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Bond Risk Premiums with Machine Learning
[Quadratic term structure models: Theory and evidence]

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Faria, Gonçalo & Verona, Fabio, 2023. "Forecast combination in the frequency domain," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 1/2023, Bank of Finland.
  2. Cakici, Nusret & Fieberg, Christian & Metko, Daniel & Zaremba, Adam, 2023. "Machine learning goes global: Cross-sectional return predictability in international stock markets," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
  3. Michalski, Lachlan & Low, Rand Kwong Yew, 2024. "Determinants of corporate credit ratings: Does ESG matter?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
  4. Peter Carr & Liuren Wu, 2023. "Decomposing Long Bond Returns: A Decentralized Theory," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 27(3), pages 997-1026.
  5. Ba Chu & Shafiullah Qureshi, 2023. "Comparing Out-of-Sample Performance of Machine Learning Methods to Forecast U.S. GDP Growth," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 62(4), pages 1567-1609, December.
  6. Costola, Michele & Hinz, Oliver & Nofer, Michael & Pelizzon, Loriana, 2023. "Machine learning sentiment analysis, COVID-19 news and stock market reactions," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
  7. Eghbal Rahimikia & Stefan Zohren & Ser-Huang Poon, 2021. "Realised Volatility Forecasting: Machine Learning via Financial Word Embedding," Papers 2108.00480, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2023.
  8. Victor Chernozhukov & Whitney Newey & Rahul Singh & Vasilis Syrgkanis, 2020. "Adversarial Estimation of Riesz Representers," Papers 2101.00009, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2024.
  9. Heger, Julia & Min, Aleksey & Zagst, Rudi, 2024. "Analyzing credit spread changes using explainable artificial intelligence," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
  10. Cakici, Nusret & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Będowska-Sójka, Barbara & Zaremba, Adam, 2024. "Machine learning and the cross-section of cryptocurrency returns," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
  11. Rad, Hossein & Low, Rand Kwong Yew & Miffre, Joëlle & Faff, Robert, 2023. "The commodity risk premium and neural networks," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
  12. Victor Duarte & Diogo Duarte & Dejanir H. Silva, 2024. "Machine Learning for Continuous-Time Finance," CESifo Working Paper Series 10909, CESifo.
  13. Hoang, Daniel & Wiegratz, Kevin, 2022. "Machine learning methods in finance: Recent applications and prospects," Working Paper Series in Economics 158, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Department of Economics and Management.
  14. Borup, Daniel & Christensen, Bent Jesper & Mühlbach, Nicolaj Søndergaard & Nielsen, Mikkel Slot, 2023. "Targeting predictors in random forest regression," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 841-868.
  15. Corradi, Valentina & Fosten, Jack & Gutknecht, Daniel, 2024. "Predictive ability tests with possibly overlapping models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 241(1).
  16. Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & I. Ethem Güney & M. Yilmaz, 2020. "Forecasting local currency bond risk premia of emerging markets: The role of cross‐country macrofinancial linkages," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(6), pages 966-985, September.
  17. Kaniel, Ron & Lin, Zihan & Pelger, Markus & Van Nieuwerburgh, Stijn, 2023. "Machine-learning the skill of mutual fund managers," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(1), pages 94-138.
  18. Roberto Casarin & Stefano Grassi & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2020. "A Bayesian Dynamic Compositional Model for Large Density Combinations in Finance," Working Paper series 20-27, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
  19. DeMiguel, Victor & Gil-Bazo, Javier & Nogales, Francisco J. & Santos, André A.P., 2023. "Machine learning and fund characteristics help to select mutual funds with positive alpha," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(3).
  20. Liu, Qingbai & Wang, Chuanjie & Zhang, Ping & Zheng, Kaixin, 2021. "Detecting stock market manipulation via machine learning: Evidence from China Securities Regulatory Commission punishment cases," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
  21. Lu, Xinjie & Ma, Feng & Xu, Jin & Zhang, Zehui, 2022. "Oil futures volatility predictability: New evidence based on machine learning models11All the authors contribute to the paper equally," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
  22. Thomas Conlon & John Cotter & Iason Kynigakis, 2021. "Machine Learning and Factor-Based Portfolio Optimization," Papers 2107.13866, arXiv.org.
  23. Indrajit Mitra & Yu Xu, 2020. "Limited Household Risk Sharing: General Equilibrium Implications for the Term Structure of Interest Rates," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2020-20, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
  24. Zhao, Albert Bo & Cheng, Tingting, 2022. "Stock return prediction: Stacking a variety of models," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 288-317.
  25. Guan, Keqin & Gong, Xu, 2023. "A new hybrid deep learning model for monthly oil prices forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
  26. Wang, Yijun & Andreeva, Galina & Martin-Barragan, Belen, 2023. "Machine learning approaches to forecasting cryptocurrency volatility: Considering internal and external determinants," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
  27. Mykola Babiak & Jozef Barunik, 2020. "Deep Learning, Predictability, and Optimal Portfolio Returns," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp677, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
  28. Luo, Qin & Bu, Jinfeng & Xu, Weiju & Huang, Dengshi, 2023. "Stock market volatility prediction: Evidence from a new bagging model," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 445-456.
