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Jonas Dovern

Personal Details

First Name:Jonas
Middle Name:
Last Name:Dovern
Suffix:
RePEc Short-ID:pdo155
[This author has chosen not to make the email address public]
https://www.statistik.rw.fau.de/lehrstuhl/mitarbeiter/prof-dr-jonas-dovern/
Lange Gasse 20 90403 Nürnberg Germany
+49 911 5302-290
Twitter: @jonasdovern
Terminal Degree:2009 Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre; Christian-Albrechts-Universität Kiel (from RePEc Genealogy)

Affiliation

Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaftliche Fakultät
Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg

Erlangen-Nürnberg, Germany
http://www.wiso.uni-erlangen.de/
RePEc:edi:vierlde (more details at EDIRC)

Research output

as
Jump to: Working papers Articles

Working papers

  1. Dovern, Jonas, 2023. "Eliciting expectation uncertainty from private households," Working Papers 38, German Research Foundation's Priority Programme 1859 "Experience and Expectation. Historical Foundations of Economic Behaviour", Humboldt University Berlin.
  2. Jonas Dovern & Alexander Glas & Geoff Kenny, 2023. "Testing for Differences in Survey-Based Density Expectations: A Compositional Data Approach," CESifo Working Paper Series 10256, CESifo.
  3. Jonas Dovern & Johannes Frank & Alexander Glas & Lena Müller & Daniel Perico Ortiz, 2022. "Estimating Pass-Through Rates for the 2022 Tax Reduction on Fuel Prices in Germany," CESifo Working Paper Series 9963, CESifo.
  4. Jonas Dovern & Lena Sophia Müller & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2022. "Local Information and Firm Expectations about Aggregates," CESifo Working Paper Series 9826, CESifo.
  5. Benjamin Born & Jonas Dovern & Zeno Enders, 2020. "Expectation Dispersion, Uncertainty, and the Reaction to News," CESifo Working Paper Series 8801, CESifo.
  6. Lukas Buchheim & Jonas Dovern & Carla Krolage & Sebastian Link, 2020. "Firm-Level Expectations and Behavior in Response to the Covid-19 Crisis," CESifo Working Paper Series 8304, CESifo.
  7. Jonas Dovern & Lena Sophia Müller & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2020. "How Do Firms Form Expectations of Aggregate Growth? New Evidence from a Large-Scale Business Survey," CESifo Working Paper Series 8179, CESifo.
  8. Jonas Dovern & Christopher Zuber, 2019. "Revisions of potential output estimates in the EU after the Great Recession," CESifo Working Paper Series 7681, CESifo.
  9. Jonas Dovern & Hans Manner, 2018. "Order Invariant Tests for Proper Calibration of Multivariate Density Forecasts," CESifo Working Paper Series 7023, CESifo.
  10. Dovern, Jonas & Zuber, Christopher, 2017. "The Effect of Recessions on Potential Output Estimates: Size, Timing, and Determinants," VfS Annual Conference 2017 (Vienna): Alternative Structures for Money and Banking 168180, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
  11. Dovern, Jonas, 2017. "Recessions and Instable Estimates of Potential Output," Working Papers 0639, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics.
  12. Kenny, Geoff & Dovern, Jonas, 2017. "The long-term distribution of expected inflation in the euro area: what has changed since the great recession?," Working Paper Series 1999, European Central Bank.
  13. Dovern, Jonas & Jannsen, Nils, 2017. "Systematische Prognosefehler in unterschiedlichen Konjunkturphasen," Kiel Insight 2017.15, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  14. Dovern, Jonas & Manner, Hans, 2016. "Order Invariant Evaluation of Multivariate Density Forecasts," Working Papers 0608, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics.
  15. Klepper, Gernot & Dovern, Jonas & Rickels, Wilfried & Barben, Daniel & Goeschl, Timo & Harnisch, Sebastian & Heyen, Daniel & Janich, Nina & Maas, Achim & Matzner, Nils & Scheffran, Jürgen & Uther, Ste, 2016. "Herausforderung Climate Engineering: Bewertung neuer Optionen für den Klimaschutz," Kieler Beiträge zur Wirtschaftspolitik 8, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  16. Dovern, Jonas & Manner, Hans, 2016. "Robust Evaluation of Multivariate Density Forecasts," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145547, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
  17. Dovern, Jonas & Hartmann, Matthias, 2016. "Forecast Performance, Disagreement, and Heterogeneous Signal-to-Noise Ratios," Working Papers 0611, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics.
  18. Rickels, Wilfried & Dovern, Jonas & Hoffmann, Julia & Quaas, Martin F. & Schmidt, Jörn O. & Visbeck, Martin, 2016. "Indicators for monitoring sustainable development goals: An application to oceanic development in the European Union," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 141318, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  19. Dovern, Jonas & Harnisch, Sebastian & Klepper, Gernot & Platt, Ulrich & Oschlies, Andreas & Rickels, Wilfried, 2015. "Radiation Management: Gezielte Beeinflussung des globalen Strahlungshaushalts zur Kontrolle des anthropogenen Klimawandels," Kiel Discussion Papers 549/550, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  20. Dovern, Jonas & Jannsen, Nils, 2015. "Systematic errors in growth expectations over the business cycle," Kiel Working Papers 1989, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  21. Dovern, Jonas & Feldkircher, Martin & Huber, Florian, 2015. "Does Joint Modelling of the World Economy Pay Off? Evaluating Multivariate Forecasts from a Bayesian GVAR," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 112999, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
  22. Dovern, Jonas & Huber, Florian, 2015. "Global Prediction of Recessions," Working Papers 0585, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics.
