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Economic Impact of Climate Change on the Agricultural Sector of Punjab

Author

Listed:
  • Uzma Hanif

    (Department of Economics, Forman Christian College (A Chartered University), Lahore)

  • Shabib Haider Syed

    (Department of Economics, Forman Christian College (A Chartered University), Lahore)

  • Rafique Ahmad

    (Universities of Punjab and Bahawalpur)

  • Kauser Abdullah Malik

    (Department of Biological Sciences, Forman Christian College (A Chartered University), Lahore)

Abstract

The main objective of the study is quantification of the impact of change in climate normals in order to have a viable and sustained development of the agricultural sector both at the regional and country level. A one-way fixed effect panel model for eleven districts over the time horizon 1970-2009 has been estimated with the FGLS panel regression technique. The results of the panel regression of precipitation, maximum and minimum temperature, are derived from data of Punjab agricultural land. The inclusion of the Kharif and Rabi seasons climate variables are important components of the assessment model, as these have not been taken into consideration in any previous assessment. The results show that the Kharif and Rabi variables (seasonal variables in the context of the sowing and harvesting time-periods) are significantly related to land price per acre. The study also confirms the general hypothesis that climate change impinges considerably on the price of agricultural land, which is a long-run variable for net revenues.

Suggested Citation

  • Uzma Hanif & Shabib Haider Syed & Rafique Ahmad & Kauser Abdullah Malik, 2010. "Economic Impact of Climate Change on the Agricultural Sector of Punjab," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 49(4), pages 771-798.
    • Handle: RePEc:pid:journl:v:49:y:2010:i:4:p:771-798
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Khush Bukhat ZAHID, & Munir AHMED, 2018. "Climate change and profit efficiency in Punjab, Pakistan: Evidence from household-level panel data," Journal of Economics Library, KSP Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 85-98, March.
    2. Sohail Abbas & Ghulam Dastgeer, 2021. "Analysing the impacts of climate variability on the yield of Kharif rice over Punjab, Pakistan," Natural Resources Forum, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 45(4), pages 329-349, November.
    3. Afzal, Muhammad & Ahmed, Tanvir & Ahmed, Gulzar, 2016. "Empirical Assessment of Climate Change on Major Agricultural Crops of Punjab, Pakistan," MPRA Paper 70958, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 28 Jan 2016.
    4. Syed Asif Ali Naqvi & Abdul Majeed Nadeem & Muhammad Amjed Iqbal & Sadia Ali & Asia Naseem, 2019. "Assessing the Vulnerabilities of Current and Future Production Systems in Punjab, Pakistan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(19), pages 1-13, September.
    5. Muhammad Irshad Ahmad & Hengyun Ma, 2020. "Climate Change and Livelihood Vulnerability in Mixed Crop–Livestock Areas: The Case of Province Punjab, Pakistan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-31, January.
    6. Muhammad Khalid Anser & Tayyaba Hina & Shahzad Hameed & Muhammad Hamid Nasir & Ishfaq Ahmad & Muhammad Asad ur Rehman Naseer, 2020. "Modeling Adaptation Strategies against Climate Change Impacts in Integrated Rice-Wheat Agricultural Production System of Pakistan," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(7), pages 1-18, April.
    7. Sohail Abbas & Zulfiqar Ali Mayo, 2021. "Impact of temperature and rainfall on rice production in Punjab, Pakistan," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(2), pages 1706-1728, February.
    8. Dan Wang & Yu Hao & Jianpei Wang, 2018. "Impact Of Climate Change On China’S Rice Production — An Empirical Estimation Based On Panel Data (1979–2011) From China’S Main Rice-Producing Areas," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 63(03), pages 535-553, June.
    9. Anwar Hussain & Rabia Bangash, 2017. "Impact of Climate Change on Crops’ Productivity across Selected Agro-ecological Zones in Pakistan," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 56(2), pages 163-187.
    10. Chanchala Hathurusingha & Neda Abdelhamid & David Airehrour, 2019. "Forecasting Models Based on Data Analytics for Predicting Rice Price Volatility: A Case Study of the Sri Lankan Rice Market," Journal of Information & Knowledge Management (JIKM), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 18(01), pages 1-20, March.
    11. Ahmad, Munir & Siftain, Hassan & Iqbal, Muhammad, 2014. "Impact of Climate Change on Wheat Productivity in Pakistan: A District Level Analysis," MPRA Paper 72859, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Afzal, Muhammad & Ahmed, Gulzar & Javaid, Muhammad Nadeem, 2017. "Empirical Asessment Of Climate Change On Agricultural Crops: Panel Data Analysis In Pakistan," International Journal of Food and Agricultural Economics (IJFAEC), Alanya Alaaddin Keykubat University, Department of Economics and Finance, vol. 5(2), April.

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