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Renewables, nuclear, or fossil fuels? Scenarios for Great Britain’s power system considering costs, emissions and energy security

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  1. Niina Helistö & Juha Kiviluoma & Jussi Ikäheimo & Topi Rasku & Erkka Rinne & Ciara O’Dwyer & Ran Li & Damian Flynn, 2019. "Backbone—An Adaptable Energy Systems Modelling Framework," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(17), pages 1-34, September.
  2. Koppelaar, Rembrandt H.E.M. & Keirstead, James & Shah, Nilay & Woods, Jeremy, 2016. "A review of policy analysis purpose and capabilities of electricity system models," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 1531-1544.
  3. Limpens, Gauthier & Rixhon, Xavier & Contino, Francesco & Jeanmart, Hervé, 2024. "EnergyScope Pathway: An open-source model to optimise the energy transition pathways of a regional whole-energy system," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 358(C).
  4. Martin Kittel & Wolf-Peter Schill, 2021. "Renewable Energy Targets and Unintended Storage Cycling: Implications for Energy Modeling," Papers 2107.13380, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2021.
  5. Lukas Kriechbaum & Philipp Gradl & Romeo Reichenhauser & Thomas Kienberger, 2020. "Modelling Grid Constraints in a Multi-Energy Municipal Energy System Using Cumulative Exergy Consumption Minimisation," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(15), pages 1-23, July.
  6. Cox, Emily, 2018. "Assessing long-term energy security: The case of electricity in the United Kingdom," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 82(P3), pages 2287-2299.
  7. Dungan, K. & Gregg, R.W.H. & Morris, K. & Livens, F.R. & Butler, G., 2021. "Assessment of the disposability of radioactive waste inventories for a range of nuclear fuel cycles: Inventory and evolution over time," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
  8. Østergaard, P.A. & Lund, H. & Thellufsen, J.Z. & Sorknæs, P. & Mathiesen, B.V., 2022. "Review and validation of EnergyPLAN," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
  9. Lombardi, Francesco & Rocco, Matteo Vincenzo & Colombo, Emanuela, 2019. "A multi-layer energy modelling methodology to assess the impact of heat-electricity integration strategies: The case of the residential cooking sector in Italy," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 170(C), pages 1249-1260.
  10. Luis Montero & Antonio Bello & Javier Reneses, 2020. "A New Methodology to Obtain a Feasible Thermal Operation in Power Systems in a Medium-Term Horizon," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-17, June.
  11. Charlotte Senkpiel & Wolfgang Hauser, 2020. "Systemic Evaluation of the Effects of Regional Self-Supply Targets on the German Electricity System Using Consistent Scenarios and System Optimization," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-26, September.
  12. Richard Green, Danny Pudjianto, Iain Staffell and Goran Strbac, 2016. "Market Design for Long-Distance Trade in Renewable Electricity," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Bollino-M).
  13. Henke, Hauke T.J. & Gardumi, Francesco & Howells, Mark, 2022. "The open source electricity Model Base for Europe - An engagement framework for open and transparent European energy modelling," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PA).
  14. Pfenninger, Stefan, 2017. "Dealing with multiple decades of hourly wind and PV time series in energy models: A comparison of methods to reduce time resolution and the planning implications of inter-annual variability," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 197(C), pages 1-13.
  15. Felten, Björn, 2020. "An integrated model of coupled heat and power sectors for large-scale energy system analyses," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 266(C).
  16. Venugopal Prabhakar Gantasala & Swapna Bhargavi Gantasala & Trinh La, 2022. "Influence of motivation on achieving energy sustainability: mediating effects of decision-making," Environment Systems and Decisions, Springer, vol. 42(4), pages 626-636, December.
  17. Maruf, Md. Nasimul Islam, 2021. "Open model-based analysis of a 100% renewable and sector-coupled energy system–The case of Germany in 2050," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 288(C).
  18. Krakowski, Vincent & Assoumou, Edi & Mazauric, Vincent & Maïzi, Nadia, 2016. "Feasible path toward 40–100% renewable energy shares for power supply in France by 2050: A prospective analysis," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 501-522.
  19. Henning Meschede & Paul Bertheau & Siavash Khalili & Christian Breyer, 2022. "A review of 100% renewable energy scenarios on islands," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Energy and Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 11(6), November.
  20. Wang, Ni & Verzijlbergh, Remco A. & Heijnen, Petra W. & Herder, Paulien M., 2020. "A spatially explicit planning approach for power systems with a high share of renewable energy sources," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 260(C).
  21. Hobley, Alexander, 2019. "Will gas be gone in the United Kingdom (UK) by 2050? An impact assessment of urban heat decarbonisation and low emission vehicle uptake on future UK energy system scenarios," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 695-705.
