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Developments in storm tide modelling and risk assessment in the Australian region

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  • Bruce Harper
  • Thomas Hardy
  • Luciano Mason
  • Ross Fryar

Abstract

An overview is provided of some of the significant storm tide modelling and risk assessment studies undertaken over the past few years within Australia and the nearby oceanic regions for government and industry. Emphasis is placed on the need for integrated planning and forecasting approaches for storm tide risk assessment. The importance of the meteorological forcing and the appropriate modelling of each of the storm tide components, namely, astronomical tide, storm surge, breaking wave setup and coastal inundation is discussed. The critical role of tropical cyclone “best track” datasets for risk assessment studies and the potential impacts on design criteria and risk assessment studies is highlighted, together with the challenge of developing credible enhanced-greenhouse climate change scenarios. It is concluded that storm tide modelling needs to be undertaken in a holistic framework that considers the relative uncertainties in each of the various elements—atmospheric, hydrodynamic and data, as well as addressing operational forecasting, design and planning needs. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2009

Suggested Citation

  • Bruce Harper & Thomas Hardy & Luciano Mason & Ross Fryar, 2009. "Developments in storm tide modelling and risk assessment in the Australian region," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 51(1), pages 225-238, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:51:y:2009:i:1:p:225-238
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-009-9382-3
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Mark D. Powell & Peter J. Vickery & Timothy A. Reinhold, 2003. "Reduced drag coefficient for high wind speeds in tropical cyclones," Nature, Nature, vol. 422(6929), pages 279-283, March.
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    1. Joanna Burston & Daniel Ware & Rodger Tomlinson, 2015. "The real-time needs of emergency managers for tropical cyclone storm tide forecasting: results of a participatory stakeholder engagement process," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 78(3), pages 1653-1668, September.
    2. S. Lecacheux & J. Rohmer & F. Paris & R. Pedreros & H. Quetelard & F. Bonnardot, 2021. "Toward the probabilistic forecasting of cyclone-induced marine flooding by overtopping at Reunion Island aided by a time-varying random-forest classification approach," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 105(1), pages 227-251, January.

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