Report NEP-MAC-2017-03-05

This is the archive for NEP-MAC, a report on new working papers in the area of Macroeconomics. Soumitra K Mallick issued this report. It is usually issued weekly.

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Other reports in NEP-MAC

The following items were announced in this report:

• Valentina Aprigliano & Guerino Ardizzi & Libero Monteforte, 2017. "Using the payment system data to forecast the Italian GDP," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1098, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
• De Koning, Kees, 2017. "How the U.S. financial crisis could have been averted," MPRA Paper 77060, University Library of Munich, Germany.
• Lennard, Jason, 2017. "Did Monetary Policy Matter? Narrative Evidence from the Classical Gold Standard," Lund Papers in Economic History 155, Lund University, Department of Economic History.
• Hubert, Paul & Labondance, Fabien, 2017. "Central bank sentiment and policy expectations," Bank of England working papers 648, Bank of England.
• Bluwstein, Kristina, 2017. "Asymmetric Macro-Financial Spillovers," Working Paper Series 337, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
• Larin, Benjamin, 2016. "A Quantitative Model of Bubble-Driven Business Cycles," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145817, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
• Semmler, Willi & Gross, Marco, 2017. "Mind the output gap: the disconnect of growth and inflation during recessions and convex Phillips curves in the euro area," Working Paper Series 2004, European Central Bank.
• Ekaterina Pirozhkova, 2017. "Financial frictions and robust monetary policy in the models of New Keynesian framework," BCAM Working Papers 1701, Birkbeck Centre for Applied Macroeconomics.
• Born, Benjamin & Pfeifer, Johannes, 2016. "Uncertainty-driven business cycles: assessing the markup channel," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145608, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
• Bletzinger, Tilman & Lalik, Magdalena, 2017. "The impact of constrained monetary policy on fiscal multipliers on output and inflation," Working Paper Series 2019, European Central Bank.
• Speck, Christian, 2016. "Inflation Anchoring in the Euro Area," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145697, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
• David L. Reifschneider & Peter Tulip, 2017. "Gauging the Uncertainty of the Economic Outlook Using Historical Forecasting Errors : The Federal Reserve's Approach," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-020, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
• David Reifschneider & Peter Tulip, 2017. "Gauging the Uncertainty of the Economic Outlook Using Historical Forecasting Errors: The Federal Reserve's Approach," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2017-01, Reserve Bank of Australia.
• Hachula, Michael & Rieth, Malte & Piffer, Michele, 2016. "Unconventional Monetary Policy, Fiscal Side Effects and Euro Area (Im)balances," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145790, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
• Neri, Stefano & Nobili, Andrea & Conti, Antonio M., 2017. "Low inflation and monetary policy in the euro area," Working Paper Series 2005, European Central Bank.
• John Geanakoplos & Kieran James Walsh, 2017. "Inefficient Liquidity Provision," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2077, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
• Schmidt, Sebastian & Nakata, Taisuke, 2016. "Gradualism and Liquidity Traps," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145469, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
• Ciccarelli, Matteo & García, Juan Angel & Montes-Galdón, Carlos, 2017. "Unconventional monetary policy and the anchoring of inflation expectations," Working Paper Series 1995, European Central Bank.
• Maria Teresa Punzi & Katrin Rabitsch, 2017. "Borrower heterogeneity within a risky mortgage-lending market," Department of Economics Working Papers wuwp241, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Department of Economics.
• Filippo Natoli & Laura Sigalotti, 2017. "An indicator of inflation expectations anchoring," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1103, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
• Brede, Maren, 2016. "Budget-neutral fiscal rules targeting inflation differentials," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145513, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
• Francesco Zanetti & Masashige Hamano, 2017. "On Quality and Variety Bias in Aggregate Prices," Economics Series Working Papers 823, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
• Kenny, Geoff & Dovern, Jonas, 2017. "The long-term distribution of expected inflation in the euro area: what has changed since the great recession?," Working Paper Series 1999, European Central Bank.
• Sebastian Edwards, 2017. "The London Monetary and Economic Conference of 1933 and the End of The Great Depression: A “Change of Regime” Analysis," NBER Working Papers 23204, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
• Locarno, Alberto & Delle Monache, Davide & Busetti, Fabio & Gerali, Andrea, 2017. "Trust, but verify. De-anchoring of inflation expectations under learning and heterogeneity," Working Paper Series 1994, European Central Bank.
