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The Importance of the Macroeconomic Variables in Forecasting Stock Return Variance: A GARCH‐MIDAS Approach

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  1. Marobhe, Mutaju Isaack & Kansheba, Jonathan Mukiza, 2024. "Airlines and climate policy uncertainty: Are the sector's stocks soaring or stalling?," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
  2. Zhang, Jiaming & Xiang, Yitian & Zou, Yang & Guo, Songlin, 2024. "Volatility forecasting of Chinese energy market: Which uncertainty have better performance?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
  3. Fang, Libing & Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Roubaud, David, 2019. "Does global economic uncertainty matter for the volatility and hedging effectiveness of Bitcoin?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 29-36.
  4. Libing Fang & Baizhu Chen & Honghai Yu & Yichuo Qian, 2018. "The importance of global economic policy uncertainty in predicting gold futures market volatility: A GARCH‐MIDAS approach," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(3), pages 413-422, March.
  5. Adediran, Idris A. & Swaray, Raymond, 2023. "Carbon trading amidst global uncertainty: The role of policy and geopolitical uncertainty," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
  6. Dai, Zhifeng & Zhang, Xiaotong & Li, Tingyu, 2023. "Forecasting stock return volatility in data-rich environment: A new powerful predictor," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
  7. Chen, Qiang & Gong, Yuting, 2019. "The economic sources of China's CSI 300 spot and futures volatilities before and after the 2015 stock market crisis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 102-121.
  8. Yan, Xiang & Bai, Jiancheng & Li, Xiafei & Chen, Zhonglu, 2022. "Can dimensional reduction technology make better use of the information of uncertainty indices when predicting volatility of Chinese crude oil futures?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
  9. Plakandaras, Vasilios & Gupta, Rangan & Balcilar, Mehmet & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Evolving United States stock market volatility: The role of conventional and unconventional monetary policies," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
  10. Yu, Xiaoling & Huang, Yirong, 2021. "The impact of economic policy uncertainty on stock volatility: Evidence from GARCH–MIDAS approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 570(C).
  11. Godfrey Marozva & Margaret Rutendo Magwedere, 2017. "Macroeconomic Variables, Leverage, Stock Returns and Stock Return Volatility," Acta Universitatis Danubius. OEconomica, Danubius University of Galati, issue 13(4), pages 264-288, AUGUST.
  12. Yaya, OlaOluwa S. & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula E. & Adesina, Oluwaseun A. & Alobaloke, Kafayat A. & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2022. "Time-variation between metal commodities and oil, and the impact of oil shocks: GARCH-MIDAS and DCC-MIDAS analyses," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
  13. Cristina Amado & Annastiina Silvennoinen & Timo Ter¨asvirta, 2018. "Models with Multiplicative Decomposition of Conditional Variances and Correlations," NIPE Working Papers 07/2018, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
  14. Afees A. Salisu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "Technological Shocks and Stock Market Volatility Over a Century: A GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202308, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  15. Ghani, Maria & Guo, Qiang & Ma, Feng & Li, Tao, 2022. "Forecasting Pakistan stock market volatility: Evidence from economic variables and the uncertainty index," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 1180-1189.
  16. Christian Conrad & Melanie Schienle, 2020. "Testing for an Omitted Multiplicative Long-Term Component in GARCH Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(2), pages 229-242, April.
  17. Nguyen, Hoang & Javed, Farrukh, 2023. "Dynamic relationship between Stock and Bond returns: A GAS MIDAS copula approach," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 272-292.
  18. Jin, Daxiang & Yu, Jize, 2023. "Predicting cryptocurrency market volatility: Novel evidence from climate policy uncertainty," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).
  19. Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Investor Confidence and Forecastability of US Stock Market Realized Volatility: Evidence from Machine Learning," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(1), pages 111-122, January.
