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Monitoring structural change in dynamic econometric models

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Cited by:

  1. Achim Zeileis, 2005. "A Unified Approach to Structural Change Tests Based on ML Scores, F Statistics, and OLS Residuals," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(4), pages 445-466.
  2. Chi-Wei Su & Hui Yu & Hsu-Ling Chang & Xiao-Lin Li, 2017. "How does inflation determine inflation uncertainty? A Chinese perspective," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 51(3), pages 1417-1434, May.
  3. Chi Wei Su & Heng-Guo Zhang & Hsu-Ling Chang & Rui Nian, 2016. "Is exchange rate stability beneficial for stabilizing consumer prices in China?," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(6), pages 857-879, September.
  4. Aye, Goodness C. & Balcilar, Mehmet & El Montasser, Ghassen & Gupta, Rangan & Manjez, Nangamso C., 2016. "Can debt ceiling and government shutdown predict us real stock returns? A bootstrap rolling window approach. - Gli effetti sui rendimenti azionari reali negli USA del tetto del debito pubblico e del b," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 69(1), pages 11-32.
  5. Mishra, Bibhuti Ranjan & Pradhan, Ashis Kumar & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Shahbaz, Muhammad, 2019. "The dynamic causality between gold and silver prices in India: Evidence using time-varying and non-linear approaches," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 66-76.
  6. Nyakabawo, Wendy & Miller, Stephen M. & Balcilar, Mehmet & Das, Sonali & Gupta, Rangan, 2015. "Temporal causality between house prices and output in the US: A bootstrap rolling-window approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 55-73.
  7. Balcilar, Mehmet & Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin & Ozdemir, Huseyin & Shahbaz, Muhammad, 2018. "The renewable energy consumption and growth in the G-7 countries: Evidence from historical decomposition method," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 594-604.
  8. Lajos Horv'ath & Zhenya Liu & Shanglin Lu, 2020. "Sequential Monitoring of Changes in Housing Prices," Papers 2002.04101, arXiv.org.
  9. Liu, Guo-Dong & Su, Chi-Wei, 2019. "The dynamic causality between gold and silver prices in China market: A rolling window bootstrap approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 101-106.
  10. Patnaik, Ila & Shah, Ajay, 2010. "Does the currency regime shape unhedged currency exposure?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(5), pages 760-769, September.
  11. Dean Fantazzini & Julia Pushchelenko & Alexey Mironenkov & Alexey Kurbatskii, 2021. "Forecasting Internal Migration in Russia Using Google Trends: Evidence from Moscow and Saint Petersburg," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 3(4), pages 1-30, October.
  12. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Hoffmann, Timo, 2023. "Vorschläge zur Modifikation der Potenzialschätzung der Bundesregierung im Vergleich," Kieler Beiträge zur Wirtschaftspolitik 45, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  13. Michael Berlemann & Julia Freese & Sven Knoth, 2012. "Eyes Wide Shut? The U.S. House Market Bubble through the Lense of Statistical Process Control," CESifo Working Paper Series 3962, CESifo.
  14. Jana Eklund & George Kapetanios & Simon Price, 2013. "Robust Forecast Methods and Monitoring during Structural Change," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 81, pages 3-27, October.
  15. Skrobotov, Anton, 2021. "Structural breaks in cointegration models," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 63, pages 117-141.
  16. Khalid Khan & Jiluo Sun & Sinem Derindere Koseoglu & Ashfaq U. Rehman, 2021. "Revisiting Bitcoin Price Behavior Under Global Economic Uncertainty," SAGE Open, , vol. 11(3), pages 21582440211, August.
  17. Andreou, Elena & Ghysels, Eric, 2006. "Monitoring disruptions in financial markets," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 135(1-2), pages 77-124.
  18. David Su & Xin Li & Oana-Ramona Lobonþ & Yanping Zhao, 2016. "Economic policy uncertainty and housing returns in Germany: Evidence from a bootstrap rolling window," Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci/Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Economics and Business, vol. 34(1), pages 43-61.
  19. Eklund, Jana & Kapetanios, George & Price, Simon, 2010. "Forecasting in the presence of recent structural change," Bank of England working papers 406, Bank of England.
  20. Chi-Wei Su & Jiao-Jiao Fan & Hsu-Ling Chang & Xiao-Lin Li, 2016. "Is there Causal Relationship between Money Supply Growth and Inflation in China? Evidence from Quantity Theory of Money," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 20(3), pages 702-719, August.
