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How Much Have Record Corporate Profits Contributed to Recent Inflation?

Author

Listed:
  • Andrew Glover
  • Jose Mustre-del-Rio
  • Alice von Ende-Becker

Abstract

Andrew Glover, José Mustre-del-Río, and Alice von Ende-Becker present evidence that markup growth was a major contributor to inflation in 2021. Specifically, markups grew by 3.4 percent over the year, whereas inflation, as measured by the price index for Personal Consumption Expenditures, was 5.8 percent, suggesting that markups could account for more than half of 2021 inflation. However, the timing and cross-industry patterns of markup growth are more consistent with firms raising prices in anticipation of future cost increases, rather than an increase in monopoly power or higher demand.

Suggested Citation

  • Andrew Glover & Jose Mustre-del-Rio & Alice von Ende-Becker, 2023. "How Much Have Record Corporate Profits Contributed to Recent Inflation?," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, vol. 0(no.1), pages 1-13, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedker:95477
    DOI: 10.18651/ER/v108n1GloverMustredelRiovonEndeBecker
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Cardani, Roberta & Pfeiffer, Philipp & Ratto, Marco & Vogel, Lukas, 2023. "The COVID-19 recession on both sides of the Atlantic: A model-based comparison," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    2. Scanlon, Paul, 2024. "A model of greedflation," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    3. Sylvain Leduc & Huiyu Li & Zheng Liu, 2024. "Are Markups Driving the Ups and Downs of Inflation?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, vol. 2024(12), pages 1-5, May.
    4. Bijnens, Gert & Duprez, Cédric & Jonckheere, Jana, 2023. "Have greed and rapidly rising wages triggered a profit-wage-price spiral? Firm-level evidence for Belgium," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
    5. Adhikari, Tamanna & McGeever, Niall, 2023. "How resilient are Irish SMEs to input cost inflation?," Financial Stability Notes 6/FS/23, Central Bank of Ireland.
    6. Wändi Bruine de Bruin & Keshav Dogra & Sebastian Heise & Edward S. Knotek & Brent Meyer & Robert W. Rich & Raphael Schoenle & Giorgio Topa & Wilbert Van der Klaauw, 2023. "Estimates of Cost-Price Passthrough from Business Survey Data," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2023-5, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
    7. Edoardo Beretta & Doris Neuberger, 2023. "Monetary aggregates in the US since 2020 and post-COVID-19 inflation: evidence from the equation of exchange," Economics and Business Letters, Oviedo University Press, vol. 12(4), pages 321-330.
    8. Paul Scanlon, 2023. "A Model of Greedflation," Trinity Economics Papers tep1423, Trinity College Dublin, Department of Economics.
    9. Andrew Glover & Jose Mustre-del-Rio & Jalen Nichols, 2023. "Corporate Profits Contributed a Lot to Inflation in 2021 but Little in 2022—A Pattern Seen in Past Economic Recoveries," Economic Bulletin, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, pages 1-4, May.
    10. Bouras, Panagiotis & Bustamante, Christian & Guo, Xing & Short, Jacob, 2023. "The contribution of firm profits to the recent rise in inflation," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 233(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    inflation; macroeconomics; Corporate profits;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • G3 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance

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