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Regional pattern of the impact of migration on the aging of the Russian population

Author

Listed:
  • Efremov, I.

    (Ye. T. Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, Moscow, Russia)

Abstract

The aging of the Russian population occurs simultaneously due to a decrease in the birth rate and an increase in life expectancy. Significant regional differences in the process of population aging in Russia makes it important to study migration as a factor in population aging at the regional level. On the basis of official statistical data on population migration and the age and sex composition of the population of Russia from 2015 to 2021, indicators of the average age of the population were calculated for each subject of the Russian Federation and for each year separately, as well as for the entire specified period as a whole. Migration has a rejuvenating effect on the age structure of the Russian population as a whole. The actual mean age of the Russian population between 2015 and 2021 was 39.756 years. Excluding the migration factor, the estimated mean age of the Russian population will be 39.833 years. In 37 regions of the Russian Federation, migration within the study period led to a rejuvenation of the age structure of the population, i. e. slowed down aging of the population, while in 48 regions migration only accelerated aging of the local population, contributing to the increase in the average age. The regions with the maximum rejuvenating effect of migration include mainly the territories of the Far East, northern Siberia and regions with the largest million-plus populated cities. The increase of migration more often and much more leads to the rejuvenation of the population than to its aging due to the fact that normally specifically the young are characterized by the maximum migration mobility. Of more interest is the seemingly counterintuitive rejuvenating effect of migration loss in some regions, in particular in many regions of the Far East and the Far North. This is due to the fact that the migration loss in such regions is concentrated in older working and younger retired ages. The conclusions of the work can help to take a fresh look at the process of population migration as a tool for influencing the demographic dynamics of the region.

Suggested Citation

  • Efremov, I., 2023. "Regional pattern of the impact of migration on the aging of the Russian population," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 59(2), pages 176-182.
    • Handle: RePEc:nea:journl:y:2023:i:59:p:176-182
    DOI: 10.31737/22212264_2023_2_176-182
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ilya Kashnitsky & Nikita Mkrtchyan & Oleg Leshukov, 2016. "Interregional Migration of Youths in Russia: A Comprehensive Analysis of Demographic Statistics," Voprosy obrazovaniya / Educational Studies Moscow, National Research University Higher School of Economics, issue 3, pages 169-203.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    mean age of the population; population migration; regions of Russia;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
    • J14 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Economics of the Elderly; Economics of the Handicapped; Non-Labor Market Discrimination
    • J61 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Geographic Labor Mobility; Immigrant Workers
    • F22 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Migration

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