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Bounds analysis of competing risks: a non-parametric evaluation of the effect of unemployment benefits on migration

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  • Melanie Arntz
  • Simon Lo
  • Ralf Wilke

Abstract

By reexamining the effect of unemployment benefits on reemployment probabilities we make two contributions to the literature: first, we estimate separate effects for reemployment in the local or a distant region. Second, we address the problem of incomplete duration within a competing risks model. Our results confirm that missing data problems at first preclude any meaningful result even though we have access to daily individual data on 50 % of the male workforce in Germany. When we impose additional assumptions, we obtain evidence that the treatment effect depends on the household context, the treatment intensity and the destination state. Copyright Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2014

Suggested Citation

  • Melanie Arntz & Simon Lo & Ralf Wilke, 2014. "Bounds analysis of competing risks: a non-parametric evaluation of the effect of unemployment benefits on migration," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 46(1), pages 199-228, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:empeco:v:46:y:2014:i:1:p:199-228
    DOI: 10.1007/s00181-012-0675-0
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    Cited by:

    1. Bruno Rodrigues & Vincent Vergnat, 2019. "The time and the transitions back to work in France after maternity," Review of Economics of the Household, Springer, vol. 17(3), pages 861-888, September.
    2. Lo Simon M.S. & Stephan Gesine & Wilke Ralf A., 2017. "Competing Risks Copula Models for Unemployment Duration: An Application to a German Hartz Reform," Journal of Econometric Methods, De Gruyter, vol. 6(1), pages 1-20, January.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Cumulative incidence curve; Administrative data; Difference-in-differences; C41; C14; J61;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C41 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Duration Analysis; Optimal Timing Strategies
    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • J61 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Geographic Labor Mobility; Immigrant Workers

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