IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ris/apltrx/0383.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Modelling interregional mobility of university graduates in Russia

Author

Listed:
  • Moskvina, Victoria

    (Economic Expert Group (EEG), Moscow, Russian Federation)

Abstract

The purpose of this work is to explain the directions of interregional mobility of university graduates in Russia. An econometric model is being developed, based on the gravity model of migration. The Monitoring of graduates’ employability (2013–2015) was used as the source of the migration data. It was shown that the use of count data models (Poisson regression) leads to a more precise estimation compared with OLS (according to calculated metrics of prediction accuracy — MAE and MSE). According to the results one of the main reasons for the observed post-graduate mobility is the lack of jobs for qualified specialists in a region. In addition, some other characteristics — high marriage rate and developed system of higher education in a region — are capable of retaining young people in the regions of graduation. At the same time diverse recreational opportunities and effective healthcare system in destination area attract graduates from other parts of the country. The results obtained clarify in which direction the conditions in lagging territories are needed to be improved in order to accumulate human capital, necessary for the start of development in these areas.

Suggested Citation

  • Moskvina, Victoria, 2019. "Modelling interregional mobility of university graduates in Russia," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 56, pages 99-122.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:apltrx:0383
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://pe.cemi.rssi.ru/pe_2019_56_099-122.pdf
    File Function: Full text
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Inmaculada Mart󹑺-Zarzoso, 2013. "The log of gravity revisited," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(3), pages 311-327, January.
    2. Alessandra Faggian & Philip Mccann, 2009. "Universities, Agglomerations And Graduate Human Capital Mobility," Tijdschrift voor Economische en Sociale Geografie, Royal Dutch Geographical Society KNAG, vol. 100(2), pages 210-223, April.
    3. Vakulenko, Elena & Mkrtchyan , Nikita & Furmanov, Kirill, 2011. "Modeling registered migration flows between regions of the Russian Federation," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 21(1), pages 35-55.
    4. Yuri Andrienko & Sergei Guriev, 2004. "Determinants of interregional mobility in Russia," The Economics of Transition, The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, vol. 12(1), pages 1-27, March.
    5. Ilya Kashnitsky & Nikita Mkrtchyan & Oleg Leshukov, 2016. "Interregional Migration of Youths in Russia: A Comprehensive Analysis of Demographic Statistics," Voprosy obrazovaniya / Educational Studies Moscow, National Research University Higher School of Economics, issue 3, pages 169-203.
    6. Ivan Etzo, 2011. "The Determinants Of The Recent Interregional Migration Flows In Italy: A Panel Data Analysis," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 51(5), pages 948-966, December.
    7. Rodica Gilles & Seik Kim, 2013. "Distribution-Free Estimation of Zero-Inflated Models with Unobserved Heterogeneity," Working Papers UWEC-2013-03, University of Washington, Department of Economics.
    8. Antosik, Liubov & Ivashina, Natalya, 2019. "Modeling of spatial dependence in the migration flows of graduates of the higher education institutions of the Russian Federation," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 54, pages 70-89.
    9. Ronald L. Whisler & Brigitte S. Waldorf & Gordon F. Mulligan & David A. Plane, 2008. "Quality of Life and the Migration of the College‐Educated: A Life‐Course Approach," Growth and Change, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 39(1), pages 58-94, March.
    10. Lena Imeraj & Didier Willaert & Nissa Finney & Sylvie Gadeyne, 2018. "Cities’ attraction and retention of graduates: a more-than-economic approach," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(8), pages 1086-1097, August.
    11. Ye Liu & Jianfa Shen & Wei Xu & Guixin Wang, 2017. "From school to university to work: migration of highly educated youths in China," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 59(3), pages 651-676, November.
    12. Elena Vakulenko, 2016. "Does migration lead to regional convergence in Russia?," International Journal of Economic Policy in Emerging Economies, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 9(1), pages 1-25.
    13. Reinhard A. Weisser, 2019. "The price of mobility," Review of Regional Research: Jahrbuch für Regionalwissenschaft, Springer;Gesellschaft für Regionalforschung (GfR), vol. 39(1), pages 25-64, February.
    14. Daria Ciriaci, 2014. "Does University Quality Influence the Interregional Mobility of Students and Graduates? The Case of Italy," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(10), pages 1592-1608, October.
    15. Guido Buenstorf & Matthias Geissler & Stefan Krabel, 2016. "Locations of labor market entry by German university graduates: is (regional) beauty in the eye of the beholder?," Review of Regional Research: Jahrbuch für Regionalwissenschaft, Springer;Gesellschaft für Regionalforschung (GfR), vol. 36(1), pages 29-49, February.
    16. Osnat Israeli, 2007. "A Shapley-based decomposition of the R-Square of a linear regression," The Journal of Economic Inequality, Springer;Society for the Study of Economic Inequality, vol. 5(2), pages 199-212, August.
    17. Kang-Rae Ma & Eun-Taek Kang & O-Kyu Kwon, 2017. "Migration behavior of students and graduates under prevailing regional dualism: the case of South Korea," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 58(1), pages 209-233, January.
    18. Majo, M.C. & van Soest, A.H.O., 2011. "The Fixed-Effects Zero-Inflated Poisson Model with an Application to Health Care Utilization," Discussion Paper 2011-083, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
    19. Tina Haussen & Silke Uebelmesser, 2018. "Job changes and interregional migration of graduates," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(10), pages 1346-1359, October.