  23. Dovern, Jonas & Feldkircher, Martin & Huber , Florian, 2015. "Does Joint Modelling of the World Economy Pay Off? Evaluating Global Forecasts from a Bayesian GVAR," Working Papers 0590, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics.
  24. Rickels, Wilfried & Dovern, Jonas & Hoffmann, Julia & Quaas, Martin & Schmidt, Jörn & Visbeck, Martin, 2015. "Indicators for monitoring sustainable development goals: An application to oceanic development in the EU," Kiel Working Papers 2019, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  25. Dovern, Jonas & Jannsen, Nils, 2015. "Systematic errors in growth expectations over the business cycle," Kiel Working Papers 1989, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  26. Dovern, Jonas, 2014. "A Multivariate Analysis of Forecast Disagreement: Confronting Models of Disagreement with SPF Data," Working Papers 0571, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics.
  27. Jonas Dovern & Ulrich Fritsche & Prakash Loungani & Natalia Tamirisa, 2014. "Information Rigidities: Comparing Average And Individual Forecasts For A Large International Panel," Working Papers 2014-001, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
  28. Dovern, Jonas & Quaas, Martin & Rickels, Wilfried, 2013. "The rich, the clean, and the kind - a comprehensive wealth index for cities applied to the case of Germany," Kiel Working Papers 1828, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  29. Jonas Dovern & Mr. Ulrich Fritsche & Mr. Prakash Loungani & Ms. Natalia T. Tamirisa, 2013. "Information Rigidities in Economic Growth Forecasts: Evidence from a Large International Panel," IMF Working Papers 2013/056, International Monetary Fund.
  30. Dovern, Jonas & Quaas, Martin & Rickels, Wilfried, 2013. "The rich, the clean, and the kind - a comprehensive wealth index for cities applied to the case of Germany," Kiel Working Papers 1828, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  31. Dovern, Jonas & van Roye, Björn, 2013. "International transmission of financial stress: Evidence from a GVAR," Kiel Working Papers 1844, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  32. Dovern, Jonas & Rickels, Wilfried & Quaas, Martin F., 2012. "Nachhaltigkeitspotenzial deutscher Städte," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 59526, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  33. Dovern, Jonas & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Jannsen, Nils & Van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Meier, Carsten-Patrick, 2010. "Weltkonjunktur im Frühjahr 2010," Kiel Discussion Papers 476/477, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  34. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Dovern, Jonas & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Jannsen, Nils & van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim, 2010. "Erholung der Weltkonjunktur ohne große Dynamik," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 32955, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  35. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Dovern, Jonas & Groll, Dominik & van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim, 2010. "Droht in Deutschland eine Kreditklemme?," Kiel Discussion Papers 472/473, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  36. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Dovern, Jonas & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Meier, Carsten-Patrick & Scheide, Joachim, 2010. "Schwache Konjunktur im Euroraum: Nur langsamer Abbau der Ungleichgewichte," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 45583, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  37. Boss, Alfred & Dovern, Jonas & Groll, Dominik & van Roye, Björn & Meier, Carsten-Patrick & Scheide, Joachim, 2010. "Moderate Erholung in Deutschland - Arbeitsmarkt in erstaunlich guter Verfassung," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 45584, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  38. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Dovern, Jonas & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Jannsen, Nils & Van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim & Boss, Alfred & Groll, Dominik & Meier, Carsten-Patrick, 2010. "Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Winter 2009," Kiel Discussion Papers 470/471, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  39. Boss, Alfred & Dovern, Jonas & Groll, Dominik & Meier, Carsten-Patrick & van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim, 2010. "Aufschwung lässt auf sich warten," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 32954, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  40. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Dovern, Jonas & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Jannsen, Nils & van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim, 2010. "Weltkonjunktur kommt nach kräftiger Erholung in schwierigeres Fahrwasser," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 45600, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  41. Boss, Alfred & Dovern, Jonas & Groll, Dominik & Meier, Carsten-Patrick & Van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim, 2010. "Deutsche Konjunktur im Frühjahr 2010," Kiel Discussion Papers 478, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  42. Boss, Alfred & Dovern, Jonas & Groll, Dominik & Meier, Carsten-Patrick & van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim, 2010. "Deutschland: Konjunkturelle Erholung setzt sich in verlangsamtem Tempo fort - Gefahr eines Rückschlags durch die Schuldenkrise," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 45571, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  43. Dovern, Jonas & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Jannsen, Nils & van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim, 2010. "Schwellenländer tragen die Expansion der Weltwirtschaft," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 45590, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  44. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Dovern, Jonas & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Jannsen, Nils & Van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim & Boss, Alfred & Groll, Dominik & Meier, Carsten-Patrick, 2010. "Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Sommer 2010," Kiel Discussion Papers 481/482, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  45. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Boss, Alfred & Dovern, Jonas & Groll, Dominik & Meier, Carsten-Patrick & Van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim, 2009. "Deutsche Konjunktur im Frühjahr 2009," Kiel Discussion Papers 463, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  46. Jonas Dovern & Johannes Weisser, 2009. "Accuracy, Unbiasedness and Efficiency of Professional Macroeconomic Forecasts: An empirical Comparison for the G7," Jena Economics Research Papers 2009-091, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena.
  47. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Dovern, Jonas & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim, 2009. "Konjunktureinbruch im Euroraum," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 28802, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  48. Boss, Alfred & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Dovern, Jonas & Groll, Dominik & Meier, Carsten-Patrick & van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim, 2009. "Schleppende Erholung der Konjunktur in Deutschland, kein Einbruch auf dem Arbeitsmarkt," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 32977, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  49. Boss, Alfred & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Dovern, Jonas & Groll, Dominik & Meier, Carsten-Patrick & van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim, 2009. "Die deutsche Wirtschaft im Sog der Weltrezession," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 28657, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  50. Boss, Alfred & Dovern, Jonas & Groll, Dominik & Meier, Carsten-Patrick & van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim, 2009. "Deutschland: Stabilisierung der Produktion auf niedrigen Niveau," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 28847, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  51. Dovern, Jonas & Jannsen, Nils, 2009. "Estimating the shape of economic crises under heterogeneity," Kiel Working Papers 1520, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  52. Blank, Sven & Dovern, Jonas, 2009. "What macroeconomic shocks affect the German banking system? Analysis in an integrated micro-macro model," Discussion Paper Series 2: Banking and Financial Studies 2009,15, Deutsche Bundesbank.
  53. Boss, Alfred & Dovern, Jonas & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Jannsen, Nils & Meier, Carsten-Patrick & van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim, 2009. "Ursachen der Wachstumsschwäche in Deutschland 1995-2005," Kieler Beiträge zur Wirtschaftspolitik 2, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  54. Dovern, Jonas & Jannsen, Nils & Scheide, Joachim, 2009. "Die Bedeutung monetärer Größen für die deutsche Wachstumsschwäche 1995 -2005," Kiel Working Papers 1492, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  55. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Jannsen, Nils & Van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim & Boss, Alfred & Dovern, Jonas & Groll, Dominik & Meier, Carsten-Patrick, 2009. "Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Sommer 2009," Kiel Discussion Papers 466/467, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  56. Dovern, Jonas & Fritsche, Ulrich & Slacalek, Jiri, 2009. "Disagreement among forecasters in G7 countries," Working Paper Series 1082, European Central Bank.
  57. Dovern, Jonas & Jannsen, Nils & Scheide, Joachim, 2009. "Die Bedeutung monetärer Größen für die deutsche Wachstumsschwäche 1995 -2005," Kiel Working Papers 1492, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  58. Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Jannsen, Nils & Van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Dovern, Jonas, 2009. "Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Frühjahr 2009," Kiel Discussion Papers 461/462, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  59. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Jannsen, Nils & Scheide, Joachim & Boss, Alfred & Dovern, Jonas & Groll, Dominik & Meier, Carsten-Patrick & Van Roye, Björn, 2009. "Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Herbst 2009," Kiel Discussion Papers 468/469, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  60. Dovern, Jonas & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Hogrefe, Jens & Jannsen, Nils & Van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim & Boss, Alfred & Meier, Carsten-Patrick, 2008. "Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Sommer 2008," Kiel Discussion Papers 454/455, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  61. Dovern, Jonas & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Hogrefe, Jens & Scheide, Joachim, 2008. "Euroraum in der Rezession," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 28683, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  62. Dovern, Jonas & Meier, Carsten-Patrick & Vilsmeier, Johannes, 2008. "How resilient is the German banking system to macroeconomic shocks?," Kiel Working Papers 1419, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  63. Dovern, Jonas & Ziegler, Christina, 2008. "Predicting growth rates and recessions: assessing US leading indicators under real-time conditions," Kiel Working Papers 