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On Heckits, LATE, and Numerical Equivalence

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  • Patrick Kline
  • Christopher R. Walters

Abstract

Structural econometric methods are often criticized for being sensitive to functional form assumptions. We study parametric estimators of the local average treatment effect (LATE) derived from a widely used class of latent threshold crossing models and show they yield LATE estimates algebraically equivalent to the instrumental variables (IV) estimator. Our leading example is Heckman’s (1979) two-step (“Heckit”) control function estimator which, with two-sided non-compliance, can be used to compute estimates of a variety of causal parameters. Equivalence with IV is established for a semi-parametric family of control function estimators and shown to hold at interior solutions for a class of maximum likelihood estimators. Our results suggest differences between structural and IV estimates often stem from disagreements about the target parameter rather than from functional form assumptions per se. In cases where equivalence fails, reporting structural estimates of LATE alongside IV provides a simple means of assessing the credibility of structural extrapolation exercises.

Suggested Citation

  • Patrick Kline & Christopher R. Walters, 2018. "On Heckits, LATE, and Numerical Equivalence," CESifo Working Paper Series 6994, CESifo.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_6994
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    3. Yu‐Chang Chen & Haitian Xie, 2022. "Global Representation of the Conditional LATE Model: A Separability Result," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 84(4), pages 789-798, August.
    4. Elior Cohen, 2022. "The Effect of Housing First Programs on Future Homelessness and Socioeconomic Outcomes," Research Working Paper RWP 2022-03, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    5. Peter Hull & Michal Kolesár & Christopher Walters, 2022. "Labor by design: contributions of David Card, Joshua Angrist, and Guido Imbens," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 124(3), pages 603-645, July.
    6. Sebastian Galiani & Juan Pantano, 2021. "Structural Models: Inception and Frontier," NBER Working Papers 28698, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Tymon S{l}oczy'nski, 2018. "Interpreting OLS Estimands When Treatment Effects Are Heterogeneous: Smaller Groups Get Larger Weights," Papers 1810.01576, arXiv.org, revised May 2020.
    8. Committee, Nobel Prize, 2021. "Answering causal questions using observational data," Nobel Prize in Economics documents 2021-2, Nobel Prize Committee.
    9. Sloczynski, Tymon, 2018. "A General Weighted Average Representation of the Ordinary and Two-Stage Least Squares Estimands," IZA Discussion Papers 11866, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    10. Amanda E Kowalski, 2023. "Behaviour within a Clinical Trial and Implications for Mammography Guidelines," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 90(1), pages 432-462.
    11. Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham & Peter Hull & Michal Koles'ar, 2021. "Contamination Bias in Linear Regressions," Papers 2106.05024, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2024.
    12. Shuxi Zeng & Fan Li & Peng Ding, 2020. "Is being an only child harmful to psychological health?: evidence from an instrumental variable analysis of China's one‐child policy," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 183(4), pages 1615-1635, October.
    13. Ante Sterc, 2022. "Limited Consideration in the Investment Fund Choice," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp729, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
    14. Luther Yap, 2022. "Sensitivity of Policy Relevant Treatment Parameters to Violations of Monotonicity," Working Papers 655, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Industrial Relations Section..
    15. Davide Cipullo, 2021. "Gender Gaps in Political Careers: Evidence from Competitive Elections," CESifo Working Paper Series 9075, CESifo.
    16. Phillip Heiler, 2020. "Efficient Covariate Balancing for the Local Average Treatment Effect," Papers 2007.04346, arXiv.org.
    17. Valentin Verdier, 2020. "Average treatment effects for stayers with correlated random coefficient models of panel data," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(7), pages 917-939, November.
    18. Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham & Peter Hull & Michal Kolesár, 2021. "On Estimating Multiple Treatment Effects with Regression," Working Papers 2021-41, Princeton University. Economics Department..
    19. Marx, Philip, 2024. "Sharp bounds in the latent index selection model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 238(2).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    treatment effects; selection models; instrumental variables; control function; selectivity bias; marginal treatment effects;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C18 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Methodolical Issues: General

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