IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/renene/v113y2017icp915-929.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Offshore wind resource assessment of Persian Gulf using uncertainty analysis and GIS

Author

Listed:
  • Amirinia, Gholamreza
  • Mafi, Somayeh
  • Mazaheri, Said

Abstract

This paper, focused on offshore wind resource assessment of the Persian Gulf using uncertainty method. In this method, for better estimation of wind energy potential, the uncertainties due to wind speed, sea surface roughness, air density and wind turbine power production were considered. For this purpose, first, a 25-year (1984–2008) ECMWF (European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts) data from over 550 points in the region were collected. Then by analyzing the data, the probability of density of each parameter was established. Next; a Monte Carlo simulation was used for long-term simulation of wind field and energy production. The results showed that the Persian Gulf is capable of generating over 2980 GWh per year which is 5.3% lower than results of the conventional analysis. A detailed GIS (Geographic Information System) analysis depicted that middle and southern parts of the region have a high level of wind energy potential. Also, an economic analysis showed that by 15% interest rate, offshore wind farms cannot compete the global electricity production rates; however, by decreasing the interest rate to 5%, the southern, southwestern, and a part of northern shoreline are capable of generating offshore wind electricity in the range of global offshore electricity production costs.

Suggested Citation

  • Amirinia, Gholamreza & Mafi, Somayeh & Mazaheri, Said, 2017. "Offshore wind resource assessment of Persian Gulf using uncertainty analysis and GIS," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 915-929.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:113:y:2017:i:c:p:915-929
    DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2017.06.070
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S096014811730530X
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.renene.2017.06.070?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jung, Sungmoon & Arda Vanli, O. & Kwon, Soon-Duck, 2013. "Wind energy potential assessment considering the uncertainties due to limited data," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 1492-1503.
    2. Snyder, Brian & Kaiser, Mark J., 2009. "Ecological and economic cost-benefit analysis of offshore wind energy," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 34(6), pages 1567-1578.
    3. Mirhosseini, M. & Sharifi, F. & Sedaghat, A., 2011. "Assessing the wind energy potential locations in province of Semnan in Iran," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 15(1), pages 449-459, January.
    4. Keyhani, A. & Ghasemi-Varnamkhasti, M. & Khanali, M. & Abbaszadeh, R., 2010. "An assessment of wind energy potential as a power generation source in the capital of Iran, Tehran," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 188-201.
    5. Amirinia, Gholamreza & Kamranzad, Bahareh & Mafi, Somayeh, 2017. "Wind and wave energy potential in southern Caspian Sea using uncertainty analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 332-345.
    6. Lotfalipour, Mohammad Reza & Falahi, Mohammad Ali & Ashena, Malihe, 2010. "Economic growth, CO2 emissions, and fossil fuels consumption in Iran," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 35(12), pages 5115-5120.
    7. Kwon, Soon-Duck, 2010. "Uncertainty analysis of wind energy potential assessment," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(3), pages 856-865, March.
    8. Fadai, Dawud, 2007. "The feasibility of manufacturing wind turbines in Iran," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 11(3), pages 536-542, April.
    9. Mostafaeipour, Ali & Abarghooei, Hossein, 2008. "Harnessing wind energy at Manjil area located in north of Iran," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 12(6), pages 1758-1766, August.
    10. Bilgili, Mehmet & Yasar, Abdulkadir & Simsek, Erdogan, 2011. "Offshore wind power development in Europe and its comparison with onshore counterpart," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 15(2), pages 905-915, February.
    11. Mostafaeipour, A. & Sedaghat, A. & Dehghan-Niri, A.A. & Kalantar, V., 2011. "Wind energy feasibility study for city of Shahrbabak in Iran," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 15(6), pages 2545-2556, August.
    12. Mostafaeipour, Ali & Sedaghat, Ahmad & Ghalishooyan, Morteza & Dinpashoh, Yagob & Mirhosseini, Mojtaba & Sefid, Mohammad & Pour-Rezaei, Maryam, 2013. "Evaluation of wind energy potential as a power generation source for electricity production in Binalood, Iran," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 222-229.
    13. Bahrami, Mohsen & Abbaszadeh, Payam, 2013. "An overview of renewable energies in Iran," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 198-208.
    14. Ghobadian, Barat & Najafi, Gholamhassan & Rahimi, Hadi & Yusaf, T.F., 2009. "Future of renewable energies in Iran," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 13(3), pages 689-695, April.