1397, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  64. Dovern, Jonas & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Jannsen, Nils & Van Roye, Björn & Scheide, Joachim & Hogrefe, Jens & Boss, Alfred & Meier, Carsten-Patrick, 2008. "Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Herbst 2008," Kiel Discussion Papers 456/457, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  65. Boss, Alfred & Dovern, Jonas & Meier, Carsten-Patrick & Scheide, Joachim, 2008. "Deutsche Konjunktur: leichte Rezession absehbar," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 28638, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  66. Dovern, Jonas & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Jannsen, Nils & Scheide, Joachim & van Roye, Björn, 2008. "Weltwirtschaft im Abschwung," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 28829, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  67. Dovern, Jonas & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Hogrefe, Jens & Jannsen, Nils & van Roye, Björn, 2008. "Deutlich verlangsamte Expansion der Weltwirtschaft," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 28755, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  68. Dovern, Jonas & Jannsen, Nils, 2008. "Immobilienkrise in den Vereinigten Staaten: Historischer Vergleich und Implikationen für den Konjunkturverlauf," Kiel Discussion Papers 451, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  69. Boss, Alfred & Dovern, Jonas & Meier, Carsten-Patrick & Oskamp, Frank & Scheide, Joachim, 2008. "Deutschland: Robuste Binnenkonjunktur - Dämpfer aus dem Ausland," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 4306, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  70. Boss, Alfred & Dovern, Jonas & Meier, Carsten-Patrick & Scheide, Joachim, 2008. "Konjunktur in Deutschland schwächt sich deutlich ab," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 28858, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  71. Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Jannsen, Nils & Sander, Birgit & Scheide, Joachim & Van Roye, Björn & Boss, Alfred & Dovern, Jonas & Meier, Carsten-Patrick & Oskamp, Frank, 2008. "Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Frühjahr 2008," Kiel Discussion Papers 449/450, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  72. Jonas Dovern & Ulrich Fritsche, 2008. "Estimating Fundamental Cross-Section Dispersion from Fixed Event Forecasts," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 787, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
  73. Dovern, Jonas & Meier, Carsten-Patrick & Vilsmeier, Johannes, 2008. "How resilient is the German banking system to macroeconomic shocks?," Kiel Working Papers 1419, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  74. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Dovern, Jonas & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Jannsen, Nils & Van Roye, Björn & Sander, Birgit & Scheide, Joachim & Boss, Alfred & Meier, Carsten-Patrick, 2008. "Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Winter 2008," Kiel Discussion Papers 459/460, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  75. Dovern, Jonas & Weisser, Johannes, 2008. "Are they really rational? Assessing professional macro-economic forecasts from the G7-countries," Kiel Working Papers 1447, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  76. Dovern, Jonas & Meier, Carsten-Patrick, 2007. "Lohnanstieg und Konjunktur in Deutschland 2004 - 2008," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 4005, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  77. Dovern, Jonas & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Meier, Carsten-Patrick & Oskamp, Frank & Sander, Birgit & Scheide, Joachim, 2007. "Weltkonjunktur verliert an Fahrt," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 4093, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  78. Dovern, Jonas & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Jannsen, Nils & van Roye, Björn & Sander, Birgit & Scheide, Joachim & Tesfaselassie, Mewael F., 2007. "Weltwirtschaftliche Dynamik flaut ab," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 4139, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  79. Boss, Alfred & Dovern, Jonas & Meier, Carsten-Patrick & Oskamp, Frank & Scheide, Joachim, 2007. "Deutschland: Gegenwind für Konjunktur und Potentialwachstum," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 4140, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  80. Boss, Alfred & Dovern, Jonas & Meier, Carsten-Patrick & Oskamp, Frank & Scheide, Joachim, 2007. "Deutsche Konjunktur: Aufschwungskräfte behalten die Oberhand," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 4095, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  81. Boss, Alfred & Dovern, Jonas & Meier, Carsten-Patrick & Oskamp, Frank & Scheide, Joachim, 2007. "Aufschwung in Deutschland setzt sich nur wenig verlangsamt fort," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 4003, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  82. Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Oskamp, Frank & Sander, Birgit & Scheide, Joachim & Boss, Alfred & Dovern, Jonas & Meier, Carsten-Patrick, 2007. "Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Sommer 2007," Kiel Discussion Papers 443/444, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  83. Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Oskamp, Frank & Sander, Birgit & Scheide, Joachim & Carstensen, Kai & Boss, Alfred & Dovern, Jonas & Meier, Carsten-Patrick, 2007. "Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Frühjahr 2007," Kiel Discussion Papers 439/440, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  84. Boss, Alfred & Dovern, Jonas & Meier, Carsten-Patrick & Scheide, Joachim, 2007. "Aufschwung in Deutschland bleibt kräftig," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 4300, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  85. Dovern, Jonas & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Meier, Carsten-Patrick & Oskamp, Frank & Sander, Birgit & Scheide, Joachim & Boss, Alfred, 2007. "Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Herbst 2007," Kiel Discussion Papers 445/446, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  86. Dovern, Jonas & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Jannsen, Nils & Van Roye, Björn & Sander, Birgit & Scheide, Joachim & Tesfaselassie, Mewael F. & Boss, Alfred & Meier, Carsten-Patrick & Oskamp, Frank, 2007. "Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Winter 2007," Kiel Discussion Papers 447/448, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  87. Boss, Alfred & Dovern, Jonas & Meier, Carsten-Patrick & Oskamp, Frank & Scheide, Joachim, 2007. "Verbessertes Arbeitsmarktumfeld stärkt Wachstum des Produktionspotentials in Deutschland," Kiel Discussion Papers 441/442, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  88. Dovern, Jonas & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Meier, Carsten-Patrick & Scheide, Joachim, 2007. "Nachlassende konjunkturelle Dynamik im Euroraum ohne Deutschland," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 4094, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  89. Dovern, Jonas, 2006. "Predicting GDP components: do leading indicators increase predictability?," Kiel Advanced Studies Working Papers 436, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  90. Boss, Alfred & Dovern, Jonas & Meier, Carsten-Patrick & Oskamp, Frank & Scheide, Joachim, 2006. "Kräftiger, aber nur kurzer Aufschwung in Deutschland," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 3930, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  91. Boss, Alfred & Dovern, Jonas & Meier, Carsten-Patrick & Oskamp, Frank & Scheide, Joachim, 2006. "Konjunktureller Höhepunkt in Deutschland wird überschritten," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 3893, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  92. Dovern, Jonas & Meier, Carsten-Patrick & Scheide, Joachim, 2006. "Das hohe Leistungsbilanzdefizit der Vereinigten Staaten: Ein Risiko für die Weltwirtschaft und für die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung in Deutschland?," Kiel Discussion Papers 432/433, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  93. Boss, Alfred & Dovern, Jonas & Meier, Carsten-Patrick & Oskamp, Frank & Scheide, Joachim, 2006. "Gute Chancen auf einen langanhaltenden Aufschwung in Deutschland," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 3941, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  94. Dovern, Jonas & Nunnenkamp, Peter, 2006. "Aid and growth accelerations: An alternative approach to assess the effectiveness of aid," Kiel Working Papers 1296, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  95. Jörg Döpke & Jonas Dovern & Ulrich Fritsche & Jiri Slacalek, 2006. "Sticky Information Phillips Curves: European Evidence," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 615, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
  96. Dovern, Jonas & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Oskamp, Frank & Sander, Birgit & Scheide, Joachim & Boss, Alfred & Meier, Carsten-Patrick, 2006. "Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Sommer 2006," Kiel Discussion Papers 428/429, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  97. Dovern, Jonas & Meier, Carsten-Patrick, 2006. "Macroeconomic aspects of structural labor market reforms in Germany," Kiel Working Papers 1295, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  98. Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Oskamp, Frank & Sander, Birgit & Scheide, Joachim & Schweickert, Rainer & Boss, Alfred & Dovern, Jonas & Meier, Carsten-Patrick & Oskamp, Frank, 2006. "Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Frühjahr 2006," Kiel Discussion Papers 424/425, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  99. Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Oskamp, Frank & Sander, Birgit & Scheide, Joachim & Meier, Carsten-Patrick & Boss, Alfred & Dovern, Jonas, 2006. "Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Herbst 2006," Kiel Discussion Papers 430/431, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  100. Jörg Döpke & Jonas Dovern & Ulrich Fritsche & Jiri Slacalek, 2006. "The Dynamics of European Inflation Expectations," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 571, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
  101. Dovern, Jonas & Nunnenkamp, Peter, 2006. "Aid and growth accelerations: An alternative approach to assess the effectiveness of aid," Kiel Working Papers 1296, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  102. Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Oskamp, Frank & Sander, Birgit & Scheide, Joachim & Boss, Alfred & Dovern, Jonas & Meier, Carsten-Patrick, 2006. "Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Winter 2006," Kiel Discussion Papers 436/437, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  103. Dovern, Jonas & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Oskamp, Frank & Sander, Birgit & Scheide, Joachim, 2006. "Konjunktur in den Industrieländern bleibt vorerst kräftig," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 3931, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  104. Slacalek, Jirka & Fritsche, Ulrich & Dovern, Jonas & Döpke, Jörg, 2005. "European inflation expectations dynamics," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2005,37, Deutsche Bundesbank.
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    repec:kie:kieliw:1447 is not listed on IDEAS
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Articles

