Airlines and climate policy uncertainty: Are the sector's stocks soaring or stalling?
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
DOI: 10.1016/j.jairtraman.2024.102536
Download full text from publisher
As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.
References listed on IDEAS
- Hossein Asgharian & Ai Jun Hou & Farrukh Javed, 2013. "The Importance of the Macroeconomic Variables in Forecasting Stock Return Variance: A GARCH‐MIDAS Approach," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(7), pages 600-612, November.
- Farooq Malik, 2022. "Volatility spillover among sector equity returns under structural breaks," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 58(3), pages 1063-1080, April.
- Huthaifa Sameeh Alqaralleh, 2023. "The extreme spillover from climate policy uncertainty to the Chinese sector stock market: wavelet time-varying approach," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 16(1), pages 1-17, December.
- Xiaoling Yu & Yirong Huang & Kaitian Xiao, 2021. "Global economic policy uncertainty and stock volatility: evidence from emerging economies," Journal of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(1), pages 416-440, January.
- Leonidas Paroussos & Antoine Mandel & Kostas Fragkiadakis & Panagiotis Fragkos & Jochen Hinkel & Zoi Vrontisi, 2019.
"Climate clubs and the macro-economic benefits of international cooperation on climate policy,"
Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 9(7), pages 542-546, July.
- Leonidas Paroussos & Antoine Mandel & Kostas Fragkiadakis & Panagiotis Fragkos & Jochen Hinkel & Zoi Vrontisi, 2019. "Climate clubs and the macro-economic benefits of international cooperation on climate policy," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-02334592, HAL.
- Leonidas Paroussos & Antoine Mandel & Kostas Fragkiadakis & Panagiotis Fragkos & Jochen Hinkel & Zoi Vrontisi, 2019. "Climate clubs and the macro-economic benefits of international cooperation on climate policy," Post-Print halshs-02334592, HAL.
- Leonidas Paroussos & Antoine Mandel & Kostas Fragkiadakis & Panagiotis Fragkos & Jochen Hinkel & Zoi Vrontisi, 2019. "Climate clubs and the macro-economic benefits of international cooperation on climate policy," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) halshs-02334592, HAL.
- Hansen, Peter Reinhard, 2005. "A Test for Superior Predictive Ability," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 23, pages 365-380, October.
- Kang, Wensheng & Perez de Gracia, Fernando & Ratti, Ronald A., 2021. "Economic uncertainty, oil prices, hedging and U.S. stock returns of the airline industry," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
- Bollerslev, Tim, 1986.
"Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 307-327, April.
- Tim Bollerslev, 1986. "Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity," EERI Research Paper Series EERI RP 1986/01, Economics and Econometrics Research Institute (EERI), Brussels.
- Martins, António Miguel & Cró, Susana, 2022. "Airline stock markets reaction to the COVID-19 outbreak and vaccines: An event study," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
- Diebold, Francis X & Mariano, Roberto S, 2002.
"Comparing Predictive Accuracy,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 20(1), pages 134-144, January.
- Diebold, Francis X & Mariano, Roberto S, 1995. "Comparing Predictive Accuracy," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 13(3), pages 253-263, July.
- Francis X. Diebold & Roberto S. Mariano, 1994. "Comparing Predictive Accuracy," NBER Technical Working Papers 0169, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Mutaju Isaack Marobhe & Pastory Dickson, 2022. "Bearish conditions and volatility persistence during COVID-19 can microchip stocks weather the storm?," Review of Behavioral Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 15(4), pages 511-533, February.
- Drakos, Konstantinos, 2004. "Terrorism-induced structural shifts in financial risk: airline stocks in the aftermath of the September 11th terror attacks," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 20(2), pages 435-446, June.
- Mutaju Isaack Marobhe & Jonathan Mukiza Peter Kansheba, 2023. "High frequency volatility spillover between oil and non-energy commodities during crisis and tranquil periods," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 3(4), pages 1-27, April.
- Pan, Zhiyuan & Wang, Yudong & Wu, Chongfeng & Yin, Libo, 2017. "Oil price volatility and macroeconomic fundamentals: A regime switching GARCH-MIDAS model," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 130-142.