  22. Zerrahn, Alexander & Schill, Wolf-Peter, 2017. "Long-run power storage requirements for high shares of renewables: review and a new model," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 1518-1534.
  23. Paula Díaz & Oscar Van Vliet & Anthony Patt, 2017. "Do We Need Gas as a Bridging Fuel? A Case Study of the Electricity System of Switzerland," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(7), pages 1-15, June.
  24. Wakiyama, Takako & Kuriyama, Akihisa, 2018. "Assessment of renewable energy expansion potential and its implications on reforming Japan's electricity system," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 302-316.
  25. Gils, Hans Christian & Simon, Sonja, 2017. "Carbon neutral archipelago – 100% renewable energy supply for the Canary Islands," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 342-355.
  26. Borasio, M. & Moret, S., 2022. "Deep decarbonisation of regional energy systems: A novel modelling approach and its application to the Italian energy transition," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
  27. Zhao, Ning & You, Fengqi, 2020. "Can renewable generation, energy storage and energy efficient technologies enable carbon neutral energy transition?," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 279(C).
  28. Weiwei Liu & Xiandong Xu & Zhile Yang & Jianyu Zhao & Jing Xing, 2016. "Impacts of FDI Renewable Energy Technology Spillover on China’s Energy Industry Performance," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(9), pages 1-16, August.
  29. Mihaela Simionescu & Carmen Beatrice Păuna & Tiberiu Diaconescu, 2020. "Renewable Energy and Economic Performance in the Context of the European Green Deal," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(23), pages 1-19, December.
  30. Chyong, Chi Kong & Newbery, David, 2022. "A unit commitment and economic dispatch model of the GB electricity market – Formulation and application to hydro pumped storage," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
  31. Price, James & Zeyringer, Marianne & Konadu, Dennis & Sobral Mourão, Zenaida & Moore, Andy & Sharp, Ed, 2018. "Low carbon electricity systems for Great Britain in 2050: An energy-land-water perspective," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 228(C), pages 928-941.
  32. Mihaela Simionescu & Yuriy Bilan & Emília Krajňáková & Dalia Streimikiene & Stanisław Gędek, 2019. "Renewable Energy in the Electricity Sector and GDP per Capita in the European Union," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-15, June.
  33. Fabio Magrassi & Adriana Del Borghi & Michela Gallo & Carlo Strazza & Michela Robba, 2016. "Optimal Planning of Sustainable Buildings: Integration of Life Cycle Assessment and Optimization in a Decision Support System (DSS)," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(7), pages 1-15, June.
  34. Fais, Birgit & Sabio, Nagore & Strachan, Neil, 2016. "The critical role of the industrial sector in reaching long-term emission reduction, energy efficiency and renewable targets," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 699-712.
  35. Joos, Michael & Staffell, Iain, 2018. "Short-term integration costs of variable renewable energy: Wind curtailment and balancing in Britain and Germany," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 45-65.
  36. Makhloufi, Saida & Khennas, Smail & Bouchaib, Sami & Arab, Amar Hadj, 2022. "Multi-objective cuckoo search algorithm for optimized pathways for 75 % renewable electricity mix by 2050 in Algeria," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 1410-1424.
  37. Klemm, Christian & Vennemann, Peter, 2021. "Modeling and optimization of multi-energy systems in mixed-use districts: A review of existing methods and approaches," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
  38. Villamor, Lila Vázquez & Avagyan, Vitali & Chalmers, Hannah, 2020. "Opportunities for reducing curtailment of wind energy in the future electricity systems: Insights from modelling analysis of Great Britain," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).
  39. Orioli, Aldo & Di Gangi, Alessandra, 2015. "The recent change in the Italian policies for photovoltaics: Effects on the payback period and levelized cost of electricity of grid-connected photovoltaic systems installed in urban contexts," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 93(P2), pages 1989-2005.
  40. Ramirez, Angel D. & Rivela, Beatriz & Boero, Andrea & Melendres, Ana M., 2019. "Lights and shadows of the environmental impacts of fossil-based electricity generation technologies: A contribution based on the Ecuadorian experience," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 467-477.
  41. Bratanova, Alexandra & Robinson, Jacqueline & Wagner, Liam, 2016. "New technology adoption for Russian energy generation: What does it cost? A case study for Moscow," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 924-939.
  42. Hannan, M.A. & Faisal, M. & Jern Ker, Pin & Begum, R.A. & Dong, Z.Y. & Zhang, C., 2020. "Review of optimal methods and algorithms for sizing energy storage systems to achieve decarbonization in microgrid applications," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
  43. Child, Michael & Breyer, Christian, 2017. "Transition and transformation: A review of the concept of change in the progress towards future sustainable energy systems," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 11-26.
