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Vulnerability of the oil and gas sector to climate change and extreme weather events

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  • Ana Cruz
  • Elisabeth Krausmann

Abstract

A changing climate and more frequent extreme weather events pose challenges to the oil and gas sector. Identifying how these changes will affect oil and gas extraction, transportation, processing, and delivery, and how these industries can adapt to or mitigate any adverse impacts will be vital to this sector’s supply security. This work presents an overview of the sector’s vulnerability to a changing climate. It addresses the potential for Natech hazards and proposes risk reduction measures, including mitigation and adaptation options. Assessment frameworks to ensure the safety of people, the environment, and investments in the oil and gas sector in the face of climate change are presented and their limitations discussed. It is argued that a comprehensive and systemic analysis framework for risk assessment is needed. The paper concludes that climate change and extreme weather events represent a real physical threat to the oil and gas sector, particularly in low-lying coastal areas and areas exposed to extreme weather events. The sector needs to take climate change seriously, assess its own vulnerability, and take appropriate measures to prevent or mitigate any potentially negative effects. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2013

Suggested Citation

  • Ana Cruz & Elisabeth Krausmann, 2013. "Vulnerability of the oil and gas sector to climate change and extreme weather events," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 121(1), pages 41-53, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:121:y:2013:i:1:p:41-53
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-013-0891-4
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    7. Shen, Yiran & Sun, Xiaolei & Ji, Qiang & Zhang, Dayong, 2023. "Climate events matter in the global natural gas market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    8. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Effect of Rare Disaster Risks on Crude Oil: Evidence from El Nino from Over 140 Years of Data," Working Papers 2020104, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Yongping Sun & Xin Zou & Xunpeng Shi & Ping Zhang, 2019. "The economic impact of climate risks in China: evidence from 47-sector panel data, 2000–2014," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 95(1), pages 289-308, January.
    10. Theodoros Katopodis & Emmanuel D. Adamides & Athanasios Sfetsos & Antonios Mountouris, 2021. "Incorporating Future Climate Scenarios in Oil Industry’s Risk Assessment: A Greek Refinery Case Study," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(22), pages 1-19, November.
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    12. Guo, Kun & Luan, Liyuan & Cai, Xiaoli & Zhang, Dayong & Ji, Qiang, 2024. "Energy trade stability of China: Policy options with increasing climate risks," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).
    13. Hu, Jinqiu & Khan, Faisal & Zhang, Laibin, 2021. "Dynamic resilience assessment of the Marine LNG offloading system," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
    14. Beheshtian, Arash & Donaghy, Kieran P. & Richard Geddes, R. & Oliver Gao, H., 2018. "Climate-adaptive planning for the long-term resilience of transportation energy infrastructure," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 99-122.
    15. Misuri, Alessio & Ricci, Federica & Sorichetti, Riccardo & Cozzani, Valerio, 2023. "The Effect of Safety Barrier Degradation on the Severity of Primary Natech Scenarios," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    16. Bernier, Carl & Padgett, Jamie E., 2019. "Fragility and risk assessment of aboveground storage tanks subjected to concurrent surge, wave, and wind loads," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    17. Talha Ahmed & Yasir Mahmood & Nita Yodo & Ying Huang, 2024. "Weather-Related Combined Effect on Failure Propagation and Maintenance Procedures towards Sustainable Gas Pipeline Infrastructure," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(13), pages 1-31, July.
    18. Zhang, Yongji & Liu, Lingxi & Lan, Minghui & Su, Zhi & Wang, Ke, 2024. "Climate change and economic policy uncertainty: Evidence from major countries around the world," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 1045-1060.
    19. Guo, Kun & Liu, Fengqi & Sun, Xiaolei & Zhang, Dayong & Ji, Qiang, 2023. "Predicting natural gas futures’ volatility using climate risks," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PA).
    20. Jian Guo & Jun Wang & Baikang Zhu & Bingyuan Hong & Cuicui Li & Jianhui He, 2022. "A Risk Evaluation Method of Coastal Oil Depots for Heavy Rainfall Vulnerability Assessment," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-12, June.
    21. Gaogeng Zhu & Guoming Chen & Jingyu Zhu & Xiangkun Meng & Xinhong Li, 2022. "Modeling the Evolution of Major Storm-Disaster-Induced Accidents in the Offshore Oil and Gas Industry," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(12), pages 1-27, June.
    22. Necci, Amos & Antonioni, Giacomo & Cozzani, Valerio & Krausmann, Elisabeth & Borghetti, Alberto & Nucci, Carlo Alberto, 2014. "Assessment of lightning impact frequency for process equipment," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 95-105.
    23. Zhang, Jiahao & Zhang, Yifeng & Wei, Yu & Wang, Zhuo, 2024. "Normal and extreme impact and connectedness between fossil energy futures markets and uncertainties: Does El Niño-Southern Oscillation matter?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PB), pages 188-215.
    24. Bernier, Carl & Gidaris, Ioannis & Balomenos, Georgios P. & Padgett, Jamie E., 2019. "Assessing the accessibility of petrochemical facilities during storm surge events," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 155-167.

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