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Scalable Bayesian Approach for the Dina Q-Matrix Estimation Combining Stochastic Optimization and Variational Inference

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  • Motonori Oka

    (The University of Tokyo)

  • Kensuke Okada

    (The University of Tokyo)

Abstract

Diagnostic classification models offer statistical tools to inspect the fined-grained attribute of respondents’ strengths and weaknesses. However, the diagnosis accuracy deteriorates when misspecification occurs in the predefined item–attribute relationship, which is encoded into a Q-matrix. To prevent such misspecification, methodologists have recently developed several Bayesian Q-matrix estimation methods for greater estimation flexibility. However, these methods become infeasible in the case of large-scale assessments with a large number of attributes and items. In this study, we focused on the deterministic inputs, noisy “and” gate (DINA) model and proposed a new framework for the Q-matrix estimation to find the Q-matrix with the maximum marginal likelihood. Based on this framework, we developed a scalable estimation algorithm for the DINA Q-matrix by constructing an iteration algorithm that utilizes stochastic optimization and variational inference. The simulation and empirical studies reveal that the proposed method achieves high-speed computation, good accuracy, and robustness to potential misspecifications, such as initial value choices and hyperparameter settings. Thus, the proposed method can be a useful tool for estimating a Q-matrix in large-scale settings.

Suggested Citation

  • Motonori Oka & Kensuke Okada, 2023. "Scalable Bayesian Approach for the Dina Q-Matrix Estimation Combining Stochastic Optimization and Variational Inference," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 88(1), pages 302-331, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:psycho:v:88:y:2023:i:1:d:10.1007_s11336-022-09884-4
    DOI: 10.1007/s11336-022-09884-4
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    References listed on IDEAS

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