  44. Laha, Priyanka & Chakraborty, Basab, 2021. "Cost optimal combinations of storage technologies for maximizing renewable integration in Indian power system by 2040: Multi-region approach," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 179(C), pages 233-247.
  45. Crozier, Constance & Baker, Kyri, 2022. "The effect of renewable electricity generation on the value of cross-border interconnection," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 324(C).
  46. Maeder, Mattia & Weiss, Olga & Boulouchos, Konstantinos, 2021. "Assessing the need for flexibility technologies in decarbonized power systems: A new model applied to Central Europe," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 282(PA).
  47. Markus Lauer & Daniela Thrän, 2018. "Flexible Biogas in Future Energy Systems—Sleeping Beauty for a Cheaper Power Generation," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-24, March.
  48. Vijay, Avinash & Fouquet, Nicolas & Staffell, Iain & Hawkes, Adam, 2017. "The value of electricity and reserve services in low carbon electricity systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 201(C), pages 111-123.
  49. Krakowski, Vincent & Assoumou, Edi & Mazauric, Vincent & Maïzi, Nadia, 2016. "Reprint of Feasible path toward 40–100% renewable energy shares for power supply in France by 2050: A prospective analysis," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 184(C), pages 1529-1550.
  50. Staffell, Iain & Pfenninger, Stefan, 2018. "The increasing impact of weather on electricity supply and demand," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 65-78.
  51. Park, Minsun & Barrett, Mark & Gallo Cassarino, Tiziano, 2019. "Assessment of future renewable energy scenarios in South Korea based on costs, emissions and weather-driven hourly simulation," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 143(C), pages 1388-1396.
  52. Chang, Miguel & Thellufsen, Jakob Zink & Zakeri, Behnam & Pickering, Bryn & Pfenninger, Stefan & Lund, Henrik & Østergaard, Poul Alberg, 2021. "Trends in tools and approaches for modelling the energy transition," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 290(C).
  53. Robert Bauer & Dominik Schopf & Grégoire Klaus & Raimund Brotsack & Javier Valdes, 2022. "Energy Cell Simulation for Sector Coupling with Power-to-Methane: A Case Study in Lower Bavaria," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-22, April.
  54. Mihaela Simionescu & Wadim Strielkowski & Manuela Tvaronavičienė, 2020. "Renewable Energy in Final Energy Consumption and Income in the EU-28 Countries," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-18, May.
  55. Rinaldi, Arthur & Yilmaz, Selin & Patel, Martin K. & Parra, David, 2022. "What adds more flexibility? An energy system analysis of storage, demand-side response, heating electrification, and distribution reinforcement," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
  56. Gonzalez-Salazar, Miguel Angel & Venturini, Mauro & Poganietz, Witold-Roger & Finkenrath, Matthias & Kirsten, Trevor & Acevedo, Helmer & Spina, Pier Ruggero, 2016. "Development of a technology roadmap for bioenergy exploitation including biofuels, waste-to-energy and power generation & CHP," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 338-352.
  57. Guerra, K. & Welfle, A. & Gutiérrez-Alvarez, R. & Freer, M. & Ma, L. & Haro, P., 2024. "The role of energy storage in Great Britain's future power system: focus on hydrogen and biomass," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 357(C).
  58. Lunz, Benedikt & Stöcker, Philipp & Eckstein, Sascha & Nebel, Arjuna & Samadi, Sascha & Erlach, Berit & Fischedick, Manfred & Elsner, Peter & Sauer, Dirk Uwe, 2016. "Scenario-based comparative assessment of potential future electricity systems – A new methodological approach using Germany in 2050 as an example," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 555-580.
  59. Coester, Andreas & Hofkes, Marjan W. & Papyrakis, Elissaios, 2018. "Economics of renewable energy expansion and security of supply: A dynamic simulation of the German electricity market," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 231(C), pages 1268-1284.
  60. Laha, Priyanka & Chakraborty, Basab, 2021. "Low carbon electricity system for India in 2030 based on multi-objective multi-criteria assessment," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
  61. Wang, Zhaoxia & Zhao, Jing & Li, Meng, 2017. "Analysis and optimization of carbon trading mechanism for renewable energy application in buildings," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 435-451.
  62. Bowen Li & Sukanta Basu & Simon J. Watson & Herman W. J. Russchenberg, 2021. "A Brief Climatology of Dunkelflaute Events over and Surrounding the North and Baltic Sea Areas," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(20), pages 1-14, October.
  63. Kiwan, Suhil & Al-Gharibeh, Elyasa, 2020. "Jordan toward a 100% renewable electricity system," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 147(P1), pages 423-436.
  64. Ghomian, Taher & Kizilkaya, Orhan & Choi, Jin-Woo, 2018. "Lead sulfide colloidal quantum dot photovoltaic cell for energy harvesting from human body thermal radiation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 230(C), pages 761-768.
