but accelerates that for PF.

Suggested Citation

  • Fujioka Soichiro & Fukushige Mototsugu, 2019. "The Future of Demand for Food Away from Home and Prepared Food: Cohort and Age Effects in Japan," Journal of Agricultural & Food Industrial Organization, De Gruyter, vol. 17(1), pages 1-17, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:bpj:bjafio:v:17:y:2019:i:1:p:17:n:4
    DOI: 10.1515/jafio-2017-0038
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1515/jafio-2017-0038
    Download Restriction: For access to full text, subscription to the journal or payment for the individual article is required.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1515/jafio-2017-0038?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Vasilis G. Mihalopoulos, 2001. "Greek household consumption of food away from home: a microeconometric approach," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 28(4), pages 421-432, December.
    2. Helen H. Jensen & Steven T. Yen, 1996. "Food Expenditures Away From Home by Type of Meal," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 44(1), pages 67-80, March.
    3. Stewart, Hayden & Blisard, Noel & Jolliffe, Dean & Bhuyan, Sanjib, 2005. "The Demand for Food Away from Home: Do Other Preferences Compete with Our Desire to Eat Healthfully?," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 30(3), pages 1-17, December.
    4. Nicholas E. Piggott, 2003. "The Nested PIGLOG Model: An Application to U.S. Food Demand," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 85(1), pages 1-15.
    5. Barnett, William A. & Serletis, Apostolos, 2008. "Consumer preferences and demand systems," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 147(2), pages 210-224, December.
    6. Rodolfo Nayga, 1998. "A sample selection model for prepared food expenditures," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(3), pages 345-352.
    7. Nayga, Rodolfo M., Jr. & Capps, Oral, Jr., 1992. "Analysis Of Food Away From Home And Food At Home Consumption: A Systems Approach," Journal of Food Distribution Research, Food Distribution Research Society, vol. 23(3), pages 1-10, September.
    8. Hengyun Ma & Jikun Huang & Frank Fuller & Scott Rozelle, 2006. "Getting Rich and Eating Out: Consumption of Food Away from Home in Urban China," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 54(1), pages 101-119, March.
    9. Toshinobu Matsuda, 2004. "Incorporating Generalized Marginal Budget Shares in a Mixed Demand System," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 86(4), pages 1117-1126.
    10. Min, Insik & Fang, Cheng & Li, Qi, 2004. "Investigation of patterns in food-away-from-home expenditure for China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 15(4), pages 457-476.
    11. Donald R. McDowell & Joyce E. Allen-Smith & Patricia E. McLean-Meyinsse, 1997. "Food Expenditures and Socioeconomic Characteristics: Focus on Income Class," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 79(5), pages 1444-1451.
    12. Miaoru Liu & Panagiotis Kasteridis & Steven T. Yen, 2013. "Who are consuming food away from home and where? Results from the Consumer Expenditure Surveys," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 40(1), pages 191-213, February.
    13. Toshinobu Matsuda, 2005. "Differential Demand Systems: A Further Look at Barten's Synthesis," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 71(3), pages 607-619, January.
    14. Huffman, Wallace E., 2011. "Household Production and the Demand for Food and Other Inputs: U.S. Evidence," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 36(3), pages 1-23, December.
    15. Toshinobu Matsuda, 2006. "Linear approximations to the quadratic almost ideal demand system," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 31(3), pages 663-675, September.
    16. Kolawole Ogundari & Adegoke Oluwatosin Aladejimokun & Sadiat Funmilayo Arifalo, 2015. "Household demand for food away from home (fafh) in Nigeria: the role of education," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 49(2), pages 247-262, April-Jun.
    17. Ana M. Angulo & José M. Gil & Jesús Mur, 2007. "Spanish Demand for Food Away from Home: Analysis of Panel Data," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 58(2), pages 289-307, June.
    18. Justo Manrique & Helen H. Jensen, 1998. "Working Women and Expenditures on Food Away‐From‐Home and At‐Home in Spain," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 49(3), pages 321-333, September.
    19. Barnett, William A. & Serletis, Apostolos, 2008. "Measuring Consumer Preferences and Estimating Demand Systems," MPRA Paper 12318, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    20. Seval Mutlu & Azucena Gracia, 2006. "Spanish food expenditure away from home (FAFH): by type of meal," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(9), pages 1037-1047.
    21. Sasaki, Kozo, 1996. "Consumer demand in Japan: An analysis using the Deaton-Muellbauer system," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 8(3), pages 335-351, September.
    22. Steven T. Yen, 1993. "Working Wives and Food away from Home: The Box-Cox Double Hurdle Model," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 75(4), pages 884-895.
    23. Ray, Ranjan, 1982. "The testing and estimation of complete demand systems on household budget surveys," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 17(3), pages 349-369.
    24. Patrick J. Byrne & Oral Capps & Atanu Saha, 1996. "Analysis of Food-Away-from-Home Expenditure Patterns for U.S. Households, 1982–89," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 78(3), pages 614-627.
    25. Ray, Ranjan, 1980. "Analysis of a Time Series of Household Expenditure Surveys for India," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 62(4), pages 595-602, November.
    26. John L. Park & Oral Capps, 1997. "Demand for Prepared Meals by U.S. Households," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 79(3), pages 814-824.
    27. Stewart, Hayden & Yen, Steven T., 2004. "Changing household characteristics and the away-from-home food market: a censored equation system approach," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 29(6), pages 643-658, December.