    15. Carta, J.A. & Ramírez, P. & Velázquez, S., 2009. "A review of wind speed probability distributions used in wind energy analysis: Case studies in the Canary Islands," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 13(5), pages 933-955, June.
    16. Saeidi, D. & Mirhosseini, M. & Sedaghat, A. & Mostafaeipour, A., 2011. "Feasibility study of wind energy potential in two provinces of Iran: North and South Khorasan," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 15(8), pages 3558-3569.
    17. Esteban, M. Dolores & Diez, J. Javier & López, Jose S. & Negro, Vicente, 2011. "Why offshore wind energy?," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 444-450.
    18. Hosseini, Seyed Ehsan & Andwari, Amin Mahmoudzadeh & Wahid, Mazlan Abdul & Bagheri, Ghobad, 2013. "A review on green energy potentials in Iran," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 533-545.
    19. Mark D. Powell & Peter J. Vickery & Timothy A. Reinhold, 2003. "Reduced drag coefficient for high wind speeds in tropical cyclones," Nature, Nature, vol. 422(6929), pages 279-283, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Mahmoodi, Kumars & Ghassemi, Hassan & Razminia, Abolhassan, 2019. "Temporal and spatial characteristics of wave energy in the Persian Gulf based on the ERA5 reanalysis dataset," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 187(C).
    2. Escobar, A. & Negro, V. & López-Gutiérrez, J.S. & Esteban, M.D., 2019. "Assessment of the influence of the acceleration field on scour phenomenon in offshore wind farms," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 1036-1043.
    3. Kim, Ji-Young & Oh, Ki-Yong & Kim, Min-Suek & Kim, Kwang-Yul, 2019. "Evaluation and characterization of offshore wind resources with long-term met mast data corrected by wind lidar," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 144(C), pages 41-55.
    4. Lívia Maria Leite Silva & Petr Ekel & Douglas Alexandre Gomes Vieira & Matheus Pereira Libório & Marcos Flávio Silveira Vasconcelos D’angelo, 2023. "Spatial Decision-Making under Uncertainties for Supporting the Prospection of Sites for Hybrid Renewable Energy Generation Systems," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(13), pages 1-29, June.
    5. Lins, Davi Ribeiro & Guedes, Kevin Santos & Pitombeira-Neto, Anselmo Ramalho & Rocha, Paulo Alexandre Costa & de Andrade, Carla Freitas, 2023. "Comparison of the performance of different wind speed distribution models applied to onshore and offshore wind speed data in the Northeast Brazil," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 278(PA).
    6. Valliyil Mohammed Aboobacker & Puthuveetil Razak Shanas & Subramanian Veerasingam & Ebrahim M. A. S. Al-Ansari & Fadhil N. Sadooni & Ponnumony Vethamony, 2021. "Long-Term Assessment of Onshore and Offshore Wind Energy Potentials of Qatar," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-21, February.
    7. Salcedo-Sanz, S. & García-Herrera, R. & Camacho-Gómez, C. & Aybar-Ruíz, A. & Alexandre, E., 2018. "Wind power field reconstruction from a reduced set of representative measuring points," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 228(C), pages 1111-1121.
    8. Mahmoodi, Kumars & Ghassemi, Hassan & Razminia, Abolhassan, 2020. "Performance assessment of a two-body wave energy converter based on the Persian Gulf wave climate," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 519-537.
    9. Chen, Xinping & Foley, Aoife & Zhang, Zenghai & Wang, Kaimin & O'Driscoll, Kieran, 2020. "An assessment of wind energy potential in the Beibu Gulf considering the energy demands of the Beibu Gulf Economic Rim," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    10. Christina Ortega & Amin Younes & Mark Severy & Charles Chamberlin & Arne Jacobson, 2020. "Resource and Load Compatibility Assessment of Wind Energy Offshore of Humboldt County, California," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(21), pages 1-27, October.
    11. Işık, Cem & Kuziboev, Bekhzod & Ongan, Serdar & Saidmamatov, Olimjon & Mirkhoshimova, Mokhirakhon & Rajabov, Alibek, 2024. "The volatility of global energy uncertainty: Renewable alternatives," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 297(C).
    12. Shengjin Wang & Hongru Yang & Quoc Bao Pham & Dao Nguyen Khoi & Pham Thi Thao Nhi, 2020. "An Ensemble Framework to Investigate Wind Energy Sustainability Considering Climate Change Impacts," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-17, January.
    13. Peters, Jared L. & Remmers, Tiny & Wheeler, Andrew J. & Murphy, Jimmy & Cummins, Valerie, 2020. "A systematic review and meta-analysis of GIS use to reveal trends in offshore wind energy research and offer insights on best practices," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    14. Nie, Bingchuan & Li, Jiachun, 2018. "Technical potential assessment of offshore wind energy over shallow continent shelf along China coast," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 128(PA), pages 391-399.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Amirinia, Gholamreza & Kamranzad, Bahareh & Mafi, Somayeh, 2017. "Wind and wave energy potential in southern Caspian Sea using uncertainty analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 332-345.