  65. Carmona, Roberto & Miranda, Ricardo & Rodriguez, Pablo & Garrido, René & Serafini, Daniel & Rodriguez, Angel & Mena, Marcelo & Fernandez Gil, Alejandro & Valdes, Javier & Masip, Yunesky, 2024. "Assessment of the green hydrogen value chain in cases of the local industry in Chile applying an optimization model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 300(C).
  66. Deason, Wesley, 2018. "Comparison of 100% renewable energy system scenarios with a focus on flexibility and cost," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 82(P3), pages 3168-3178.
  67. Syranidis, Konstantinos & Robinius, Martin & Stolten, Detlef, 2018. "Control techniques and the modeling of electrical power flow across transmission networks," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 82(P3), pages 3452-3467.
  68. Astudillo, Miguel F. & Vaillancourt, Kathleen & Pineau, Pierre-Olivier & Amor, Ben, 2017. "Can the household sector reduce global warming mitigation costs? sensitivity to key parameters in a TIMES techno-economic energy model," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 205(C), pages 486-498.
  69. Siavash Asiaban & Nezmin Kayedpour & Arash E. Samani & Dimitar Bozalakov & Jeroen D. M. De Kooning & Guillaume Crevecoeur & Lieven Vandevelde, 2021. "Wind and Solar Intermittency and the Associated Integration Challenges: A Comprehensive Review Including the Status in the Belgian Power System," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-41, May.
  70. Konrad Henryk Bachanek & Blanka Tundys & Tomasz Wiśniewski & Ewa Puzio & Anna Maroušková, 2021. "Intelligent Street Lighting in a Smart City Concepts—A Direction to Energy Saving in Cities: An Overview and Case Study," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-19, May.
  71. Oscar Trull & Angel Peiró-Signes & J. Carlos García-Díaz, 2019. "Electricity Forecasting Improvement in a Destination Using Tourism Indicators," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(13), pages 1-16, July.
  72. Blanco, Herib & Faaij, André, 2018. "A review at the role of storage in energy systems with a focus on Power to Gas and long-term storage," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 81(P1), pages 1049-1086.
  73. Schledorn, Amos & Junker, Rune Grønborg & Guericke, Daniela & Madsen, Henrik & Dominković, Dominik Franjo, 2022. "Frigg: Soft-linking energy system and demand response models," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 317(C).
  74. Oracio I. Barbosa-Ayala & Jhon A. Montañez-Barrera & Cesar E. Damian-Ascencio & Adriana Saldaña-Robles & J. Arturo Alfaro-Ayala & Jose Alfredo Padilla-Medina & Sergio Cano-Andrade, 2020. "Solution to the Economic Emission Dispatch Problem Using Numerical Polynomial Homotopy Continuation," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(17), pages 1-15, August.
  75. Ringkjøb, Hans-Kristian & Haugan, Peter M. & Solbrekke, Ida Marie, 2018. "A review of modelling tools for energy and electricity systems with large shares of variable renewables," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 440-459.
  76. Nicolò Golinucci & Nicolò Stevanato & Negar Namazifard & Mohammad Amin Tahavori & Lamya Adil Sulliman Hussain & Benedetta Camilli & Federica Inzoli & Matteo Vincenzo Rocco & Emanuela Colombo, 2022. "Comprehensive and Integrated Impact Assessment Framework for Development Policies Evaluation: Definition and Application to Kenyan Coffee Sector," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-19, April.
  77. Trutnevyte, Evelina, 2016. "Does cost optimization approximate the real-world energy transition?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 182-193.
  78. Ringkjøb, Hans-Kristian & Haugan, Peter M. & Seljom, Pernille & Lind, Arne & Wagner, Fabian & Mesfun, Sennai, 2020. "Short-term solar and wind variability in long-term energy system models - A European case study," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
  79. Few, Sheridan & Djapic, Predrag & Strbac, Goran & Nelson, Jenny & Candelise, Chiara, 2020. "Assessing local costs and impacts of distributed solar PV using high resolution data from across Great Britain," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 1140-1150.
  80. Vecchi, Andrea & Sciacovelli, Adriano, 2023. "Long-duration thermo-mechanical energy storage – Present and future techno-economic competitiveness," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 334(C).
  81. Gaete-Morales, Carlos & Gallego-Schmid, Alejandro & Stamford, Laurence & Azapagic, Adisa, 2019. "A novel framework for development and optimisation of future electricity scenarios with high penetration of renewables and storage," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 250(C), pages 1657-1672.
  82. Mohamed Hadri & Vincenzo Trovato & Agnes Bialecki & Bruno Merk & Aiden Peakman, 2021. "Assessment of High-Electrification UK Scenarios with Varying Levels of Nuclear Power and Associated Post-Fault Behaviour," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-23, March.
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