  1. Dovern, Jonas, 2024. "Eliciting expectation uncertainty from private households," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 113-123.
  2. Dovern, Jonas & Müller, Lena Sophia & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2023. "Local information and firm expectations about aggregates," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 1-13.
  3. Born, Benjamin & Dovern, Jonas & Enders, Zeno, 2023. "Expectation dispersion, uncertainty, and the reaction to news," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
  4. Dovern, Jonas & Frank, Johannes & Glas, Alexander & Müller, Lena Sophia & Perico Ortiz, Daniel, 2023. "Estimating pass-through rates for the 2022 tax reduction on fuel prices in Germany," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
  5. Buchheim, Lukas & Dovern, Jonas & Krolage, Carla & Link, Sebastian, 2022. "Sentiment and firm behavior during the COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 195(C), pages 186-198.
  6. Jonas Dovern & Hans Manner, 2020. "Order‐invariant tests for proper calibration of multivariate density forecasts," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(4), pages 440-456, June.
  7. Jonas Dovern & Christopher Zuber, 2020. "Recessions and Potential Output: Disentangling Measurement Errors, Supply Shocks, and Hysteresis Effects," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 122(4), pages 1431-1466, October.
  8. Jonas Dovern & Geoff Kenny, 2020. "Anchoring Inflation Expectations in Unconventional Times: Micro Evidence for the Euro Area," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 16(5), pages 309-347, October.
  9. Lukas Buchheim & Jonas Dovern & Carla Krolage & Sebastian Link, 2020. "Zur Reaktion von Unternehmen auf die Coronakrise: Welche Rolle spielen die erwartete Krisendauer und die Geschäftslage vor der Krise?," ifo Schnelldienst Digital, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 1(08), pages 01-04, May.
  10. Dovern, Jonas & Zuber, Christopher, 2020. "How economic crises damage potential output – Evidence from the Great Recession," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
  11. Jonas Dovern & Matthias Hartmann, 2017. "Forecast performance, disagreement, and heterogeneous signal-to-noise ratios," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 63-77, August.
  12. Dovern, Jonas & Jannsen, Nils, 2017. "Systematic errors in growth expectations over the business cycle," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 760-769.
  13. Jonas Dovern & Nils Jannsen, 2017. "Prognosen in verschiedenen Konjunkturphasen [Forecasts in Different Business Cycle States]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 97(7), pages 527-528, July.
  14. Dovern, Jonas & Feldkircher, Martin & Huber, Florian, 2016. "Does joint modelling of the world economy pay off? Evaluating global forecasts from a Bayesian GVAR," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 86-100.
  15. Dovern, Jonas & Huber, Florian, 2015. "Global prediction of recessions," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 133(C), pages 81-84.
  16. Dovern, Jonas, 2015. "A multivariate analysis of forecast disagreement: Confronting models of disagreement with survey data," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 16-35.
  17. Dovern, Jonas & Fritsche, Ulrich & Loungani, Prakash & Tamirisa, Natalia, 2015. "Information rigidities: Comparing average and individual forecasts for a large international panel," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 144-154.
  18. Dovern, Jonas & van Roye, Björn, 2014. "International transmission and business-cycle effects of financial stress," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 13(C), pages 1-17.
  19. Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Giesen, Sebastian & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Knedlik, Tobias & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit & , 2013. "Rückkehr des Vertrauens beflügelt Konjunktur in Deutschland," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 1(2), pages 55-94.