  20. Yun-Shi Dai & Peng-Fei Dai & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2024. "The impact of geopolitical risk on the international agricultural market: Empirical analysis based on the GJR-GARCH-MIDAS model," Papers 2404.01641, arXiv.org.
  21. Yu Wei & Lan Bai & Kun Yang & Guiwu Wei, 2021. "Are industry‐level indicators more helpful to forecast industrial stock volatility? Evidence from Chinese manufacturing purchasing managers index," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(1), pages 17-39, January.
  22. Dai, Peng-Fei & Xiong, Xiong & Zhang, Jin & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2022. "The role of global economic policy uncertainty in predicting crude oil futures volatility: Evidence from a two-factor GARCH-MIDAS model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
  23. Duc Khuong Nguyen & Thomas Walther, 2020. "Modeling and forecasting commodity market volatility with long‐term economic and financial variables," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(2), pages 126-142, March.
  24. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri & Qiang Ji, 2022. "Mixed‐frequency forecasting of crude oil volatility based on the information content of global economic conditions," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(1), pages 134-157, January.
  25. Fang, Tong & Lee, Tae-Hwy & Su, Zhi, 2020. "Predicting the long-term stock market volatility: A GARCH-MIDAS model with variable selection," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 36-49.
  26. Dai, Peng-Fei & Xiong, Xiong & Duc Huynh, Toan Luu & Wang, Jiqiang, 2022. "The impact of economic policy uncertainties on the volatility of European carbon market," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).
  27. Lu Wang & Feng Ma & Guoshan Liu, 2020. "Forecasting stock volatility in the presence of extreme shocks: Short‐term and long‐term effects," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(5), pages 797-810, August.
  28. Urom, Christian & Ndubuisi, Gideon & Guesmi, Khaled, 2022. "How do financial and commodity markets volatility react to real economic activity?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PB).
  29. Shamsi Zamenjani, Azam, 2021. "Do financial variables help predict the conditional distribution of the market portfolio?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 327-345.
  30. Henryk Gurgul & Roland Mestel & Robert Syrek, 2017. "MIDAS models in banking sector – systemic risk comparison," Managerial Economics, AGH University of Science and Technology, Faculty of Management, vol. 18(2), pages 165-181.
  31. Alessandra Amendola & Vincenzo Candila & Antonio Scognamillo, 2017. "On the influence of US monetary policy on crude oil price volatility," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 52(1), pages 155-178, February.
  32. Jian Chai & Puju Cao & Xiaoyang Zhou & Kin Keung Lai & Xiaofeng Chen & Siping (Sue) Su, 2018. "The Conductive and Predictive Effect of Oil Price Fluctuations on China’s Industry Development Based on Mixed-Frequency Data," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-14, May.
  33. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Bouri, Elie, 2023. "Testing the forecasting power of global economic conditions for the volatility of international REITs using a GARCH-MIDAS approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 303-314.
  34. Virbickaitė, Audronė & Nguyen, Hoang & Tran, Minh-Ngoc, 2023. "Bayesian predictive distributions of oil returns using mixed data sampling volatility models," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
  35. Mei, Dexiang & Zeng, Qing & Cao, Xiang & Diao, Xiaohua, 2019. "Uncertainty and oil volatility: New evidence," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 525(C), pages 155-163.
  36. Mei, Dexiang & Xie, Yutang, 2022. "U.S. grain commodity futures price volatility: Does trade policy uncertainty matter?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
  37. Virk, Nader & Javed, Farrukh, 2017. "European equity market integration and joint relationship of conditional volatility and correlations," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 53-77.
  38. Yves Dominicy & Harry-Paul Vander Elst, 2015. "Macro-Driven VaR Forecasts: From Very High to Very Low Frequency Data," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2015-41, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
  39. Jiang, Cuixia & Li, Yuqian & Xu, Qifa & Liu, Yezheng, 2021. "Measuring risk spillovers from multiple developed stock markets to China: A vine-copula-GARCH-MIDAS model," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 386-398.
