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Pension reforms, longer working horizons, and absence from work

Author

Listed:
  • Giorgio Brunello

    (University of Padua)

  • Maria Paola

    (University of Calabria
    INPS)

  • Lorenzo Rocco

    (University of Padua)

Abstract

Using matched employer-employee data for Italy and newly available information on sick leave certificates, we study the effect of an exogenous increase in the length of the residual work horizon—triggered by a pension reform that increased minimum retirement age—on middle-aged employees’ absence from work due to sick leaves. We find that this effect is positive for females and negative for males. We explain these results by arguing that the intertemporal substitution of leisure prevailed over the fear of job loss for females, while the opposite happened to males. Sick leaves increased only for females working in firms that pay smaller wage premia to female workers than to males, suggesting that, in these firms, females exchange lower pay for higher flexibility in their work schedule.

Suggested Citation

  • Giorgio Brunello & Maria Paola & Lorenzo Rocco, 2025. "Pension reforms, longer working horizons, and absence from work," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 38(1), pages 1-26, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:jopoec:v:38:y:2025:i:1:d:10.1007_s00148-025-01074-7
    DOI: 10.1007/s00148-025-01074-7
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    2. Florin Cornel DUMITER & Ștefania Amalia NICOARĂ & Marius BOIȚĂ & Erika LOUČANOVÁ & Katarina Repkova STOFKOVA, 2024. "Empirical Study Regarding the Central and Eastern European Countries’ Soundness of Pension Systems. Triangle Assessment: Social, Economic, and Financial Features of Pension Systems," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 105-127, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Sick leaves; Pension reforms; Italy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J26 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Retirement; Retirement Policies
    • I12 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Health Behavior

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