• Marcello Pericoli & Giovanni Veronese, 2017. "Monetary policy surprises over time," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1102, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
• Hardik A. Marfatia & Rangan Gupta & Esin Cakan, 2017. "The International REIT's Time-Varying Response to the U.S. Monetary Policy and Macroeconomic Surprises," Working Papers 201712, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
• Felder, Rahel & Bachmann, Ronald, 2016. "Labour Market Transitions, Shocks and Institutions during the Great Recession: A Cross-Country Analysis," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145851, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
• Tran Thanh Hoa, 2017. "Forecasting Inflation in Vietnam with Univariate and Vector Autoregressive Models," IHEID Working Papers 05-2017, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
• Fuchs-Schündeln, Nicola & Bick, Alexander & Lagakos, David, 2016. "How Do Average Hours Worked Vary with Development? Cross-Country Evidence and Implications," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145576, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
• Jüßen, Falko & Bredemeier, Christian & Winkler, Roland, 2016. "Man-cessions, Fiscal Policy, and the Gender Composition of Employment," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145518, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
• Speck, Christian, 2017. "Inflation anchoring in the euro area," Working Paper Series 1998, European Central Bank.
• Sousa, João & Falagiarda, Matteo, 2017. "Forecasting euro area inflation using targeted predictors: is money coming back?," Working Paper Series 2015, European Central Bank.
• Holtemöller, Oliver, 2016. "Sovereign Stress, Banking Stress, and Corporate Financing Costs in the Euro Area," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145820, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
• Aleksander Berentsen & Sébastien Kraenzlin & Benjamin Müller, 2016. "Exit strategies for monetary policy," ECON - Working Papers 241, Department of Economics - University of Zurich, revised Feb 2018.
• Hartmann, Matthias & Dovern, Jonas, 2016. "Forecast Performance, Disagreement, and Heterogeneous Signal-to-Noise Ratios," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145925, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
• Ana Fostel & John Geanakoplos & Gregory Phelan, 2017. "Global Collateral: How Financial Innovation Drives Capital Flows and Increases Financial Instability," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2076, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
• Florian Huber & Manfred M. Fischer & Philipp Piribauer, 2017. "The role of US based FDI flows for global output dynamics," Department of Economics Working Papers wuwp239, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Department of Economics.
• Lalik, Magdalena, 2017. "Interactions between fiscal multipliers and sovereign risk premium during fiscal consolidation: model based assessment for the euro area," Working Paper Series 2016, European Central Bank.
• Baumann, Ursel & Albuquerque, Bruno, 2017. "Will US inflation awake from the dead? The role of slack and non-linearities in the Phillips curve," Working Paper Series 2001, European Central Bank.
• Scharrer, Christian & Heer, Burkhard, 2016. "The Burden of Unanticipated Fiscal Policy," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145542, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
• Anne-Marie Rieu-Foucault, 2017. "Comparer les mesures non conventionnelles de la FED et de la BCE : ce que disent les bilans des banques centrales," EconomiX Working Papers 2017-8, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
• Andreas Hornstein & Marianna Kudlyak, 2017. "Generalized Matching Functions and Resource Utilization Indices for the Labor Market," Working Paper Series 2017-5, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
• Ahlborn, Markus & Wortmann, Marcus, 2017. "Output gap similarities in Europe: Detecting country groups," University of Göttingen Working Papers in Economics 305, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics.
• Pincheira, Pablo, 2017. "A Power Booster Factor for Out-of-Sample Tests of Predictability," MPRA Paper 77027, University Library of Munich, Germany.
• Jarociński, Marek & Bobeica, Elena, 2017. "Missing disinflation and missing inflation: the puzzles that aren't," Working Paper Series 2000, European Central Bank.
• Klose, Jens, 2016. "Determinants of Eurosystems Central Banks Provisions," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145508, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
• Liu, Yulin & Gersbach, Hans & Hahn, Volker, 2016. "Forward Guidance Contracts," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145552, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
• Javier Sebastian, 2016. "Blockchain in financial services: Regulatory landscape and future challenges," Working Papers 16/21, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department.
• Mand, Matthias, 2016. "On the Cyclicality of R&D Activities," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145472, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
• Weijie Luo & Andrew Pickering & Paulo Santos Monteiro, 2017. "Inequality and the Size of Government," Discussion Papers 17/02, Department of Economics, University of York.
