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Interregional Migration of Youths in Russia: A Comprehensive Analysis of Demographic Statistics

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Ilya Kashnitskiy - Junior Research Fellow, Institute for Social Policy, National Research University Higher School of Economics; PhD Candidate, University of Groningen / Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute. E-mail: ilya.kashnitsky@gmail.com Nikita Mkrtchyan - Candidate of Sciences in Geography, Leading Research Fellow, Center for Demographical Studies, Institute of Demography, National Research University Higher School of Economics. E-mail: Mkrtchan2002@rambler.ru Oleg Leshukov - Junior Research Fellow, Institute of Education, National Research University Higher School of Economics. E-mail: oleshukov@hse.ru Address: 20 Myasnitskaya str., 101000 Moscow, Russian Federation Not dissimilar to many other countries, migration in Russia has a pronounced age-dependent pattern with the peak intensity at the age when people obtain higher and professional education. In this paper, we analyze migration intensity at student age (17-21) using three sources of demographic data with regard to their key opportunities and limitations. We compare the migration attractiveness of Russian regions in three ways. First, we apply APC analysis to the current migration statistical data, separately for two periods: 2003-2010 and 2011-2013. The reason for sampling these two periods is because there was a significant change in the migration statistics collection practices in 2011. Second, we use the age-shift method to analyze the data of the 2002 and 2010 Russian censuses. We offer a way to refine the census data by discarding the non-migration-related changes in the age-sex structure. Finally, we use information about the ratio between the number of school graduates and that of full-time high school enrolments in the academic years 2012/13 and 2013/14 across the regions. Based on the four indicators of migration intensity (intercensal estimates, statistical records for the two periods, and the graduate-enrolment ratio), we develop a rating of Russian regions in migration attractiveness for student-aged youths. A position in this rating depends not only on the level of higher education development in a region but also on the consistent patterns of interregional migration in Russia. The regions in the European part of the country have a much higher chance to attract migrants at student ages.

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  • Ilya Kashnitsky & Nikita Mkrtchyan & Oleg Leshukov, 2016. "Interregional Migration of Youths in Russia: A Comprehensive Analysis of Demographic Statistics," Voprosy obrazovaniya / Educational Studies Moscow, National Research University Higher School of Economics, issue 3, pages 169-203.
    • Handle: RePEc:nos:voprob:2016:i:3:p:169-203
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    2. Vakulenko, Elena, 2019. "Motives for internal migration in Russia: what has changed in recent years?," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 55, pages 113-138.
    3. R. A. Dolzhenko & S. V. Lobova, 2021. "Factors of Youth Migration Behavior. Case Studies of the Siberian Federal District and Altai Krai," Regional Research of Russia, Springer, vol. 11(1), pages 40-47, January.
    4. Moskvina, Victoria, 2019. "Modelling interregional mobility of university graduates in Russia," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 56, pages 99-122.
    5. Giltman, M., 2017. "Employment in the North of Russia: Microdata Analysis," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 35(3), pages 103-124.
    6. Vera Barinova & Sylvie Rochhia & Stepan Zemtsov, 2022. "Attracting highly skilled migrants to the Russian regions," Regional Science Policy & Practice, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 14(1), pages 147-173, February.
    7. E. V. Antonov & N. K. Kurichev & A. I. Treivish, 2022. "Shrinking Urban System of the Largest Country: Research Progress and Unsolved Issues," Regional Research of Russia, Springer, vol. 12(1), pages 20-35, March.
    8. Marya Rozanova-Smith, 2021. "Stay or Leave? Arctic Youth Prospects and Sustainable Futures of the Russian Arctic Communities," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(21), pages 1-27, November.
    9. L. B. Karachurina & K. A. Ivanova, 2019. "Migration of the Elderly Population in Russia (According to the 2010 Population Census)," Regional Research of Russia, Springer, vol. 9(2), pages 164-172, April.
    10. N. V. Mkrtchyan, 2019. "Regional Capitals of Russia and Their Suburbs: Specifics of the Migration Balance," Regional Research of Russia, Springer, vol. 9(1), pages 12-22, January.
    11. Tommaso Agasisti & Aleksei Egorov & Daria Zinchenko & Oleg Leshukov, 2018. "Universities’ Efficiency And Regional Economic Short-Run Growth: Empirical Evidence From Russia," HSE Working papers WP BRP 203/EC/2018, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
    12. Efremov, I., 2023. "Regional pattern of the impact of migration on the aging of the Russian population," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 59(2), pages 176-182.
    13. Ostrovskaya, E. & Mamontov, D. & Spiridonov, K. & Levyy, I., 2021. "Analysis of interregional migration flows in Russia in the context of certain types of migration," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 50(2), pages 36-55.
    14. Li Wang & Jixia Huang & Hongyan Cai & Hengzi Liu & Jinmei Lu & Linsheng Yang, 2019. "A Study of the Socioeconomic Factors Influencing Migration in Russia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-14, March.

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