    28. Vicki A. McCracken & Jon A. Brandt, 1987. "Household Consumption of Food-Away-From-Home: Total Expenditure and by Type of Food Facility," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 69(2), pages 274-284.
    29. Bai, Junfei & Wahl, Thomas I. & Lohmar, Bryan T. & Huang, Jikun, 2010. "Food away from home in Beijing: Effects of wealth, time and "free" meals," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 21(3), pages 432-441, September.
    30. Soberon-Ferrer, Horacio & Dardis, Rachel, 1991. "Determinants of Household Expenditures for Services," Journal of Consumer Research, Journal of Consumer Research Inc., vol. 17(4), pages 385-397, March.
    31. Susan Horton & Cathy Campbell, 1991. "Wife's Employment, Food Expenditures, and Apparent Nutrient Intake: Evidence from Canada," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 73(3), pages 784-794.
    32. Jekanowski, Mark D. & Binkley, James K. & Eales, James S., 2001. "Convenience, Accessibility, And The Demand For Fast Food," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 26(1), pages 1-17, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Liu, Haiyan & Wahl, Thomas I. & Seale, James L. & Bai, Junfei, 2015. "Household composition, income, and food-away-from-home expenditure in urban China," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 97-103.
    2. Yen, Steven T. & Kasteridis, Panagiotis P. & Riley, John B., 2012. "Food Expenditures away from Home by Elderly Households," 2012 Annual Meeting, August 12-14, 2012, Seattle, Washington 124981, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    3. Liu, Hongbo & Parton, Kevin A. & Zhou, Zhangyue & Cox, Rod, 2011. "Away-from-Home Meat Consumption in China," Asian Journal of Agriculture and Development, Southeast Asian Regional Center for Graduate Study and Research in Agriculture (SEARCA), vol. 8(2), pages 1-15, December.
    4. Bai, Junfei & Wahl, Thomas I. & Lohmar, Bryan T. & Huang, Jikun, 2010. "Food away from home in Beijing: Effects of wealth, time and "free" meals," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 21(3), pages 432-441, September.
    5. Okrent, Abigail M. & Kumcu, Aylin, 2016. "U.S. Households’ Demand for Convenience Foods," Economic Research Report 262195, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    6. Junfei Bai & Caiping Zhang & Fangbin Qiao & Tom Wahl, 2012. "Disaggregating household expenditures on food away from home in Beijing by type of food facility and type of meal," China Agricultural Economic Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 4(1), pages 18-35, January.
    7. Liu, Miaoru & Kasteridis, Panagiotis & Yen, Steven T., 2013. "Breakfast, lunch, and dinner expenditures away from home in the United States," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 156-164.
    8. Keelan, Conor D. & Henchion, Maeve M. & Newman, Carol F., 2008. "Eating Out in the British Isles," 82nd Annual Conference, March 31 - April 2, 2008, Royal Agricultural College, Cirencester, UK 36859, Agricultural Economics Society.
    9. Liu, Haiyan & Wahl, Thomas I. & Bai, Junfei & Seale, James L., Jr., 2012. "Understanding food-away-from-home expenditures in urban China," 2012 Annual Meeting, August 12-14, 2012, Seattle, Washington 124662, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    10. Hamrick, Karen & Okrent, Abigail, 2014. "The Role of Time in Fast-Food Purchasing Behavior in the United States," Economic Research Report 191034, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    11. Shao‐Hsun Keng & Chun‐Hung Lin, 2005. "Wives’ Value of Time and Food Consumed Away from Home in Taiwan," Asian Economic Journal, East Asian Economic Association, vol. 19(3), pages 319-334, September.
    12. Andrej Cupak & Jan Pokrivcak & Marian Rizov, 2016. "Demand for Food Away from Home in Slovakia," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 66(4), pages 354-369, August.
    13. Teng, Zhijing & Seale, James Jr. & Bai, Junfei & Wahl, Thomas I., 2015. "Employer Subsidized Meals and FAFH Consumption in Urban China," 2015 Annual Meeting, January 31-February 3, 2015, Atlanta, Georgia 196810, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    14. Bozoglu, Mehmet & Bilgic, Abdulbaki & Yen, Steven T. & Huang, Chung L., 2013. "Household food expenditures at home and away from home in Turkey," 2013 Annual Meeting, August 4-6, 2013, Washington, D.C. 149737, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    15. Sanae Tashiro & Chu‐Ping Lo, 2011. "Balancing nutrition, luxury, and time constraints in food preparation choices," China Agricultural Economic Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 3(2), pages 245-265, May.
    16. George Davis, 2014. "Food at home production and consumption: implications for nutrition quality and policy," Review of Economics of the Household, Springer, vol. 12(3), pages 565-588, September.
    17. Pruitt, J. Ross & Holcomb, Rodney B., 2017. "Impacts of Food Safety Recalls and Consumer Information on Restaurant Performance," Journal of Food Distribution Research, Food Distribution Research Society, vol. 48(3), November.
    18. Mark D. Jekanowski & James K. Binkley, 2000. "Food purchase diversity across U.S. markets," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(4), pages 417-433.
    19. Zheng, Qiujie & Wang, H. Holly, 2016. "Chinese preferences for sustainable attributes for food away from home: A rank-ordered model," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 148-158.
    20. Bai, Junfei & Seale Jr, James L. & Wahl, Thomas I., 2020. "Meat demand in China: to include or not to include meat away from home?," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 64(1), January.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bpj:bjafio:v:17:y:2019:i:1:p:17:n:4. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Peter Golla (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.degruyter.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.