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In-sample vs. out-of-sample tests of stock return predictability in the context of data mining
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Cited by:
- Goodness C. Aye & Stephen M. Miller & Rangan Gupta & Mehmet Balcilar, 2016.
"Forecasting US real private residential fixed investment using a large number of predictors,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 51(4), pages 1557-1580, December.
- Goodness C. Aye & Stephen M. Miller & Rangan Gupta & Mehmet Balcilar, 2013. "Forecasting the US Real Private Residential Fixed Investment Using Large Number of Predictors," Working Papers 201348, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller & Mehmet Balcilar, 2014. "Forecasting US Real Private Residential Fixed Investment Using a Large Number of Predictors," Working papers 2014-10, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
- Lansing, Kevin J. & LeRoy, Stephen F. & Ma, Jun, 2022.
"Examining the sources of excess return predictability: Stochastic volatility or market inefficiency?,"
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 197(C), pages 50-72.
- Kevin J. Lansing & Stephen F. LeRoy & Jun Ma, 2022. "Examining the Sources of Excess Return Predictability: Stochastic Volatility or Market Inefficiency?," Working Paper Series 2018-14, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Clark, Todd E. & McCracken, Michael W., 2015.
"Nested forecast model comparisons: A new approach to testing equal accuracy,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 186(1), pages 160-177.
- Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken, 2009. "Nested forecast model comparisons: a new approach to testing equal accuracy," Research Working Paper RWP 09-11, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
- Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken, 2009. "Nested forecast model comparisons: a new approach to testing equal accuracy," Working Papers 2009-050, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
- Chen, Shiu-Sheng & Chou, Yu-Hsi, 2023. "Liquidity yield and exchange rate predictability," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
- Nonejad, Nima, 2021. "Predicting equity premium using news-based economic policy uncertainty: Not all uncertainty changes are equally important," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
- Theologos Dergiades & Panos K. Pouliasis, 2023.
"Should stock returns predictability be ‘hooked on’ long‐horizon regressions?,"
International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(1), pages 718-732, January.
- Theologos Dergiades & Panos K. Pouliasis, 2021. "Should Stock Returns Predictability be hooked on Long Horizon Regressions?," Discussion Paper Series 2021_03, Department of Economics, University of Macedonia, revised Feb 2021.
- Massimo Guidolin & Manuela Pedio, 2021. "Forecasting commodity futures returns with stepwise regressions: Do commodity-specific factors help?," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 299(1), pages 1317-1356, April.
- Durden, Garey C. & Gaynor, Patricia E., 2015.
"Publishing in The Journal of Regional Analysis and Policy and an Evaluation (via Citation Counts) of JRAP’s Influence on Scholarship in Regional Science,"
Journal of Regional Analysis and Policy, Mid-Continent Regional Science Association, vol. 45(2).
- Garey C. Durden & Patricia E. Gaynor, 2014. "Publishing in The Journal of Regional Analysis and Policy and an Evaluation (via Citation Counts) of JRAP’s Influence on Scholarship in Regional Science," Working Papers 14-07, Department of Economics, Appalachian State University.
- Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Narayan, Seema & Thuraisamy, Kannan Sivananthan, 2014. "Can institutions and macroeconomic factors predict stock returns in emerging markets?," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 19(C), pages 77-95.
- Clark, Todd E. & McCracken, Michael W., 2012.
"In-sample tests of predictive ability: A new approach,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 170(1), pages 1-14.
- Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken, 2009. "In-sample tests of predictive ability: a new approach," Working Papers 2009-051, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
- Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken, 2009. "In-sample tests of predictive ability: a new approach," Research Working Paper RWP 09-10, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
- Favero, Carlo A. & Gozluklu, Arie E. & Tamoni, Andrea, 2011.
"Demographic Trends, the Dividend-Price Ratio, and the Predictability of Long-Run Stock Market Returns,"
Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 46(5), pages 1493-1520, October.
