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Autoregressive Forecasting of Some Functional Climatic Variations

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Cited by:

  1. Daniel Kosiorowski & Dominik Mielczarek & Jerzy P. Rydlewski & Małgorzata Snarska, 2018. "Generalized Exponential Smoothing In Prediction Of Hierarchical Time Series," Statistics in Transition New Series, Polish Statistical Association, vol. 19(2), pages 331-350, June.
  2. Shang, Han Lin & Hyndman, Rob.J., 2011. "Nonparametric time series forecasting with dynamic updating," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 81(7), pages 1310-1324.
  3. Sven Otto & Nazarii Salish, 2022. "Approximate Factor Models for Functional Time Series," Papers 2201.02532, arXiv.org, revised May 2024.
  4. Blanke, D. & Bosq, D., 2016. "Detecting and estimating intensity of jumps for discretely observed ARMAD(1,1) processes," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 146(C), pages 119-137.
  5. Ayse Yilmaz & Ufuk Yolcu, 2022. "Dendritic neuron model neural network trained by modified particle swarm optimization for time‐series forecasting," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(4), pages 793-809, July.
  6. Clive G. Bowsher & Roland Meeks, 2006. "High Dimensional Yield Curves: Models and Forecasting," OFRC Working Papers Series 2006fe11, Oxford Financial Research Centre.
  7. Atefeh Zamani & Hossein Haghbin & Maryam Hashemi & Rob J. Hyndman, 2022. "Seasonal functional autoregressive models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 43(2), pages 197-218, March.
  8. Berhoune, Kamila & Bensmain, Nawel, 2018. "Sieves estimator of functional autoregressive process," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 60-69.
  9. Horváth, Lajos & Husková, Marie & Kokoszka, Piotr, 2010. "Testing the stability of the functional autoregressive process," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 101(2), pages 352-367, February.
  10. Rituparna Sen & Anandamayee Majumdar & Shubhangi Sikaria, 2022. "Bayesian Testing of Granger Causality in Functional Time Series," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 20(1), pages 191-210, September.
  11. Laukaitis, Algirdas, 2008. "Functional data analysis for cash flow and transactions intensity continuous-time prediction using Hilbert-valued autoregressive processes," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 185(3), pages 1607-1614, March.
  12. Han Lin Shang & Yang Yang, 2021. "Forecasting Australian subnational age-specific mortality rates," Journal of Population Research, Springer, vol. 38(1), pages 1-24, March.
  13. Álvarez-Liébana, J. & Bosq, D. & Ruiz-Medina, M.D., 2017. "Asymptotic properties of a component-wise ARH(1) plug-in predictor," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 12-34.
  14. Mas, André & Menneteau, Ludovic, 2003. "Large and moderate deviations for infinite-dimensional autoregressive processes," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(2), pages 241-260, November.
  15. Ying Chen & Bo Li, 2017. "An Adaptive Functional Autoregressive Forecast Model to Predict Electricity Price Curves," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(3), pages 371-388, July.
  16. Bowsher, Clive G. & Meeks, Roland, 2008. "The Dynamics of Economic Functions: Modeling and Forecasting the Yield Curve," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 103(484), pages 1419-1437.
  17. repec:cte:wsrepe:ws1506 is not listed on IDEAS
  18. Daniel R. Kowal & David S. Matteson & David Ruppert, 2019. "Functional Autoregression for Sparsely Sampled Data," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(1), pages 97-109, January.
  19. Battey, Heather & Sancetta, Alessio, 2013. "Conditional estimation for dependent functional data," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 1-17.
  20. Salish, Nazarii & Gleim, Alexander, 2019. "A moment-based notion of time dependence for functional time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 212(2), pages 377-392.
  21. Antoniadis, Anestis & Sapatinas, Theofanis, 2003. "Wavelet methods for continuous-time prediction using Hilbert-valued autoregressive processes," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(1), pages 133-158, October.
  22. Guillas, Serge, 2001. "Rates of convergence of autocorrelation estimates for autoregressive Hilbertian processes," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(3), pages 281-291, December.
  23. Kadiri Nadia & Rabhi Abbes & Bouchentouf Amina Angelika, 2018. "Strong uniform consistency rates of conditional quantile estimation in the single functional index model under random censorship," Dependence Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 6(1), pages 197-227, November.
  24. Zhang, Xianyang, 2016. "White noise testing and model diagnostic checking for functional time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 194(1), pages 76-95.
  25. Han Lin Shang & Rob J Hyndman, 2016. "Grouped functional time series forecasting: An application to age-specific mortality rates," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 4/16, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
  26. Petropoulos, Fotios & Apiletti, Daniele & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios & Babai, Mohamed Zied & Barrow, Devon K. & Ben Taieb, Souhaib & Bergmeir, Christoph & Bessa, Ricardo J. & Bijak, Jakub & Boylan, Joh, 2022. "Forecasting: theory and practice," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 705-871.
    • Fotios Petropoulos & Daniele Apiletti & Vassilios Assimakopoulos & Mohamed Zied Babai & Devon K. Barrow & Souhaib Ben Taieb & Christoph Bergmeir & Ricardo J. Bessa & Jakub Bijak & John E. Boylan & Jet, 2020. "Forecasting: theory and practice," Papers 2012.03854, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
  27. Devin Didericksen & Piotr Kokoszka & Xi Zhang, 2012. "Empirical properties of forecasts with the functional autoregressive model," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 27(2), pages 285-298, June.