  40. Lindblad, Annika, 2017. "Sentiment indicators and macroeconomic data as drivers for low-frequency stock market volatility," MPRA Paper 80266, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  41. Afees A. Salisu & Wenting Liao & Rangan Gupta & Oguzhan Cepni, 2023. "Economic Conditions and Predictability of US Stock Returns Volatility: Local Factor versus National Factor in a GARCH-MIDAS Model," Working Papers 202323, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  42. Guo, Xiaozhu & Huang, Dengshi & Li, Xiafei & Liang, Chao, 2023. "Are categorical EPU indices predictable for carbon futures volatility? Evidence from the machine learning method," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 672-693.
  43. Damien Kunjal & Faeezah Peerbhai & Paul-Francois Muzindutsi, 2022. "Political, economic, and financial country risks and the volatility of the South African Exchange Traded Fund market: A GARCH-MIDAS approach," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 24(3), pages 236-258, September.
  44. Huang, Yisu & Xu, Weiju & Huang, Dengshi & Zhao, Chenchen, 2023. "Chinese crude oil futures volatility and sustainability: An uncertainty indices perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
  45. Abdulilah Ibrahim Alsheikhmubarak & Evangelos Giouvris, 2018. "A Comparative GARCH Analysis of Macroeconomic Variables and Returns on Modelling the Kurtosis of FTSE 100 Implied Volatility Index," Multinational Finance Journal, Multinational Finance Journal, vol. 22(3-4), pages 119-172, September.
  46. Belcaid, Karim & El Ghini, Ahmed, 2019. "U.S., European, Chinese economic policy uncertainty and Moroccan stock market volatility," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 20(C).
  47. Andrea BUCCI, 2017. "Forecasting Realized Volatility A Review," Journal of Advanced Studies in Finance, ASERS Publishing, vol. 8(2), pages 94-138.
  48. Liang, Chao & Umar, Muhammad & Ma, Feng & Huynh, Toan L.D., 2022. "Climate policy uncertainty and world renewable energy index volatility forecasting," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
  49. Liu, Guangqiang & Guo, Xiaozhu, 2022. "Forecasting stock market volatility using commodity futures volatility information," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
  50. Min Liu & Chien‐Chiang Lee & Wei‐Chong Choo, 2021. "An empirical study on the role of trading volume and data frequency in volatility forecasting," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(5), pages 792-816, August.
  51. Yin, Libo & Zhou, Yimin, 2016. "What drives long-term oil market volatility? Fundamentals versus speculation," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 10, pages 1-26.
  52. Liu, Jing & Ma, Feng & Tang, Yingkai & Zhang, Yaojie, 2019. "Geopolitical risk and oil volatility: A new insight," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
  53. Wei, Yu & Liu, Jing & Lai, Xiaodong & Hu, Yang, 2017. "Which determinant is the most informative in forecasting crude oil market volatility: Fundamental, speculation, or uncertainty?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 141-150.
  54. Liang, Chao & Xia, Zhenglan & Lai, Xiaodong & Wang, Lu, 2022. "Natural gas volatility prediction: Fresh evidence from extreme weather and extended GARCH-MIDAS-ES model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
  55. Zhang, Lixia & Bai, Jiancheng & Zhang, Yueyan & Cui, Can, 2023. "Global economic uncertainty and the Chinese stock market: Assessing the impacts of global indicators," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
  56. Zhu, Sha & Liu, Qiuhong & Wang, Yan & Wei, Yu & Wei, Guiwu, 2019. "Which fear index matters for predicting US stock market volatilities: Text-counts or option based measurement?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 536(C).
  57. Badescu, Alexandru & Quaye, Enoch & Tunaru, Radu, 2022. "On non-negative equity guarantee calculations with macroeconomic variables related to house prices," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 119-138.