- Carlo A. Favero & Arie E. Gozluklu & Andrea Tamoni, 2010. "Demographic Trends, the Dividend-Price Ratio and the Predictability of Long-Run Stock Market Returns," Working Papers 360, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- Favero, Carlo A. & Gozluklu, Arie & Tamoni, Andrea, 2010. "Demographic Trends, the Dividend-Price Ratio and the Predictability of Long-Run Stock Market Returns," CEPR Discussion Papers 7734, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Youngbin Lee & Yejin Kim & Javier Sanz-Cruzado & Richard McCreadie & Yongjae Lee, 2024. "Stock Recommendations for Individual Investors: A Temporal Graph Network Approach with Mean-Variance Efficient Sampling," Papers 2404.07223, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2024.
- Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Sharma, Susan & Poon, Wai Ching & Westerlund, Joakim, 2014.
"Do oil prices predict economic growth? New global evidence,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 137-146.
- Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Sharma, Susan Sunila & Poon, Wai Ching & Westerlund, Joakim, 2014. "Do oil prices predict economic growth? New global evidence," Working Papers fe_2014_09, Deakin University, Department of Economics.
- Shi, Qi & Li, Bin, 2022. "Further evidence on financial information and economic activity forecasts in the United States," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
- Kirstin Hubrich & Kenneth D. West, 2010.
"Forecast evaluation of small nested model sets,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(4), pages 574-594.
- Kirstin Hubrich & Kenneth D. West, 2008. "Forecast Evaluation of Small Nested Model Sets," NBER Working Papers 14601, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Hubrich, Kirstin & West, Kenneth D., 2009. "Forecast evaluation of small nested model sets," Working Paper Series 1030, European Central Bank.
- Della Corte, Pasquale & Sarno, Lucio & Valente, Giorgio, 2010. "A century of equity premium predictability and the consumption-wealth ratio: An international perspective," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 17(3), pages 313-331, June.
- Jurdi, Doureige & Kim, Jae, 2019. "Predicting the U.S. Stock Market Return: Evidence from the Improved Augmented Regression Method," MPRA Paper 94028, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Pierre Giot & Mikael Petitjean, 2009.
"Short-term market timing using the bond-equity yield ratio,"
The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(4), pages 365-384.
- GIOT, Pierre & PETITJEAN, Mikael, 2006. "Short-term market timing using the Bond-Equity Yield Ratio," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2006090, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- GIOT, Pierre & PETITJEAN, Mikael, 2009. "Short-term market timing using the bond-equity yield ratio," LIDAM Reprints CORE 2224, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Neely, Christopher J., 2022.
"How persistent are unconventional monetary policy effects?,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
- Christopher J. Neely, 2014. "How Persistent Are Unconventional Monetary Policy Effects?," Working Papers 2014-004, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, revised 15 Apr 2022.
- Thomadakis, Apostolos, 2016. "Do Combination Forecasts Outperform the Historical Average? Economic and Statistical Evidence," MPRA Paper 71589, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Makin, Anthony J. & Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Narayan, Seema, 2014. "What expenditure does Anglosphere foreign borrowing fund?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 63-78.
- Helmut Herwartz & Leonardo Morales-Arias, 2009. "In-sample and out-of-sample properties of international stock return dynamics conditional on equilibrium pricing factors," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(1), pages 1-28.
- Guo, Hui & Savickas, Robert, 2008. "Forecasting foreign exchange rates using idiosyncratic volatility," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(7), pages 1322-1332, July.
- Yin, Anwen, 2020. "Equity premium prediction and optimal portfolio decision with Bagging," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
- Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2017.
"International stock return predictability: Is the role of U.S. time-varying?,"
Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 44(1), pages 121-146, February.
- Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "International Stock Return Predictability: Is the Role of U.S. Time-Varying?," Working Papers 15-07, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
- Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "International Stock Return Predictability: Is the Role of U.S. Time-Varying?," Working Papers 201524, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken, 2010. "Reality checks and nested forecast model comparisons," Working Papers 2010-032, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
- Gupta, Rangan & Modise, Mampho P., 2013.