    2. Morteza Aien & Omid Mahdavi, 2020. "On the Way of Policy Making to Reduce the Reliance of Fossil Fuels: Case Study of Iran," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(24), pages 1-28, December.
    3. Mostafaeipour, Ali & Sedaghat, Ahmad & Ghalishooyan, Morteza & Dinpashoh, Yagob & Mirhosseini, Mojtaba & Sefid, Mohammad & Pour-Rezaei, Maryam, 2013. "Evaluation of wind energy potential as a power generation source for electricity production in Binalood, Iran," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 222-229.
    4. Fazelpour, Farivar & Soltani, Nima & Soltani, Sina & Rosen, Marc A., 2015. "Assessment of wind energy potential and economics in the north-western Iranian cities of Tabriz and Ardabil," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 87-99.
    5. Mostafaeipour, Ali & Jadidi, Mohsen & Mohammadi, Kasra & Sedaghat, Ahmad, 2014. "An analysis of wind energy potential and economic evaluation in Zahedan, Iran," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 641-650.
    6. Mollahosseini, Arash & Hosseini, Seyed Amid & Jabbari, Mostafa & Figoli, Alberto & Rahimpour, Ahmad, 2017. "Renewable energy management and market in Iran: A holistic review on current state and future demands," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 774-788.
    7. El Alimi, Souheil & Maatallah, Taher & Dahmouni, Anouar Wajdi & Ben Nasrallah, Sassi, 2012. "Modeling and investigation of the wind resource in the gulf of Tunis, Tunisia," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 16(8), pages 5466-5478.
    8. Minaeian, Ali & Sedaghat, Ahmad & Mostafaeipour, Ali & Akbar Alemrajabi, Ali, 2017. "Exploring economy of small communities and households by investing on harnessing wind energy in the province of Sistan-Baluchestan in Iran," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 835-847.
    9. Saeidi, D. & Mirhosseini, M. & Sedaghat, A. & Mostafaeipour, A., 2011. "Feasibility study of wind energy potential in two provinces of Iran: North and South Khorasan," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 15(8), pages 3558-3569.
    10. Siyavash Filom & Soheil Radfar & Roozbeh Panahi & Erfan Amini & Mehdi Neshat, 2021. "Exploring Wind Energy Potential as a Driver of Sustainable Development in the Southern Coasts of Iran: The Importance of Wind Speed Statistical Distribution Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(14), pages 1-24, July.
    11. Bahrami, Arian & Teimourian, Amir & Okoye, Chiemeka Onyeka & Khosravi, Nima, 2019. "Assessing the feasibility of wind energy as a power source in Turkmenistan; a major opportunity for Central Asia's energy market," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 415-427.
    12. Pishgar-Komleh, S.H. & Keyhani, A. & Sefeedpari, P., 2015. "Wind speed and power density analysis based on Weibull and Rayleigh distributions (a case study: Firouzkooh county of Iran)," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 313-322.
    13. Khahro, Shahnawaz Farhan & Tabbassum, Kavita & Mahmood Soomro, Amir & Liao, Xiaozhong & Alvi, Muhammad Bux & Dong, Lei & Manzoor, M. Farhan, 2014. "Techno-economical evaluation of wind energy potential and analysis of power generation from wind at Gharo, Sindh Pakistan," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 460-474.
    14. Najafi, Gholamhassan & Ghobadian, Barat, 2011. "LLK1694-wind energy resources and development in Iran," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 15(6), pages 2719-2728, August.
    15. Gass, Viktoria & Schmidt, Johannes & Strauss, Franziska & Schmid, Erwin, 2013. "Assessing the economic wind power potential in Austria," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 323-330.
    16. Fazelpour, Farivar & Markarian, Elin & Soltani, Nima, 2017. "Wind energy potential and economic assessment of four locations in Sistan and Balouchestan province in Iran," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 646-667.
    17. Haratian, Mojtaba & Tabibi, Pouya & Sadeghi, Meisam & Vaseghi, Babak & Poustdouz, Amin, 2018. "A renewable energy solution for stand-alone power generation: A case study of KhshU Site-Iran," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 926-935.
    18. Al-Nassar, W.K. & Neelamani, S. & Al-Salem, K.A. & Al-Dashti, H.A., 2019. "Feasibility of offshore wind energy as an alternative source for the state of Kuwait," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 783-796.
    19. Mostafaeipour, A. & Sedaghat, A. & Dehghan-Niri, A.A. & Kalantar, V., 2011. "Wind energy feasibility study for city of Shahrbabak in Iran," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 15(6), pages 2545-2556, August.
    20. Tavana, Alireza & Emami Javid, Alireza & Houshfar, Ehsan & Mahmoudzadeh Andwari, Amin & Ashjaee, Mehdi & Shoaee, Saeed & Maghmoomi, Abtin & Marashi, Fatima, 2019. "Toward renewable and sustainable energies perspective in Iran," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 1194-1216.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:113:y:2017:i:c:p:915-929. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/renewable-energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.