  58. Alain Hecq & Marie Ternes & Ines Wilms, 2023. "Hierarchical Regularizers for Reverse Unrestricted Mixed Data Sampling Regressions," Papers 2301.10592, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2024.
  59. Afees A. Salisu & Raymond Swaray, 2020. "Forecasting the Return Volatility of Energy Prices: A GARCH-MIDAS Approach," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Stéphane Goutte & Duc Khuong Nguyen (ed.), HANDBOOK OF ENERGY FINANCE Theories, Practices and Simulations, chapter 3, pages 47-71, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
  60. Xiafei Li & Yu Wei & Xiaodan Chen & Feng Ma & Chao Liang & Wang Chen, 2022. "Which uncertainty is powerful to forecast crude oil market volatility? New evidence," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 4279-4297, October.
  61. Chao Liang & Yu Wei & Yaojie Zhang, 2020. "Is implied volatility more informative for forecasting realized volatility: An international perspective," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(8), pages 1253-1276, December.
  62. Wang, Lu & Ma, Feng & Liu, Jing & Yang, Lin, 2020. "Forecasting stock price volatility: New evidence from the GARCH-MIDAS model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 684-694.
  63. Ayinde, Taofeek O. & Olaniran, Abeeb O. & Abolade, Onomeabure C. & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula Ephraim, 2023. "Technology shocks - Gold market connection: Is the effect episodic to business cycle behaviour?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
  64. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Demirer, Riza, 2022. "Global financial cycle and the predictability of oil market volatility: Evidence from a GARCH-MIDAS model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
  65. O-Chia Chuang & Chenxu Yang, 2022. "Identifying the Determinants of Crude Oil Market Volatility by the Multivariate GARCH-MIDAS Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-14, April.
  66. Ye, Wuyi & Jiang, Kunliang & Liu, Xiaoquan, 2021. "Financial contagion and the TIR-MIDAS model," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 39(C).
  67. Ye, Wuyi & Guo, Ranran & Deschamps, Bruno & Jiang, Ying & Liu, Xiaoquan, 2021. "Macroeconomic forecasts and commodity futures volatility," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 981-994.
  68. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & He Li & Yu You, 2021. "Financial Vulnerability and Volatility in Emerging Stock Markets: Evidence from GARCH-MIDAS Models," Working Papers 202112, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  69. V. Candila & O. Cepni & G. M. Gallo & R. Gupta, 2024. "Influence of Local and Global Economic Policy Uncertainty on the volatility of US state-level equity returns: Evidence from a GARCH-MIDAS approach with Shrinkage and Cluster Analysis," Working Paper CRENoS 202414, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia.
  70. Khaskheli, Asadullah & Zhang, Hongyu & Raza, Syed Ali & Khan, Komal Akram, 2022. "Assessing the influence of news indicator on volatility of precious metals prices through GARCH-MIDAS model: A comparative study of pre and during COVID-19 period," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
  71. Yu, Honghai & Fang, Libing & Sun, Wencong, 2018. "Forecasting performance of global economic policy uncertainty for volatility of Chinese stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 505(C), pages 931-940.
  72. Xiangyu Cui & Xuan Zhang, 2021. "Index tracking strategy based on mixed-frequency financial data," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(4), pages 1-15, April.
  73. Bruno Deschamps & Tianlun Fei & Ying Jiang & Xiaoquan Liu, 2022. "Procyclical volatility in Chinese stock markets," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 58(3), pages 1117-1144, April.
  74. Asgharian, Hossein & Christiansen, Charlotte & Hou, Ai Jun, 2015. "Effects of macroeconomic uncertainty on the stock and bond markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 13(C), pages 10-16.
  75. Crimmel, Jeremy & Elyasiani, Elyas, 2021. "The association between financial market volatility and banking market structure," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 335-349.
