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Time varying causality between Economic policy uncertainty and stock prices in BRIC countries: A rolling-window bootstrap approach

Author

Listed:
  • Riadh El Abed

    (University of Tunis El Manar)

  • Noura Harboub

    (University of Monastir)

Abstract

In this paper, we use the rolling window bootstrap causality test to examine the dynamic causality according to the bivariate framework between economic policy uncertainty and stock prices in BRIC countries. We employed monthly data during the period span from March 2003 to February 2022. Empirical results indicate the evidence of unidirectional and absence of causality between variables. In addition, the causal relationship between stock prices and economic uncertainty is time varying. The causal periods coincide with periods of exceptional events such as financial crisis and the Covid-19 pandemic.

Suggested Citation

  • Riadh El Abed & Noura Harboub, 2022. "Time varying causality between Economic policy uncertainty and stock prices in BRIC countries: A rolling-window bootstrap approach," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 42(4), pages 1767-1781.
    • Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-22-00551
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    JEL classification:

    • E3 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles

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