• Vugar Rahimov & Nigar Jafarova & Fuad Ganbarov, 2017. "The Exchange Rate Pass-Through to CPI and its components in Oil-Exporting CIS Countries," IHEID Working Papers 06-2017, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
• Jeremy Greenwood & Nezih Guner & Guillaume Vandenbroucke, 2017. "Family Economics Writ Large," Working Papers wp2017_1706, CEMFI.
• Pu Chen & Willi Semmler, 2017. "Financial Stress, Regime Switching and Spillover Effects: Evidence from a Multi-Regime Global VAR Model," Working Papers 1708, New School for Social Research, Department of Economics.
• Patricia Carballo & José Ignacio González & Margarita Güenaga & José Mourelle & Gabriela Romaniello, 2015. "Un modelo semi estructural de proyecciones macroeconómicas para el Uruguay," Documentos de trabajo 2015012, Banco Central del Uruguay.
• Giulio Fella & Serafín Frache & Winfried Koeniger, 2016. "Buffer-stock saving and households' response to income shocks," Documentos de trabajo 2016001, Banco Central del Uruguay.
• Ekaterina Pirozhkova, 2017. "Bank loan components, uncertainty and monetary transmission mechanism," BCAM Working Papers 1702, Birkbeck Centre for Applied Macroeconomics.
• Stähler, Nikolai & Moyen, Stephane & Winkler, Fabian, 2016. "Optimal Unemployment Insurance and International Risk Sharing," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145612, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
• Loretta J. Mester, 2017. "A Serenity Prayer for Monetary Policymakers: Loretta J. Mester, President and Chief Executive Officer, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland - The Global Interdependence Center, Central Banking Series, Si," Speech 79, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
• Piergiorgio Alessandri & Margherita Bottero, 2017. "Bank lending in uncertain times," BCAM Working Papers 1703, Birkbeck Centre for Applied Macroeconomics.
• Chandrasekhar, C. P., 2016. "Macroeconomic policy, employment and decent work in India," ILO Working Papers 994944592402676, International Labour Organization.
• Lionel Fontagné & Jean Fouré & Gianluca Santoni, 2017. "Value Added in Motion: Macroeconomic Implications of Energy Price Trajectories," Development Working Papers 426, Centro Studi Luca d'Agliano, University of Milano.
• B. Ravikumar & Ana Maria Santacreu & Michael Sposi, 2017. "Capital Accumulation and Dynamic Gains from Trade," Working Papers 2017-5, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
• Nezih Guner & Remzi Kaygusuz & Gustavo Ventura, 2016. "Child-Related Transfers, Household Labor Supply and Welfare," Working Papers wp2016_1617, CEMFI.
• Natoli, Filippo & Sigalotti, Laura, 2017. "A new indicator of inflation expectations anchoring," Working Paper Series 1996, European Central Bank.
• Kaufmann, Christoph, 2016. "Optimal Fiscal Substitutes For The Exchange Rate In A Monetary Union," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145873, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
• Herz, Benedikt, 2017. "Specific Human Capital and Wait Unemployment," MPRA Paper 76777, University Library of Munich, Germany.
• Ryan A. Decker & John Haltiwanger & Ron S. Jarmin & Javier Miranda, 2017. "Declining Dynamism, Allocative Efficiency, and the Productivity Slowdown," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-019, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
• Siassi, Nawid & Ortigueira, Salvador, 2016. "Anti-Poverty Income Transfers in the US - A Framework for the Evaluation of Policy Reforms," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145665, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
• Meldrum, Andrew & Raczko, Marek & Spencer, Peter, 2016. "Overseas unspanned factors and domestic bond returns," Bank of England working papers 618, Bank of England.
• Groll, Dominik & Monacelli, Tommaso, 2016. "The Inherent Benefit of Monetary Unions," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145807, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
• Irmen, Andreas & Tabakovic, Amer, 2016. "Factor Income Distribution and Endogenous Economic Growth - When Piketty meets Romer -," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145700, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
• Stijn Claessens & Nicholas S. Coleman & Michael S. Donnelly, 2017. "\"Low-For-Long\" Interest Rates and Banks' Interest Margins and Profitability : Cross-Country Evidence," International Finance Discussion Papers 1197, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
• Giuseppe Vitaletti, 2017. "Sraffa, Keynes, Rendite e Sistema Fiscale," Working papers 53, Società Italiana di Economia Pubblica.
