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Climate Change and Sugarcane Productivity in India: An Econometric Analysis

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  • Ajay Kumar

Abstract

This study provides an understanding for the relationship between climatic factors and sugarcane productivity in India. The main objective of this paper is to estimates the impact of climatic and non-climatic factors on sugarcane productivity. To check the consistency of empirical results, simple linear regression model, Ricardian productivity regression (non-linear) model and Cobb-Douglas production function models are employed. The data set incorporates 390 observations corresponding to thirteen states with panel data for 30 years during 1980 to 2009. These all models include sugarcane productivity as dependent variable. Irrigated area, agriculture labour, consumption of fertilizers, literacy rate, tractors and farm harvest price (at constant level) are considered as explanatory variables. Average rainfall, average maximum and average minimum temperature include as climatic factors to capture the effect of climatic conditions on cane productivity. These climatic factors are incorporate for three weather seasons such as rainy, winter and summer. Empirical results based on Prais Winsten models with panels corrected standard errors (PCSEs) estimation shows that climatic factors i.e. actual rainfall, average maximum and average minimum temperature have a statistically significant impact on sugarcane productivity. The climatic effect for various factors on cane productivity are varies within different seasons. Average maximum temperature in summer and average minimum temperature in rainy season have a negative and statistically significant effect on sugarcane productivity. While, sugarcane productivity positively get affect with increasing average maximum temperature in rainy season and winter seasons. The study concluded that there is non-linear relationship between climatic factors and sugarcane productivity in India.

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  • Ajay Kumar, 2014. "Climate Change and Sugarcane Productivity in India: An Econometric Analysis," Journal of Social and Development Sciences, AMH International, vol. 5(2), pages 111-122.
  • Handle: RePEc:rnd:arjsds:v:5:y:2014:i:2:p:111-122
    DOI: 10.22610/jsds.v5i2.811
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    1. Ajay, Kumar Singh & Kumar, Sanjeev & Ashraf, Shah Nawaz & Jyoti, Bhim, 2022. "Implications of Farmer’s Adaptation Strategies to Climate Change in Agricultural Sector of Gujarat: Experience from Farm Level Data," Research on World Agricultural Economy, Nan Yang Academy of Sciences Pte Ltd (NASS), vol. 3(01), March.
    2. Prima Diarini Riajaya & Budi Hariyono & Mohammad Cholid & Fitriningdyah Tri Kadarwati & Budi Santoso & Djumali & Subiyakto, 2022. "Growth and Yield Potential of New Sugarcane Varieties during Plant and First Ratoon Crops," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-10, November.
    3. Ravinder Kumar & Pooja Dhansu & Neeraj Kulshreshtha & Mintu Ram Meena & Mahadevaswamy Huskur Kumaraswamy & Chinnaswamy Appunu & Manohar Lal Chhabra & Sstish Kumar Pandey, 2023. "Identification of Salinity Tolerant Stable Sugarcane Cultivars Using AMMI, GGE and Some Other Stability Parameters under Multi Environments of Salinity Stress," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-19, January.
    4. Ajay Kumar Singh & Bhim Jyoti, 2019. "Measuring the Climate Variability Impact on Cash Crops Farming in India: An Empirical Investigation," Agriculture and Food Sciences Research, Asian Online Journal Publishing Group, vol. 6(2), pages 155-165.
    5. Dr. J. Suresh Kumar & Dr. D. Shobana, 2024. "Historical Trends in Sugarcane Area and Production in India: Analyzing Changes Over the Past Decades," International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science (IJRISS), vol. 8(8), pages 1768-1784, August.
    6. Abbas Ali, Chandio & Yuansheg, Jiang & Asad, Amin & Waqar, Akram & Ilhan, Ozturk & Avik, Sinha & Fayyaz, Ahmad, 2021. "Modeling the impact of climatic and non-climatic factors on cereal production: evidence from Indian agricultural sector," MPRA Paper 110065, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2021.
    7. Jyoti, Bhim & Singh, Ajay Kumar, 2020. "Projected Sugarcane Yield in Different Climate Change Scenarios in Indian States: A State-Wise Panel Data Exploration," International Journal of Food and Agricultural Economics (IJFAEC), Alanya Alaaddin Keykubat University, Department of Economics and Finance, vol. 8(4), October.

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