    20. Elisabetta Marinelli, 2013. "Sub-national Graduate Mobility and Knowledge Flows: An Exploratory Analysis of Onward- and Return-Migrants in Italy," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(10), pages 1618-1633, November.
    21. Daniela BUNEA, 2012. "Modern Gravity Models of Internal Migration. The Case of Romania," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(4(569)), pages 127-144, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Liubov Antosik & Natalya Ivashina, 2021. "Factors and Routes of Interregional Migration of University Graduates in Russia," Voprosy obrazovaniya / Educational Studies Moscow, National Research University Higher School of Economics, issue 2, pages 107-125.
    2. Антосик Л. В. & Ивашина Н. В., 2021. "Факторы И Направления Межрегиональной Миграции Выпускников Вузов В России," Вопросы образования // Educational Studies Moscow, National Research University Higher School of Economics, issue 2, pages 107-125.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Arthur Grimes & Shaan Badenhorst & David C. Maré & Jacques Poot, 2020. "Hometown wh?nau or big city millennials? The economic geography of graduate destination choices in New Zealand," Working Papers 20_04, Motu Economic and Public Policy Research.
    2. Антосик Л. В. & Ивашина Н. В., 2021. "Факторы И Направления Межрегиональной Миграции Выпускников Вузов В России," Вопросы образования // Educational Studies Moscow, National Research University Higher School of Economics, issue 2, pages 107-125.
    3. Vakulenko, Elena, 2019. "Motives for internal migration in Russia: what has changed in recent years?," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 55, pages 113-138.
    4. Qiang Wang & Can Cui & Chengyuan Yu & Yifan Wang, 2023. "From Domicile to University to Work: The Sequential Migration of Young Educated People in the Context of the “Battle for Talent” in China," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 42(6), pages 1-26, December.
    5. Arthur Grimes & Shaan Badenhorst & David C. Maré & Jacques Poot & Isabelle Sin, 2023. "Quality of life, quality of business, and destinations of recent graduates: fields of study matter," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 70(1), pages 55-80, February.
    6. Adalgiso Amendola & Cristian Barra & Roberto Zotti, 2020. "Does graduate human capital production increase local economic development? An instrumental variable approach," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 60(5), pages 959-994, November.
    7. Bastien Bernela & Liliane Bonnal, 2022. "Education, job and return migration of French University graduates," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 42(1), pages 275-287.
    8. Ostrovskaya, E. & Mamontov, D. & Spiridonov, K. & Levyy, I., 2021. "Analysis of interregional migration flows in Russia in the context of certain types of migration," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 50(2), pages 36-55.
    9. Haußen, Tina & Haussen, Tina, 2016. "Job Changes and Interregional Migration of Graduates," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145618, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    10. Vakulenko, Elena & Leukhin, Roman, 2015. "Investigation of demand for the foreign workforce in Russian regions using applications for quotas," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 37(1), pages 67-86.
    11. Kseniia A. Borzykh, 2022. "Влияние Характеристик Региональной Системы Высшего Образования На Послевузовскую Миграцию," Russian Economic Development (in Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 9, pages 52-62, September.
    12. E. S. Vakulenko, 2016. "Econometric analysis of factors of internal migration in Russia," Regional Research of Russia, Springer, vol. 6(4), pages 344-356, October.
    13. Winters, John V., 2014. "The Production and Stock of College Graduates for U.S. States," IZA Discussion Papers 8730, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    14. Kseniia A. Borzykh, 2022. "Impact of Higher Education Systems on Graduates’ Interregional Employment Mobility [Влияние Характеристик Региональной Системы Высшего Образования На Послевузовскую Миграцию]," Russian Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 9, pages 52-62, September.
    15. Maki Kato, 2019. "Effect of academic field and gender on college-bound migration in Japan," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 62(2), pages 351-379, April.
    16. Kang-Rae Ma & Eun-Taek Kang & O-Kyu Kwon, 2017. "Migration behavior of students and graduates under prevailing regional dualism: the case of South Korea," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 58(1), pages 209-233, January.
    17. Li Wang & Jixia Huang & Hongyan Cai & Hengzi Liu & Jinmei Lu & Linsheng Yang, 2019. "A Study of the Socioeconomic Factors Influencing Migration in Russia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-14, March.
    18. Andrés Rodríguez-Pose & Michael Storper, 2020. "Housing, urban growth and inequalities: The limits to deregulation and upzoning in reducing economic and spatial inequality," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 57(2), pages 223-248, February.
    19. Mohamed Amara & Hatem Jemmali, 2018. "Deciphering the Relationship Between Internal Migration and Regional Disparities in Tunisia," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 135(1), pages 313-331, January.
    20. Reinhard A. Weisser, 2020. "How Personality Shapes Study Location Choices," Research in Higher Education, Springer;Association for Institutional Research, vol. 61(1), pages 88-116, February.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    migration; gravity model; graduate mobility; Poisson regression;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J61 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Geographic Labor Mobility; Immigrant Workers
    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ris:apltrx:0383. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Anatoly Peresetsky (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://appliedeconometrics.cemi.rssi.ru/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.