• Fernando Leibovici & Michael E. Waugh, 2016. "International Trade and Intertemporal Substitution," Working Papers 2017-4, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
• Punzi, Maria Teresa & Rabitsch, Katrin, 2016. "Heterogeneity and business cycle fluctuations," FinMaP-Policy Letters 4, Collaborative EU Project FinMaP - Financial Distortions and Macroeconomic Performance: Expectations, Constraints and Interaction of Agents.
• Daniel Felipe Cuervo & Camilo Ernesto Gómez & Miguel Antonio Melo & José Gregorio Ojeda, 2017. "Efectos de variaciones del precio del petróleo en un escenario de incertidumbre sobre el crecimiento económico de Colombia: 2001-2016," Econógrafos, Escuela de Economía 15378, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, FCE, CID.
• Régis Barnichon & Christian Matthes, 2016. "Understanding the size of the government spending multiplier: It's in the sign," Economics Working Papers 1555, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
• Markus K. Brunnermeier & Michael Sockin & Wei Xiong, 2017. "China's Gradualistic Economic Approach and Financial Markets," NBER Working Papers 23194, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
• Michele Benvenuti & Luca Casolaro & Emanuele Ciani, 2017. "Informal loans, liquidity constraints and local credit supply: evidence from Italy," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1099, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
• Jose Asturias & Sewon Hur & Timothy J. Kehoe & Kim J. Ruhl, 2017. "Firm Entry and Exit and Aggregate Growth," NBER Working Papers 23202, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
• Jose Asturias & Sewon Hur & Timothy J. Kehoe & Kim J. Ruhl, 2017. "Firm Entry and Exit and Aggregate Growth," Staff Report 544, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
• Rao, M. Govinda & Kumar, Sudhanshu, 2017. "Envisioning Tax Policy for Accelerated Development in India," Working Papers 17/190, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy.
• Natoli, Filippo & Sigalotti, Laura, 2017. "Tail co-movement in inflation expectations as an indicator of anchoring," Working Paper Series 1997, European Central Bank.
• Ward, Felix & Chen, Yao, 2016. "Rigid relations: External adjustment under the Gold Standard (1880-1913)," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145930, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
• Cai, Fang. & Yang, Du. & Meiyan, Wang., 2016. "The role of monetary and fiscal policies in promoting more and better jobs in China : issues, evidence and policy options," ILO Working Papers 994939493502676, International Labour Organization.
• Matějka, Filip & Wiederholt, Mirko & Maćkowiak, Bartosz, 2017. "The rational inattention filter," Working Paper Series 2007, European Central Bank.
• Patrick J. Kehoe & Elena Pastorino, 2017. "Fiscal Unions Redux," Staff Report 543, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
• Victor Kummritz & Bastiaan Quast, 2016. "Global Value Chains in Low and Middle Income Countries," CTEI Working Papers series 10-2016, Centre for Trade and Economic Integration, The Graduate Institute.
• Botta, Alberto & Tori, Daniele, 2017. "A critique to the expansionary austerity (part III): empirical counter facts beyond theoretical weaknesses," Greenwich Papers in Political Economy 16387, University of Greenwich, Greenwich Political Economy Research Centre.
• Andrin Spescha & Martin Wörter, 2016. "Innovation and Firm Growth over the Business Cycle," KOF Working papers 16-413, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
• Rangan Gupta & Lardo Stander & Andrea Vaona, 2017. "Openness and Growth: Is the Relationship Non-Linear?," Working Papers 201703, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
• Hainz, Christa & Fidrmuc, Jarko & Hölzl, Werner, 2016. "Firm Credit Experience and Perceptions of Lending Policy: Business Survey Evidence from Austria," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145863, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
• Lionel Fontagné & Jean Fouré, 2017. "Value Added in Motion: Modelling World Trade Patterns at the 2035 Horizon," Development Working Papers 425, Centro Studi Luca d'Agliano, University of Milano.
• Patnaik, Ila & Felman, Joshua & Shah, Ajay, 2017. "An exchange market pressure measure for cross-country analysis," Working Papers 17/189, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy.
• Kim, Steven, 2016. "Complex Factors Behind Misguided Policies in Socioeconomics: From Mass Migration and Persistent Alienation to Rampant Crime and Economic Malaise," MPRA Paper 76733, University Library of Munich, Germany.