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The Mortality Effect of Apparent Temperature: A Multi-City Study in Asia

Author

Listed:
  • Ru Cao

    (Department of Occupational and Environmental Health Sciences, Peking University School of Public Health, 38 Xueyuan Road, Haidian District, Beijing 100191, China
    These authors contributed equally to this work.)

  • Yuxin Wang

    (Department of Occupational and Environmental Health Sciences, Peking University School of Public Health, 38 Xueyuan Road, Haidian District, Beijing 100191, China
    These authors contributed equally to this work.)

  • Jing Huang

    (Department of Occupational and Environmental Health Sciences, Peking University School of Public Health, 38 Xueyuan Road, Haidian District, Beijing 100191, China)

  • Jie He

    (Peking University School of Nursing, 38 Xueyuan Road, Haidian District, Beijing 100191, China)

  • Pitakchon Ponsawansong

    (Environment and Health Research Unit, Research Institute for Health Science, Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai 50200, Thailand)

  • Jianbo Jin

    (Department of Occupational and Environmental Health Sciences, Peking University School of Public Health, 38 Xueyuan Road, Haidian District, Beijing 100191, China)

  • Zhihu Xu

    (Department of Occupational and Environmental Health Sciences, Peking University School of Public Health, 38 Xueyuan Road, Haidian District, Beijing 100191, China)

  • Teng Yang

    (Department of Occupational and Environmental Health Sciences, Peking University School of Public Health, 38 Xueyuan Road, Haidian District, Beijing 100191, China)

  • Xiaochuan Pan

    (Department of Occupational and Environmental Health Sciences, Peking University School of Public Health, 38 Xueyuan Road, Haidian District, Beijing 100191, China
    Environment and Health Research Unit, Research Institute for Health Science, Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai 50200, Thailand)

  • Tippawan Prapamontol

    (Environment and Health Research Unit, Research Institute for Health Science, Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai 50200, Thailand)

  • Guoxing Li

    (Department of Occupational and Environmental Health Sciences, Peking University School of Public Health, 38 Xueyuan Road, Haidian District, Beijing 100191, China)

Abstract

(1) Background: The health effect of temperature has become a rising public health topic. The objective of this study is to assess the association between apparent temperature and non-accidental deaths, and the mortality burden attributed to cold and heat temperature; (2) Methods: The daily data on temperature and deaths were collected from 10 cities in Thailand, Korea and China. We fitted a time-series regression with a distributed lag nonlinear model (DLNM) to derive the health risk of temperature for each city and then pooled them to get the overall cumulative risk by multivariate meta-analysis. Additionally, we calculated the attributable fraction of deaths for heat and cold, which was defined as temperatures above and below minimum-mortality temperature (MMT); (3) Results: There are regional heterogeneities in the minimum mortality percentiles (MMP) and attributable fractions for different countries. The MMP varied from about the 5–10th percentile in Thailand to 63–93rd percentile in China and Korea. The attributable fractions of the total deaths due to short-term exposure to temperature in Asia is 7.62%, of which the cold effect (6.44%) is much higher than the heat effect (1.18%); (4) Conclusions: Our study suggested that apparent temperature was associated with an increase in non-accidental mortality. Most of the temperature-related mortality burden was attributable to cold, except for Thailand.

Suggested Citation

  • Ru Cao & Yuxin Wang & Jing Huang & Jie He & Pitakchon Ponsawansong & Jianbo Jin & Zhihu Xu & Teng Yang & Xiaochuan Pan & Tippawan Prapamontol & Guoxing Li, 2021. "The Mortality Effect of Apparent Temperature: A Multi-City Study in Asia," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(9), pages 1-12, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:18:y:2021:i:9:p:4675-:d:544881
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Qiang Zeng & Guoxing Li & Yushan Cui & Guohong Jiang & Xiaochuan Pan, 2016. "Estimating Temperature-Mortality Exposure-Response Relationships and Optimum Ambient Temperature at the Multi-City Level of China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-12, March.
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    4. Wentan Dong & Qiang Zeng & Yue Ma & Guoxing Li & Xiaochuan Pan, 2016. "Impact of Heat Wave Definitions on the Added Effect of Heat Waves on Cardiovascular Mortality in Beijing, China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-12, September.
    5. Jian Cheng & Rui Zhu & Zhiwei Xu & Xiangqing Xu & Xu Wang & Kesheng Li & Hong Su, 2014. "Temperature variation between neighboring days and mortality: a distributed lag non-linear analysis," International Journal of Public Health, Springer;Swiss School of Public Health (SSPH+), vol. 59(6), pages 923-931, December.
    6. Santurtún, Ana & Almendra, Ricardo & Silva, Giovani L. & Fdez-Arroyabe, Pablo & Santurtún, Maite & Santana, Paula, 2020. "Suicide and apparent temperature in the two capitals cities in the iberian peninsula," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 265(C).
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