- Atems, Bebonchu & Yimga, Jules, 2021. "Quantifying the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on US airline stock prices," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
- Treepongkaruna, Sirimon & Chan, Kam Fong & Malik, Ihtisham, 2023. "Climate policy uncertainty and the cross-section of stock returns," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PA).
- Kotcharin, Suntichai & Maneenop, Sakkakom & Jaroenjitrkam, Anutchanat, 2023. "The impact of government policy responses on airline stock return during the COVID-19 crisis," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
- Chen, Chun-Da & Su, Ching-Hui (Joan) & Chen, Ming-Hsiang, 2022. "Understanding how ESG-focused airlines reduce the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on stock returns," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
- Xu, Xin & Huang, Shupei & Lucey, Brian M. & An, Haizhong, 2023. "The impacts of climate policy uncertainty on stock markets: Comparison between China and the US," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
- Robert F. Engle & Eric Ghysels & Bumjean Sohn, 2013. "Stock Market Volatility and Macroeconomic Fundamentals," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 95(3), pages 776-797, July.
- Mollick, André Varella & Amin, Md Ruhul, 2021. "Occupancy, oil prices, and stock returns: Evidence from the U.S. airline industry," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
- Emre Cevik & Buket Kirci Altinkeski & Emrah Ismail Cevik & Sel Dibooglu, 2022. "Investor sentiments and stock markets during the COVID-19 pandemic," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-34, December.
- Carter, David & Mazumder, Sharif & Simkins, Betty & Sisneros, Eric, 2022. "The stock price reaction of the COVID-19 pandemic on the airline, hotel, and tourism industries," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 44(C).
- Chen, Zhonglu & Zhang, Li & Weng, Chen, 2023. "Does climate policy uncertainty affect Chinese stock market volatility?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 369-381.
- Liang, Chao & Umar, Muhammad & Ma, Feng & Huynh, Toan L.D., 2022. "Climate policy uncertainty and world renewable energy index volatility forecasting," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
- Ryley, Tim & Baumeister, Stefan & Coulter, Liese, 2020. "Climate change influences on aviation: A literature review," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 55-64.
- Engle, Robert F, 1982. "Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(4), pages 987-1007, July.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Cai, Yifei & Zhang, Yahua & Wu, Yanrui & Chang, Tsangyao, 2024. "Airline stock market performance and political relations: A cross-quantilogram analysis of Chinese and US carriers," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 124-149.
- Virbickaitė, Audronė & Nguyen, Hoang & Tran, Minh-Ngoc, 2023.
"Bayesian predictive distributions of oil returns using mixed data sampling volatility models,"
Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
- Virbickaite, Audrone & Nguyen, Hoang & Tran, Minh-Ngoc, 2023. "Bayesian Predictive Distributions of Oil Returns Using Mixed Data Sampling Volatility Models," Working Papers 2023:7, Örebro University, School of Business.
- Peter Malec, 2016. "A Semiparametric Intraday GARCH Model," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1633, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Duc Khuong Nguyen & Thomas Walther, 2020.
"Modeling and forecasting commodity market volatility with long‐term economic and financial variables,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(2), pages 126-142, March.
- Nguyen, Duc Khuong & Walther, Thomas, 2017. "Modeling and forecasting commodity market volatility with long-term economic and financial variables," MPRA Paper 84464, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Jan 2018.
- Thomas Walther & Duc Khuong Nguyen, 2018. "Modeling and Forecasting Commodity Market Volatility with Long-term Economic and Financial Variables," Working Papers on Finance 1824, University of St. Gallen, School of Finance.
- Wang, Yuejing & Ye, Wuyi & Jiang, Ying & Liu, Xiaoquan, 2024. "Volatility prediction for the energy sector with economic determinants: Evidence from a hybrid model," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
- Fang, Tong & Lee, Tae-Hwy & Su, Zhi, 2020.
"Predicting the long-term stock market volatility: A GARCH-MIDAS model with variable selection,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 36-49.
- Tong Fang & Tae-Hwy Lee & Zhi Su, 2020. "Predicting the Long-term Stock Market Volatility: A GARCH-MIDAS Model with Variable Selection," Working Papers 202009, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
- Libing Fang & Baizhu Chen & Honghai Yu & Yichuo Qian, 2018. "The importance of global economic policy uncertainty in predicting gold futures market volatility: A GARCH‐MIDAS approach," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(3), pages 413-422, March.