  21. Zeileis, Achim & Shah, Ajay & Patnaik, Ila, 2010. "Testing, monitoring, and dating structural changes in exchange rate regimes," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 54(6), pages 1696-1706, June.
  22. Yudong Chen & Tengyao Wang & Richard J. Samworth, 2022. "High‐dimensional, multiscale online changepoint detection," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 84(1), pages 234-266, February.
  23. Mehmet Balcilar & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir & Muhammad Shahbaz, 2019. "On the time‐varying links between oil and gold: New insights from the rolling and recursive rolling approaches," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(3), pages 1047-1065, July.
  24. Yingying Xu & Zhixin Liu & Zichao Jia & Chi-Wei Su, 2017. "Is time-variant information stickiness state-dependent?," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 16(3), pages 169-187, December.
  25. Yawen Wang & Qing Wang & Zhaopeng Xing, 2022. "Climate Disaster Losses and Foreign Exchange Reserve Dynamics: Evidence of East Asia Pacific," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-15, November.
  26. Muhammad Shahbaz & Mehmet Balcilar & Mantu Kumar Mahalik & Seyi Saint Akadiri, 2023. "Is causality between globalization and energy consumption bidirectional or unidirectional in top and bottom globalized economies?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 1939-1964, April.
  27. Jesús Mur & Fernando López & Ana Angulo, 2010. "Instability in spatial error models: an application to the hypothesis of convergence in the European case," Journal of Geographical Systems, Springer, vol. 12(3), pages 259-280, September.
  28. Junaid Masih & Dongsheng Liu & Javed Pervaiz, 2018. "The Relationship between RMB Exchange Rate and Chinese Trade Balance: Evidence from a Bootstrap Rolling Window Approach," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 10(2), pages 35-47, February.
  29. Liu, Tie-Ying & Su, Chi-Wei, 2021. "Is transportation improving urbanization in China?," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
  30. Jingwen Zhang & Yin Dai & Chi-Wei Su & Dervis Kirikkaleli & Muhammad Umar, 2021. "Intertemporal change in the effect of economic growth on carbon emission in China," Energy & Environment, , vol. 32(7), pages 1207-1225, November.
  31. Jing-Ping Li & Jiao-Jiao Fan & Chi-Wei Su & Oana-Ramona Lobonţ, 2017. "Investment coordinates in the context of housing and stock markets nexus," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(20), pages 1455-1463, November.
  32. Jing Sun & Jinhui Xu & Xin Cheng & Jichao Miao & Hairong Mu, 2023. "Dynamic causality between PPI and CPI in China: A rolling window bootstrap approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 1279-1289, April.
  33. Chiwei Su & Yingying Xu & Hsu Ling Chang & Oana-Ramona Lobont & Zhixin Liu, 2020. "Dynamic Causalities between Defense Expenditure and Economic Growth in China: Evidence from Rolling Granger Causality Test," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(5), pages 565-582, July.
  34. Hsu, Chih-Chiang, 2007. "The MOSUM of squares test for monitoring variance changes," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 4(4), pages 254-260, December.
  35. Alberto Cazzola & Lucia Pasquini & Aurora Angeli, 2016. "The relationship between unemployment and fertility in Italy," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 34(1), pages 1-38.
  36. Otto, Sven & Breitung, Jörg, 2020. "Backward CUSUM for Testing and Monitoring Structural Change," VfS Annual Conference 2020 (Virtual Conference): Gender Economics 224533, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
  37. KUROZUMI, Eiji & 黒住, 英司, 2016. "Monitoring Parameter Constancy with Endogenous Regressors," Discussion Papers 2016-01, Graduate School of Economics, Hitotsubashi University.
  38. Anatolyev, Stanislav, 2009. "Nonparametric Retrospection and Monitoring of Predictability of Financial Returns," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 27(2), pages 149-160.
  39. Aue, Alexander & Horváth, Lajos & Reimherr, Matthew L., 2009. "Delay times of sequential procedures for multiple time series regression models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 149(2), pages 174-190, April.
  40. Andreou, Elena & Ghysels, Eric, 2008. "Quality control for structural credit risk models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 146(2), pages 364-375, October.
