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Bond Risk Premiums with Machine Learning
[Quadratic term structure models: Theory and evidence]
Citations
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Cited by:
- Faria, Gonçalo & Verona, Fabio, 2023. "Forecast combination in the frequency domain," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 1/2023, Bank of Finland.
- Cakici, Nusret & Fieberg, Christian & Metko, Daniel & Zaremba, Adam, 2023. "Machine learning goes global: Cross-sectional return predictability in international stock markets," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
- Michalski, Lachlan & Low, Rand Kwong Yew, 2024. "Determinants of corporate credit ratings: Does ESG matter?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
- Peter Carr & Liuren Wu, 2023. "Decomposing Long Bond Returns: A Decentralized Theory," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 27(3), pages 997-1026.
- Ba Chu & Shafiullah Qureshi, 2023.
"Comparing Out-of-Sample Performance of Machine Learning Methods to Forecast U.S. GDP Growth,"
Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 62(4), pages 1567-1609, December.
- Ba Chu & Shafiullah Qureshi, 2021. "Comparing Out-of-Sample Performance of Machine Learning Methods to Forecast U.S. GDP Growth," Carleton Economic Papers 21-12, Carleton University, Department of Economics.
- Costola, Michele & Hinz, Oliver & Nofer, Michael & Pelizzon, Loriana, 2023.
"Machine learning sentiment analysis, COVID-19 news and stock market reactions,"
Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
- Costola, Michele & Nofer, Michael & Hinz, Oliver & Pelizzon, Loriana, 2020. "Machine learning sentiment analysis, Covid-19 news and stock market reactions," SAFE Working Paper Series 288, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
- Eghbal Rahimikia & Stefan Zohren & Ser-Huang Poon, 2021. "Realised Volatility Forecasting: Machine Learning via Financial Word Embedding," Papers 2108.00480, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2023.
- Victor Chernozhukov & Whitney Newey & Rahul Singh & Vasilis Syrgkanis, 2020. "Adversarial Estimation of Riesz Representers," Papers 2101.00009, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2024.
- Heger, Julia & Min, Aleksey & Zagst, Rudi, 2024. "Analyzing credit spread changes using explainable artificial intelligence," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
- Cakici, Nusret & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Będowska-Sójka, Barbara & Zaremba, Adam, 2024. "Machine learning and the cross-section of cryptocurrency returns," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
- Rad, Hossein & Low, Rand Kwong Yew & Miffre, Joëlle & Faff, Robert, 2023.
"The commodity risk premium and neural networks,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
- Joelle Miffre & Hossein Rad & Rand Kwong Yew Low & Robert Faff, 2023. "The commodity risk premium and neural networks," Post-Print hal-04322519, HAL.
- Victor Duarte & Diogo Duarte & Dejanir H. Silva, 2024. "Machine Learning for Continuous-Time Finance," CESifo Working Paper Series 10909, CESifo.
- Hoang, Daniel & Wiegratz, Kevin, 2022. "Machine learning methods in finance: Recent applications and prospects," Working Paper Series in Economics 158, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Department of Economics and Management.
- Borup, Daniel & Christensen, Bent Jesper & Mühlbach, Nicolaj Søndergaard & Nielsen, Mikkel Slot, 2023.
"Targeting predictors in random forest regression,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 841-868.
- Daniel Borup & Bent Jesper Christensen & Nicolaj N{o}rgaard Muhlbach & Mikkel Slot Nielsen, 2020. "Targeting predictors in random forest regression," Papers 2004.01411, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2020.
- Daniel Borup & Bent Jesper Christensen & Nicolaj N. Mühlbach & Mikkel S. Nielsen, 2020. "Targeting predictors in random forest regression," CREATES Research Papers 2020-03, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Corradi, Valentina & Fosten, Jack & Gutknecht, Daniel, 2024. "Predictive ability tests with possibly overlapping models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 241(1).
- Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & I. Ethem Güney & M. Yilmaz, 2020.
"Forecasting local currency bond risk premia of emerging markets: The role of cross‐country macrofinancial linkages,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(6), pages 966-985, September.
- Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & I. Ethem Guney & M. Hasan Yilmaz, 2019. "Forecasting Local Currency Bond Risk Premia of Emerging Markets: The Role of Cross-Country Macro-Financial Linkages," Working Papers 201957, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Kaniel, Ron & Lin, Zihan & Pelger, Markus & Van Nieuwerburgh, Stijn, 2023.
"Machine-learning the skill of mutual fund managers,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(1), pages 94-138.
- Ron Kaniel & Zihan Lin & Markus Pelger & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, 2022. "Machine-Learning the Skill of Mutual Fund Managers," NBER Working Papers 29723, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Kaniel, Ron & Lin, Zihan & Pelger, Markus & Van Nieuwerburgh, Stijn, 2023. "Machine-Learning the Skill of Mutual Fund Managers," CEPR Discussion Papers 18129, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Roberto Casarin & Stefano Grassi & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2020.
"A Bayesian Dynamic Compositional Model for Large Density Combinations in Finance,"
Working Paper series
20-27, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Roberto Casarin & Stefano Grassi & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2021. "A Bayesian Dynamic Compositional Model for Large Density Combinations in Finance," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 21-016/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- DeMiguel, Victor & Gil-Bazo, Javier & Nogales, Francisco J. & Santos, André A.P., 2023. "Machine learning and fund characteristics help to select mutual funds with positive alpha," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(3).
- Liu, Qingbai & Wang, Chuanjie & Zhang, Ping & Zheng, Kaixin, 2021. "Detecting stock market manipulation via machine learning: Evidence from China Securities Regulatory Commission punishment cases," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
- Lu, Xinjie & Ma, Feng & Xu, Jin & Zhang, Zehui, 2022. "Oil futures volatility predictability: New evidence based on machine learning models11All the authors contribute to the paper equally," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
- Thomas Conlon & John Cotter & Iason Kynigakis, 2021.
"Machine Learning and Factor-Based Portfolio Optimization,"
Papers
2107.13866, arXiv.org.
- Thomas Conlon & John Cotter & Iason Kynigakis, 2021. "Machine Learning and Factor-Based Portfolio Optimization," Working Papers 202111, Geary Institute, University College Dublin.
- Indrajit Mitra & Yu Xu, 2020. "Limited Household Risk Sharing: General Equilibrium Implications for the Term Structure of Interest Rates," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2020-20, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- Zhao, Albert Bo & Cheng, Tingting, 2022. "Stock return prediction: Stacking a variety of models," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 288-317.
- Guan, Keqin & Gong, Xu, 2023. "A new hybrid deep learning model for monthly oil prices forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
- Wang, Yijun & Andreeva, Galina & Martin-Barragan, Belen, 2023. "Machine learning approaches to forecasting cryptocurrency volatility: Considering internal and external determinants," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
- Mykola Babiak & Jozef Barunik, 2020.
"Deep Learning, Predictability, and Optimal Portfolio Returns,"
CERGE-EI Working Papers
wp677, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
- Mykola Babiak & Jozef Barunik, 2020. "Deep Learning, Predictability, and Optimal Portfolio Returns," Papers 2009.03394, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2021.
- Luo, Qin & Bu, Jinfeng & Xu, Weiju & Huang, Dengshi, 2023. "Stock market volatility prediction: Evidence from a new bagging model," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 445-456.
- Mustafa, Andy Ali & Lin, Ching-Yang & Kakinaka, Makoto, 2022. "Detecting market pattern changes: A machine learning approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PA).
- Jorge Guijarro-Ordonez & Markus Pelger & Greg Zanotti, 2021. "Deep Learning Statistical Arbitrage," Papers 2106.04028, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2022.
- Sung Hoon Choi, 2021. "Feasible Weighted Projected Principal Component Analysis for Factor Models with an Application to Bond Risk Premia," Papers 2108.10250, arXiv.org, revised May 2022.
- Victor DeMiguel & Javier Gil-Bazo & Francisco J. Nogales & André A. P. Santos, 2021.
"Can Machine Learning Help to Select Portfolios of Mutual Funds?,"
Working Papers
1245, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Victor DeMiguel & Javier Gil-Bazo & Francisco J. Nogales & André A. P. Santos, 2021. "Can machine learning help to select portfolios of mutual funds?," Economics Working Papers 1772, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
- Helena Chuliá & Sabuhi Khalili & Jorge M. Uribe, 2024. "Monitoring time-varying systemic risk in sovereign debt and currency markets with generative AI," IREA Working Papers 202402, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Feb 2024.