  76. Ding, Shusheng & Zheng, Dandan & Cui, Tianxiang & Du, Min, 2023. "The oil price-inflation nexus: The exchange rate pass- through effect," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
  77. Wang, Lu & Wu, Jiangbin & Cao, Yang & Hong, Yanran, 2022. "Forecasting renewable energy stock volatility using short and long-term Markov switching GARCH-MIDAS models: Either, neither or both?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
  78. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Menelaos Karanasos & Stavroula Yfanti, 2024. "Macro‐financial linkages in the high‐frequency domain: Economic fundamentals and the Covid‐induced uncertainty channel in US and UK financial markets," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(2), pages 1581-1608, April.
  79. Zhang Wu & Terence Tai-Leung Chong, 2021. "Does the macroeconomy matter to market volatility? Evidence from US industries," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(6), pages 2931-2962, December.
  80. Zhou, Zhongbao & Fu, Zhangyan & Jiang, Yong & Zeng, Ximei & Lin, Ling, 2020. "Can economic policy uncertainty predict exchange rate volatility? New evidence from the GARCH-MIDAS model," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 34(C).
  81. Aswini Kumar Mishra & Anand Theertha Nakhate & Yash Bagra & Abinash Singh & Bibhu Prasad Kar, 2024. "The Impact of Directional Global Economic Policy Uncertainty on Indian Stock Market Volatility: New Evidence," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 31(3), pages 423-452, September.
  82. SOSA-CASTRO, Miriam, 2022. "Equity Market Volatility Impact On S&P 500 Sector Indexes, 1989-2021," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 22(1), pages 39-60.
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  84. Guo, Xiaozhu & Huang, Yisu & Liang, Chao & Umar, Muhammad, 2022. "Forecasting volatility of EUA futures: New evidence," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
  85. Li, Xiafei & Liang, Chao & Chen, Zhonglu & Umar, Muhammad, 2022. "Forecasting crude oil volatility with uncertainty indicators: New evidence," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
  86. Amendola, Alessandra & Candila, Vincenzo & Gallo, Giampiero M., 2019. "On the asymmetric impact of macro–variables on volatility," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 135-152.
  87. Shang, Yuhuang & Zheng, Tingguo, 2021. "Mixed-frequency SV model for stock volatility and macroeconomics," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 462-472.
  88. Lv, Wendai & Qi, Jipeng & Feng, Jing, 2023. "Economic policy uncertainty and environmental governance company volatility: Evidence from China," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
  89. Naimoli, Antonio, 2022. "The information content of sentiment indices for forecasting Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall in equity markets," MPRA Paper 112588, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  90. Maria Ghani & Usman Ghani, 2024. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Emerging Stock Market Volatility," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 31(1), pages 165-181, March.
  91. Yao, Can-Zhong & Li, Min-Jian, 2023. "GARCH-MIDAS-GAS-copula model for CoVaR and risk spillover in stock markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
  92. Xu Gong & Mingchao Wang & Liuguo Shao, 2022. "The impact of macro economy on the oil price volatility from the perspective of mixing frequency," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 4487-4514, October.
  93. Wu, Xinyu & Xie, Haibin, 2021. "A realized EGARCH-MIDAS model with higher moments," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
  94. Xu, Qifa & Chen, Lu & Jiang, Cuixia & Yuan, Jing, 2018. "Measuring systemic risk of the banking industry in China: A DCC-MIDAS-t approach," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 13-31.
  95. Lyu, Yongjian & Qin, Fanshu & Ke, Rui & Wei, Yu & Kong, Mengzhen, 2024. "Does mixed frequency variables help to forecast value at risk in the crude oil market?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
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  97. Chaturvedi, Priya & Kumar, Kuldeep, 2022. "Econometric modelling of exchange rate volatility using mixed-frequency data," MPRA Paper 115222, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  98. Ghysels, Eric & Qian, Hang, 2019. "Estimating MIDAS regressions via OLS with polynomial parameter profiling," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 9(C), pages 1-16.