  41. Jan Verbesselt & Achim Zeileis & Martin Herold, 2011. "Near Real-Time Disturbance Detection in Terrestrial Ecosystems Using Satellite Image Time Series: Drought Detection in Somalia," Working Papers 2011-18, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, Universität Innsbruck.
  42. Bock, David, 2007. "Consequences of using the probability of a false alarm as the false alarm measure," Research Reports 2007:3, University of Gothenburg, Statistical Research Unit, School of Business, Economics and Law.
  43. Ross Sparks & Tim Keighley & David Muscatello, 2010. "Early warning CUSUM plans for surveillance of negative binomial daily disease counts," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(11), pages 1911-1929.
  44. Kai-Hua Wang & Jia-Min Kan & Cui-Feng Jiang & Chi-Wei Su, 2022. "Is Geopolitical Risk Powerful Enough to Affect Carbon Dioxide Emissions? Evidence from China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(13), pages 1-16, June.
  45. Berkes, István & Hörmann, Siegfried & Horváth, Lajos, 2008. "The functional central limit theorem for a family of GARCH observations with applications," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 78(16), pages 2725-2730, November.
  46. Riadh El Abed & Noura Harboub, 2022. "Time varying causality between Economic policy uncertainty and stock prices in BRIC countries: A rolling-window bootstrap approach," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 42(4), pages 1767-1781.
  47. Chen, Zhanshou & Tian, Zheng, 2010. "Modified procedures for change point monitoring in linear models," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 81(1), pages 62-75.
  48. Chen, Yudong & Wang, Tengyao & Samworth, Richard J., 2022. "High-dimensional, multiscale online changepoint detection," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 113665, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  49. Chi Wei Su & Zhi-Feng Wang & Rui Nian & Yanping Zhao, 2017. "Does international capital flow lead to a housing boom? A time-varying evidence from China," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(7), pages 851-864, October.
  50. Jan J. J. Groen & George Kapetanios & Simon Price, 2013. "Multivariate Methods For Monitoring Structural Change," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 250-274, March.
  51. Adnan Khurshid & Yin Kedong & Adrian Cantemir Calin & Khalid Khan, 2017. "The Effects of Workers’ Remittances on Exchange Rate Volatility and Exports Dynamics - New Evidence from Pakistan," Romanian Economic Journal, Department of International Business and Economics from the Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, vol. 20(63), pages 29-52, March.
  52. Weißbach, Rafael & Ponyatovskyy, Vladyslav & Zimmermann, Guido, 2006. "The Yield of Ten-Year T-Bonds: Stumbling Towards a 'Good' Forecast," Technical Reports 2006,50, Technische Universität Dortmund, Sonderforschungsbereich 475: Komplexitätsreduktion in multivariaten Datenstrukturen.
  53. Aaron Levi Garavito-Acosta & Maria Mercedes Collazos-Gaitan & Manuel Dario Hernandez-Bejarano & Enrique Montes-Uribe, 2019. "Migración internacional y determinantes de las remesas de trabajadores en Colombia," Borradores de Economia 1066, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
  54. Amna Zardoub, 2024. "Time Varying Causality between Oil Price and Precious Metals : Bootstrap Rolling Windows Granger Causality Approach," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 14(4), pages 344-351, July.
  55. Tsangyao Chang & Su-Ling Tsai & Kai-yin Allison Haga, 2017. "Uncovering the interrelationship between the U.S. stock and housing markets: a bootstrap rolling window Granger causality approach," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(58), pages 5841-5848, December.
  56. David Bock, 2008. "Aspects on the control of false alarms in statistical surveillance and the impact on the return of financial decision systems," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(2), pages 213-227.
  57. Mamadou Lamine Diop & William Kengne, 2022. "Poisson QMLE for change-point detection in general integer-valued time series models," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 85(3), pages 373-403, April.
  58. Anatolyev Stanislav & Kosenok Grigory, 2018. "Sequential Testing with Uniformly Distributed Size," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 10(2), pages 1-22, July.
  59. Sven Otto & Jorg Breitung, 2020. "Backward CUSUM for Testing and Monitoring Structural Change with an Application to COVID-19 Pandemic Data," Papers 2003.02682, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2022.
  60. Su-Ling TSAI & Tsangyao CHANG, 2018. "The Comovment between Money and Economic Growth in 15 Asia-Pacific Countries: Wavelet Coherency Analysis in Time-Frequency Domain," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 63-79, December.
