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Does Migration Lead to Regional Convergence in Russia?

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  • Elena Vakulenko

Abstract

We analyze the impact of migration on wage, income and the unemployment rate. Using the official Russian statistical database from 1995 to 2010, we calculate a dynamic panel data model with spatial effects. There is a positive spatial effect for wage, income and unemployment rate. There is no significant impact of migration on the unemployment rate. We find a negative relationship between net internal migration and both wages and income, which is explained by the positive effect of emigration and negative effect of immigration for income. However, the migration benefits are not big enough to make a difference on the Gini index across regions. We conclude that migration does not affect the regional -convergence of economic indicators.

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  • Elena Vakulenko, 2015. "Does Migration Lead to Regional Convergence in Russia?," Discussion Papers 6_2015, CRISEI, University of Naples "Parthenope", Italy.
    • Handle: RePEc:crj:dpaper:6_2015
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    2. Vakulenko, Elena, 2019. "Motives for internal migration in Russia: what has changed in recent years?," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 55, pages 113-138.
    3. Giltman, M. & Pit, V. & Batyreva, M. & Sumik, E., 2020. "Which cities do we like to live in? Empirical analysis of employees' attitude to cities," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 45(1), pages 111-130.
    4. Cristian Incaltarau & Gabriela Carmen Pascariu & Adelaide Duarte & Peter Nijkamp, 2021. "Migration, regional growth and convergence: a spatial econometric study on Romania," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 66(3), pages 497-532, June.
    5. Djula Borozan, 2017. "Internal Migration, Regional Economic Convergence, and Growth in Croatia," International Regional Science Review, , vol. 40(2), pages 141-163, March.
    6. Dmitriy Sergeevich Tereshchenko, 2020. "Empirical Analysis of Publication Activity: Is There à Convergence of Russian Regions?," Spatial Economics=Prostranstvennaya Ekonomika, Economic Research Institute, Far Eastern Branch, Russian Academy of Sciences (Khabarovsk, Russia), issue 3, pages 109-138.
    7. Christian K. Tipoy, 2019. "Real Convergence using TAR Panel Unit Root Tests: An Application to The Southern African Development Community," SPOUDAI Journal of Economics and Business, SPOUDAI Journal of Economics and Business, University of Piraeus, vol. 69(1-2), pages 45-61, January-J.
    8. Pastore, Francesco & Semerikova, Elena, 2020. "It’s the way people move! Labour migration as an adjustment device in Russia," GLO Discussion Paper Series 445, Global Labor Organization (GLO).
    9. Johannes Koettl & Olga Kupets & Anna Olefir & Indhira Santos, 2014. "In search of opportunities? The barriers to more efficient internal labor mobility in Ukraine," IZA Journal of Labor & Development, Springer;Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit GmbH (IZA), vol. 3(1), pages 1-28, December.
    10. Vakulenko, Elena, 2015. "Analysis of the relationship between regional labour markets in Russia using Okun’s model," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 40(4), pages 28-48.
    11. Демидова Ольга Анатольевна & Иванов Денис Сергеевич, 2016. "Модели Экономического Роста С Неоднородными Пространственными Эффектами (На Примере Российских Регионов)," Higher School of Economics Economic Journal Экономический журнал Высшей школы экономики, CyberLeninka;Федеральное государственное автономное образовательное учреждение высшего образования «Национальный исследовательский университет «Высшая школа экономики», vol. 20(1), pages 52-75.
    12. Li Wang & Jixia Huang & Hongyan Cai & Hengzi Liu & Jinmei Lu & Linsheng Yang, 2019. "A Study of the Socioeconomic Factors Influencing Migration in Russia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-14, March.
    13. Demidova, Olga, 2014. "Spatial-autoregressive model for the two groups of related regions (eastern and western parts of Russia)," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 34(2), pages 19-35.
    14. Lara, Jaime Lara & Gómez, Bernardo Garza & Barrón, Dania Monárrez & Zambrano , Emilio Mátar & García, Gustavo Vázquez, 2023. "Selective Migration and Economic Growth in México," Journal of Economic Development, The Economic Research Institute, Chung-Ang University, vol. 48(1), pages 129-144, March.
    15. Moskvina, Victoria, 2019. "Modelling interregional mobility of university graduates in Russia," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 56, pages 99-122.
    16. Marina Malkina, 2017. "Social Well-Being of the Russian Federation Regions," Economy of region, Centre for Economic Security, Institute of Economics of Ural Branch of Russian Academy of Sciences, vol. 1(1), pages 49-62.
    17. E. Taymaz, 2022. "Regional Convergence or Polarization: The Case of the Russian Federation," Regional Research of Russia, Springer, vol. 12(4), pages 469-482, December.
    18. Hartmut Lehmann & Aleksey Oshchepkov & Maria Giulia Silvagni, 2020. "Regional Convergence In Russia: Estimating A Neoclassical Growth Model," HSE Working papers WP BRP 232/EC/2020, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
    19. Oshchepkov, Aleksey & Lehmann, Hartmut & Silvagni, Maria Giulia, 2023. "Regional convergence in Russia: Estimating an augmented Solow model," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 47(4).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    convergence; migration; wage; income; unemployment rate; spatial dynamic panel data models;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models

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