  20. Dovern, Jonas, 2013. "When are GDP forecasts updated? Evidence from a large international panel," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 120(3), pages 521-524.
  21. Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Knedlik, Tobias & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit & Zeddies, Götz & Dove, 2013. "Konjunktur aktuell: Deutsche Wirtschaft im Aufschwung," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 1(4), pages 144-177.
  22. Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Giesen, Sebastian & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Knedlik, Tobias & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Schultz, Birgit & Zeddies, Götz & Dovern, Jon, 2012. "Konjunktur aktuell: Eurokrise nimmt deutscher Konjunktur den Wind aus den Segeln," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 18(8-9), pages 228-258.
  23. Jonas Dovern & Ulrich Fritsche & Jiri Slacalek, 2012. "Disagreement Among Forecasters in G7 Countries," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 94(4), pages 1081-1096, November.
  24. Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Drygalla, Andrej & El-Shagi, Makram & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Knedlik, Tobias & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Schultz, Birgit & Zeddies, , 2012. "Konjunktur aktuell: Deutsche Wirtschaft überwindet die kurze Schwächephase," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 18(3), pages 80-113.
  25. Dovern, Jonas & Weisser, Johannes, 2011. "Accuracy, unbiasedness and efficiency of professional macroeconomic forecasts: An empirical comparison for the G7," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 452-465, April.
  26. Sven Blank & Jonas Dovern, 2010. "What macroeconomic shocks affect the German banking system?," Journal of Financial Economic Policy, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 2(2), pages 126-148, June.
  27. Dovern, Jonas & Meier, Carsten-Patrick & Vilsmeier, Johannes, 2010. "How resilient is the German banking system to macroeconomic shocks?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(8), pages 1839-1848, August.
  28. Dovern Jonas & Jannsen Nils & Scheide Joachim, 2009. "Die Bedeutung monetärer Größen für die deutsche Wachstumsschwäche 1995–2005," Review of Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 60(1), pages 17-36, April.
  29. Doepke Joerg & Dovern Jonas & Fritsche Ulrich & Slacalek Jiri, 2008. "The Dynamics of European Inflation Expectations," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 8(1), pages 1-23, March.
  30. Jonas Dovern & Christina Ziegler, 2008. "Predicting Growth Rates and Recessions. Assessing U.S. Leading Indicators under Real-Time Condition," Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), Duncker & Humblot, Berlin, vol. 54(4), pages 293-318.
  31. J÷Rg D÷Pke & Jonas Dovern & Ulrich Fritsche & Jiri Slacalek, 2008. "Sticky Information Phillips Curves: European Evidence," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 40(7), pages 1513-1520, October.
  32. Jonas Dovern & Peter Nunnenkamp, 2007. "Aid and Growth Accelerations: An Alternative Approach to Assessing the Effectiveness of Aid," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 60(3), pages 359-383, August.
  33. Jonas Dovern & Carsten-Patrick Meier & Joachim Scheide, 2007. "Muss das hohe US-Leistungsbilanzdefizit zu einer massiven Aufwertung der europäischen Währungen führen? Eine andere Sicht," Aussenwirtschaft, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science, Swiss Institute for International Economics and Applied Economics Research, vol. 62(02), pages 233-254, June.
    RePEc:eme:jfep00:17576381011070193 is not listed on IDEAS
    RePEc:eme:jfeppp:17576381011070193 is not listed on IDEAS