- Gang Chu & John W. Goodell & Dehua Shen & Yongjie Zhang, 2022. "Machine learning to establish proxies for investor attention: evidence of improved stock-return prediction," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 318(1), pages 103-128, November.
- Goutte, Stéphane & Le, Hoang-Viet & Liu, Fei & von Mettenheim, Hans-Jörg, 2023.
"Deep learning and technical analysis in cryptocurrency market,"
Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
- Stéphane Goutte & Viet Hoang Le & Fei Liu & Hans-Jörg Mettenheim, Von, 2023. "Deep Learning And Technical Analysis In Cryptocurrency Market," Working Papers halshs-03917333, HAL.
- Fallahgoul, Hasan & Franstianto, Vincentius & Lin, Xin, 2024. "Asset pricing with neural networks: Significance tests," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 238(1).
- Hanauer, Matthias X. & Kalsbach, Tobias, 2023. "Machine learning and the cross-section of emerging market stock returns," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
- Bui, Dien Giau & Kong, De-Rong & Lin, Chih-Yung & Lin, Tse-Chun, 2023. "Momentum in machine learning: Evidence from the Taiwan stock market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
- Nadja Klein & Michael Stanley Smith & David J. Nott, 2023. "Deep distributional time series models and the probabilistic forecasting of intraday electricity prices," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(4), pages 493-511, June.
- Hanauer, Matthias X. & Kononova, Marina & Rapp, Marc Steffen, 2022. "Boosting agnostic fundamental analysis: Using machine learning to identify mispricing in European stock markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
- Sergio Consoli & Luca Tiozzo Pezzoli & Elisa Tosetti, 2022. "Neural forecasting of the Italian sovereign bond market with economic news," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 185(S2), pages 197-224, December.
- Liu, Qingfu & Tao, Zhenyi & Tse, Yiuman & Wang, Chuanjie, 2022. "Stock market prediction with deep learning: The case of China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PA).
- Siem Jan Koopman & Julia Schaumburg & Quint Wiersma, 2021. "Joint Modelling and Estimation of Global and Local Cross-Sectional Dependence in Large Panels," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 21-008/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Jozef Barunik & Martin Hronec & Ondrej Tobek, 2024. "Predicting the distributions of stock returns around the globe in the era of big data and learning," Papers 2408.07497, arXiv.org.
- Varshini, Anu & Kayal, Parthajit & Maiti, Moinak, 2024. "How good are different machine and deep learning models in forecasting the future price of metals? Full sample versus sub-sample," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
- Damir Filipovi'c & Puneet Pasricha, 2022. "Empirical Asset Pricing via Ensemble Gaussian Process Regression," Papers 2212.01048, arXiv.org.
- Souropanis, Ioannis & Vivian, Andrew, 2023. "Forecasting realized volatility with wavelet decomposition," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
- Díaz, Juan D. & Hansen, Erwin & Cabrera, Gabriel, 2024. "Machine-learning stock market volatility: Predictability, drivers, and economic value," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
- Brahmana, Rayenda Khresna, 2022. "Do Machine Learning Approaches Have the Same Accuracy in Forecasting Cryptocurrencies Volatilities?," MPRA Paper 119598, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Paul Geertsema & Helen Lu, 2023. "Relative Valuation with Machine Learning," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 61(1), pages 329-376, March.
- Andrew J. Patton & Yasin Simsek, 2023. "Generalized Autoregressive Score Trees and Forests," Papers 2305.18991, arXiv.org.
- Yao, Haixiang & Xia, Shenghao & Liu, Hao, 2022. "Six-factor asset pricing and portfolio investment via deep learning: Evidence from Chinese stock market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
- Niu, Zibo & Demirer, Riza & Suleman, Muhammad Tahir & Zhang, Hongwei & Zhu, Xuehong, 2024. "Do industries predict stock market volatility? Evidence from machine learning models," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
- Yu, Fanchao, 2023. "Macroeconomic information, global economic policy uncertainty and gold futures return predictability," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PA).