"Macroeconomic Variables and South African Stock Return Predictability,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 612-622.
- Rangan Gupta & Mampho P. Modise, 2011. "Macroeconomic Variables and South African Stock Return Predictability," Working Papers 201107, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Sousa, Ricardo M. & Vivian, Andrew & Wohar, Mark E., 2016. "Predicting asset returns in the BRICS: The role of macroeconomic and fundamental predictors," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 122-143.
- Andrea Buraschi & Andrea Carnelli, 2013. "The economic value of predictability in portfolio management," Journal of Financial Management, Markets and Institutions, Società editrice il Mulino, issue 1, pages 5-22, January.
- Liang, Chao & Xia, Zhenglan & Lai, Xiaodong & Wang, Lu, 2022. "Natural gas volatility prediction: Fresh evidence from extreme weather and extended GARCH-MIDAS-ES model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
- Gupta, Rangan & Modise, Mampho P., 2012.
"South African stock return predictability in the context data mining: The role of financial variables and international stock returns,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 908-916.
- Rangan Gupta & Mampho P. Modise, 2010. "South African Stock Return Predictability in the Context of Data Mining: The Role of Financial Variables and International Stock Returns," Working Papers 201027, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Arcidiacono, Sally Giuseppe & Corrente, Salvatore & Greco, Salvatore, 2021. "Robust stochastic sorting with interacting criteria hierarchically structured," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 292(2), pages 735-754.
- Fang, Jiali & Jacobsen, Ben & Qin, Yafeng, 2014.
"Predictability of the simple technical trading rules: An out-of-sample test,"
Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 23(1), pages 30-45.
- Jiali Fang & Ben Jacobsen & Yafeng Qin, 2014. "Predictability of the simple technical trading rules: An out‐of‐sample test," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 23(1), pages 30-45, January.
- Hollstein, Fabian & Nguyen, Duc Binh Benno & Prokopczuk, Marcel & Wese Simen, Chardin, 2019.
"International tail risk and World Fear,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 244-259.
- Nguyen, Duc Binh Benno & Prokopczuk, Marcel & Wese Simen, Chardin, 2017. "International Tail Risk and World Fear," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-620, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
- Sharma, Susan Sunila, 2016. "Can consumer price index predict gold price returns?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 269-278.
- Clark, Todd & McCracken, Michael, 2013.
"Advances in Forecast Evaluation,"
Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 1107-1201,
Elsevier.
- Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken, 2011. "Advances in forecast evaluation," Working Papers 2011-025, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
- Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken, 2011. "Advances in forecast evaluation," Working Papers (Old Series) 1120, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Joseph P. Byrne & Dimitris Korobilis & Pinho J. Ribeiro, 2018.
"On The Sources Of Uncertainty In Exchange Rate Predictability,"
International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 59(1), pages 329-357, February.
- Byrne, Joseph P. & Korobilis, Dimitris & Ribeiro, Pinho J., 2014. "On the Sources of Uncertainty in Exchange Rate Predictability," SIRE Discussion Papers 2015-24, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Byrne, Joseph P & Korobilis, Dimitris & Ribeiro, Pinho J, 2014. "On the Sources of Uncertainty in Exchange Rate Predictability," MPRA Paper 58956, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Joseph P. Byrne & Dimitris Korobilis & Pinho J. Ribeiro, 2014. "On the Sources of Uncertainty in Exchange Rate Predictability," Working Papers 2014_16, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Ayinde, Taofeek O. & Olaniran, Abeeb O. & Abolade, Onomeabure C. & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula Ephraim, 2023. "Technology shocks - Gold market connection: Is the effect episodic to business cycle behaviour?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
- Giot, Pierre & Petitjean, Mikael, 2007.
"The information content of the Bond-Equity Yield Ratio: Better than a random walk?,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 289-305.