More information

Research fields, statistics, top rankings, if available.

Statistics

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Rankings

This author is among the top 5% authors according to these criteria:
  1. Number of Works
  2. Number of Distinct Works
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Co-authorship network on CollEc

NEP Fields

NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 55 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.
  1. NEP-MAC: Macroeconomics (35) 2006-04-29 2006-08-05 2006-09-11 2006-09-30 2007-01-23 2007-01-23 2007-08-18 2008-02-09 2008-05-17 2008-10-07 2009-03-28 2009-05-23 2009-08-30 2009-09-26 2013-06-30 2014-02-02 2014-02-08 2014-10-17 2015-03-27 2015-04-02 2016-02-17 2016-02-23 2016-03-23 2017-03-05 2017-03-05 2017-10-29 2017-11-26 2019-07-08 2020-04-20 2020-05-18 2020-06-29 2020-09-21 2021-02-01 2021-03-01 2021-05-17. Author is listed
  2. NEP-FOR: Forecasting (22) 2007-08-18 2008-02-09 2008-04-29 2008-05-17 2008-10-07 2009-08-30 2009-09-26 2009-11-27 2014-02-02 2014-02-08 2014-10-17 2015-03-27 2015-04-02 2015-04-02 2016-02-17 2016-02-23 2016-03-23 2016-03-29 2017-03-05 2017-03-12 2018-05-07 2018-06-11. Author is listed
  3. NEP-EEC: European Economics (13) 2006-04-29 2006-08-05 2006-09-30 2007-01-23 2007-01-23 2008-05-17 2009-08-30 2013-06-30 2017-03-05 2019-07-08 2020-06-29 2022-09-05 2022-11-07. Author is listed
  4. NEP-CBA: Central Banking (12) 2006-04-29 2006-08-05 2006-09-11 2007-01-23 2007-01-23 2008-04-29 2008-05-17 2009-03-28 2009-08-30 2009-09-26 2009-12-19 2013-06-30. Author is listed
  5. NEP-ECM: Econometrics (7) 2008-04-29 2008-05-17 2008-10-07 2016-03-29 2017-03-12 2018-05-07 2023-03-20. Author is listed
  6. NEP-BEC: Business Economics (5) 2020-04-20 2020-05-18 2020-06-29 2020-09-21 2022-09-05. Author is listed
  7. NEP-EUR: Microeconomic European Issues (5) 2013-03-02 2020-04-20 2020-05-18 2020-09-21 2022-09-05. Author is listed
  8. NEP-GER: German Papers (5) 2009-03-28 2010-07-17 2012-10-20 2016-01-03 2016-07-16. Author is listed
  9. NEP-MON: Monetary Economics (5) 2006-04-29 2006-08-05 2006-09-11 2009-09-26 2017-03-05. Author is listed
  10. NEP-ENV: Environmental Economics (4) 2016-01-03 2016-02-23 2016-06-04 2016-07-16
  11. NEP-ETS: Econometric Time Series (4) 2007-08-18 2008-02-09 2018-05-07 2018-06-11
  12. NEP-BAN: Banking (3) 2008-05-17 2009-12-19 2013-06-30
  13. NEP-ENE: Energy Economics (3) 2016-01-03 2016-07-16 2022-11-07
  14. NEP-LAB: Labour Economics (3) 2006-09-30 2019-07-08 2022-09-05
  15. NEP-OPM: Open Economy Macroeconomics (2) 2013-06-30 2017-10-29
  16. NEP-AFR: Africa (1) 2006-09-30
  17. NEP-EFF: Efficiency and Productivity (1) 2019-07-08
  18. NEP-ENT: Entrepreneurship (1) 2022-09-05
  19. NEP-IFN: International Finance (1) 2013-06-30
  20. NEP-LMA: Labor Markets - Supply, Demand, and Wages (1) 2020-05-18
  21. NEP-PPM: Project, Program and Portfolio Management (1) 2020-06-29
  22. NEP-RMG: Risk Management (1) 2008-02-09
  23. NEP-SOC: Social Norms and Social Capital (1) 2006-09-30
  24. NEP-TID: Technology and Industrial Dynamics (1) 2020-05-18
  25. NEP-UPT: Utility Models and Prospect Theory (1) 2022-09-05
  26. NEP-URE: Urban and Real Estate Economics (1) 2013-03-02

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