  61. Carraro, Alessandro & Stefani, Gianluca, 2011. "Price Transmission in Three Italian Food Chains: A Structural Break Approach," 2011 International Congress, August 30-September 2, 2011, Zurich, Switzerland 114317, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
  62. White, Halbert & Pettenuzzo, Davide, 2014. "Granger causality, exogeneity, cointegration, and economic policy analysis," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 178(P2), pages 316-330.
  63. Khalid Khan & Chi-Wei Su & Yi-Dong Xiao & Haotian Zhu & Xiaoyan Zhang, 2021. "Trends in tourism under economic uncertainty," Tourism Economics, , vol. 27(4), pages 841-858, June.
  64. Lee, O., 2013. "The functional central limit theorem for ARMA–GARCH processes," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 121(3), pages 432-435.
  65. Khan, Khalid & Khurshid, Adnan & Cifuentes-Faura, Javier, 2023. "Energy security analysis in a geopolitically volatile world: A causal study," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
  66. Carsten J. Crede, 2019. "A Structural Break Cartel Screen for Dating and Detecting Collusion," Review of Industrial Organization, Springer;The Industrial Organization Society, vol. 54(3), pages 543-574, May.
  67. Jan J. J. Groen & George Kapetanios & Simon Price, 2013. "Multivariate Methods For Monitoring Structural Change," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 250-274, March.
  68. Carsten J. Crede, 2015. "A structural break cartel screen for dating and detecting collusion," Working Paper series, University of East Anglia, Centre for Competition Policy (CCP) 2015-11, Centre for Competition Policy, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK..
  69. Phong B. Dao, 2021. "A CUSUM-Based Approach for Condition Monitoring and Fault Diagnosis of Wind Turbines," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-19, June.
  70. Feng-Li Lin & Mei-Chih Wang & Hsien-Hung Kung, 2020. "Housing and Stock Market Nexus in the US," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(3), pages 114-130.
  71. Yingying Xu & Hsu Ling Chang & Chi Wei Su & Adelina Dumitrescu, 2018. "Guns for Butter? Empirical Evidence from China," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(7), pages 809-820, November.
  72. Tie‐Ying Liu & Chien‐Chiang Lee, 2022. "Exchange rate fluctuations and interest rate policy," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(3), pages 3531-3549, July.
  73. repec:agr:journl:v:3(604):y:2015:i:3(604):p:75-92 is not listed on IDEAS
  74. Ming-Hsien YANG & Chih-She WU, 2015. "Revisit Export and GDP Nexus in China and Taiwan: A Rolling Window Granger Causality Test," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(3(604), A), pages 75-92, Autumn.
  75. Okyoung Na & Youngmi Lee & Sangyeol Lee, 2011. "Monitoring parameter change in time series models," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 20(2), pages 171-199, June.
  76. repec:ipg:wpaper:2014-476 is not listed on IDEAS
  77. Blake LeBaron, 2013. "Heterogeneous Agents and Long Horizon Features of Asset Prices," Working Papers 63, Brandeis University, Department of Economics and International Business School, revised Sep 2013.
  78. Yingying Xu & Zhi-Xin Liu & Hsu-Ling Chang & Adelina Dumitrescu Peculea & Chi-Wei Su, 2017. "Does self-fulfilment of the inflation expectation exist?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(11), pages 1098-1113, March.
  79. Heinen, Florian & Willert, Juliane, 2011. "Monitoring a change in persistence of a long range dependent time series," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-479, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
  80. Xiao-lin Li & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Tsangyao Chang, 2016. "The Causal Relationship Between Economic Policy Uncertainty and Stock Returns in China and India: Evidence from a Bootstrap Rolling Window Approach," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(3), pages 674-689, March.
  81. Elena Andreou & Eric Ghysels, 2004. "Monitoring for Disruptions in Financial Markets," CIRANO Working Papers 2004s-26, CIRANO.
  82. Pierre Perron & Eduardo Zorita & Eiji Kurozumi, 2017. "Monitoring Parameter Constancy with Endogenous Regressors," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(5), pages 791-805, September.
  83. Michael Berlemann & Julia Freese & Sven Knoth, 2020. "Dating the start of the US house price bubble: an application of statistical process control," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(5), pages 2287-2307, May.
  84. Su, Chi-Wei & Wang, Xiao-Qing & Tao, Ran & Chang, Hsu-Ling, 2019. "Does money supply drive housing prices in China?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 85-94.
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