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A Fiscal Stimulus and Jobless Recovery

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  • Mr. Cristiano Cantore
  • Mr. Paul L Levine
  • Mr. Giovanni Melina

Abstract

We analyse the effects of a government spending expansion in a DSGE model with Mortensen-Pissarides labour market frictions, deep habits in private and public consumption, investment adjustment costs, a constant-elasticity-of-substitution (CES) production function, and adjustments in employment both at the intensive as well as the extensive margin. The combination of deep habits and CES technology is crucial. The presence of deep habits magnifies the responses of macroeconomic variables to a fiscal stimulus, while an elasticity of substitution between capital and labour in the range of available estimates allows the model to produce a scenario compatible with the observed jobless recovery.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Cristiano Cantore & Mr. Paul L Levine & Mr. Giovanni Melina, 2013. "A Fiscal Stimulus and Jobless Recovery," IMF Working Papers 2013/017, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2013/017
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    6. Pappa, Evi & Bermperoglu, Dimitrios & Vella, Eugenia, 2013. "Spending-based austerity measures and their effects on output and unemployment," CEPR Discussion Papers 9383, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    7. Christopher D. Blake, 2022. "A method for comparing compensation and productivity levels across US regions," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 2(12), pages 1-30, December.
    8. Giovanni Melina & Stefania Villa, 2014. "Fiscal Policy And Lending Relationships," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 52(2), pages 696-712, April.
    9. Gasparini, Tommaso & Lewis, Vivien & Moyen, Stéphane & Villa, Stefania, 2024. "Risky firms and fragile banks: Implications for macroprudential policy," Discussion Papers 10/2024, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    10. Javier Andrés & José E. Boscá & Javier Ferri & Cristina Fuentes‐Albero, 2022. "Households' Balance Sheets and the Effect of Fiscal Policy," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 54(4), pages 737-778, June.
    11. Punnoose Jacob, 2015. "Deep Habits, Price Rigidities, and the Consumption Response to Government Spending," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 47(2-3), pages 481-510, March.
    12. Cristiano Cantore & Vasco J. Gabriel & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman & Bo Yang, 2013. "The science and art of DSGE modelling: II – model comparisons, model validation, policy analysis and general discussion," Chapters, in: Nigar Hashimzade & Michael A. Thornton (ed.), Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Empirical Macroeconomics, chapter 19, pages 441-463, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    13. Steinar Holden & Victoria Sparrman, 2018. "Do Government Purchases Affect Unemployment?," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 120(1), pages 124-158, January.
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    15. Di Pace, Federico & Villa, Stefania, 2016. "Factor complementarity and labour market dynamics," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 70-112.
    16. Bartosz Godziszewski & Michal Kruszka, 2013. "Stability of Banking System in Poland and Activity of the KNF – Polish Financial Supervision Authority," CESifo Forum, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 14(1), pages 29-34, May.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    WP; government spending; fiscal policy; deep habits; labor market search-match frictions; unemployment; CES production function; government spending expansion; jobless recovery; unemployment multiplier; CES technology; depreciation rate; Fiscal stimulus; Consumption;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory

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