  29. Mustafa, Andy Ali & Lin, Ching-Yang & Kakinaka, Makoto, 2022. "Detecting market pattern changes: A machine learning approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PA).
  30. Jorge Guijarro-Ordonez & Markus Pelger & Greg Zanotti, 2021. "Deep Learning Statistical Arbitrage," Papers 2106.04028, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2022.
  31. Sung Hoon Choi, 2021. "Feasible Weighted Projected Principal Component Analysis for Factor Models with an Application to Bond Risk Premia," Papers 2108.10250, arXiv.org, revised May 2022.
  32. Victor DeMiguel & Javier Gil-Bazo & Francisco J. Nogales & André A. P. Santos, 2021. "Can Machine Learning Help to Select Portfolios of Mutual Funds?," Working Papers 1245, Barcelona School of Economics.
  33. Helena Chuliá & Sabuhi Khalili & Jorge M. Uribe, 2024. "Monitoring time-varying systemic risk in sovereign debt and currency markets with generative AI," IREA Working Papers 202402, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Feb 2024.
  34. Gang Chu & John W. Goodell & Dehua Shen & Yongjie Zhang, 2022. "Machine learning to establish proxies for investor attention: evidence of improved stock-return prediction," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 318(1), pages 103-128, November.
  35. Goutte, Stéphane & Le, Hoang-Viet & Liu, Fei & von Mettenheim, Hans-Jörg, 2023. "Deep learning and technical analysis in cryptocurrency market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
  36. Fallahgoul, Hasan & Franstianto, Vincentius & Lin, Xin, 2024. "Asset pricing with neural networks: Significance tests," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 238(1).
  37. Hanauer, Matthias X. & Kalsbach, Tobias, 2023. "Machine learning and the cross-section of emerging market stock returns," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
  38. Bui, Dien Giau & Kong, De-Rong & Lin, Chih-Yung & Lin, Tse-Chun, 2023. "Momentum in machine learning: Evidence from the Taiwan stock market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
  39. Nadja Klein & Michael Stanley Smith & David J. Nott, 2023. "Deep distributional time series models and the probabilistic forecasting of intraday electricity prices," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(4), pages 493-511, June.
  40. Hanauer, Matthias X. & Kononova, Marina & Rapp, Marc Steffen, 2022. "Boosting agnostic fundamental analysis: Using machine learning to identify mispricing in European stock markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
  41. Sergio Consoli & Luca Tiozzo Pezzoli & Elisa Tosetti, 2022. "Neural forecasting of the Italian sovereign bond market with economic news," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 185(S2), pages 197-224, December.
  42. Liu, Qingfu & Tao, Zhenyi & Tse, Yiuman & Wang, Chuanjie, 2022. "Stock market prediction with deep learning: The case of China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PA).
  43. Siem Jan Koopman & Julia Schaumburg & Quint Wiersma, 2021. "Joint Modelling and Estimation of Global and Local Cross-Sectional Dependence in Large Panels," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 21-008/III, Tinbergen Institute.
  44. Jozef Barunik & Martin Hronec & Ondrej Tobek, 2024. "Predicting the distributions of stock returns around the globe in the era of big data and learning," Papers 2408.07497, arXiv.org.
  45. Varshini, Anu & Kayal, Parthajit & Maiti, Moinak, 2024. "How good are different machine and deep learning models in forecasting the future price of metals? Full sample versus sub-sample," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
  46. Damir Filipovi'c & Puneet Pasricha, 2022. "Empirical Asset Pricing via Ensemble Gaussian Process Regression," Papers 2212.01048, arXiv.org.
  47. Souropanis, Ioannis & Vivian, Andrew, 2023. "Forecasting realized volatility with wavelet decomposition," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
  48. Díaz, Juan D. & Hansen, Erwin & Cabrera, Gabriel, 2024. "Machine-learning stock market volatility: Predictability, drivers, and economic value," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
  49. Brahmana, Rayenda Khresna, 2022. "Do Machine Learning Approaches Have the Same Accuracy in Forecasting Cryptocurrencies Volatilities?," MPRA Paper 119598, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  50. Paul Geertsema & Helen Lu, 2023. "Relative Valuation with Machine Learning," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 61(1), pages 329-376, March.
  51. Andrew J. Patton & Yasin Simsek, 2023. "Generalized Autoregressive Score Trees and Forests," Papers 2305.18991, arXiv.org.
  52. Yao, Haixiang & Xia, Shenghao & Liu, Hao, 2022. "Six-factor asset pricing and portfolio investment via deep learning: Evidence from Chinese stock market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
  53. Niu, Zibo & Demirer, Riza & Suleman, Muhammad Tahir & Zhang, Hongwei & Zhu, Xuehong, 2024. "Do industries predict stock market volatility? Evidence from machine learning models," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
  54. Yu, Fanchao, 2023. "Macroeconomic information, global economic policy uncertainty and gold futures return predictability," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PA).
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