  99. Ruipeng Liu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri, 2021. "Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Rate Uncertainty and Stock Market Volatility: A Forecasting Perspective," Working Papers 202178, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  100. Conrad, Christian & Schienle, Melanie, 2015. "Misspecification Testing in GARCH-MIDAS Models," Working Papers 0597, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics.
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  102. Feng Ma & Xinjie Lu & Lu Wang & Julien Chevallier, 2021. "Global economic policy uncertainty and gold futures market volatility: Evidence from Markov regime‐switching GARCH‐MIDAS models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(6), pages 1070-1085, September.
  103. Su, Zhi & Fang, Tong & Yin, Libo, 2019. "Understanding stock market volatility: What is the role of U.S. uncertainty?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 582-590.
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  105. Jiawen Luo & Oguzhan Cepni & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Forecasting Multivariate Volatilities with Exogenous Predictors: An Application to Industry Diversification Strategies," Working Papers 202258, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  106. Luo, Qin & Bu, Jinfeng & Xu, Weiju & Huang, Dengshi, 2023. "Stock market volatility prediction: Evidence from a new bagging model," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 445-456.
  107. You, Yu & Liu, Xiaochun, 2020. "Forecasting short-run exchange rate volatility with monetary fundamentals: A GARCH-MIDAS approach," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
  108. Wu, Xinyu & Xie, Haibin & Zhang, Huanming, 2022. "Time-varying risk aversion and renminbi exchange rate volatility: Evidence from CARR-MIDAS model," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
  109. Berg, Kimberly A. & Vu, Nam T., 2019. "International spillovers of U.S. financial volatility," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 19-34.
  110. Christian Conrad & Onno Kleen, 2020. "Two are better than one: Volatility forecasting using multiplicative component GARCH‐MIDAS models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(1), pages 19-45, January.
  111. Feng He & Libo Yin, 2021. "Shocks to the equity capital ratio of financial intermediaries and the predictability of stock return volatility," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(6), pages 945-962, September.
  112. Zhang, Zhikai & He, Mengxi & Zhang, Yaojie & Wang, Yudong, 2021. "Realized skewness and the short-term predictability for aggregate stock market volatility," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
  113. Robert Akunga & Ahmad Hassan Ahmad & Simeon Coleman, 2023. "Financial market integration in sub‐Saharan Africa: How important is contagion?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(4), pages 3637-3653, October.
  114. Wang, Yuejing & Ye, Wuyi & Jiang, Ying & Liu, Xiaoquan, 2024. "Volatility prediction for the energy sector with economic determinants: Evidence from a hybrid model," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
  115. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Menelaos Karanasos & Stavroula Yfanti, 2019. "Macro-Financial Linkages in the High-Frequency Domain: The Effects of Uncertainty on Realized Volatility," CESifo Working Paper Series 8000, CESifo.
  116. Naimoli, Antonio, 2023. "The information content of sentiment indices in forecasting Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall: a Complete Realized Exponential GARCH-X approach," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 176(C).
  117. Wang, Yudong & Wei, Yu & Wu, Chongfeng & Yin, Libo, 2018. "Oil and the short-term predictability of stock return volatility," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 90-104.
  118. Liu, Min & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2022. "Is gold a long-run hedge, diversifier, or safe haven for oil? Empirical evidence based on DCC-MIDAS," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
  119. Li, Tao & Ma, Feng & Zhang, Xuehua & Zhang, Yaojie, 2020. "Economic policy uncertainty and the Chinese stock market volatility: Novel evidence," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 24-33.
  120. Han Liu & Peng Yang & Haiyan Song & Doris Chenguang Wu, 2024. "Global and domestic economic policy uncertainties and tourism stock market: Evidence from China," Tourism Economics, , vol. 30(3), pages 567-591, May.
  121. Li, Xiafei & Guo, Qiang & Liang, Chao & Umar, Muhammad, 2023. "Forecasting gold volatility with geopolitical risk indices," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
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