- GIOT, Pierre & PETITJEAN, Mikael, 2006. "The information content of the Bond-Equity Yield Ratio: better than a random walk?," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2006089, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- GIOT, Pierre & PETITJEAN, Mikael, 2007. "The information content of the Bond-Equity Yield Ratio: Better than a random walk?," LIDAM Reprints CORE 1982, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Hollstein, Fabian & Prokopczuk, Marcel & Tharann, Björn & Wese Simen, Chardin, 2021. "Predictability in commodity markets: Evidence from more than a century," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 24(C).
- Nonejad, Nima, 2019. "Forecasting aggregate equity return volatility using crude oil price volatility: The role of nonlinearities and asymmetries," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
- David McMillan & Mark Wohar, 2013. "UK stock market predictability: evidence of time variation," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(12), pages 1043-1055, June.
- Massimo Guidolin & Manuela Pedio, 2018. "Forecasting Commodity Futures Returns: An Economic Value Analysis of Macroeconomic vs. Specific Factors," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 1886, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
- Chen, Long, 2009. "On the reversal of return and dividend growth predictability: A tale of two periods," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(1), pages 128-151, April.
- Sarah Gelper & Christophe Croux, 2010. "On the Construction of the European Economic Sentiment Indicator," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 72(1), pages 47-62, February.
- Han, Yang & Jiao, Anqi & Ma, Jun, 2021. "The predictive power of Nelson–Siegel factor loadings for the real economy," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 95-127.
- Nuno Silva, 2013. "Equity Premia Predictability in the EuroZone," GEMF Working Papers 2013-22, GEMF, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra.
- Pincheira-Brown, Pablo & Selaive, Jorge & Nolazco, Jose Luis, 2019.
"Forecasting inflation in Latin America with core measures,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 1060-1071.
- Pincheira, Pablo & Selaive, Jorge & Nolazco, Jose Luis, 2017. "Forecasting Inflation in Latin America with Core Measures," MPRA Paper 80496, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Ana Sequeira, 2013. "Predicting aggregate returns using valuation ratios out-of-sample," Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
- Neil Kellard & Denise Osborn & Jerry Coakley & Imanol Arrieta-ibarra & Ignacio N. Lobato, 2015. "Testing for Predictability in Financial Returns Using Statistical Learning Procedures," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(5), pages 672-686, September.
- Dichtl, Hubert & Drobetz, Wolfgang & Neuhierl, Andreas & Wendt, Viktoria-Sophie, 2021. "Data snooping in equity premium prediction," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 72-94.
- Rocha Armada, Manuel J. & Sousa, Ricardo M. & Wohar, Mark E., 2015. "Consumption growth, preference for smoothing, changes in expectations and risk premium," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 80-97.
- Hong, Yanran & Yu, Jize & Su, Yuquan & Wang, Lu, 2023. "Southern oscillation: Great value of its trends for forecasting crude oil spot price volatility," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 358-368.
- Fabian Hollstein & Marcel Prokopczuk & Björn Tharann & Chardin Wese Simen, 2019.
"Predicting the equity market with option-implied variables,"
The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(10), pages 937-965, July.
- Prokopczuk, Marcel & Tharann, Björn & Wese Simen, Chardin, 2017. "Predicting the Equity Market with Option Implied Variables," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-619, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
- repec:grz:wpaper:2012-02 is not listed on IDEAS
- Dladla, Pholile & Malikane, Christopher, 2019. "Stock return predictability: Evidence from a structural model," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 412-424.
- Zhang, Zhikai & He, Mengxi & Zhang, Yaojie & Wang, Yudong, 2021. "Realized skewness and the short-term predictability for aggregate stock market volatility," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
- Seungho Baek & Jeong Wan Lee & Kyong Joo Oh & Myoungji Lee, 2020. "Yield curve risks in currency carry forwards," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(4), pages 651-670, April.