- Alessandra Amendola & Vincenzo Candila & Antonio Scognamillo, 2017.
"On the influence of US monetary policy on crude oil price volatility,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 52(1), pages 155-178, February.
- Amendola, Alessandra & Candila, Vincenzo & Scognamillo, Antonio, 2015. "On the influence of the U.S. monetary policy on the crude oil price volatility," 2015 Fourth Congress, June 11-12, 2015, Ancona, Italy 207860, Italian Association of Agricultural and Applied Economics (AIEAA).
- Xiafei Li & Yu Wei & Xiaodan Chen & Feng Ma & Chao Liang & Wang Chen, 2022. "Which uncertainty is powerful to forecast crude oil market volatility? New evidence," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 4279-4297, October.
- Salisu, Afees A. & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula E. & Gupta, Rangan & Bouri, Elie, 2024.
"Energy-related uncertainty and international stock market volatility,"
The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 280-293.
- Afees A. Salisu & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri, 2023. "Energy-Related Uncertainty and International Stock Market Volatility," Working Papers 202336, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Raúl de Jesús Gutiérrez & Edgar Ortiz & Oswaldo García Salgado, 2017. "Los efectos de largo plazo de la asimetría y persistencia en la predicción de la volatilidad: evidencia para mercados accionarios de América Latina," Contaduría y Administración, Accounting and Management, vol. 62(4), pages 1063-1080, Octubre-D.
- Wang, Lu & Ma, Feng & Liu, Jing & Yang, Lin, 2020. "Forecasting stock price volatility: New evidence from the GARCH-MIDAS model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 684-694.
- Cristina Amado & Annastiina Silvennoinen & Timo Teräsvirta, 2018.
"Models with Multiplicative Decomposition of Conditional Variances and Correlations,"
CREATES Research Papers
2018-14, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Cristina Amado & Annastiina Silvennoinen & Timo Ter¨asvirta, 2018. "Models with Multiplicative Decomposition of Conditional Variances and Correlations," NIPE Working Papers 07/2018, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
- Jin, Daxiang & Yu, Jize, 2023. "Predicting cryptocurrency market volatility: Novel evidence from climate policy uncertainty," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).
- Zhang, Jiaming & Xiang, Yitian & Zou, Yang & Guo, Songlin, 2024. "Volatility forecasting of Chinese energy market: Which uncertainty have better performance?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
- Petropoulos, Fotios & Apiletti, Daniele & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios & Babai, Mohamed Zied & Barrow, Devon K. & Ben Taieb, Souhaib & Bergmeir, Christoph & Bessa, Ricardo J. & Bijak, Jakub & Boylan, Joh, 2022.
"Forecasting: theory and practice,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 705-871.
- Fotios Petropoulos & Daniele Apiletti & Vassilios Assimakopoulos & Mohamed Zied Babai & Devon K. Barrow & Souhaib Ben Taieb & Christoph Bergmeir & Ricardo J. Bessa & Jakub Bijak & John E. Boylan & Jet, 2020. "Forecasting: theory and practice," Papers 2012.03854, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
- Zhu, Sha & Liu, Qiuhong & Wang, Yan & Wei, Yu & Wei, Guiwu, 2019. "Which fear index matters for predicting US stock market volatilities: Text-counts or option based measurement?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 536(C).
- Shang, Yuhuang & Zheng, Tingguo, 2021. "Mixed-frequency SV model for stock volatility and macroeconomics," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 462-472.
- Andrea BUCCI, 2017.
"Forecasting Realized Volatility A Review,"
Journal of Advanced Studies in Finance, ASERS Publishing, vol. 8(2), pages 94-138.
- Bucci, Andrea, 2017. "Forecasting realized volatility: a review," MPRA Paper 83232, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Meng, Fanyi & Liu, Li, 2019. "Analyzing the economic sources of oil price volatility: An out-of-sample perspective," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 476-486.
More about this item
Keywords
Climate policy uncertainty; GARCH-MIDAS; Airline sector; Stock volatility; Greenhouse gases;All these keywords.
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:jaitra:v:115:y:2024:i:c:s0969699724000012. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/journal-of-air-transport-management/ .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.