  28. André Mas, 2002. "Testing for the Mean of Random Curves : from Penalization to Dimension Selection," Working Papers 2002-08, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
  29. Chang, Yoosoon & Choi, Yongok & Kim, Chang Sik & Miller, J. Isaac & Park, Joon Y., 2021. "Forecasting regional long-run energy demand: A functional coefficient panel approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
  30. Gregory Rice & Han Lin Shang, 2017. "A Plug-in Bandwidth Selection Procedure for Long-Run Covariance Estimation with Stationary Functional Time Series," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(4), pages 591-609, July.
  31. Holger Dette & Pascal Quanz, 2023. "Detecting relevant changes in the spatiotemporal mean function," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(5-6), pages 505-532, September.
  32. Kosiorowski Daniel & Mielczarek Dominik & Rydlewski Jerzy P. & Snarska Małgorzata, 2018. "Generalized Exponential Smoothing In Prediction Of Hierarchical Time Series," Statistics in Transition New Series, Statistics Poland, vol. 19(2), pages 331-350, June.
  33. Daniel Kosiorowski, 2014. "Functional Regression in Short-Term Prediction of Economic Time Series," Statistics in Transition new series, Główny Urząd Statystyczny (Polska), vol. 15(4), pages 611-626, September.
  34. Yehua Li & Marc G. Genton, 2009. "Single‐Index Additive Vector Autoregressive Time Series Models," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 36(3), pages 369-388, September.
  35. Shiers, Nathaniel & Aston, John A.D. & Smith, Jim Q. & Coleman, John S., 2017. "Gaussian tree constraints applied to acoustic linguistic functional data," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 154(C), pages 199-215.
  36. Kargin, V. & Onatski, A., 2008. "Curve forecasting by functional autoregression," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 99(10), pages 2508-2526, November.
  37. Cardot, Hervé & Johannes, Jan, 2010. "Thresholding projection estimators in functional linear models," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 101(2), pages 395-408, February.
  38. Poskitt, D.S. & Sengarapillai, Arivalzahan, 2013. "Description length and dimensionality reduction in functional data analysis," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 98-113.
  39. Gao, Yuan & Shang, Han Lin & Yang, Yanrong, 2019. "High-dimensional functional time series forecasting: An application to age-specific mortality rates," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 170(C), pages 232-243.
  40. Chuyuan Lin & Ying Yu & Lucas Y. Wu & Jiguo Cao, 2023. "Unsupervised learning on U.S. weather forecast performance," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 38(3), pages 1193-1213, September.
  41. Jorge R. Sosa Donoso & Miguel Flores & Salvador Naya & Javier Tarrío-Saavedra, 2023. "Local Correlation Integral Approach for Anomaly Detection Using Functional Data," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-18, February.
  42. Spangenberg, Felix, 2013. "Strictly stationary solutions of ARMA equations in Banach spaces," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 127-138.
  43. A. Soltani & M. Hashemi, 2011. "Periodically correlated autoregressive Hilbertian processes," Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, Springer, vol. 14(2), pages 177-188, May.
  44. Alexander Gleim & Nazarii Salish, 2022. "Forecasting Environmental Data: An example to ground-level ozone concentration surfaces," Papers 2202.03332, arXiv.org.
  45. Han Lin Shang & Yang Yang & Fearghal Kearney, 2019. "Intraday forecasts of a volatility index: functional time series methods with dynamic updating," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 282(1), pages 331-354, November.
  46. Manuel Oviedo-de La Fuente & Celestino Ordóñez & Javier Roca-Pardiñas, 2020. "Functional Location-Scale Model to Forecast Bivariate Pollution Episodes," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(6), pages 1-12, June.
  47. Alexander Aue & Diogo Dubart Norinho & Siegfried Hörmann, 2015. "On the Prediction of Stationary Functional Time Series," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 110(509), pages 378-392, March.
  48. Christoph Hellmayr & Alan E. Gelfand, 2021. "A Partition Dirichlet Process Model for Functional Data Analysis," Sankhya B: The Indian Journal of Statistics, Springer;Indian Statistical Institute, vol. 83(1), pages 30-65, May.
  49. Ying Chen & Wee Song Chua & Wolfgang Karl Härdle, 2019. "Forecasting limit order book liquidity supply–demand curves with functional autoregressive dynamics," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(9), pages 1473-1489, September.
  50. repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2016-025 is not listed on IDEAS
  51. Shang, Han Lin, 2013. "Bayesian bandwidth estimation for a nonparametric functional regression model with unknown error density," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 185-198.
  52. Shang, Han Lin, 2017. "Functional time series forecasting with dynamic updating: An application to intraday particulate matter concentration," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 1(C), pages 184-200.
  53. Boukhiar, Souad & Mourid, Tahar, 2022. "Resolvent estimators for functional autoregressive processes with random coefficients," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
  54. Mas, André, 2007. "Weak convergence in the functional autoregressive model," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 98(6), pages 1231-1261, July.
  55. Yousri Slaoui, 2020. "Recursive nonparametric regression estimation for dependent strong mixing functional data," Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, Springer, vol. 23(3), pages 665-697, October.
  56. Xu, Meng & Li, Jialiang & Chen, Ying, 2017. "Varying coefficient functional autoregressive model with application to the U.S. treasuries," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 168-183.
  57. Menneteau, Ludovic, 2005. "Some laws of the iterated logarithm in Hilbertian autoregressive models," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 92(2), pages 405-425, February.
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