- Kellard, Neil M. & Nankervis, John C. & Papadimitriou, Fotios I., 2010. "Predicting the equity premium with dividend ratios: Reconciling the evidence," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 17(4), pages 539-551, September.
- Nonejad, Nima, 2021. "Predicting the return on the spot price of crude oil out-of-sample by conditioning on news-based uncertainty measures: Some new empirical results," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
- Xuan, Chunji & Kim, Chang-Jin, 2020. "Structural breaks in the mean of dividend-price ratios: Implications of learning on stock return predictability," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
- Morten Risstad & Airin Thodesen & Kristian August Thune & Sjur Westgaard, 2023. "On the Exchange Rate Dynamics of the Norwegian Krone," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(7), pages 1-18, June.
- Vivian, Andrew & Wohar, Mark E., 2013. "The output gap and stock returns: Do cyclical fluctuations predict portfolio returns?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 40-50.
- Steven J. Jordan & Andrew Vivian & Mark E. Wohar, 2015. "Location, location, location: currency effects and return predictability?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(18), pages 1883-1898, April.
- Byrne, Joseph P. & Korobilis, Dimitris & Ribeiro, Pinho J., 2014. "On the Sources of Uncertainty in Exchange Rate Predictability," 2007 Annual Meeting, July 29-August 1, 2007, Portland, Oregon TN 2015-24, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
- Wen, Danyan & He, Mengxi & Wang, Yudong & Zhang, Yaojie, 2024. "Forecasting crude oil market volatility: A comprehensive look at uncertainty variables," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(3), pages 1022-1041.
- Guidolin, Massimo & Ono, Sadayuki, 2006.
"Are the dynamic linkages between the macroeconomy and asset prices time-varying?,"
Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 58(5-6), pages 480-518.
- Massimo Guidolin & Sadayuki Ono, 2005. "Are the dynamic linkages between the macroeconomy and asset prices time-varying?," Working Papers 2005-056, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
- Chen, Guojin & Hong, Zhiwu & Ren, Yu, 2016. "Durable consumption and asset returns: Cointegration analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 231-244.
- repec:mul:jdp901:doi:10.12831/73630:y:2013:i:1:p:11-25 is not listed on IDEAS
- Shamsi Zamenjani, Azam, 2021. "Do financial variables help predict the conditional distribution of the market portfolio?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 327-345.
- Massimo Guidolin & Manuela Pedio, 2022. "Switching Coefficients or Automatic Variable Selection: An Application in Forecasting Commodity Returns," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 4(1), pages 1-32, February.
- Ivo Welch & Amit Goyal, 2008.
"A Comprehensive Look at The Empirical Performance of Equity Premium Prediction,"
The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 21(4), pages 1455-1508, July.
- Amit Goval & Ivo Welch, 2004. "A Comprehensive Look at the Empirical Performance of Equity Premium Prediction," NBER Working Papers 10483, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Amit Goyal & Ivo Welch, 2004. "A Comprehensive Look at the Empirical Performance of Equity Premium Prediction," Yale School of Management Working Papers amz2412, Yale School of Management, revised 01 Jan 2006.
- Amit Goyal & Ivo Welch & Athanasse Zafirov, 2021. "A Comprehensive Look at the Empirical Performance of Equity Premium Prediction II," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 21-85, Swiss Finance Institute.
- Paulo Silva, 2015. "The information content of the open interest of credit default swaps," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 29(4), pages 381-427, November.
- Mei, Dexiang & Xie, Yutang, 2022. "U.S. grain commodity futures price volatility: Does trade policy uncertainty matter?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
- Jordan, Steven J. & Vivian, Andrew & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "Forecasting market returns: bagging or combining?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 102-120.
- Pierre Giot & Mikael Petitjean, 2011.
"On the statistical and economic performance of stock return predictive regression models: an international perspective,"
Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(2), pages 175-193.
- GIOT, Pierre & PETITJEAN, Mikael, 2011. "On the statistical and economic performance of stock return predictive regression models: an international perspective," LIDAM Reprints CORE 2432, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- GIOT, Pierre & PETITJEAN, Mikael, 2011. "On the statistical and economic performance of stock return predictive regression models: an international perspective," LIDAM Reprints CORE 2327, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Shah, Zahra B., 2011.
"An in-sample and out-of-sample empirical investigation of the nonlinearity in house prices of South Africa,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 891-899, May.
- Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Zahra Shah, 2010. "An In-Sample and Out-of-Sample Empirical Investigation of the Nonlinearity in House Prices of South Africa," Working Papers 201008, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Agata Lozinskaia & Anastasiia Saltykova, 2019. "Fundamental Factors Affecting The Moex Russia Index: Structural Break Detection In A Long-Term Time Series," HSE Working papers WP BRP 77/FE/2019, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
- Massimo Guidolin & Carrie Fangzhou Na, 2007. "The economic and statistical value of forecast combinations under regime switching: an application to predictable U.S. returns," Working Papers 2006-059, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
- Francesco Chincoli & Massimo Guidolin, 2017.
"Linear and nonlinear predictability in investment style factors: multivariate evidence,"
Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 18(6), pages 476-509, October.
- Massimo Guidolin & Francesco Chincoli, 2017. "Linear and Nonlinear Predictability in Investment Style Factors: Multivariate Evidence," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 1754, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
- Hamid Baghestani & Paul Williams, 2017. "Does customer satisfaction have directional predictability for U.S. discretionary spending?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(54), pages 5504-5511, November.
- Neil Kellard & John Nankervis & Fotis Papadimitriou, 2007. "Predicting the UK Equity Premium with Dividend Ratios: An Out-Of-Sample Recursive Residuals Graphical Approach," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2006 129, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
- Dergiades, Theologos & Milas, Costas & Panagiotidis, Theodore, 2020.
"A mixed frequency approach for stock returns and valuation ratios,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 187(C).
- Theologos Dergiades & Costas Milas & Theodore Panagiotidis, 2019. "A Mixed Frequency Approach for Stock Returns and Valuation Ratios," Discussion Paper Series 2019_08, Department of Economics, University of Macedonia, revised Nov 2019.
- Rangan Gupta & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Soodabeh Sarafrazi, 2014.
"Can the Sharia-based Islamic stock market returns be forecasted using large number of predictors and models?,"
Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(17), pages 1147-1157, September.
- Rangan Gupta & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Soodabeh Sarafrazi, 2013. "Can the Sharia-Based Islamic Stock Market Returns be Forecasted Using Large Number of Predictors and Models?," Working Papers 201381, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Zhang, Li & Wang, Lu & Wang, Xunxiao & Zhang, Yaojie & Pan, Zhigang, 2022. "How macro-variables drive crude oil volatility? Perspective from the STL-based iterated combination method," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
- Makin, Anthony J. & Ratnasiri, Shyama, 2015. "Competitiveness and government expenditure: The Australian example," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 154-161.
- Meichi Huang, 2013. "Housing bubble implications: The perspective of housing price predictability," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 33(1), pages 586-596.
- Sharma, Susan Sunila & Narayan, Paresh Kumar, 2022. "Technology shocks and stock returns: A long-term perspective," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 67-83.
- Nima Nonejad, 2020. "Does the price of crude oil help predict the conditional distribution of aggregate equity return?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 313-349, January.
- Salisu, Afees A. & Isah, Kazeem & Akanni, Lateef O., 2019. "Improving the predictability of stock returns with Bitcoin prices," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 857-867.
- Kolev, Gueorgui I. & Karapandza, Rasa, 2017. "Out-of-sample equity premium predictability and sample split–invariant inference," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 188-201.
- Gueorgui I. Kolev, 2008. "Forecasting aggregate stock returns using the number of initial public offerings as a predictor," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 7(13), pages 1-8.
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